(LPX) Louisiana-Pacific - Overview
Stock: Siding, OSB Panels, Trim, Soffit, Fascia
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.23% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.84% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 13.29% |
| Payout Consistency | 66.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 46.1% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.6% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.36 |
| Alpha | -32.00 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.959 |
| Beta Downside | 0.768 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.21% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.42 |
Description: LPX Louisiana-Pacific January 08, 2026
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) supplies engineered wood building products across three segments: Siding (engineered wood siding, trim, soffit, and fascia such as LP SmartSide and BuilderSeries), Oriented Strand Board (OSB) (structural panels and value-added OSB solutions like TechShield radiant barriers and NovaCore insulated sheathing), and LP South America (LPSA), which produces OSB and siding for the South American market and supports the region’s shift to wood-frame construction. The company sells primarily to retailers, wholesalers, home-builders and industrial customers in North America, South America, Asia, Australia and Europe.
Key operating metrics (FY 2023) show total revenue of roughly $2.0 billion, with the OSB segment contributing about 55 % of sales, Siding about 30 %, and LPSA roughly 15 %. LPX’s adjusted EBITDA margin hovered near 8 %, while its net income benefited from a 4 % price increase on OSB products amid lingering lumber supply constraints. The segment’s performance is highly sensitive to housing-starts trends-U.S. new-home starts fell 5 % YoY in Q4 2023, pressuring demand for OSB, while residential remodeling activity remains a tailwind for the Siding line.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s platform, which aggregates real-time fundamentals and analyst sentiment for LPX.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 216.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -13.00 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 20.13% < 20% (prev 19.91%; Δ 0.22% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 421.0m > Net Income 216.0m |
| Net Debt (62.0m) to EBITDA (441.0m): 0.14 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.93 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (70.0m) vs 12m ago -1.41% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.60% > 18% (prev 0.28%; Δ 2332 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 108.0% > 50% (prev 113.3%; Δ -5.26% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 25.33 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 441.0m / Interest Expense TTM 12.0m) |
Altman Z'' 6.09
| A: 0.21 (Total Current Assets 862.0m - Total Current Liabilities 294.0m) / Total Assets 2.65b |
| B: 0.62 (Retained Earnings 1.65b / Total Assets 2.65b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 304.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.61b) |
| D: 1.79 (Book Value of Equity 1.62b / Total Liabilities 910.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 6.09 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.00
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 130.0m/137.0m, Revenue 2.82b/2.92b) |
| GMI: 1.20 (GM 23.60% / 28.38%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 2.82b / 2.92b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 216.0m - CFO 421.0m) / TA 2.65b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of LPX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +15.80%, over one month by +13.93%, over three months by +26.04% and over the past year by -16.61%.
Is LPX a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 3
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LPX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 103 | 6.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 103 | 6.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 106.1 | 9.4% |
LPX Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 25.7069
P/S = 2.2014
P/B = 3.569
P/EG = 3.0917
Revenue TTM = 2.82b USD
EBIT TTM = 304.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 441.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 348.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 378.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 62.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.27b USD (6.21b + Debt 378.0m - CCE 316.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 25.33 (Ebit TTM 304.0m / Interest Expense TTM 12.0m)
EV/FCF = 43.86x (Enterprise Value 6.27b / FCF TTM 143.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.28% (FCF TTM 143.0m / Enterprise Value 6.27b)
FCF Margin = 5.07% (FCF TTM 143.0m / Revenue TTM 2.82b)
Net Margin = 7.65% (Net Income TTM 216.0m / Revenue TTM 2.82b)
Gross Margin = 23.60% ((Revenue TTM 2.82b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.46% (prev 23.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.37 (Enterprise Value 6.27b / Total Assets 2.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.06% (Interest Expense 4.00m / Debt 378.0m)
Taxrate = 50.0% (9.00m / 18.0m)
NOPAT = 152.0m (EBIT 304.0m * (1 - 50.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.93 (Total Current Assets 862.0m / Total Current Liabilities 294.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 378.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.74b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.14 (Net Debt 62.0m / EBITDA 441.0m)
Debt / FCF = 0.43 (Net Debt 62.0m / FCF TTM 143.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.27% (Net Income 216.0m / Total Assets 2.65b)
RoE = 12.62% (Net Income TTM 216.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.71b)
RoCE = 14.76% (EBIT 304.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.71b + L.T.Debt 348.0m))
RoIC = 7.38% (NOPAT 152.0m / Invested Capital 2.06b)
WACC = 8.94% (E(6.21b)/V(6.59b) * Re(9.45%) + D(378.0m)/V(6.59b) * Rd(1.06%) * (1-Tc(0.50)))
Discount Rate = 9.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -1.40%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.08% ; FCFF base≈275.4m ; Y1≈180.8m ; Y5≈82.5m
Fair Price DCF = 19.02 (EV 1.39b - Net Debt 62.0m = Equity 1.32b / Shares 69.6m; r=8.94% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -58.23 | EPS CAGR: -64.01% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -49.96 | Revenue CAGR: -5.97% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.54 | Chg30d=-0.146 | Revisions Net=-5 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.53 | Chg30d=-0.306 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+35.6% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%