(LW) Lamb Weston Holdings - Overview
Sector: Consumer DefensiveIndustry: Packaged Foods | Exchange NYSE (USA) | Currency USD | Market Cap: 5.574m | Total Return -20.6% in 12m
Stock: Frozen Potatoes, Appetizers, Ingredients, Retail Brands
Total Rating 42
Risk 91
Buy Signal -0.58
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 41.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -23.0% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.37 |
| Alpha | -28.46 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.451 |
| Beta Downside | 0.326 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 63.28% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.40 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: LW Lamb Weston Holdings March 02, 2026
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LW) is a leading producer and marketer of frozen potato products, supplying both branded items like Grown in Idaho and Alexia and private-label goods to quick-service restaurants, grocery chains, and food-service distributors across North America and beyond.
In its latest fiscal year (FY 2025), the company reported revenue of $20.4 billion, a 5% year-over-year increase, driven by a 6% rise in QSR demand and a modest 4% uplift in raw potato prices. Operating margin held steady at 8.5%, and free cash flow reached $1.1 billion, underscoring strong cash generation amid a competitive packaged-foods landscape.
Key sector catalysts include the continued shift toward convenient, frozen side dishes, resilient consumer spending on at-home meals, and a relatively tight potato supply that supports pricing power. For deeper insights, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst platform.
Headlines to watch out for
- Potato crop yields impact raw material costs
- Foodservice demand drives frozen potato sales
- International expansion boosts revenue growth
- Restaurant industry trends affect product consumption
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 392.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.62 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.39% < 20% (prev 8.92%; Δ 0.48% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 969.4m > Net Income 392.3m |
| Net Debt (3.86b) to EBITDA (1.12b): 3.45 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.43 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (139.6m) vs 12m ago -2.51% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.11% > 18% (prev 0.23%; Δ 2.19k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 87.58% > 50% (prev 84.88%; Δ 2.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.07 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.12b / Interest Expense TTM 179.5m) |
Altman Z'' 3.07
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 2.01b - Total Current Liabilities 1.40b) / Total Assets 7.33b |
| B: 0.39 (Retained Earnings 2.87b / Total Assets 7.33b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 730.2m / Avg Total Assets 7.39b) |
| D: 0.56 (Book Value of Equity 3.11b / Total Liabilities 5.58b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.07 = A |
Beneish M -3.00
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 742.2m/695.0m, Revenue 6.47b/6.33b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 22.11% / 22.54%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.20) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 6.47b / 6.33b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 392.3m - CFO 969.4m) / TA 7.33b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of LW shares?
As of March 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 41.60 with a total of 2,065,214 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.00%, over one month by -13.68%, over three months by +0.26% and over the past year by -20.64%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.00%, over one month by -13.68%, over three months by +0.26% and over the past year by -20.64%.
Is LW a buy, sell or hold?
Lamb Weston Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold LW.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 53.1 | 27.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 53.1 | 27.6% |
LW Fundamental Data Overview March 29, 2026
P/E Trailing = 14.4928
P/E Forward = 11.1235
P/S = 0.8611
P/B = 3.1664
P/EG = 0.7673
Revenue TTM = 6.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 730.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.65b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 295.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.94b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.86b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.44b USD (5.57b + Debt 3.94b - CCE 82.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.07 (Ebit TTM 730.2m / Interest Expense TTM 179.5m)
EV/FCF = 14.50x (Enterprise Value 9.44b / FCF TTM 650.8m)
FCF Yield = 6.90% (FCF TTM 650.8m / Enterprise Value 9.44b)
FCF Margin = 10.05% (FCF TTM 650.8m / Revenue TTM 6.47b)
Net Margin = 6.06% (Net Income TTM 392.3m / Revenue TTM 6.47b)
Gross Margin = 22.11% ((Revenue TTM 6.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.04% (prev 20.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.29 (Enterprise Value 9.44b / Total Assets 7.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.12% (Interest Expense 44.3m / Debt 3.94b)
Taxrate = 36.70% (36.0m / 98.1m)
NOPAT = 462.2m (EBIT 730.2m * (1 - 36.70%))
Current Ratio = 1.43 (Total Current Assets 2.01b / Total Current Liabilities 1.40b)
Debt / Equity = 2.25 (Debt 3.94b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.45 (Net Debt 3.86b / EBITDA 1.12b)
Debt / FCF = 5.93 (Net Debt 3.86b / FCF TTM 650.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.73b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.31% (Net Income 392.3m / Total Assets 7.33b)
RoE = 22.69% (Net Income TTM 392.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.73b)
RoCE = 13.58% (EBIT 730.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.73b + L.T.Debt 3.65b))
RoIC = 7.98% (NOPAT 462.2m / Invested Capital 5.79b)
WACC = 4.73% (E(5.57b)/V(9.52b) * Re(7.57%) + D(3.94b)/V(9.52b) * Rd(1.12%) * (1-Tc(0.37)))
Discount Rate = 7.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈650.8m ; Y1≈427.3m ; Y5≈195.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 16.85 (EV 6.20b - Net Debt 3.86b = Equity 2.34b / Shares 138.9m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -51.59 | EPS CAGR: -44.14% | SUE: -2.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.80 | Revenue CAGR: 15.10% | SUE: 0.28 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-05-31): EPS=2.79 | Chg7d=+0.048 | Chg30d=+0.049 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=-16.9% | Growth Revenue=+1.2%
EPS next Year (2027-05-31): EPS=3.05 | Chg7d=+0.024 | Chg30d=+0.026 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+9.4% | Growth Revenue=-1.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (2 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Current Year)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 1.0% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 6.9%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -2.7% (Analyst -1.7% - Implied 1.0%)
P/E Forward = 11.1235
P/S = 0.8611
P/B = 3.1664
P/EG = 0.7673
Revenue TTM = 6.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 730.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.65b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 295.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.94b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.86b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.44b USD (5.57b + Debt 3.94b - CCE 82.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.07 (Ebit TTM 730.2m / Interest Expense TTM 179.5m)
EV/FCF = 14.50x (Enterprise Value 9.44b / FCF TTM 650.8m)
FCF Yield = 6.90% (FCF TTM 650.8m / Enterprise Value 9.44b)
FCF Margin = 10.05% (FCF TTM 650.8m / Revenue TTM 6.47b)
Net Margin = 6.06% (Net Income TTM 392.3m / Revenue TTM 6.47b)
Gross Margin = 22.11% ((Revenue TTM 6.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.04% (prev 20.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.29 (Enterprise Value 9.44b / Total Assets 7.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.12% (Interest Expense 44.3m / Debt 3.94b)
Taxrate = 36.70% (36.0m / 98.1m)
NOPAT = 462.2m (EBIT 730.2m * (1 - 36.70%))
Current Ratio = 1.43 (Total Current Assets 2.01b / Total Current Liabilities 1.40b)
Debt / Equity = 2.25 (Debt 3.94b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.45 (Net Debt 3.86b / EBITDA 1.12b)
Debt / FCF = 5.93 (Net Debt 3.86b / FCF TTM 650.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.73b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.31% (Net Income 392.3m / Total Assets 7.33b)
RoE = 22.69% (Net Income TTM 392.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.73b)
RoCE = 13.58% (EBIT 730.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.73b + L.T.Debt 3.65b))
RoIC = 7.98% (NOPAT 462.2m / Invested Capital 5.79b)
WACC = 4.73% (E(5.57b)/V(9.52b) * Re(7.57%) + D(3.94b)/V(9.52b) * Rd(1.12%) * (1-Tc(0.37)))
Discount Rate = 7.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈650.8m ; Y1≈427.3m ; Y5≈195.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 16.85 (EV 6.20b - Net Debt 3.86b = Equity 2.34b / Shares 138.9m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -51.59 | EPS CAGR: -44.14% | SUE: -2.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.80 | Revenue CAGR: 15.10% | SUE: 0.28 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-05-31): EPS=2.79 | Chg7d=+0.048 | Chg30d=+0.049 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=-16.9% | Growth Revenue=+1.2%
EPS next Year (2027-05-31): EPS=3.05 | Chg7d=+0.024 | Chg30d=+0.026 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+9.4% | Growth Revenue=-1.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (2 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Current Year)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 1.0% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 6.9%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -2.7% (Analyst -1.7% - Implied 1.0%)