LW Stock Analysis: Lamb Weston Holdings | NYSE
Packaged Foods | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 6.150m USD | 12M Return: -6.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 62.1M
EPS Trend: -76.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 65.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 9.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Lamb Weston Holdings is a U.S.-headquartered producer of frozen potato products, supplying restaurants, retailers, and foodservice operators across North America and international markets. The company sells under its own Lamb Weston brand, owned and licensed labels such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, as well as private-label arrangements for retailers and foodservice customers. Its distribution reaches quick-service and full-service restaurant chains, grocery and mass merchants, club and specialty retailers, and institutional foodservice.
The business is concentrated in frozen potatoes rather than a broad packaged-foods portfolio, and a large share of revenue is tied to foodservice customers, including quick-service restaurants, which tend to favor long-term supply contracts for french fries and formed potatoes. The company was incorporated in 1950 and completed its IPO in November 2016, operating within the Consumer Staples sector as part of the Packaged Foods & Meats sub-industry.
- North American volume rebounds as QSR traffic stabilizes
- Input cost inflation pressures gross margins despite pricing actions
- EMEA softness drags international segment revenue growth
| Net Income: 300.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.98% < 20% (prev 8.99%; Δ 0.99% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 978.6m > Net Income 300.3m |
| Net Debt (3.99b) to EBITDA (996.5m): 4.01 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (139.3m) vs 12m ago -2.18% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.57% > 18% (prev 22.61%; Δ -2.04% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 87.98% > 50% (prev 86.05%; Δ 1.93% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 610.4m / Interest Expense TTM 177.2m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 2.06b - Total Current Liabilities 1.41b) / Total Assets 7.39b |
| B: 0.39 (Retained Earnings 2.87b / Total Assets 7.39b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 610.4m / Avg Total Assets 7.41b) |
| D: 0.33 (Book Value of Equity 1.83b / Total Liabilities 5.57b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.74 = A |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 750.5m/716.6m, Revenue 6.52b/6.39b) |
| GMI: 1.10 (GM 22.61% / 20.57%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.20) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 6.52b / 6.39b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 300.3m - CFO 978.6m) / TA 7.39b) |
| Beneish M = -2.87 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 46.09 with a total of 1,025,521 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.06%, over one month by +8.24%, over three months by +15.76% and over the past year by -6.85%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 44.30 (which is 3.9% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Lamb Weston Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LW.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 46.5 | 0.9% |
P/E Trailing = 20.9108
P/E Forward = 13.2626
P/S = 0.9435
P/B = 3.3659
P/EG = 1.0119
Revenue TTM = 6.52b USD
EBIT TTM = 610.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 996.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.64b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 377.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.05b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 28.1m
Net Debt = 3.99b USD (calculated: Debt 4.05b - CCE 57.5m)
Enterprise Value = 10.1b USD (6.15b + Debt 4.05b - CCE 57.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.44 (Ebit TTM 610.4m / Interest Expense TTM 177.2m)
EV/FCF = 15.99x (Enterprise Value 10.1b / FCF TTM 634.3m)
FCF Yield = 6.25% (FCF TTM 634.3m / Enterprise Value 10.1b)
FCF Margin = 9.73% (FCF TTM 634.3m / Revenue TTM 6.52b)
Net Margin = 4.61% (Net Income TTM 300.3m / Revenue TTM 6.52b)
Gross Margin = 20.57% ((Revenue TTM 6.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.18b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.19% (prev 20.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.37 (Enterprise Value 10.1b / Total Assets 7.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.38% (Interest Expense 177.2m / Debt 4.05b)
Taxrate = 31.30% (135.6m / 433.2m)
NOPAT = 419.3m (EBIT 610.4m * (1 - 31.30%))
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 2.06b / Total Current Liabilities 1.41b)
Debt / Equity = 2.22 (Debt 4.05b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.83b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.01 (Net Debt 3.99b / EBITDA 996.5m)
Debt / FCF = 6.29 (Net Debt 3.99b / FCF TTM 634.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.78b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.05% (Net Income 300.3m / Total Assets 7.39b)
RoE = 16.90% (Net Income TTM 300.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.78b)
RoCE = 11.26% (EBIT 610.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.78b + L.T.Debt 3.64b))
RoIC = 6.65% (NOPAT 419.3m / Invested Capital 6.30b)
WACC = 5.64% (E(6.15b)/V(10.2b) * Re(7.38%) + D(4.05b)/V(10.2b) * Rd(4.38%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 7.38% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -1.92%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈414.8m ; Y1≈475.5m ; Y5≈699.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 47.36 (EV 10.5b - Net Debt 3.99b = Equity 6.54b / Shares 138.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -76.87 | EPS CAGR: -26.51% | SUE: 0.27 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 65.08 | Revenue CAGR: 4.30% | SUE: 0.79 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-08-31): EPS=0.62 | Chg30d=+0.32% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-05-31): EPS=2.81 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=+58% | GrowthEPS=-16.0% | GrowthRev=+1.2%
EPS next Year (2027-05-31): EPS=3.00 | Chg30d=+0.25% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+6.8% | GrowthRev=-2.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +32% (up=11, down=5)