LW Stock Analysis: Lamb Weston Holdings | NYSE
Packaged Foods | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 7.225m USD | 12M Return: -0.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 87.1M
EPS Trend: -92.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 61.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 9.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Lamb Weston Holdings is a U.S.-headquartered producer of frozen potato products, supplying restaurants, retailers, and foodservice operators across North America and international markets. The company sells under its own Lamb Weston brand, owned and licensed labels such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, as well as private-label arrangements for retailers and foodservice customers. Its distribution reaches quick-service and full-service restaurant chains, grocery and mass merchants, club and specialty retailers, and institutional foodservice.
The business is concentrated in frozen potatoes rather than a broad packaged-foods portfolio, and a large share of revenue is tied to foodservice customers, including quick-service restaurants, which tend to favor long-term supply contracts for french fries and formed potatoes. The company was incorporated in 1950 and completed its IPO in November 2016, operating within the Consumer Staples sector as part of the Packaged Foods & Meats sub-industry.
- North American volume rebounds as QSR traffic stabilizes
- Input cost inflation pressures gross margins despite pricing actions
- EMEA softness drags international segment revenue growth
| Net Income: 290.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.87 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.06% < 20% (prev 8.63%; Δ 0.43% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 1.21b > Net Income 290.0m |
| Net Debt (3.90b) to EBITDA (980.5m): 3.98 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.42 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (138.0m) vs 12m ago -2.13% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.56% > 18% (prev 21.68%; Δ -1.12% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 89.52% > 50% (prev 87.27%; Δ 2.25% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.29 > 6 (EBIT TTM 593.7m / Interest Expense TTM 180.5m) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 2.01b - Total Current Liabilities 1.42b) / Total Assets 7.38b |
| B: 0.40 (Retained Earnings 2.93b / Total Assets 7.38b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 593.7m / Avg Total Assets 7.39b) |
| D: 0.33 (Book Value of Equity 1.82b / Total Liabilities 5.56b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.71 = A |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 779.1m/781.6m, Revenue 6.61b/6.45b) |
| GMI: 1.05 (GM 21.68% / 20.56%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 6.61b / 6.45b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 290.0m - CFO 1.21b) / TA 7.38b) |
| Beneish M = -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 52.99 with a total of 965,692 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.23%, over one month by +14.97%, over three months by +25.68% and over the past year by -0.75%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 50.60 (which is 4.5% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Lamb Weston Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LW.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 55.3 | 4.3% |
P/E Trailing = 25.7598
P/E Forward = 17.452
P/S = 1.0926
P/B = 4.0343
P/EG = 0.8765
Revenue TTM = 6.61b USD
EBIT TTM = 593.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 980.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.60b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 347.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 27.7m
Net Debt = 3.90b USD (calculated: Debt 3.97b - CCE 68.2m)
Enterprise Value = 11.1b USD (7.22b + Debt 3.97b - CCE 68.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.29 (Ebit TTM 593.7m / Interest Expense TTM 180.5m)
EV/FCF = 15.10x (Enterprise Value 11.1b / FCF TTM 736.9m)
FCF Yield = 6.62% (FCF TTM 736.9m / Enterprise Value 11.1b)
FCF Margin = 11.14% (FCF TTM 736.9m / Revenue TTM 6.61b)
Net Margin = 4.39% (Net Income TTM 290.0m / Revenue TTM 6.61b)
Gross Margin = 20.56% ((Revenue TTM 6.61b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.42% (prev 21.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.51 (Enterprise Value 11.1b / Total Assets 7.38b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.55% (Interest Expense 180.5m / Debt 3.97b)
Taxrate = 30.47% (125.9m / 413.2m)
NOPAT = 412.8m (EBIT 593.7m * (1 - 30.47%))
Current Ratio = 1.42 (Total Current Assets 2.01b / Total Current Liabilities 1.42b)
Debt / Equity = 2.18 (Debt 3.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.82b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.98 (Net Debt 3.90b / EBITDA 980.5m)
Debt / FCF = 5.30 (Net Debt 3.90b / FCF TTM 736.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.80b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.93% (Net Income 290.0m / Total Assets 7.38b)
RoE = 16.12% (Net Income TTM 290.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.80b)
RoCE = 11.01% (EBIT 593.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.80b + L.T.Debt 3.60b))
RoIC = 6.61% (NOPAT 412.8m / Invested Capital 6.24b)
WACC = 4.87% (E(7.22b)/V(11.2b) * Re(5.81%) + D(3.97b)/V(11.2b) * Rd(4.55%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 5.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.74 | Cagr: -2.16%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈534.2m ; Y1≈612.3m ; Y5≈901.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 70.26 (EV 13.6b - Net Debt 3.90b = Equity 9.66b / Shares 137.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -92.18 | EPS CAGR: -22.85% | SUE: 0.92 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 61.37 | Revenue CAGR: 2.02% | SUE: 1.13 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-08-31): EPS=0.59 | Chg30d=-4.90% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2026-11-30): EPS=0.77 | Chg30d=+4.10% | Revisions=-38% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2027-05-31): EPS=3.05 | Chg30d=+1.48% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+1.3% | GrowthRev=-1.5%
EPS next Year (2028-05-31): EPS=3.39 | Chg30d=-1.39% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+11.3% | GrowthRev=+1.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=7, down=7)