(MAC) Macerich - Ratings and Ratios
Retail, Centers, Real, Estate, Properties
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.59% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.78% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -12.31% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 188.9% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 59.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.81% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.02 |
| Alpha | -23.07 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.63 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.395 |
| Beta | 1.285 |
| Beta Downside | 1.441 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.56% |
| Mean DD | 14.61% |
| Median DD | 14.05% |
Description: MAC Macerich November 06, 2025
Macerich (NYSE: MAC) is a fully integrated, self-managed REIT that owns, operates, and develops high-quality retail properties in densely populated U.S. markets, principally California, the Pacific Northwest, Phoenix/Scottsdale, and the Metro NY-DC corridor. The portfolio comprises roughly 42 million sq ft across 39 centers, positioning the company as a leading owner-operator in the upscale retail segment.
Key performance metrics (FY 2023): Funds From Operations (FFO) of $1.2 billion, a dividend yield near 5.5 %, and a net leverage ratio of 5.2 × FFO. As of Q2 2024, same-store sales were up 2.8 % QoQ and occupancy held at 94 %, reflecting resilience despite broader e-commerce pressure.
Sector drivers that materially affect MAC include (1) consumer discretionary spending, which has been growing ~2 % YoY but remains sensitive to inflation and interest-rate cycles; (2) the shift toward experiential and mixed-use retail concepts that can command higher rent escalations tied to CPI; and (3) the cost of capital environment, with the Fed policy rate around 5.5 % influencing REIT financing and dividend sustainability.
For a deeper quantitative view, the ValueRay platform offers side-by-side comparisons of MAC’s EV/EBITDA, occupancy trends, and dividend coverage against its retail REIT peers, which can help you assess whether the current valuation reflects its underlying fundamentals.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-389.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 61.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.56pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -17.89% (prev -25.23%; Δ 7.34pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 347.4m > Net Income -389.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.86b) to EBITDA (381.1m) ratio: 12.74 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.74 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (254.1m) change vs 12m ago 16.35% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 64.60% (prev 54.08%; Δ 10.52pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 12.81% (prev 11.64%; Δ 1.18pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.08 (EBITDA TTM 381.1m / Interest Expense TTM 284.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -2.23
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 512.2m - Total Current Liabilities 695.7m) / Total Assets 8.42b |
| (B) -0.44 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -3.72b / Total Assets 8.42b |
| (C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 22.3m / Avg Total Assets 8.01b |
| (D) -0.64 = Book Value of Equity -3.71b / Total Liabilities 5.84b |
| Total Rating: -2.23 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.10
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.58% |
| 3. FCF Margin 34.34% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.05 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 12.74 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.73)% |
| 7. RoE -14.82% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 64.15% |
| 9. EPS Trend -1.42% |
What is the price of MAC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.72%, over one month by +10.93%, over three months by +6.84% and over the past year by -4.33%.
Is MAC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the MAC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 19.7 | 4.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 19.7 | 4.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 21.7 | 14.7% |
MAC Fundamental Data Overview December 21, 2025
P/E Forward = 500.0
P/S = 4.5412
P/B = 1.8849
P/EG = -485.0
Beta = 2.058
Revenue TTM = 1.03b USD
EBIT TTM = 22.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 381.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.08b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 330.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 5.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.86b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.85b USD (5.00b + Debt 5.15b - CCE 290.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.08 (Ebit TTM 22.3m / Interest Expense TTM 284.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.58% (FCF TTM 352.3m / Enterprise Value 9.85b)
FCF Margin = 34.34% (FCF TTM 352.3m / Revenue TTM 1.03b)
Net Margin = -37.97% (Net Income TTM -389.6m / Revenue TTM 1.03b)
Gross Margin = 64.60% ((Revenue TTM 1.03b - Cost of Revenue TTM 363.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 95.80% (prev 55.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.17 (Enterprise Value 9.85b / Total Assets 8.42b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.41% (Interest Expense 72.7m / Debt 5.15b)
Taxrate = -0.80% (negative due to tax credits) (710.0k / -89.3m)
NOPAT = 22.5m (EBIT 22.3m * (1 - -0.80%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.74 (Total Current Assets 512.2m / Total Current Liabilities 695.7m)
Debt / Equity = 2.05 (Debt 5.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.51b)
Debt / EBITDA = 12.74 (Net Debt 4.86b / EBITDA 381.1m)
Debt / FCF = 13.79 (Net Debt 4.86b / FCF TTM 352.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.62% (Net Income -389.6m / Total Assets 8.42b)
RoE = -14.82% (Net Income TTM -389.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.63b)
RoCE = 0.29% (EBIT 22.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.63b + L.T.Debt 5.08b))
RoIC = 0.29% (NOPAT 22.5m / Invested Capital 7.78b)
WACC = 6.02% (E(5.00b)/V(10.14b) * Re(10.75%) + D(5.15b)/V(10.14b) * Rd(1.41%) * (1-Tc(-0.01)))
Discount Rate = 10.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.61%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.41% ; FCFE base≈321.4m ; Y1≈328.1m ; Y5≈362.8m
Fair Price DCF = 16.28 (DCF Value 4.17b / Shares Outstanding 256.1m; 5y FCF grow 1.91% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -1.42 | EPS CAGR: -6.57% | SUE: -0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 64.15 | Revenue CAGR: 2.67% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.11 | Chg30d=+0.009 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.18 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+53.6% | Growth Revenue=-1.3%
Additional Sources for MAC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle