(LYV) Live Nation Entertainment - Ratings and Ratios
Concerts, Ticketing, Sponsorship, Advertising
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 47.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.49% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.12 |
| Alpha | -14.40 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.345 |
| Beta | 0.926 |
| Beta Downside | 0.956 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 25.88% |
| Mean DD | 8.28% |
| Median DD | 7.95% |
Description: LYV Live Nation Entertainment September 29, 2025
Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) is a global live-entertainment operator organized into three core segments: Concerts, Ticketing, and Sponsorship & Advertising. The Concerts segment drives revenue by promoting shows in venues it owns, operates, or rents, producing festivals, creating ancillary content, and delivering artist-management services. The Ticketing segment runs Ticketmaster and related platforms, providing end-to-end ticket sales, resale, and software solutions for a wide range of venues-from arenas to museums-via web, mobile apps, and retail channels. The Sponsorship & Advertising segment monetizes brand exposure through signage, digital ads, live-stream integrations, and custom-event production, leveraging the company’s extensive venue and digital footprint.
Key operational metrics (as of FY 2023) include ≈ 210 owned/operated venues, ≈ 45 major festivals, and ≈ 350 million tickets processed annually, generating an average ticket-price of $84 and a gross margin of ~ 45% on ticketing services. The business is highly sensitive to macro-economic factors such as consumer discretionary spending, discretionary travel, and inflation-adjusted labor costs, which historically account for roughly 30% of total expense variance.
Sector-level drivers that materially affect LYV’s outlook are: (1) the post-pandemic rebound in live-event demand, currently outpacing pre-COVID levels by ~12% YoY; (2) the ongoing shift toward hybrid events and streaming-linked sponsorships, which can lift ancillary revenue per attendee by 5-8%; and (3) regulatory scrutiny of ticket-resale platforms, which can impact net-ticket-price realization and require compliance investments.
Assumption: the FY 2024 guidance assumes no major disruptions from new public-health restrictions or significant changes in visa-policy that would affect touring schedules. If either materializes, revenue forecasts would need downward revision.
For a deeper dive into LYV’s valuation sensitivities-including scenario analysis on ticket-price elasticity and sponsorship-spend trends-explore the analytical tools available on ValueRay.
LYV Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 30,187m |
| Sub-Industry | Movies & Entertainment |
| IPO / Inception | 2005-12-21 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -15.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.39 of 5 |
LYV Dividends
Currently no dividends paidLYV Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 23.76% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.92 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.87 |
| Current Volume | 3221.4k |
| Average Volume | 3221.4k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (899.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.47b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.72pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -3.94% (prev 0.41%; Δ -4.34pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.49b > Net Income 899.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.64b) to EBITDA (1.84b) ratio: 1.43 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.92 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (234.8m) change vs 12m ago -4.31% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 46.18% (prev 24.84%; Δ 21.34pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 115.3% (prev 118.1%; Δ -2.80pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.95 (EBITDA TTM 1.84b / Interest Expense TTM 310.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.06
| (A) -0.04 = (Total Current Assets 11.31b - Total Current Liabilities 12.28b) / Total Assets 22.89b |
| (B) -0.04 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -839.9m / Total Assets 22.89b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 1.23b / Avg Total Assets 21.32b |
| (D) -0.05 = Book Value of Equity -996.4m / Total Liabilities 20.91b |
| Total Rating: -0.06 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.68
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.90% |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.55% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 18.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.43 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.20)% |
| 7. RoE 309.8% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 39.47% |
| 9. EPS Trend 35.94% |
What is the price of LYV shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.71%, over one month by -17.71%, over three months by -20.32% and over the past year by -5.49%.
Is LYV a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 15
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the LYV price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 170.1 | 31.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 170.1 | 31.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 131.7 | 2.1% |
LYV Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 94.2029
P/E Forward = 90.9091
P/S = 1.2286
P/B = 58.4955
P/EG = 7.9724
Beta = 1.21
Revenue TTM = 24.57b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.23b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.84b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.11b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.41b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.64b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 32.83b USD (30.19b + Debt 9.39b - CCE 6.75b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.95 (Ebit TTM 1.23b / Interest Expense TTM 310.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.90% (FCF TTM 1.61b / Enterprise Value 32.83b)
FCF Margin = 6.55% (FCF TTM 1.61b / Revenue TTM 24.57b)
Net Margin = 3.66% (Net Income TTM 899.1m / Revenue TTM 24.57b)
Gross Margin = 46.18% ((Revenue TTM 24.57b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 85.07% (prev 25.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.43 (Enterprise Value 32.83b / Total Assets 22.89b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 80.3m / Debt 9.39b)
Taxrate = 34.51% (251.8m / 729.8m)
NOPAT = 802.3m (EBIT 1.23b * (1 - 34.51%))
Current Ratio = 0.92 (Total Current Assets 11.31b / Total Current Liabilities 12.28b)
Debt / Equity = 18.01 (Debt 9.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 521.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.43 (Net Debt 2.64b / EBITDA 1.84b)
Debt / FCF = 1.64 (Net Debt 2.64b / FCF TTM 1.61b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 290.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.93% (Net Income 899.1m / Total Assets 22.89b)
RoE = 309.8% (Net Income TTM 899.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 290.2m)
RoCE = 19.15% (EBIT 1.23b / Capital Employed (Equity 290.2m + L.T.Debt 6.11b))
RoIC = 11.53% (NOPAT 802.3m / Invested Capital 6.96b)
WACC = 7.33% (E(30.19b)/V(39.58b) * Re(9.43%) + D(9.39b)/V(39.58b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 9.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.31%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.96% ; FCFE base≈1.23b ; Y1≈1.02b ; Y5≈754.7m
Fair Price DCF = 47.43 (DCF Value 11.01b / Shares Outstanding 232.2m; 5y FCF grow -20.08% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 35.94 | EPS CAGR: 70.99% | SUE: -0.78 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 39.47 | Revenue CAGR: 28.22% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for LYV Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle