(MA) Mastercard - Ratings and Ratios
Cards, Processing, Gateway, Analytics, Cross-Border
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.67% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.17% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 13.34% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 19.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 16.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 27.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.65% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.30 |
| Alpha | -3.98 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.16 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.394 |
| Beta | 0.754 |
| Beta Downside | 0.785 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 16.73% |
| Mean DD | 3.71% |
| Median DD | 3.02% |
Description: MA Mastercard December 01, 2025
Mastercard Inc. (NYSE: MA) is a global technology-driven payments network that processes transactions and offers a suite of value-added services for consumers, merchants, financial institutions, governments and digital partners. Its portfolio includes credit, debit and prepaid products, merchant-centric solutions such as Virtual Card Numbers, B2B payment platforms, and open-banking APIs, as well as analytics, security and loyalty services delivered under the Mastercard, Maestro and Cirrus brands.
In FY 2023 the company generated $24.1 billion in net revenue, with a 12 % year-over-year increase in total payment volume driven by continued e-commerce growth and expanding cross-border transactions. Net income rose to $9.1 billion, reflecting an operating margin above 55 %, while the adoption of real-time payments and “Buy-Now-Pay-Later” (BNPL) programs remains a key catalyst for future earnings. Macro-level drivers include rising consumer spending, the ongoing shift from cash to digital wallets, and regulatory trends that favor interoperable, low-cost payment infrastructures.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Mastercard’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical tools worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 9.0
| Net Income (14.25b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.89b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.32 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.04% (prev 18.39%; Δ -10.35pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.33 (>3.0%) and CFO 17.48b > Net Income 14.25b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (8.67b) to EBITDA (19.29b) ratio: 0.45 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.12 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (905.0m) change vs 12m ago -2.16% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 77.49% (prev 75.95%; Δ 1.54pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 62.62% (prev 57.64%; Δ 4.98pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 24.39 (EBITDA TTM 19.29b / Interest Expense TTM 747.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 9.62
| (A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 23.22b - Total Current Liabilities 20.69b) / Total Assets 53.29b |
| (B) 1.53 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 81.75b / Total Assets 53.29b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.53 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.36 = EBIT TTM 18.22b / Avg Total Assets 50.26b |
| (D) 1.78 = Book Value of Equity 80.82b / Total Liabilities 45.37b |
| Total Rating: 9.62 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 92.78
| 1. Piotroski 9.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.19% |
| 3. FCF Margin 54.04% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.40 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.45 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 46.58)% |
| 7. RoE 196.9% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.87% |
| 9. EPS Trend 96.62% |
What is the price of MA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.68%, over one month by +5.28%, over three months by +2.15% and over the past year by +10.92%.
Is MA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 21
- Buy: 9
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 657.9 | 13.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 657.9 | 13.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 667.5 | 15.2% |
MA Fundamental Data Overview December 27, 2025
P/E Trailing = 37.0351
P/E Forward = 30.3951
P/S = 16.6476
P/B = 65.85
P/EG = 1.8829
Beta = 0.868
Revenue TTM = 31.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 18.22b USD
EBITDA TTM = 19.29b USD
Long Term Debt = 18.98b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 750.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 18.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.67b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 532.64b USD (523.97b + Debt 18.98b - CCE 10.31b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 24.39 (Ebit TTM 18.22b / Interest Expense TTM 747.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.19% (FCF TTM 17.01b / Enterprise Value 532.64b)
FCF Margin = 54.04% (FCF TTM 17.01b / Revenue TTM 31.47b)
Net Margin = 45.28% (Net Income TTM 14.25b / Revenue TTM 31.47b)
Gross Margin = 77.49% ((Revenue TTM 31.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.99% (prev 77.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 10.00 (Enterprise Value 532.64b / Total Assets 53.29b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.98% (Interest Expense 186.0m / Debt 18.98b)
Taxrate = 21.44% (1.07b / 5.00b)
NOPAT = 14.31b (EBIT 18.22b * (1 - 21.44%))
Current Ratio = 1.12 (Total Current Assets 23.22b / Total Current Liabilities 20.69b)
Debt / Equity = 2.40 (Debt 18.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.92b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.45 (Net Debt 8.67b / EBITDA 19.29b)
Debt / FCF = 0.51 (Net Debt 8.67b / FCF TTM 17.01b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 26.74% (Net Income 14.25b / Total Assets 53.29b)
RoE = 196.9% (Net Income TTM 14.25b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.24b)
RoCE = 69.47% (EBIT 18.22b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.24b + L.T.Debt 18.98b))
RoIC = 55.09% (NOPAT 14.31b / Invested Capital 25.97b)
WACC = 8.51% (E(523.97b)/V(542.95b) * Re(8.79%) + D(18.98b)/V(542.95b) * Rd(0.98%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.83%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.54% ; FCFE base≈15.43b ; Y1≈17.55b ; Y5≈24.11b
Fair Price DCF = 407.3 (DCF Value 363.03b / Shares Outstanding 891.3m; 5y FCF grow 16.08% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 96.62 | EPS CAGR: 18.06% | SUE: 1.41 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 97.87 | Revenue CAGR: 14.27% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=4.29 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=21
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.11 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+16.1% | Growth Revenue=+12.5%
Additional Sources for MA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle