LRN Stock Analysis: Stride | NYSE

Online Curriculum, Learning Software, Career Training, Private Schools

Total Rating 47

Safety 86

Buy Signal -0.96

Education & Training Services
Industry Rotation: -14.9

Market Cap: 3.33B
Avg Turnover: 87.8M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility42.2%

VaR 5^th Pctl5.51%

VaR vs Median-13.5%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.51

Rel. Str. IBD9.8

Rel. Str. Peer Group26.9

Character TTM

Beta-0.864

Beta Downside-0.404

Hurst Exponent0.509

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD64.07%

CAGR/Max DD0.43

CAGR/Mean DD1.60

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 40.94%
EPS Trend: 98.4%

Last SUE: 0.92
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 12.80%
Rev. Trend: 98.3%

Last SUE: 0.56
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Choppy

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +10.0% 43

Feb -2.9% 34

Mar +0.5% 17

Apr +6.4% 39

May -1.3% 42

Jun -1.4% 11

Jul -0.5% 5

Aug +0.6% 15

Sep +2.5% 2

Oct -9.7% 12

Nov +1.6% 14

Dec -1.9% 27

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LRN Stride

Stride, Inc. (NYSE: LRN) is a U.S.-based provider of online curriculum, software platforms, and educational services serving K-12 and adult learners across public schools, school districts, charter boards, private schools, consumers, employers, and government agencies. The company offers an integrated package of products and professional support for virtual and blended public schools, learning software for traditional schools and districts, individual online courses in core subjects, and tuition-based private schools. It also operates career learning programs through its Galvanize, Tech Elevator, and MedCerts brands, delivering skills training in software engineering, healthcare, and medical fields to adult learners, along with staffing and talent development services for employers.

Formerly known as K12 Inc., the company rebranded as Stride, Inc. in December 2020 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia. Stride operates within the Education Services sub-industry of the Consumer Discretionary sector, an area that has expanded with the broader adoption of digital and remote learning models and growing employer demand for workforce-focused, skills-based training.

Headlines to Watch Out For

K-12 online enrollment growth drives core segment revenue
Career learning expansion through MedCerts and Tech Elevator acquisitions
State regulation and funding cuts threaten online charter enrollment

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5

Net Income: 338.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.68 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 56.68% < 20% (prev 55.29%; Δ 1.39% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 433.8m > Net Income 338.2m
Net Debt (-284.0m) to EBITDA (579.5m): -0.49 < 3
Current Ratio: 5.94 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (47.3m) vs 12m ago -4.89% < -2%
Gross Margin: 37.75% > 18% (prev 39.24%; Δ -1.49% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 106.5% > 50% (prev 104.9%; Δ 1.63% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 38.46 > 6 (EBIT TTM 452.9m / Interest Expense TTM 11.8m)

Altman Z'' 8.85

A: 0.59 (Total Current Assets 1.72b - Total Current Liabilities 288.9m) / Total Assets 2.44b
B: 0.49 (Retained Earnings 1.18b / Total Assets 2.44b)
C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 452.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.36b)
D: 2.03 (Book Value of Equity 1.63b / Total Liabilities 803.2m)
Altman-Z'' = 8.85 = AAA

Beneish M -2.83

DSRI: 1.13 (Receivables 664.8m/559.6m, Revenue 2.52b/2.41b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 39.24% / 37.75%)
AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.25 / AQ_t-1 0.25)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 2.52b / 2.41b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 338.2m - CFO 433.8m) / TA 2.44b)
Beneish M = -2.83 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of LRN shares?

As of August 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 79.09 with a total of 1,184,874 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.69%, over one month by -14.05%, over three months by -9.45% and over the past year by -47.42%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 74.40 (which is 5.9% or 1.1 ATR below the current price).

Is LRN a buy, sell or hold?

Stride has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.17. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LRN.

StrongBuy: 2
Buy: 3
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LRN price?

Analysts Target Price	109	37.8%

Stride (LRN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 August 2026

Market Cap USD = 3.33b (3.33b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 11.5605
P/E Forward = 9.6432
P/S = 1.3242
P/B = 2.1007
P/EG = 0.482
Revenue TTM = 2.52b USD
EBIT TTM = 452.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 579.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 418.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 63.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 674.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 128.0m
Net Debt = -284.0m USD (calculated: Debt 674.0m - CCE 958.0m)
Enterprise Value = 3.05b USD (3.33b + Debt 674.0m - CCE 958.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 38.46 (Ebit TTM 452.9m / Interest Expense TTM 11.8m)
EV/FCF = 8.59x (Enterprise Value 3.05b / FCF TTM 355.0m)
FCF Yield = 11.64% (FCF TTM 355.0m / Enterprise Value 3.05b)
FCF Margin = 14.10% (FCF TTM 355.0m / Revenue TTM 2.52b)
Net Margin = 13.43% (Net Income TTM 338.2m / Revenue TTM 2.52b)
Gross Margin = 37.75% ((Revenue TTM 2.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.57b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.16% (prev 36.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.25 (Enterprise Value 3.05b / Total Assets 2.44b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.75% (Interest Expense 11.8m / Debt 674.0m)
Taxrate = 23.34% (103.0m / 441.2m)
NOPAT = 347.2m (EBIT 452.9m * (1 - 23.34%))
Current Ratio = 5.94 (Total Current Assets 1.72b / Total Current Liabilities 288.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 674.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.63b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.49 (Net Debt -284.0m / EBITDA 579.5m)
Debt / FCF = -0.80 (Net Debt -284.0m / FCF TTM 355.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.30% (Net Income 338.2m / Total Assets 2.44b)
RoE = 21.31% (Net Income TTM 338.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.59b)
RoCE = 22.59% (EBIT 452.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.59b + L.T.Debt 418.0m))
RoIC = 16.66% (NOPAT 347.2m / Invested Capital 2.08b)
WACC = 2.67% (E(3.33b)/V(4.01b) * Re(2.94%) + D(674.0m)/V(4.01b) * Rd(1.75%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 2.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 3.72%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 62.45 | Cagr: 3.66%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.77% ; FCFF base≈362.1m ; Y1≈349.0m ; Y5≈340.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 135.5 (EV 5.35b - Net Debt -284.0m = Equity 5.63b / Shares 41.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -4.78% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.39 | EPS CAGR: 40.94% | SUE: 0.92 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 98.30 | Revenue CAGR: 12.80% | SUE: 0.56 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.30 | Chg30d=-13.55% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=2.67 | Chg30d=+8.10% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2027-06-30): EPS=8.73 | Chg30d=-0.34% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+4.8% | GrowthRev=+2.0%
EPS next Year (2028-06-30): EPS=9.28 | Chg30d=-1.63% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+6.3% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -12% (up=2, down=3)