(LW) Lamb Weston Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US5132721045
Frozen Potatoes, Appetizers, Ingredients
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.51% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.08% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 11.85% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 43.9% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 92.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 106% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -30.74% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.70 |
| Alpha | -42.01 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.464 |
| Beta | 0.414 |
| Beta Downside | -0.059 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 61.83% |
| Mean DD | 28.03% |
| Median DD | 28.52% |
Description: LW Lamb Weston Holdings November 05, 2025
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LW) manufactures, distributes, and markets frozen potato products across North America and international markets. The portfolio includes branded items such as Lamb Weston, Grown in Idaho, and Alexia, as well as private-label offerings for retailers and foodservice operators ranging from quick-service chains to institutional cafeterias.
In FY 2023 the company reported net sales of roughly $4.6 billion, with a gross margin hovering around 18 %-a figure that reflects both commodity cost exposure (potatoes, vegetable oil) and pricing power in the premium frozen-food segment. Growth is being driven by expanding food-service demand (particularly in the fast-casual sector) and by the rollout of higher-margin specialty products, while inflationary pressure on input costs and seasonal potato yields remain material risk factors.
If you’re looking to deepen your quantitative analysis of LW’s valuation dynamics, a quick dive into ValueRay’s data visualizations can surface additional metrics and scenario models that may sharpen your investment thesis.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (294.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 387.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 9.58pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 9.53% (prev 5.16%; Δ 4.37pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 890.1m > Net Income 294.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.89b) to EBITDA (1.02b) ratio: 3.81 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.49 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (139.8m) change vs 12m ago -3.05% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.45% (prev 25.14%; Δ -3.69pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 87.55% (prev 85.94%; Δ 1.61pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.41 (EBITDA TTM 1.02b / Interest Expense TTM 178.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.00
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 1.87b - Total Current Liabilities 1.26b) / Total Assets 7.24b |
| (B) 0.40 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.86b / Total Assets 7.24b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 609.5m / Avg Total Assets 7.37b |
| (D) 0.57 = Book Value of Equity 3.11b / Total Liabilities 5.45b |
| Total Rating: 3.00 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.55
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.11% |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.75% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.23 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.81 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.73)% |
| 7. RoE 17.32% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 82.49% |
| 9. EPS Trend 11.31% |
What is the price of LW shares?
As of December 29, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 42.15 with a total of 2,492,536 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.07%, over one month by -29.29%, over three months by -23.21% and over the past year by -33.76%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.07%, over one month by -29.29%, over three months by -23.21% and over the past year by -33.76%.
Is LW a buy, sell or hold?
Lamb Weston Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold LW.
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 66.3 | 57.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 66.3 | 57.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 42.2 | 0.2% |
LW Fundamental Data Overview December 28, 2025
Market Cap USD = 8.27b (8.27b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 28.524
P/E Forward = 18.7617
P/S = 1.2806
P/B = 4.6194
P/EG = 0.8941
Beta = 0.43
Revenue TTM = 6.46b USD
EBIT TTM = 609.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 320.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.89b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.16b USD (8.27b + Debt 3.99b - CCE 98.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.41 (Ebit TTM 609.5m / Interest Expense TTM 178.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.11% (FCF TTM 500.2m / Enterprise Value 12.16b)
FCF Margin = 7.75% (FCF TTM 500.2m / Revenue TTM 6.46b)
Net Margin = 4.56% (Net Income TTM 294.1m / Revenue TTM 6.46b)
Gross Margin = 21.45% ((Revenue TTM 6.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.07b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.64% (prev 20.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.68 (Enterprise Value 12.16b / Total Assets 7.24b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.09% (Interest Expense 43.7m / Debt 3.99b)
Taxrate = 42.69% (47.9m / 112.2m)
NOPAT = 349.3m (EBIT 609.5m * (1 - 42.69%))
Current Ratio = 1.49 (Total Current Assets 1.87b / Total Current Liabilities 1.26b)
Debt / Equity = 2.23 (Debt 3.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.79b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.81 (Net Debt 3.89b / EBITDA 1.02b)
Debt / FCF = 7.78 (Net Debt 3.89b / FCF TTM 500.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.70b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.06% (Net Income 294.1m / Total Assets 7.24b)
RoE = 17.32% (Net Income TTM 294.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.70b)
RoCE = 11.35% (EBIT 609.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.70b + L.T.Debt 3.67b))
RoIC = 6.02% (NOPAT 349.3m / Invested Capital 5.81b)
WACC = 5.29% (E(8.27b)/V(12.26b) * Re(7.54%) + D(3.99b)/V(12.26b) * Rd(1.09%) * (1-Tc(0.43)))
Discount Rate = 7.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.98%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈500.2m ; Y1≈328.4m ; Y5≈150.2m
Fair Price DCF = 21.18 (DCF Value 2.95b / Shares Outstanding 139.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 11.31 | EPS CAGR: 11.02% | SUE: 0.61 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 82.49 | Revenue CAGR: 14.26% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-02-28): EPS=0.85 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-05-31): EPS=3.09 | Chg30d=+0.032 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-7.8% | Growth Revenue=+1.0%
EPS next Year (2027-05-31): EPS=3.53 | Chg30d=+0.021 | Revisions Net=+6 | Growth EPS=+14.4% | Growth Revenue=-0.5%
P/E Trailing = 28.524
P/E Forward = 18.7617
P/S = 1.2806
P/B = 4.6194
P/EG = 0.8941
Beta = 0.43
Revenue TTM = 6.46b USD
EBIT TTM = 609.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 320.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.89b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.16b USD (8.27b + Debt 3.99b - CCE 98.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.41 (Ebit TTM 609.5m / Interest Expense TTM 178.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.11% (FCF TTM 500.2m / Enterprise Value 12.16b)
FCF Margin = 7.75% (FCF TTM 500.2m / Revenue TTM 6.46b)
Net Margin = 4.56% (Net Income TTM 294.1m / Revenue TTM 6.46b)
Gross Margin = 21.45% ((Revenue TTM 6.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.07b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.64% (prev 20.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.68 (Enterprise Value 12.16b / Total Assets 7.24b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.09% (Interest Expense 43.7m / Debt 3.99b)
Taxrate = 42.69% (47.9m / 112.2m)
NOPAT = 349.3m (EBIT 609.5m * (1 - 42.69%))
Current Ratio = 1.49 (Total Current Assets 1.87b / Total Current Liabilities 1.26b)
Debt / Equity = 2.23 (Debt 3.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.79b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.81 (Net Debt 3.89b / EBITDA 1.02b)
Debt / FCF = 7.78 (Net Debt 3.89b / FCF TTM 500.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.70b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.06% (Net Income 294.1m / Total Assets 7.24b)
RoE = 17.32% (Net Income TTM 294.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.70b)
RoCE = 11.35% (EBIT 609.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.70b + L.T.Debt 3.67b))
RoIC = 6.02% (NOPAT 349.3m / Invested Capital 5.81b)
WACC = 5.29% (E(8.27b)/V(12.26b) * Re(7.54%) + D(3.99b)/V(12.26b) * Rd(1.09%) * (1-Tc(0.43)))
Discount Rate = 7.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.98%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈500.2m ; Y1≈328.4m ; Y5≈150.2m
Fair Price DCF = 21.18 (DCF Value 2.95b / Shares Outstanding 139.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 11.31 | EPS CAGR: 11.02% | SUE: 0.61 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 82.49 | Revenue CAGR: 14.26% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-02-28): EPS=0.85 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-05-31): EPS=3.09 | Chg30d=+0.032 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-7.8% | Growth Revenue=+1.0%
EPS next Year (2027-05-31): EPS=3.53 | Chg30d=+0.021 | Revisions Net=+6 | Growth EPS=+14.4% | Growth Revenue=-0.5%
Additional Sources for LW Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle