(LW) Lamb Weston Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Frozen Potatoes, Appetizers, Ingredients
LW EPS (Earnings per Share)
LW Revenue
Description: LW Lamb Weston Holdings November 05, 2025
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LW) manufactures, distributes, and markets frozen potato products across North America and international markets. The portfolio includes branded items such as Lamb Weston, Grown in Idaho, and Alexia, as well as private-label offerings for retailers and foodservice operators ranging from quick-service chains to institutional cafeterias.
In FY 2023 the company reported net sales of roughly $4.6 billion, with a gross margin hovering around 18 %-a figure that reflects both commodity cost exposure (potatoes, vegetable oil) and pricing power in the premium frozen-food segment. Growth is being driven by expanding food-service demand (particularly in the fast-casual sector) and by the rollout of higher-margin specialty products, while inflationary pressure on input costs and seasonal potato yields remain material risk factors.
If you’re looking to deepen your quantitative analysis of LW’s valuation dynamics, a quick dive into ValueRay’s data visualizations can surface additional metrics and scenario models that may sharpen your investment thesis.
LW Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 9,250m |
| Sub-Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| IPO / Inception | 2016-11-10 |
LW Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -27.2% |
| Fundamental | 53.4% |
| Dividend Rating | 67.4% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -30.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.50 of 5 |
LW Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.39% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.12% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 11.85% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 43.9% |
LW Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 78.4% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -22.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -7.2% |
| CAGR 5y | -8.30% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.15 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.32 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.20 |
| Alpha | -29.75 |
| Beta | 0.506 |
| Volatility | 31.55% |
| Current Volume | 984.8k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1489.6k |
| Stop Loss | 60 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | 0.02 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (294.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 387.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 9.58pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 9.53% (prev 5.16%; Δ 4.37pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 890.1m > Net Income 294.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.89b) to EBITDA (1.02b) ratio: 3.81 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.49 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (139.8m) change vs 12m ago -3.05% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.06% (prev 25.40%; Δ -4.34pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 87.55% (prev 85.94%; Δ 1.61pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.42 (EBITDA TTM 1.02b / Interest Expense TTM 178.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.00
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 1.87b - Total Current Liabilities 1.26b) / Total Assets 7.24b |
| (B) 0.40 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.86b / Total Assets 7.24b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 610.7m / Avg Total Assets 7.37b |
| (D) 0.57 = Book Value of Equity 3.11b / Total Liabilities 5.45b |
| Total Rating: 3.00 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.39
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.81% = 1.90 |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.75% = 1.94 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.23 = 0.42 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.81 = -2.47 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.33)% = 0.42 |
| 7. RoE 17.32% = 1.44 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 52.32% = 3.92 |
| 9. EPS Trend -73.77% = -3.69 |
What is the price of LW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.11%, over one month by -1.80%, over three months by +21.01% and over the past year by -20.62%.
Is Lamb Weston Holdings a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of LW is around 57.67 USD . This means that LW is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -6.82%.
Is LW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 66 | 6.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 66 | 6.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 62.7 | 1.3% |
LW Fundamental Data Overview October 27, 2025
P/E Trailing = 31.9135
P/E Forward = 25.7732
P/S = 1.4327
P/B = 4.8382
P/EG = 1.2043
Beta = 0.506
Revenue TTM = 6.46b USD
EBIT TTM = 610.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 320.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.89b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 13.14b USD (9.25b + Debt 3.99b - CCE 98.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.42 (Ebit TTM 610.7m / Interest Expense TTM 178.5m)
FCF Yield = 3.81% (FCF TTM 500.2m / Enterprise Value 13.14b)
FCF Margin = 7.75% (FCF TTM 500.2m / Revenue TTM 6.46b)
Net Margin = 4.56% (Net Income TTM 294.1m / Revenue TTM 6.46b)
Gross Margin = 21.06% ((Revenue TTM 6.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.64% (prev 19.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.82 (Enterprise Value 13.14b / Total Assets 7.24b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.09% (Interest Expense 43.7m / Debt 3.99b)
Taxrate = 42.69% (47.9m / 112.2m)
NOPAT = 350.0m (EBIT 610.7m * (1 - 42.69%))
Current Ratio = 1.49 (Total Current Assets 1.87b / Total Current Liabilities 1.26b)
Debt / Equity = 2.23 (Debt 3.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.79b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.81 (Net Debt 3.89b / EBITDA 1.02b)
Debt / FCF = 7.78 (Net Debt 3.89b / FCF TTM 500.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.70b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.06% (Net Income 294.1m / Total Assets 7.24b)
RoE = 17.32% (Net Income TTM 294.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.70b)
RoCE = 11.37% (EBIT 610.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.70b + L.T.Debt 3.67b))
RoIC = 6.03% (NOPAT 350.0m / Invested Capital 5.81b)
WACC = 5.69% (E(9.25b)/V(13.24b) * Re(7.88%) + D(3.99b)/V(13.24b) * Rd(1.09%) * (1-Tc(0.43)))
Discount Rate = 7.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.98%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈500.2m ; Y1≈328.4m ; Y5≈150.2m
Fair Price DCF = 21.18 (DCF Value 2.95b / Shares Outstanding 139.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -73.77 | EPS CAGR: -18.07% | SUE: -0.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 52.32 | Revenue CAGR: 10.01% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for LW Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle