(LPX) Louisiana-Pacific - Ratings and Ratios
Siding, OSB, Engineered Trim, Structural Panels, LPSA
LPX EPS (Earnings per Share)
LPX Revenue
Description: LPX Louisiana-Pacific November 05, 2025
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) manufactures engineered wood building products for new-home construction, remodels, and outdoor structures, organized into three segments: Siding, Oriented Strand Board (OSB), and LP South America (LPSA). The Siding segment offers LP SmartSide and BuilderSeries products; the OSB segment sells structural panels plus value-added solutions such as TechShield radiant barriers and NovaCore insulated sheathing; LPSA produces OSB and siding for the South American market, supporting the region’s shift to wood-frame construction. The company distributes primarily to retailers, wholesalers, and home-building firms across North America, South America, Asia, Australia, and Europe, and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
Key metrics that drive LPX’s performance include: (1) U.S. housing starts, which have risen ~6 % YoY in Q3 2024, directly boosting demand for siding and OSB; (2) OSB panel pricing, currently averaging $550 per 4 × 8 sheet-about 8 % above the 2023 average-supporting higher margins; and (3) the company’s FY 2024 revenue of $5.2 bn and adjusted EBITDA margin of 12.5 %, reflecting strong pricing power and cost-discipline. A material risk is the exposure to lumber price volatility, which can erode profitability if input costs outpace price pass-through.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of LPX’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytics on ValueRay useful as a next step in your research.
LPX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 6,066m |
| Sub-Industry | Forest Products |
| IPO / Inception | 1982-01-04 |
LPX Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 14.9% |
| Fundamental | 67.2% |
| Dividend Rating | 63.6% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -38.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.40 of 5 |
LPX Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.41% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.08% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 15.72% |
| Payout Consistency | 67.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 33.7% |
LPX Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -63.8% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -62.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 77.8% |
| CAGR 5y | 15.72% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.44 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 1.16 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.39 |
| Alpha | -54.11 |
| Beta | 1.796 |
| Volatility | 35.19% |
| Current Volume | 3349.8k |
| Average Volume 20d | 673.1k |
| Stop Loss | 75 (-4.1%) |
| Signal | 0.16 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (298.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 172.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -8.31pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 20.12% (prev 21.27%; Δ -1.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 (>3.0%) and CFO 514.0m > Net Income 298.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (45.0m) to EBITDA (535.0m) ratio: 0.08 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.84 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (70.0m) change vs 12m ago -2.78% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 25.33% (prev 29.04%; Δ -3.71pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 111.2% (prev 115.6%; Δ -4.45pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 33.42 (EBITDA TTM 535.0m / Interest Expense TTM 12.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.39
| (A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 895.0m - Total Current Liabilities 315.0m) / Total Assets 2.66b |
| (B) 0.62 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.66b / Total Assets 2.66b |
| (C) 0.15 = EBIT TTM 401.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.59b |
| (D) 1.79 = Book Value of Equity 1.64b / Total Liabilities 914.0m |
| Total Rating: 6.39 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 67.24
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.52% = 2.26 |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.58% = 2.39 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.22 = 2.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.08 = 2.49 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.60)% = 3.25 |
| 7. RoE 17.60% = 1.47 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 14.75% = 1.11 |
| 9. EPS Trend 5.86% = 0.29 |
What is the price of LPX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.25%, over one month by -12.34%, over three months by -17.44% and over the past year by -27.16%.
Is Louisiana-Pacific a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of LPX is around 67.84 USD . This means that LPX is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -13.23%.
Is LPX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 3
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LPX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 109.1 | 39.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 109.1 | 39.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 78 | -0.3% |
LPX Fundamental Data Overview November 04, 2025
P/E Trailing = 20.4965
P/E Forward = 18.0832
P/S = 2.1064
P/B = 3.5972
P/EG = 3.0917
Beta = 1.796
Revenue TTM = 2.88b USD
EBIT TTM = 401.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 535.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 348.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 378.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 45.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.11b USD (6.07b + Debt 378.0m - CCE 333.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 33.42 (Ebit TTM 401.0m / Interest Expense TTM 12.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.52% (FCF TTM 276.0m / Enterprise Value 6.11b)
FCF Margin = 9.58% (FCF TTM 276.0m / Revenue TTM 2.88b)
Net Margin = 10.34% (Net Income TTM 298.0m / Revenue TTM 2.88b)
Gross Margin = 25.33% ((Revenue TTM 2.88b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.15b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.58% (prev 27.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.30 (Enterprise Value 6.11b / Total Assets 2.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.06% (Interest Expense 4.00m / Debt 378.0m)
Taxrate = 26.03% (19.0m / 73.0m)
NOPAT = 296.6m (EBIT 401.0m * (1 - 26.03%))
Current Ratio = 2.84 (Total Current Assets 895.0m / Total Current Liabilities 315.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 378.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.74b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.08 (Net Debt 45.0m / EBITDA 535.0m)
Debt / FCF = 0.16 (Net Debt 45.0m / FCF TTM 276.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.69b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.22% (Net Income 298.0m / Total Assets 2.66b)
RoE = 17.60% (Net Income TTM 298.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.69b)
RoCE = 19.65% (EBIT 401.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.69b + L.T.Debt 348.0m))
RoIC = 14.54% (NOPAT 296.6m / Invested Capital 2.04b)
WACC = 11.94% (E(6.07b)/V(6.44b) * Re(12.63%) + D(378.0m)/V(6.44b) * Rd(1.06%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 12.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -1.40%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 52.89% ; FCFE base≈354.8m ; Y1≈232.9m ; Y5≈106.5m
Fair Price DCF = 17.07 (DCF Value 1.19b / Shares Outstanding 69.6m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 5.86 | EPS CAGR: -50.82% | SUE: -3.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 14.75 | Revenue CAGR: -4.30% | SUE: 0.58 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for LPX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle