(MAA) Mid-America Apartment - Ratings and Ratios
Apartment, Development, Management, Acquisition, Redevelopment
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.60% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.80% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 10.11% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 128.9% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 20.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 33.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.71% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.84 |
| Alpha | -23.86 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.438 |
| Beta | 0.455 |
| Beta Downside | 0.526 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 30.73% |
| Mean DD | 13.34% |
| Median DD | 13.37% |
Description: MAA Mid-America Apartment October 30, 2025
Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc. (NYSE: MAA) is an S&P 500-listed REIT that owns, manages, acquires, develops, and redevelops multifamily assets primarily in the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic U.S. As of June 30 2025 the company reported a portfolio of 104,347 apartment units across 16 states and the District of Columbia, including units under construction.
Key operational metrics from the most recent quarterly filing show an occupancy rate of 96.2 % and an average rent growth of 4.8 % year-over-year, outpacing the national multifamily average of roughly 3.5 %. The REIT’s funds-from-operations (FFO) grew 7.5 % YoY, reflecting both rent-increase momentum and disciplined cost-control in its redevelopment pipeline, which currently includes ≈ 3,200 units slated for completion by 2026. Macro-level drivers such as a tight rental supply (U.S. multifamily vacancy fell to 5.5 % in Q2 2025) and continued population inflows to Sun Belt markets support MAA’s growth outlook, though rising interest rates remain a headwind for cap-rate compression.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of MAA’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s analytical platform a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (556.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 132.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.78pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -51.37% (prev -52.06%; Δ 0.69pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.06b > Net Income 556.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.17b) to EBITDA (1.37b) ratio: 3.77 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.04 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (117.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.29% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 30.82% (prev 33.38%; Δ -2.56pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 18.61% (prev 18.57%; Δ 0.04pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.18 (EBITDA TTM 1.37b / Interest Expense TTM 180.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.92
| (A) -0.09 = (Total Current Assets 45.9m - Total Current Liabilities 1.18b) / Total Assets 11.93b |
| (B) -0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.61b / Total Assets 11.93b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 754.8m / Avg Total Assets 11.84b |
| (D) -0.27 = Book Value of Equity -1.60b / Total Liabilities 5.91b |
| Total Rating: -0.92 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.19
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.36% |
| 3. FCF Margin 32.31% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.89 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.77 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.72)% |
| 7. RoE 9.39% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 85.86% |
| 9. EPS Trend -35.47% |
What is the price of MAA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.73%, over one month by +1.56%, over three months by -7.93% and over the past year by -13.79%.
Is MAA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the MAA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 149.5 | 13.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 149.5 | 13.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 135.4 | 2.9% |
MAA Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 28.2436
P/E Forward = 35.3357
P/S = 7.2621
P/B = 2.6793
P/EG = 10.19
Beta = 0.776
Revenue TTM = 2.20b USD
EBIT TTM = 754.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.37b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.73b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 463.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.20b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.17b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 21.17b USD (16.00b + Debt 5.20b - CCE 32.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.18 (Ebit TTM 754.8m / Interest Expense TTM 180.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.36% (FCF TTM 712.0m / Enterprise Value 21.17b)
FCF Margin = 32.31% (FCF TTM 712.0m / Revenue TTM 2.20b)
Net Margin = 25.23% (Net Income TTM 556.0m / Revenue TTM 2.20b)
Gross Margin = 30.82% ((Revenue TTM 2.20b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.52b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.49% (prev 29.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.77 (Enterprise Value 21.17b / Total Assets 11.93b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 46.3m / Debt 5.20b)
Taxrate = 1.70% (1.77m / 103.8m)
NOPAT = 741.9m (EBIT 754.8m * (1 - 1.70%))
Current Ratio = 0.04 (Total Current Assets 45.9m / Total Current Liabilities 1.18b)
Debt / Equity = 0.89 (Debt 5.20b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.77 (Net Debt 5.17b / EBITDA 1.37b)
Debt / FCF = 7.25 (Net Debt 5.17b / FCF TTM 712.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.92b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.66% (Net Income 556.0m / Total Assets 11.93b)
RoE = 9.39% (Net Income TTM 556.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.92b)
RoCE = 7.08% (EBIT 754.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 5.92b + L.T.Debt 4.73b))
RoIC = 6.75% (NOPAT 741.9m / Invested Capital 10.99b)
WACC = 6.03% (E(16.00b)/V(21.20b) * Re(7.70%) + D(5.20b)/V(21.20b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 7.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.43% ; FCFE base≈671.1m ; Y1≈634.3m ; Y5≈601.2m
Fair Price DCF = 91.83 (DCF Value 10.75b / Shares Outstanding 117.1m; 5y FCF grow -7.10% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -35.47 | EPS CAGR: -13.90% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 85.86 | Revenue CAGR: 4.89% | SUE: -0.59 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.85 | Chg30d=-0.040 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.46 | Chg30d=-0.200 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-15.8% | Growth Revenue=+2.8%
Additional Sources for MAA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle