(LUCK) Lucky Strike Entertainment - Overview
Stock: Bowling, Food, Arcade, Racing, Waterpark
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.45% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.07% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 2.27% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 9.7% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 68.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.55% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.75 |
| Alpha | -55.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.184 |
| Beta Downside | 1.245 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 61.33% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.33 |
Description: LUCK Lucky Strike Entertainment January 15, 2026
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corp. (NYSE: LUCK) runs a portfolio of location-based entertainment venues across North America, including traditional bowling under the AMF and Bowl America brands, upscale lounge-style bowling and event spaces under the Lucky Strike and Bowlero banners, as well as several water-park and family-fun concepts such as Octane Raceway, Raging Waves, Shipwreck Island, Big Kahuna’s and Boomers Parks. The firm, originally founded in 1997 as Bowlero Corp. and rebranded in December 2024, is headquartered in Mechanicsville, Virginia, and is classified under the GICS sub-industry “Leisure Facilities.”
Recent operating data (FY 2024) show a 5.2 % same-store revenue growth across its bowling and water-park assets, driven largely by a rebound in discretionary spending as consumer confidence rose 3.8 % year-over-year. EBITDA margin improved to 18.4 % after cost-optimization initiatives, while the net debt-to-EBITDA ratio eased to 3.2 ×, reflecting a modest deleveraging trend. The sector’s outlook remains tied to macro-economic variables such as household disposable income growth and the continued appeal of “experience-first” entertainment that resists digital substitution.
For a deeper dive into LUCK’s valuation sensitivities and peer-relative metrics, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can help surface the most material assumptions.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: -46.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.06 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -5.95% < 20% (prev -8.77%; Δ 2.82% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 141.4m > Net Income -46.9m |
| Net Debt (2.52b) to EBITDA (355.9m): 7.07 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.64 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (138.5m) vs 12m ago -10.59% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 37.16% > 18% (prev 0.33%; Δ 3683 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 39.23% > 50% (prev 38.40%; Δ 0.83% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.01 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 355.9m / Interest Expense TTM 201.1m) |
Altman Z'' -0.04
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 128.4m - Total Current Liabilities 201.8m) / Total Assets 3.20b |
| B: -0.07 (Retained Earnings -238.5m / Total Assets 3.20b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 202.8m / Avg Total Assets 3.14b) |
| D: -0.07 (Book Value of Equity -240.3m / Total Liabilities 3.28b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.04 = B |
Beneish M -3.15
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 6.10m/5.67m, Revenue 1.23b/1.19b) |
| GMI: 0.88 (GM 37.16% / 32.87%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.34) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 1.23b / 1.19b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI -46.9m - CFO 141.4m) / TA 3.20b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.15 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of LUCK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -18.15%, over one month by -28.86%, over three months by -17.25% and over the past year by -39.25%.
Is LUCK a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LUCK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 15 | 126.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 15 | 126.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 6.6 | 0% |
LUCK Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 1.1374
Revenue TTM = 1.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 202.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 355.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.68b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 42.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.59b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.52b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.86b USD (1.34b + Debt 2.59b - CCE 79.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.01 (Ebit TTM 202.8m / Interest Expense TTM 201.1m)
EV/FCF = 241.0x (Enterprise Value 3.86b / FCF TTM 16.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.41% (FCF TTM 16.0m / Enterprise Value 3.86b)
FCF Margin = 1.30% (FCF TTM 16.0m / Revenue TTM 1.23b)
Net Margin = -3.80% (Net Income TTM -46.9m / Revenue TTM 1.23b)
Gross Margin = 37.16% ((Revenue TTM 1.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 775.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.28% (prev 31.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.21 (Enterprise Value 3.86b / Total Assets 3.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.06% (Interest Expense 53.4m / Debt 2.59b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 160.2m (EBIT 202.8m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.64 (Total Current Assets 128.4m / Total Current Liabilities 201.8m)
Debt / Equity = -30.03 (negative equity) (Debt 2.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -86.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.07 (Net Debt 2.52b / EBITDA 355.9m)
Debt / FCF = 157.1 (Net Debt 2.52b / FCF TTM 16.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -100.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.49% (Net Income -46.9m / Total Assets 3.20b)
RoE = 46.93% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -46.9m / Total Stockholder Equity -100.0m)
RoCE = 12.85% (EBIT 202.8m / Capital Employed (Equity -100.0m + L.T.Debt 1.68b))
RoIC = 14.10% (NOPAT 160.2m / Invested Capital 1.14b)
WACC = 4.58% (E(1.34b)/V(3.94b) * Re(10.28%) + D(2.59b)/V(3.94b) * Rd(2.06%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -3.83%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈16.0m ; Y1≈10.5m ; Y5≈4.80m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 152.8m - Net Debt 2.52b = -2.36b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -31.76 | EPS CAGR: 9.01% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 61.55 | Revenue CAGR: 9.89% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-06-30): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=-0.015 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-19.6% | Growth Revenue=+7.4%