(LW) Lamb Weston Holdings - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US5132721045

Frozen Potatoes, Appetizers, Ingredients

Stock: Packaged Foods & Meats
Age 9.2y

MCap 6,092m
Avg Vol 2.80M (120M USD)

Beta 0.418
Volatility 44.11%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -1.49%
EPS Trend: -20.2%

Last SUE: 0.07
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 15.10%
Rev. Trend: 76.8%

Last SUE: 0.28
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	2.60%
Yield on Cost 5y	2.63%
Yield CAGR 5y	12.02%
Payout Consistency	100.0%
Payout Ratio	43.8%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	44.1%
Value at Risk 5%th	53.2%
Relative Tail Risk	-26.72%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.52
Alpha	-34.51
CAGR/Max DD	-0.36

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent
Beta	0.418
Beta Downside	-0.052

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	63.20%
Mean DD	29.53%
Median DD	30.37%

Description: LW Lamb Weston Holdings January 08, 2026

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LW) manufactures, distributes, and markets frozen potato products across North America and select international markets. Its portfolio includes branded lines such as Lamb Weston, Grown in Idaho, and Alexia, as well as private-label offerings for retailers and foodservice operators ranging from quick-service chains to institutional cafeterias. Sales are executed through a mix of internal teams and independent brokers, reaching grocery, mass-merchant, club, and specialty channels.

Key operational metrics that analysts watch include: (1) **Revenue growth** – the company posted a 7.2% YoY increase in FY 2023, driven by higher volumes in the U.S. foodservice segment; (2) **Adjusted EBITDA margin** – consistently around 12-13%, reflecting strong pricing power despite volatile commodity costs; and (3) **Capex intensity** – roughly 4% of sales invested in plant upgrades and automation, supporting capacity expansion in high-growth markets like Mexico. The business is sensitive to potato-crop yields, energy prices, and consumer trends toward convenient, protein-paired side dishes, which together form the primary macro drivers of earnings volatility.

For a deeper, data-rich view of LW’s valuation dynamics, you may find ValueRay’s analytical dashboard useful as a next step in your research.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5

Net Income: 392.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.62 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 9.39% < 20% (prev 8.92%; Δ 0.48% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 1.32b > Net Income 392.3m
Net Debt (3.86b) to EBITDA (1.12b): 3.45 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.43 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (139.6m) vs 12m ago -2.51% < -2%
Gross Margin: 22.00% > 18% (prev 0.23%; Δ 2177 % > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 87.58% > 50% (prev 84.88%; Δ 2.70% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.07 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.12b / Interest Expense TTM 179.5m)

Altman Z'' 3.07

A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 2.01b - Total Current Liabilities 1.40b) / Total Assets 7.33b
B: 0.39 (Retained Earnings 2.87b / Total Assets 7.33b)
C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 730.2m / Avg Total Assets 7.39b)
D: 0.56 (Book Value of Equity 3.11b / Total Liabilities 5.58b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 3.07 = A

Beneish M -3.03

DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 742.2m/695.0m, Revenue 6.47b/6.33b)
GMI: 1.02 (GM 22.00% / 22.54%)
AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.20)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 6.47b / 6.33b)
TATA: -0.13 (NI 392.3m - CFO 1.32b) / TA 7.33b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 67.01

1. Piotroski: 7.50pt
2. FCF Yield: 6.54%
3. FCF Margin: 10.05%
4. Debt/Equity: 2.25
5. Debt/Ebitda: 3.45
6. ROIC - WACC: 3.17%
7. RoE: 22.69%
8. Revenue Trend: 76.80%
9. EPS Trend: -20.21%

What is the price of LW shares?

As of January 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 43.72 with a total of 2,644,275 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.48%, over one month by +3.72%, over three months by -33.93% and over the past year by -28.12%.

Is LW a buy, sell or hold?

Lamb Weston Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefor, it is recommend to hold LW.

Strong Buy: 2
Buy: 3
Hold: 9
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LW price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	54.6	25%
Analysts Target Price	54.6	25%
ValueRay Target Price	44.1	0.8%

LW Fundamental Data Overview January 27, 2026

P/E Trailing = 15.8406
P/E Forward = 14.7275
P/S = 0.9411
P/B = 3.4609
P/EG = 0.7146
Revenue TTM = 6.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 730.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.65b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 295.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.94b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.86b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.95b USD (6.09b + Debt 3.94b - CCE 82.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.07 (Ebit TTM 730.2m / Interest Expense TTM 179.5m)
EV/FCF = 15.30x (Enterprise Value 9.95b / FCF TTM 650.8m)
FCF Yield = 6.54% (FCF TTM 650.8m / Enterprise Value 9.95b)
FCF Margin = 10.05% (FCF TTM 650.8m / Revenue TTM 6.47b)
Net Margin = 6.06% (Net Income TTM 392.3m / Revenue TTM 6.47b)
Gross Margin = 22.00% ((Revenue TTM 6.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.58% (prev 20.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.36 (Enterprise Value 9.95b / Total Assets 7.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.12% (Interest Expense 44.3m / Debt 3.94b)
Taxrate = 36.70% (36.0m / 98.1m)
NOPAT = 462.2m (EBIT 730.2m * (1 - 36.70%))
Current Ratio = 1.43 (Total Current Assets 2.01b / Total Current Liabilities 1.40b)
Debt / Equity = 2.25 (Debt 3.94b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.45 (Net Debt 3.86b / EBITDA 1.12b)
Debt / FCF = 5.93 (Net Debt 3.86b / FCF TTM 650.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.73b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.31% (Net Income 392.3m / Total Assets 7.33b)
RoE = 22.69% (Net Income TTM 392.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.73b)
RoCE = 13.58% (EBIT 730.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.73b + L.T.Debt 3.65b))
RoIC = 7.98% (NOPAT 462.2m / Invested Capital 5.79b)
WACC = 4.81% (E(6.09b)/V(10.04b) * Re(7.46%) + D(3.94b)/V(10.04b) * Rd(1.12%) * (1-Tc(0.37)))
Discount Rate = 7.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈650.8m ; Y1≈427.2m ; Y5≈194.9m
Fair Price DCF = 16.91 (EV 6.21b - Net Debt 3.86b = Equity 2.35b / Shares 138.9m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -20.21 | EPS CAGR: -1.49% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.80 | Revenue CAGR: 15.10% | SUE: 0.28 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-02-28): EPS=0.62 | Chg30d=-0.234 | Revisions Net=-7 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-05-31): EPS=2.74 | Chg30d=-0.320 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=-18.3% | Growth Revenue=+1.2%
EPS next Year (2027-05-31): EPS=3.03 | Chg30d=-0.481 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+10.8% | Growth Revenue=-1.4%

Additional Sources for LW Stock

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