LUMN Stock Analysis: Lumen Technologies | NYSE
Telecom Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 6.821m USD | 12M Return: 49% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 111M
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: -98.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Lumen Technologies, Inc. (NYSE: LUMN) is a U.S.-based networking company that delivers integrated products and services to business and mass-market customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Business and Mass Markets, offering a range of services including dark fiber, edge cloud, IP, voice over IP (VoIP), managed security, software-defined wide area networks (SD-WAN), unified communications, optical services, ethernet, and VPN data networks. It also provides legacy services such as time division multiplexing voice and SONET-based ethernet, as well as managed and professional service solutions, while selling communications equipment.
In the Mass Markets segment, Lumen offers high-speed and lower-speed broadband, local and long-distance voice services, and participates in federal broadband and state support programs for residential and small business customers. The company markets its services under the Lumen, CenturyLink, Black Lotus Labs, and Quantum Fiber brands. Originally incorporated in 1968 and headquartered in Monroe, Louisiana, Lumen was formerly known as CenturyLink, Inc. before rebranding in September 2020. As a mid-cap stock listed in the Alternative Carriers sub-industry of the Communication Services sector, Lumen is part of a competitive group of telecommunications providers serving both enterprise and consumer markets.
- Enterprise fiber revenue surges on AI data center demand
- Mass Markets broadband divestiture weighs on near-term cash flow
- Deleveraging progress improves capital allocation flexibility
| Net Income: -1.74b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.57 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.41% < 20% (prev 5.63%; Δ -6.04% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 4.97b > Net Income -1.74b |
| Net Debt (11.9b) to EBITDA (1.57b): 7.60 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (998.9m) vs 12m ago 0.77% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.31% > 18% (prev 42.45%; Δ 4.85% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 37.78% > 50% (prev 38.76%; Δ -0.98% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.97 > 6 (EBIT TTM -1.13b / Interest Expense TTM 1.16b) |
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 4.12b - Total Current Liabilities 4.17b) / Total Assets 30.6b |
| B: -0.65 (Retained Earnings -19.9b / Total Assets 30.6b) |
| C: -0.04 (EBIT TTM -1.13b / Avg Total Assets 32.1b) |
| D: 0.61 (Book Value of Equity 11.6b / Total Liabilities 19.0b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.72 = D |
| DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 1.63b/1.58b, Revenue 12.1b/13.0b) |
| GMI: 0.90 (GM 42.45% / 47.31%) |
| AQI: 0.83 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.26) |
| SGI: 0.93 (Revenue 12.1b / 13.0b) |
| TATA: -0.22 (NI -1.74b - CFO 4.97b) / TA 30.6b) |
| Beneish M = -3.21 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 6.75 with a total of 7,917,981 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.59%, over one month by -20.31%, over three months by -9.76% and over the past year by +49.01%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.80 (which is 14.1% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).
Lumen Technologies has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.82. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LUMN.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 8.3 | 23.6% |
P/E Forward = 98.0392
P/S = 0.5628
P/B = 15.7969
P/EG = 17.1429
Revenue TTM = 12.1b USD
EBIT TTM = -1.13b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.57b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.9b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 325.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.5b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 290.0m
Net Debt = 11.9b USD (calculated: Debt 13.5b - CCE 1.62b)
Enterprise Value = 18.7b USD (6.82b + Debt 13.5b - CCE 1.62b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.97 (Ebit TTM -1.13b / Interest Expense TTM 1.16b)
EV/FCF = 41.91x (Enterprise Value 18.7b / FCF TTM 447.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.39% (FCF TTM 447.0m / Enterprise Value 18.7b)
FCF Margin = 3.69% (FCF TTM 447.0m / Revenue TTM 12.1b)
Net Margin = -14.34% (Net Income TTM -1.74b / Revenue TTM 12.1b)
Gross Margin = 47.31% ((Revenue TTM 12.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.50% (prev 46.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.61 (Enterprise Value 18.7b / Total Assets 30.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.58% (Interest Expense 1.16b / Debt 13.5b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -894.3m (EBIT -1.13b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.99 (Total Current Assets 4.12b / Total Current Liabilities 4.17b)
Debt / Equity = 1.16 (Debt 13.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.6b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.60 (Net Debt 11.9b / EBITDA 1.57b)
Debt / FCF = 26.66 (Net Debt 11.9b / FCF TTM 447.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.19b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.42% (Net Income -1.74b / Total Assets 30.6b)
RoE = -79.42% (Net Income TTM -1.74b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.19b)
RoCE = -7.49% (EBIT -1.13b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.19b + L.T.Debt 12.9b))
RoIC = -3.42% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -894.3m / Invested Capital 26.2b)
WACC = 7.54% (E(6.82b)/V(20.4b) * Re(9.05%) + D(13.5b)/V(20.4b) * Rd(8.58%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 94.39 | Cagr: 0.68%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈675.0m ; Y1≈591.9m ; Y5≈478.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 7.68b - Net Debt 11.9b = -4.24b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -1.78 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -98.11 | Revenue CAGR: -8.05% | SUE: 1.13 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.14 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=7
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.15 | Chg30d=+0.99% | Revisions=-29% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.80 | Chg30d=+0.54% | Revisions=-44% | GrowthEPS=-512.0% | GrowthRev=-11.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.29 | Chg30d=+1.12% | Revisions=+12% | GrowthEPS=+63.4% | GrowthRev=-3.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -26% (up=7, down=13)