LPX Stock Analysis: Louisiana-Pacific | NYSE
Building Products & Equipment | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.610m USD | 12M Return: -21.1% | US5463471053 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 74.3M
EPS Trend: -56.5%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: -20.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (NYSE: LPX) is a U.S.-based building products manufacturer operating through two core segments: Siding and Oriented Strand Board (OSB). The company supplies engineered wood products for new home construction, repair and remodeling, and outdoor structure markets across the United States, Canada, and South America.
The Siding segment offers branded engineered wood products such as LP SmartSide, LP BuilderSeries Lap Siding, and LP ExpertFinish pre-finished trim and siding, while the OSB segment produces structural panels under the LP Structural Solutions portfolio, which includes fire-rated, moisture-resistant, and radiant-barrier sheathing products. Additional operations include timber and timberlands and minor product lines.
LPX sells primarily to retailers, wholesalers, home builders, and industrial customers in North and South America. The Forest Products sub-industry (within the broader Materials sector) is characterized by exposure to residential construction cycles and lumber/OSB commodity pricing, with engineered wood products typically commanding higher margins than commodity panels.
- Housing starts decline pressures OSB pricing and volumes
- SmartSide siding gains share against vinyl and fiber cement
- OSB margins compress on weak framing lumber prices
| Net Income: 54.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -11.12 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 21.60% < 20% (prev 20.13%; Δ 1.46% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 260.0m > Net Income 54.0m |
| Net Debt (178.0m) to EBITDA (228.0m): 0.78 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.22 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (70.0m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.03% > 18% (prev 25.30%; Δ -7.27% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 93.79% > 50% (prev 108.5%; Δ -14.68% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.53 > 6 (EBIT TTM 77.0m / Interest Expense TTM 17.0m) |
| A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 773.0m - Total Current Liabilities 240.0m) / Total Assets 2.61b |
| B: 0.63 (Retained Earnings 1.63b / Total Assets 2.61b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 77.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.63b) |
| D: 2.02 (Book Value of Equity 1.74b / Total Liabilities 863.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.70 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.22 (Receivables 176.0m/168.0m, Revenue 2.47b/2.88b) |
| GMI: 1.40 (GM 25.30% / 18.03%) |
| AQI: 0.85 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 0.86 (Revenue 2.47b / 2.88b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 54.0m - CFO 260.0m) / TA 2.61b) |
| Beneish M = -2.67 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 70.05 with a total of 1,343,978 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.64%, over one month by +6.43%, over three months by -4.93% and over the past year by -21.06%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 67.10 (which is 4.2% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Louisiana-Pacific has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.43. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LPX.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 90.8 | 29.6% |
P/E Trailing = 85.6234
P/E Forward = 19.084
P/S = 1.8672
P/B = 2.639
P/EG = 3.0917
Revenue TTM = 2.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 77.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 228.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 348.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 406.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 29.0m
Net Debt = 178.0m USD (calculated: Debt 406.0m - CCE 228.0m)
Enterprise Value = 4.79b USD (4.61b + Debt 406.0m - CCE 228.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.53 (Ebit TTM 77.0m / Interest Expense TTM 17.0m)
EV/FCF = -252.0x (Enterprise Value 4.79b / FCF TTM -19.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.40% (FCF TTM -19.0m / Enterprise Value 4.79b)
FCF Margin = -0.77% (FCF TTM -19.0m / Revenue TTM 2.47b)
Net Margin = 2.19% (Net Income TTM 54.0m / Revenue TTM 2.47b)
Gross Margin = 18.03% ((Revenue TTM 2.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.47% (prev 20.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.84 (Enterprise Value 4.79b / Total Assets 2.61b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.19% (Interest Expense 17.0m / Debt 406.0m)
Taxrate = 28.95% (22.0m / 76.0m)
NOPAT = 54.7m (EBIT 77.0m * (1 - 28.95%))
Current Ratio = 3.22 (Total Current Assets 773.0m / Total Current Liabilities 240.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.23 (Debt 406.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.74b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.78 (Net Debt 178.0m / EBITDA 228.0m)
Debt / FCF = -9.37 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 178.0m / FCF TTM -19.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.05% (Net Income 54.0m / Total Assets 2.61b)
RoE = 3.11% (Net Income TTM 54.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.74b)
RoCE = 3.69% (EBIT 77.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.74b + L.T.Debt 348.0m))
RoIC = 2.43% (NOPAT 54.7m / Invested Capital 2.25b)
WACC = 8.67% (E(4.61b)/V(5.02b) * Re(9.17%) + D(406.0m)/V(5.02b) * Rd(4.19%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 9.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -79.89 | Cagr: -1.24%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -19.0m)
EPS Correlation: -56.53 | EPS CAGR: -27.41% | SUE: -1.43 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -20.62 | Revenue CAGR: -1.41% | SUE: -0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=-5.59% | Revisions=-81% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.04 | Chg30d=-3.05% | Revisions=-81% | GrowthEPS=-60.6% | GrowthRev=-7.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.92 | Chg30d=-3.89% | Revisions=-81% | GrowthEPS=+179.8% | GrowthRev=+11.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -93% (up=0, down=39)