(MAC) Macerich - Ratings and Ratios
Retail, Centers, Real, Estate, Properties
MAC EPS (Earnings per Share)
MAC Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 61.3% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.03 |
| Alpha | -33.88 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.339 |
| Beta | 2.209 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.56% |
| Mean DD | 14.37% |
Description: MAC Macerich November 06, 2025
Macerich (NYSE: MAC) is a fully integrated, self-managed REIT that owns, operates, and develops high-quality retail properties in densely populated U.S. markets, principally California, the Pacific Northwest, Phoenix/Scottsdale, and the Metro NY-DC corridor. The portfolio comprises roughly 42 million sq ft across 39 centers, positioning the company as a leading owner-operator in the upscale retail segment.
Key performance metrics (FY 2023): Funds From Operations (FFO) of $1.2 billion, a dividend yield near 5.5 %, and a net leverage ratio of 5.2 × FFO. As of Q2 2024, same-store sales were up 2.8 % QoQ and occupancy held at 94 %, reflecting resilience despite broader e-commerce pressure.
Sector drivers that materially affect MAC include (1) consumer discretionary spending, which has been growing ~2 % YoY but remains sensitive to inflation and interest-rate cycles; (2) the shift toward experiential and mixed-use retail concepts that can command higher rent escalations tied to CPI; and (3) the cost of capital environment, with the Fed policy rate around 5.5 % influencing REIT financing and dividend sustainability.
For a deeper quantitative view, the ValueRay platform offers side-by-side comparisons of MAC’s EV/EBITDA, occupancy trends, and dividend coverage against its retail REIT peers, which can help you assess whether the current valuation reflects its underlying fundamentals.
MAC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 4,480m |
| Sub-Industry | Retail REITs |
| IPO / Inception | 1994-03-09 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -19.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.40 of 5 |
MAC Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.84% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.21% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -12.31% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 188.9% |
MAC Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 16.00% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.40 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.11 |
| Current Volume | 795.6k |
| Average Volume | 1573.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-410.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 59.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.07pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -31.89% (prev -27.29%; Δ -4.60pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 313.9m > Net Income -410.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.26b) to EBITDA (487.2m) ratio: 10.80 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.53 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (253.1m) change vs 12m ago 17.07% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 54.04% (prev 54.17%; Δ -0.14pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 12.03% (prev 11.32%; Δ 0.71pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.58 (EBITDA TTM 487.2m / Interest Expense TTM 253.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -2.08
| (A) -0.04 = (Total Current Assets 358.2m - Total Current Liabilities 674.8m) / Total Assets 8.73b |
| (B) -0.41 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -3.58b / Total Assets 8.73b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 146.1m / Avg Total Assets 8.25b |
| (D) -0.59 = Book Value of Equity -3.58b / Total Liabilities 6.07b |
| Total Rating: -2.08 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.71
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt = -3.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.22% = 1.61 |
| 3. FCF Margin 31.62% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.09 = 0.64 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 10.80 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.24)% = -6.55 |
| 7. RoE -15.61% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 64.56% = 4.84 |
| 9. EPS Trend 13.12% = 0.66 |
What is the price of MAC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.36%, over one month by +7.17%, over three months by +8.68% and over the past year by -7.35%.
Is Macerich a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MAC is around 17.80 USD . This means that MAC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -0.78%.
Is MAC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the MAC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 19.8 | 10.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 19.8 | 10.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 19.6 | 9.3% |
MAC Fundamental Data Overview November 01, 2025
P/E Forward = 500.0
P/S = 4.2699
P/B = 1.7519
P/EG = -485.0
Beta = 2.209
Revenue TTM = 992.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 146.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 487.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.32b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 330.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 5.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.26b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.74b USD (4.48b + Debt 5.39b - CCE 131.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.58 (Ebit TTM 146.1m / Interest Expense TTM 253.3m)
FCF Yield = 3.22% (FCF TTM 313.9m / Enterprise Value 9.74b)
FCF Margin = 31.62% (FCF TTM 313.9m / Revenue TTM 992.9m)
Net Margin = -41.34% (Net Income TTM -410.4m / Revenue TTM 992.9m)
Gross Margin = 54.04% ((Revenue TTM 992.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 456.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.03% (prev 52.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.12 (Enterprise Value 9.74b / Total Assets 8.73b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.33% (Interest Expense 71.9m / Debt 5.39b)
Taxrate = 0.45% (-188.0k / -41.7m)
NOPAT = 145.4m (EBIT 146.1m * (1 - 0.45%))
Current Ratio = 0.53 (Total Current Assets 358.2m / Total Current Liabilities 674.8m)
Debt / Equity = 2.09 (Debt 5.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.59b)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.80 (Net Debt 5.26b / EBITDA 487.2m)
Debt / FCF = 16.76 (Net Debt 5.26b / FCF TTM 313.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.70% (Net Income -410.4m / Total Assets 8.73b)
RoE = -15.61% (Net Income TTM -410.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.63b)
RoCE = 1.84% (EBIT 146.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.63b + L.T.Debt 5.32b))
RoIC = 1.91% (NOPAT 145.4m / Invested Capital 7.60b)
WACC = 7.15% (E(4.48b)/V(9.87b) * Re(14.16%) + D(5.39b)/V(9.87b) * Rd(1.33%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 14.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 8.29%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.78% ; FCFE base≈302.5m ; Y1≈311.5m ; Y5≈350.5m
Fair Price DCF = 11.04 (DCF Value 2.79b / Shares Outstanding 252.8m; 5y FCF grow 2.98% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 13.12 | EPS CAGR: -0.29% | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 64.56 | Revenue CAGR: 6.38% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for MAC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle