(MAC) Macerich - Ratings and Ratios
Shopping Centers, Retail Properties, Mixed-Use Developments, REIT Portfolio
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.71% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.49% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.18% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 188.9% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 58.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.76% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.08 |
| Alpha | -30.68 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.48 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.306 |
| Beta | 1.299 |
| Beta Downside | 1.420 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.56% |
| Mean DD | 14.75% |
| Median DD | 14.05% |
Description: MAC Macerich January 09, 2026
Macerich (NYSE: MAC) is a fully integrated, self-managed REIT that owns, operates, and develops high-quality retail properties in densely populated U.S. markets, with a portfolio concentrated in California, the Pacific Northwest, Phoenix/Scottsdale, and the Metro New York-Washington corridor.
The company controls roughly 39 million sq ft across 38 retail centers, positioning its assets as community anchors. Recent filings show FY 2024 funds-from-operations (FFO) of $1.05 billion and a trailing-12-month occupancy rate of 93.2%, indicating solid cash generation despite a challenging retail environment.
Key economic drivers for Macerich include consumer discretionary spending trends, regional employment growth (especially in California’s tech hubs), and the trajectory of interest rates, which affect both borrowing costs and the discount rates applied to REIT valuations. The sector is also feeling pressure from e-commerce, making tenant mix diversification and experiential offerings increasingly critical.
On the ESG front, Macerich has been ranked #1 by the Global Real Estate Sustainability Benchmark (GRESB) for North American retail for ten straight years (2015-2024), underscoring its commitment to sustainability, social responsibility, and governance standards.
For a deeper quantitative comparison of Macerich’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform offers a concise dashboard worth checking out.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-389.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 61.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.56pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -17.89% (prev -25.23%; Δ 7.34pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 347.4m > Net Income -389.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.86b) to EBITDA (515.7m) ratio: 9.42 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.74 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (254.1m) change vs 12m ago 16.35% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 54.86% (prev 54.08%; Δ 0.78pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 12.81% (prev 11.64%; Δ 1.18pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.54 (EBITDA TTM 515.7m / Interest Expense TTM 284.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -2.12
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 512.2m - Total Current Liabilities 695.7m) / Total Assets 8.42b |
| (B) -0.44 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -3.72b / Total Assets 8.42b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 153.8m / Avg Total Assets 8.01b |
| (D) -0.64 = Book Value of Equity -3.71b / Total Liabilities 5.84b |
| Total Rating: -2.12 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 52.50
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.59% |
| 3. FCF Margin 34.34% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.05 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 9.42 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.01)% |
| 7. RoE -14.82% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 64.15% |
| 9. EPS Trend 3.47% |
What is the price of MAC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.08%, over one month by +4.57%, over three months by +8.37% and over the past year by -1.38%.
Is MAC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the MAC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 19.7 | 7.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 19.7 | 7.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 20.6 | 12.6% |
MAC Fundamental Data Overview January 05, 2026
P/S = 4.5144
P/B = 1.889
P/EG = -485.0
Beta = 2.058
Revenue TTM = 1.03b USD
EBIT TTM = 153.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 515.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.08b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 330.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 5.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.86b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.82b USD (4.97b + Debt 5.15b - CCE 290.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.54 (Ebit TTM 153.8m / Interest Expense TTM 284.6m)
EV/FCF = 27.88x (Enterprise Value 9.82b / FCF TTM 352.3m)
FCF Yield = 3.59% (FCF TTM 352.3m / Enterprise Value 9.82b)
FCF Margin = 34.34% (FCF TTM 352.3m / Revenue TTM 1.03b)
Net Margin = -37.97% (Net Income TTM -389.6m / Revenue TTM 1.03b)
Gross Margin = 54.86% ((Revenue TTM 1.03b - Cost of Revenue TTM 463.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.35% (prev 55.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.17 (Enterprise Value 9.82b / Total Assets 8.42b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.41% (Interest Expense 72.7m / Debt 5.15b)
Taxrate = 0.78% (-710.0k / -90.7m)
NOPAT = 152.6m (EBIT 153.8m * (1 - 0.78%))
Current Ratio = 0.74 (Total Current Assets 512.2m / Total Current Liabilities 695.7m)
Debt / Equity = 2.05 (Debt 5.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.51b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.42 (Net Debt 4.86b / EBITDA 515.7m)
Debt / FCF = 13.79 (Net Debt 4.86b / FCF TTM 352.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.87% (Net Income -389.6m / Total Assets 8.42b)
RoE = -14.82% (Net Income TTM -389.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.63b)
RoCE = 2.00% (EBIT 153.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.63b + L.T.Debt 5.08b))
RoIC = 1.96% (NOPAT 152.6m / Invested Capital 7.78b)
WACC = 5.97% (E(4.97b)/V(10.11b) * Re(10.70%) + D(5.15b)/V(10.11b) * Rd(1.41%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 10.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 8.52%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 86.26% ; FCFF base≈321.4m ; Y1≈328.0m ; Y5≈361.9m
Fair Price DCF = 22.16 (EV 10.53b - Net Debt 4.86b = Equity 5.68b / Shares 256.1m; r=5.97% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 1.91% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 3.47 | EPS CAGR: 4.02% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 64.15 | Revenue CAGR: 2.67% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.10 | Chg30d=+0.015 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.18 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+50.8% | Growth Revenue=-1.3%
Additional Sources for MAC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle