Overview Dividends

(LUMN) Lumen Technologies - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US5502411037

Fiber, Internet, Voice, Cloud, Security

LUMN EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -77.96%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -70.5%

LUMN Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -7.28%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -96.1%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	128%
Value at Risk 5%th	127%

Reward
Sharpe Ratio	0.52
Alpha	14.55

Character
Hurst Exponent	0.556
Beta	1.437

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	84.54%
Mean DD	53.85%

Description: LUMN Lumen Technologies November 06, 2025

Lumen Technologies (NYSE:LUMN) is a U.S.–based networking firm that delivers a broad suite of integrated communications products and services to both business and mass-market customers, operating under the Lumen, Quantum Fiber, CenturyLink, and Black Lotus Labs brands. The company is organized into two primary segments-Business and Mass Markets-and offers dark fiber, edge-cloud, IP, VoIP, managed security, SD-WAN, unified communications, optical transport, Ethernet/VPN, legacy TDM voice, SONET-based Ethernet, data hosting, and professional services, as well as residential broadband and federal/state broadband programs.

In fiscal 2023 Lumen reported revenue of roughly $26.6 billion, with adjusted EBITDA of $3.5 billion (≈13% margin) and free cash flow of $1.2 billion, while continuing to invest about $2.2 billion in capital expenditures to expand its fiber footprint, which now exceeds 380,000 route-miles of dark fiber. The firm’s enterprise churn has narrowed to ~1.6% YoY, reflecting modest gains in its higher-margin business services, whereas residential broadband subscriber growth remains flat, underscoring the transition away from legacy voice revenue.

Key drivers of Lumen’s outlook include the accelerating migration of enterprise IT workloads to hybrid-cloud and edge environments, heightened demand for low-latency connectivity to support 5G backhaul and AI workloads, and ongoing U.S. broadband-infrastructure incentives that favor fiber deployment. Competitive pressure from hyperscalers (e.g., Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure) and alternative carriers (e.g., Zayo, Crown Castle) compress margins, making cost-efficiency and fiber asset utilization critical levers for shareholder value.

For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Lumen’s valuation dynamics, consider exploring the analytics platform ValueRay.

LUMN Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	12,133m
Sub-Industry	Alternative Carriers
IPO / Inception	1972-12-15
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-8.35%
Analyst Rating	3.42 of 5

LUMN Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

LUMN Growth Ratios

CAGR	18.58%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	0.22
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	0.34
Current Volume	21115.8k
Average Volume	20085.2k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income (-1.65b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 761.4m TTM)

FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.23pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 37.63% (prev 5.99%; Δ 31.64pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.86b > Net Income -1.65b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (15.54b) to EBITDA (1.23b) ratio: 12.64 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 2.21 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (996.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.73% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 60.46% (prev 32.49%; Δ 27.97pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 37.17% (prev 39.12%; Δ -1.95pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio -1.18 (EBITDA TTM 1.23b / Interest Expense TTM 1.36b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -1.31

(A) 0.14 = (Total Current Assets 8.71b - Total Current Liabilities 3.93b) / Total Assets 34.29b

(B) -0.57 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -19.70b / Total Assets 34.29b

(D) -0.03 = Book Value of Equity -1.17b / Total Liabilities 35.46b

Total Rating: -1.31 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 26.90

1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0

2. FCF Yield 4.43% = 2.21

3. FCF Margin 9.66% = 2.42

4. Debt/Equity -15.30 = -2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda 12.64 = -2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= -12.22)% = -12.50

7. RoE 651.0% = 2.50

8. Rev. Trend -96.09% = -7.21

9. EPS Trend -70.49% = -3.52

What is the price of LUMN shares?

As of November 10, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 10.52 with a total of 21,115,758 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.07%, over one month by +53.58%, over three months by +181.28% and over the past year by +3.95%.

Is Lumen Technologies a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Lumen Technologies (NYSE:LUMN) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 26.90 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of LUMN is around 10.24 USD . This means that LUMN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -2.66%.

Is LUMN a buy, sell or hold?

Lumen Technologies has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.42. Therefor, it is recommend to hold LUMN.

Strong Buy: 2
Buy: 2
Hold: 7
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LUMN price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	6	-43.3%
Analysts Target Price	6	-43.3%
ValueRay Target Price	11.1	5.4%

LUMN Fundamental Data Overview November 05, 2025

Market Cap USD = 12.13b (12.13b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 20.4918
P/S = 0.9561
P/B = 14.6194
P/EG = 54.5753
Beta = 1.437
Revenue TTM = 12.69b USD
EBIT TTM = -1.60b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.23b USD
Long Term Debt = 17.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 367.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.95b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.54b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 27.68b USD (12.13b + Debt 17.95b - CCE 2.40b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.18 (Ebit TTM -1.60b / Interest Expense TTM 1.36b)
FCF Yield = 4.43% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Enterprise Value 27.68b)
FCF Margin = 9.66% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Revenue TTM 12.69b)
Net Margin = -13.02% (Net Income TTM -1.65b / Revenue TTM 12.69b)
Gross Margin = 60.46% ((Revenue TTM 12.69b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 100.0% (prev 47.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 27.68b / Total Assets 34.29b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.78% (Interest Expense 319.0m / Debt 17.95b)
Taxrate = 23.62% (-192.0m / -813.0m)
NOPAT = -1.22b (EBIT -1.60b * (1 - 23.62%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.21 (Total Current Assets 8.71b / Total Current Liabilities 3.93b)
Debt / Equity = -15.30 (negative equity) (Debt 17.95b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -1.17b)
Debt / EBITDA = 12.64 (Net Debt 15.54b / EBITDA 1.23b)
Debt / FCF = 12.68 (Net Debt 15.54b / FCF TTM 1.23b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -253.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.82% (Net Income -1.65b / Total Assets 34.29b)
RoE = 651.0% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -1.65b / Total Stockholder Equity -253.8m)
RoCE = -9.30% (EBIT -1.60b / Capital Employed (Equity -253.8m + L.T.Debt 17.49b))
RoIC = -6.85% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -1.22b / Invested Capital 17.87b)
WACC = 5.37% (E(12.13b)/V(30.08b) * Re(11.31%) + D(17.95b)/V(30.08b) * Rd(1.78%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 11.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.62%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 57.30% ; FCFE base≈1.25b ; Y1≈822.3m ; Y5≈376.0m
Fair Price DCF = 4.64 (DCF Value 4.76b / Shares Outstanding 1.03b; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -70.49 | EPS CAGR: -77.96% | SUE: 0.45 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -96.09 | Revenue CAGR: -7.28% | SUE: 0.75 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for LUMN Stock

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