(LMND) Lemonade - Ratings and Ratios
Renters, Homeowners, Car, Pet, Life
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 82.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 112% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -18.17% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.48 |
| Alpha | 126.25 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.35 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.479 |
| Beta | 2.079 |
| Beta Downside | 2.009 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 56.10% |
| Mean DD | 24.43% |
| Median DD | 26.95% |
Description: LMND Lemonade January 12, 2026
Lemonade, Inc. (NYSE: LMND) is a digital-first insurer offering renters, homeowners, auto, pet, life, and landlord policies across the United States, Europe, and the United Kingdom. The platform also sells property-damage and personal-liability coverage and acts as an underwriting agent for third-party insurers.
Key recent metrics: 2023 total revenue reached $1.4 billion, up ~30 % YoY, driven by strong growth in its auto and renters segments; the combined ratio improved to 92 % in Q4 2023, reflecting better loss-ratio management and higher reinsurance recoveries; and the company’s AI-powered claims automation now processes ~70 % of claims in under five minutes, a competitive advantage in the P&C space. Macro-level, the sector is pressured by rising climate-related losses and a low-interest-rate environment that suppresses investment income, both of which Lemonade mitigates through its technology stack and a focus on short-duration policies.
For a deeper, data-driven look at Lemonade’s valuation and peer benchmarks, consider reviewing the analysis available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-173.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 39.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.02pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 69.59% (prev 127.0%; Δ -57.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO -23.4m > Net Income -173.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 2.57 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (74.2m) change vs 12m ago 4.30% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.73% (prev 33.31%; Δ 9.41pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 35.20% (prev 27.05%; Δ 8.15pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| error: Interest Coverage Ratio cannot be calculated (needs EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
Altman Z'' -2.60
| (A) 0.24 = (Total Current Assets 750.8m - Total Current Liabilities 292.5m) / Total Assets 1.92b |
| (B) -0.75 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.44b / Total Assets 1.92b |
| (C) -0.10 = EBIT TTM -178.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.87b |
| (D) -1.02 = Book Value of Equity -1.44b / Total Liabilities 1.40b |
| Total Rating: -2.60 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 42.91
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.57% |
| 3. FCF Margin -5.00% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.21 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.21 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -34.74)% |
| 7. RoE -31.86% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 93.89% |
| 9. EPS Trend 79.28% |
What is the price of LMND shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.17%, over one month by +8.09%, over three months by +54.49% and over the past year by +159.48%.
Is LMND a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the LMND price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 65.8 | -18.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 65.8 | -18.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 78.9 | -2.7% |
LMND Fundamental Data Overview January 10, 2026
P/B = 11.6917
Revenue TTM = 658.6m USD
EBIT TTM = -178.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = -160.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 139.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 92.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 107.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -355.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.79b USD (6.04b + Debt 107.2m - CCE 355.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -178.1m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = -175.9x (Enterprise Value 5.79b / FCF TTM -32.9m)
FCF Yield = -0.57% (FCF TTM -32.9m / Enterprise Value 5.79b)
FCF Margin = -5.00% (FCF TTM -32.9m / Revenue TTM 658.6m)
Net Margin = -26.39% (Net Income TTM -173.8m / Revenue TTM 658.6m)
Gross Margin = 42.73% ((Revenue TTM 658.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 377.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.54% (prev 39.73%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.02 (Enterprise Value 5.79b / Total Assets 1.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 107.2m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -140.7m (EBIT -178.1m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.57 (Total Current Assets 750.8m / Total Current Liabilities 292.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.21 (Debt 107.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 516.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.21 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -355.5m / EBITDA -160.8m)
Debt / FCF = 10.81 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -355.5m / FCF TTM -32.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 545.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -9.29% (Net Income -173.8m / Total Assets 1.92b)
RoE = -31.86% (Net Income TTM -173.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 545.5m)
RoCE = -26.02% (EBIT -178.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 545.5m + L.T.Debt 139.0m))
RoIC = -21.40% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -140.7m / Invested Capital 657.5m)
WACC = 13.34% (E(6.04b)/V(6.14b) * Re(13.58%) + D(107.2m)/V(6.14b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 13.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.95%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -32.9m)
EPS Correlation: 79.28 | EPS CAGR: 27.65% | SUE: 3.95 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 93.89 | Revenue CAGR: 51.46% | SUE: 3.10 | # QB: 5
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.55 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.62 | Chg30d=+0.032 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+31.2% | Growth Revenue=+59.0%
Additional Sources for LMND Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle