LRN Stock Analysis: Stride | NYSE

Online Learning, Curriculum Content, Teacher Training, Enrollment Support

Total Rating 50

Safety 93

Buy Signal -0.66

Education & Training Services
Industry Rotation: +8.3

Market Cap: 3.28B
Avg Turnover: 52.5M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility41.7%

VaR 5^th Pctl5.53%

VaR vs Median-12.8%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.41

Rel. Str. IBD17.5

Rel. Str. Peer Group30

Character TTM

Beta-0.864

Beta Downside-0.425

Hurst Exponent0.430

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD64.07%

CAGR/Max DD0.32

CAGR/Mean DD1.02

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 40.94%
EPS Trend: 98.4%

Last SUE: 0.92
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 12.80%
Rev. Trend: 98.3%

Last SUE: 0.56
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +10.0% 43

Feb -2.9% 34

Mar +0.5% 17

Apr +6.4% 39

May -1.3% 42

Jun -1.4% 11

Jul -0.5% 5

Aug +0.6% 19

Sep +2.5% 2

Oct -9.7% 12

Nov +1.6% 14

Dec -1.9% 27

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LRN Stride

Stride, Inc. (NYSE: LRN) is a U.S.-based technology company that provides an online educational platform, delivering proprietary and third-party curriculum, software, and educational services. Headquartered in Reston, Virginia, and founded in 1999 (formerly known as K12 Inc. until its December 2020 rebranding), Stride serves virtual schools, traditional public and private school districts, charter boards, employers, government agencies, and individual consumers.

The company operates an end-to-end platform that integrates single sign-on, content management, learning management, student information systems, and data reporting/analytics tools. Course offerings span fields such as software engineering, healthcare, and medical disciplines, including state-customized curriculum versions, electives, and instructional supports. The company also licenses stand-alone curriculum and content that can be hosted on customers own learning management systems or integrated with existing student information platforms.

Beyond curriculum, Stride provides instructional services-including recruiting state-certified teachers, training in online instruction methods, oversight/evaluation, and ongoing professional development-along with support services such as marketing, student enrollment assistance, assessment management, administrative support, and technology/materials support. Listed in the GICS Education Services sub-industry within Consumer Discretionary, the company sits in the online K-12 and career learning segment, a niche that has grown as virtual and hybrid learning models gain broader acceptance among school districts and state education programs.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Career Learning segment enrollment drives double-digit revenue growth
State regulation on virtual K-12 funding threatens enrollment contracts
Operating margins expand on instructional services efficiency gains

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5

Net Income: 338.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.68 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 56.68% < 20% (prev 55.29%; Δ 1.39% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 433.8m > Net Income 338.2m
Net Debt (-284.0m) to EBITDA (579.5m): -0.49 < 3
Current Ratio: 5.94 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (47.3m) vs 12m ago -4.89% < -2%
Gross Margin: 37.75% > 18% (prev 39.24%; Δ -1.49% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 106.5% > 50% (prev 104.9%; Δ 1.63% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 38.46 > 6 (EBIT TTM 452.9m / Interest Expense TTM 11.8m)

Altman Z'' 8.85

A: 0.59 (Total Current Assets 1.72b - Total Current Liabilities 288.9m) / Total Assets 2.44b
B: 0.49 (Retained Earnings 1.18b / Total Assets 2.44b)
C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 452.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.36b)
D: 2.03 (Book Value of Equity 1.63b / Total Liabilities 803.2m)
Altman-Z'' = 8.85 = AAA

Beneish M -2.83

DSRI: 1.13 (Receivables 664.8m/559.6m, Revenue 2.52b/2.41b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 39.24% / 37.75%)
AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.25 / AQ_t-1 0.25)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 2.52b / 2.41b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 338.2m - CFO 433.8m) / TA 2.44b)
Beneish M = -2.83 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of LRN shares?

As of October 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 79.62 with a total of 496,373 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.10%, over one month by -3.08%, over three months by -12.57% and over the past year by -43.13%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 77.10 (which is 3.2% or 1.1 ATR below the current price).

Is LRN a buy, sell or hold?

Stride has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LRN.

StrongBuy: 0
Buy: 1
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LRN price?

Analysts Target Price	109	36.9%

Stride (LRN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 3.28b (3.28b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 11.1113
P/E Forward = 8.5616
P/S = 1.302
P/B = 1.9994
P/EG = 0.4282
Revenue TTM = 2.52b USD
EBIT TTM = 452.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 579.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 418.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 63.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 674.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 128.0m
Net Debt = -284.0m USD (calculated: Debt 674.0m - CCE 958.0m)
Enterprise Value = 2.99b USD (3.28b + Debt 674.0m - CCE 958.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 38.46 (Ebit TTM 452.9m / Interest Expense TTM 11.8m)
EV/FCF = 8.44x (Enterprise Value 2.99b / FCF TTM 355.0m)
FCF Yield = 11.85% (FCF TTM 355.0m / Enterprise Value 2.99b)
FCF Margin = 14.10% (FCF TTM 355.0m / Revenue TTM 2.52b)
Net Margin = 13.43% (Net Income TTM 338.2m / Revenue TTM 2.52b)
Gross Margin = 37.75% ((Revenue TTM 2.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.57b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.16% (prev 36.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.23 (Enterprise Value 2.99b / Total Assets 2.44b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.75% (Interest Expense 11.8m / Debt 674.0m)
Taxrate = 23.34% (103.0m / 441.2m)
NOPAT = 347.2m (EBIT 452.9m * (1 - 23.34%))
Current Ratio = 5.94 (Total Current Assets 1.72b / Total Current Liabilities 288.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 674.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.63b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.49 (Net Debt -284.0m / EBITDA 579.5m)
Debt / FCF = -0.80 (Net Debt -284.0m / FCF TTM 355.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.30% (Net Income 338.2m / Total Assets 2.44b)
RoE = 21.31% (Net Income TTM 338.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.59b)
RoCE = 22.59% (EBIT 452.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.59b + L.T.Debt 418.0m))
RoIC = 16.66% (NOPAT 347.2m / Invested Capital 2.08b)
WACC = 2.67% (E(3.28b)/V(3.95b) * Re(2.94%) + D(674.0m)/V(3.95b) * Rd(1.75%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 2.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 3.72%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 62.45 | Cagr: 3.66%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.77% ; FCFF base≈362.1m ; Y1≈349.0m ; Y5≈340.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 135.5 (EV 5.35b - Net Debt -284.0m = Equity 5.63b / Shares 41.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -4.78% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.39 | EPS CAGR: 40.94% | SUE: 0.92 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 98.30 | Revenue CAGR: 12.80% | SUE: 0.56 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.30 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=2.67 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2027-06-30): EPS=8.73 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+4.8% | GrowthRev=+2.0%
EPS next Year (2028-06-30): EPS=9.28 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+6.3% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -12% (up=2, down=3)