LPX Stock Analysis: Louisiana-Pacific | NYSE
Building Products & Equipment | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.037m USD | 12M Return: -15.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 85.1M
EPS Trend: -24.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 9.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (NYSE: LPX) is a building products manufacturer serving the new home construction, repair and remodeling, and outdoor structure markets across the United States, Canada, and South America. The company operates through two primary segments: Siding and Oriented Strand Board (OSB).
The Siding segment offers engineered wood siding, trim, soffit, and fascia products under brands such as LP SmartSide, LP BuilderSeries Lap Siding, and the pre-finished LP SmartSide ExpertFinish line. The OSB segment manufactures and distributes structural panel products, including the LP Structural Solutions portfolio (e.g., LP FlameBlock, LP WeatherLogic, LP TechShield, LP Legacy, and LP TopNotch 350). Additional operations include timber and timberlands and other minor products and services.
As a forest products company in the Materials sector, LPX converts wood resources into value-added engineered building components, selling primarily to retailers, wholesalers, home builders, and industrial businesses. Demand for its products is closely tied to residential construction activity and the broader housing cycle in North America. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
- Housing starts decline pressures OSB pricing and volumes
- SmartSide engineered siding gains share against vinyl alternatives
- OSB commodity price swings drive segment margin volatility
| Net Income: 82.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -14.16 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 20.63% < 20% (prev 19.15%; Δ 1.48% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 282.0m > Net Income 82.0m |
| Net Debt (244.0m) to EBITDA (270.0m): 0.90 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.27 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (70.0m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.81% > 18% (prev 27.69%; Δ -7.87% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 99.36% > 50% (prev 114.4%; Δ -15.04% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.29 > 6 (EBIT TTM 124.0m / Interest Expense TTM 17.0m) |
| A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 761.0m - Total Current Liabilities 233.0m) / Total Assets 2.58b |
| B: 0.63 (Retained Earnings 1.63b / Total Assets 2.58b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 124.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.58b) |
| D: 2.04 (Book Value of Equity 1.73b / Total Liabilities 850.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.86 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.13 (Receivables 155.0m/158.0m, Revenue 2.56b/2.94b) |
| GMI: 1.40 (GM 27.69% / 19.81%) |
| AQI: 0.82 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 0.87 (Revenue 2.56b / 2.94b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 82.0m - CFO 282.0m) / TA 2.58b) |
| Beneish M = -2.77 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 75.41 with a total of 1,705,045 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.84%, over one month by -2.36%, over three months by +0.67% and over the past year by -15.90%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 67.70 (which is 10.2% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).
Louisiana-Pacific has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.40. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LPX.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 3
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 91.6 | 21.5% |
P/E Trailing = 64.3661
P/E Forward = 45.8716
P/S = 1.9689
P/B = 3.1342
P/EG = 3.6771
Revenue TTM = 2.56b USD
EBIT TTM = 124.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 270.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 348.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 408.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 30.0m
Net Debt = 244.0m USD (calculated: Debt 408.0m - CCE 164.0m)
Enterprise Value = 5.28b USD (5.04b + Debt 408.0m - CCE 164.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.29 (Ebit TTM 124.0m / Interest Expense TTM 17.0m)
EV/FCF = -880.1x (Enterprise Value 5.28b / FCF TTM -6.00m)
FCF Yield = -0.11% (FCF TTM -6.00m / Enterprise Value 5.28b)
FCF Margin = -0.23% (FCF TTM -6.00m / Revenue TTM 2.56b)
Net Margin = 3.20% (Net Income TTM 82.0m / Revenue TTM 2.56b)
Gross Margin = 19.81% ((Revenue TTM 2.56b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.03% (prev 14.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.05 (Enterprise Value 5.28b / Total Assets 2.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.17% (Interest Expense 17.0m / Debt 408.0m)
Taxrate = 28.70% (33.0m / 115.0m)
NOPAT = 88.4m (EBIT 124.0m * (1 - 28.70%))
Current Ratio = 3.27 (Total Current Assets 761.0m / Total Current Liabilities 233.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.24 (Debt 408.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.90 (Net Debt 244.0m / EBITDA 270.0m)
Debt / FCF = -40.67 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 244.0m / FCF TTM -6.00m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.18% (Net Income 82.0m / Total Assets 2.58b)
RoE = 4.72% (Net Income TTM 82.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.74b)
RoCE = 5.95% (EBIT 124.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.74b + L.T.Debt 348.0m))
RoIC = 3.97% (NOPAT 88.4m / Invested Capital 2.23b)
WACC = 8.91% (E(5.04b)/V(5.44b) * Re(9.39%) + D(408.0m)/V(5.44b) * Rd(4.17%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 9.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -87.04 | Cagr: -1.24%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -6.00m)
EPS Correlation: -24.21 | EPS CAGR: -9.56% | SUE: 1.59 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 9.94 | Revenue CAGR: 0.57% | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.64 | Chg30d=-0.99% | Revisions=-62% | Analysts=13
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=-3.52% | Revisions=-77% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.90 | Chg30d=-2.54% | Revisions=-79% | GrowthEPS=-28.1% | GrowthRev=-5.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.76 | Chg30d=-0.77% | Revisions=-79% | GrowthEPS=+97.5% | GrowthRev=+12.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -89% (up=1, down=41)