(LOAR) Loar Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Aerospace Components, Defense Systems, Avionics, Composites, Flight Controls
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 67.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.82% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.03 |
| Alpha | -28.04 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.00 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.501 |
| Beta | 1.121 |
| Beta Downside | 0.800 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.83% |
| Mean DD | 15.34% |
| Median DD | 15.90% |
Description: LOAR Loar Holdings November 05, 2025
Loar Holdings Inc. (NYSE:LOAR) designs, manufactures, and markets a broad portfolio of aerospace and defense components-including airframe structures, avionics, composites, braking systems, and ice-protection equipment-for commercial, business-jet, general-aviation, and defense customers in the United States and abroad. The company, incorporated in 2017 and based in White Plains, NY, operates through multiple subsidiaries that supply everything from auto-throttles and safety-belt systems to carbon-brake discs and LED-illuminated switches.
Key operational metrics (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly $210 million with a gross margin near 32 % and an order backlog of $300 million, indicating a multi-year runway of demand. The aerospace & defense sector is currently driven by three macro forces: (1) a 3-4 % CAGR in commercial aircraft deliveries as airlines replace aging fleets; (2) sustained U.S. defense spending growth of about 2.5 % YoY, which supports aftermarket and new-program procurement; and (3) ongoing supply-chain tightening for specialty composites and high-temperature alloys, which benefits vertically integrated manufacturers like Loar that can control critical material sourcing.
For a deeper dive into Loar’s valuation and risk profile, you might find ValueRay’s analytical tools useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (63.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 28.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.58pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 51.71% (prev 45.74%; Δ 5.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 102.6m > Net Income 63.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (189.7m) to EBITDA (149.5m) ratio: 1.27 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 5.92 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (95.9m) change vs 12m ago 4.29% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 50.34% (prev 48.83%; Δ 1.51pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 31.60% (prev 25.73%; Δ 5.87pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.02 (EBITDA TTM 149.5m / Interest Expense TTM 32.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.69
| (A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 295.5m - Total Current Liabilities 49.9m) / Total Assets 1.53b |
| (B) 0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 39.1m / Total Assets 1.53b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 98.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.50b |
| (D) 0.11 = Book Value of Equity 39.5m / Total Liabilities 373.9m |
| Total Rating: 1.69 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.85
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.39% |
| 3. FCF Margin 19.43% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.25 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.27 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.33)% |
| 7. RoE 5.65% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 98.96% |
| 9. EPS Trend 94.78% |
What is the price of LOAR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.31%, over one month by +5.05%, over three months by -12.67% and over the past year by -7.58%.
Is LOAR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LOAR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 93.3 | 35.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 93.3 | 35.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 68.4 | -0.5% |
LOAR Fundamental Data Overview December 17, 2025
P/E Trailing = 104.2727
P/E Forward = 66.6667
P/S = 13.5652
P/B = 5.5535
Beta = None
Revenue TTM = 475.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 98.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 149.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 279.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 960.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 288.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 189.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.63b USD (6.44b + Debt 288.6m - CCE 99.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.02 (Ebit TTM 98.9m / Interest Expense TTM 32.7m)
FCF Yield = 1.39% (FCF TTM 92.3m / Enterprise Value 6.63b)
FCF Margin = 19.43% (FCF TTM 92.3m / Revenue TTM 475.0m)
Net Margin = 13.33% (Net Income TTM 63.3m / Revenue TTM 475.0m)
Gross Margin = 50.34% ((Revenue TTM 475.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 235.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 52.68% (prev 47.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.32 (Enterprise Value 6.63b / Total Assets 1.53b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.08% (Interest Expense 6.01m / Debt 288.6m)
Taxrate = -19.98% (negative due to tax credits) (-4.60m / 23.0m)
NOPAT = 118.7m (EBIT 98.9m * (1 - -19.98%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 5.92 (Total Current Assets 295.5m / Total Current Liabilities 49.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.25 (Debt 288.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.27 (Net Debt 189.7m / EBITDA 149.5m)
Debt / FCF = 2.05 (Net Debt 189.7m / FCF TTM 92.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.12b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.13% (Net Income 63.3m / Total Assets 1.53b)
RoE = 5.65% (Net Income TTM 63.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.12b)
RoCE = 7.06% (EBIT 98.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.12b + L.T.Debt 279.4m))
RoIC = 8.48% (NOPAT 118.7m / Invested Capital 1.40b)
WACC = 9.81% (E(6.44b)/V(6.73b) * Re(10.14%) + D(288.6m)/V(6.73b) * Rd(2.08%) * (1-Tc(-0.20)))
Discount Rate = 10.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.93% ; FCFE base≈69.7m ; Y1≈86.0m ; Y5≈146.8m
Fair Price DCF = 18.62 (DCF Value 1.74b / Shares Outstanding 93.6m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 94.78 | EPS CAGR: 580.8% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 98.96 | Revenue CAGR: 28.00% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=+0.014 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.04 | Chg30d=+0.036 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+5.5% | Growth Revenue=+13.2%
Additional Sources for LOAR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle