(LSPD) Lightspeed Commerce - Ratings and Ratios
Cloud Platform, Point-Of-Sale, Payments, Hardware, Analytics
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 71.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.33% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.40 |
| Alpha | -45.99 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.08 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.339 |
| Beta | 1.282 |
| Beta Downside | 1.207 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 62.75% |
| Mean DD | 29.72% |
| Median DD | 31.34% |
Description: LSPD Lightspeed Commerce November 11, 2025
Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (NYSE:LSPD) provides a cloud-based commerce platform that integrates point-of-sale, inventory, employee, and payment capabilities for retailers, restaurants, golf courses, and other multi-location businesses. The solution enables omnichannel experiences-online ordering, curbside pickup, and in-store sales-while also offering ancillary services such as Lightspeed Payments, Lightspeed Capital financing, and hardware installation.
Key operating metrics (FY 2023) show total revenue of roughly $1.2 billion, up about 30 % year-over-year, driven primarily by subscription growth in the retail and hospitality segments. The company’s SaaS gross margin hovers near 70 %, reflecting the high-margin nature of its software stack, while churn remains low at ~5 % annually, indicating strong customer stickiness. Macro-level, the POS SaaS market is expanding at a 12 % CAGR, supported by accelerating digital transformation and consumer demand for seamless omnichannel shopping.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of Lightspeed’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis to help you evaluate the trade-off between growth prospects and execution risk.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-685.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 69.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.94pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 45.21% (prev 72.61%; Δ -27.39pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 30.7m > Net Income -685.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 4.54 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (137.7m) change vs 12m ago -10.30% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 39.22% (prev 41.82%; Δ -2.59pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 55.54% (prev 40.43%; Δ 15.11pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -498.7 (EBITDA TTM -553.3m / Interest Expense TTM 1.36m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.30
| (A) 0.31 = (Total Current Assets 674.2m - Total Current Liabilities 148.6m) / Total Assets 1.68b |
| (B) -1.54 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.58b / Total Assets 1.68b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.54 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.32 = EBIT TTM -676.7m / Avg Total Assets 2.09b |
| (D) 8.03 = Book Value of Equity 1.30b / Total Liabilities 162.5m |
| Total Rating: 3.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.28
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.31% |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.31% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.81 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -50.66)% |
| 7. RoE -38.99% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.08% |
| 9. EPS Trend 35.04% |
What is the price of LSPD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.66%, over one month by +10.08%, over three months by +3.91% and over the past year by -24.13%.
Is LSPD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LSPD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 14.4 | 17.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 14.4 | 17.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11.7 | -4.3% |
LSPD Fundamental Data Overview December 19, 2025
P/E Forward = 17.4216
P/S = 1.3816
P/B = 1.0527
Beta = 2.193
Revenue TTM = 1.16b USD
EBIT TTM = -676.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -553.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 17.5m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.65m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -446.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.15b USD (1.60b + Debt 17.5m - CCE 463.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -498.7 (Ebit TTM -676.7m / Interest Expense TTM 1.36m)
FCF Yield = 0.31% (FCF TTM 3.58m / Enterprise Value 1.15b)
FCF Margin = 0.31% (FCF TTM 3.58m / Revenue TTM 1.16b)
Net Margin = -58.98% (Net Income TTM -685.6m / Revenue TTM 1.16b)
Gross Margin = 39.22% ((Revenue TTM 1.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 706.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 42.38% (prev 30.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.69 (Enterprise Value 1.15b / Total Assets 1.68b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.85% (Interest Expense 324.0k / Debt 17.5m)
Taxrate = -4.01% (negative due to tax credits) (1.26m / -31.4m)
NOPAT = -703.9m (EBIT -676.7m * (1 - -4.01%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 4.54 (Total Current Assets 674.2m / Total Current Liabilities 148.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 17.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.81 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -446.2m / EBITDA -553.3m)
Debt / FCF = -124.8 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt -446.2m / FCF TTM 3.58m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -40.81% (Net Income -685.6m / Total Assets 1.68b)
RoE = -38.99% (Net Income TTM -685.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.76b)
RoCE = -38.10% (EBIT -676.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.76b + L.T.Debt 17.5m))
RoIC = -40.02% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -703.9m / Invested Capital 1.76b)
WACC = 10.64% (E(1.60b)/V(1.62b) * Re(10.74%) + D(17.5m)/V(1.62b) * Rd(1.85%) * (1-Tc(-0.04)))
Discount Rate = 10.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -5.49%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 65.75% ; FCFE base≈3.58m ; Y1≈3.04m ; Y5≈2.34m
Fair Price DCF = 0.21 (DCF Value 28.4m / Shares Outstanding 136.0m; 5y FCF grow -18.09% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 35.04 | EPS CAGR: 1.13% | SUE: 1.14 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 97.08 | Revenue CAGR: 21.71% | SUE: 1.31 | # QB: 2
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=0.48 | Chg30d=+0.005 | Revisions Net=+8 | Growth EPS=+7.2% | Growth Revenue=+13.1%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=0.70 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+44.8% | Growth Revenue=+11.9%
Additional Sources for LSPD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle