(MANU) Manchester United - NYSE
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Entertainment | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 3.785m USD | Total Return: 39.3% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 7.06M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -26.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Interest Coverage Ratio -0.1 is critical
Altman Z'' -2.54 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
Rs Leader, Idiosyncratic Leader, Tailwind
Manchester United plc operates a globally recognized professional sports franchise, leveraging its brand through three primary revenue streams: commercial, broadcasting, and matchday operations. The commercial segment focuses on global sponsorship deals and the retail of branded apparel and licensed merchandise across digital and physical channels.
The broadcasting segment manages the distribution of live match content and dedicated programming via the MUTV channel and partnerships with the Premier League and UEFA. In the professional sports industry, broadcasting rights typically represent the largest and most stable source of recurring revenue due to multi-year collective bargaining agreements.
The company also manages infrastructure assets, most notably the Old Trafford stadium, and holds various real estate investments. Unlike traditional entertainment firms, sports franchises operate as trophy assets where valuations are often driven more by brand equity and scarcity than by standard price-to-earnings multiples. Investors can further analyze these valuation metrics on ValueRay.
Founded in 1878 and headquartered in Manchester, the company transitioned to a public entity on the NYSE in 2012. It remains a central player in the global sports economy, utilizing its historic intellectual property to secure international marketing and sponsorship relationships.
- Broadcasting revenue fluctuations based on Premier League and UEFA Champions League performance
- Commercial partnership growth driven by global brand licensing and sponsorship renewals
- Matchday revenue volatility tied to stadium attendance and cup competition progression
- Player transfer expenditures and wage inflation impact overall operating margins
- Strategic investment and ownership structure changes influence long-term equity valuation
| Net Income: -18.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.81 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -68.04% < 20% (prev -66.39%; Δ -1.65% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 114.5m > Net Income -18.1m |
| Net Debt (698.4m) to EBITDA (216.2m): 3.23 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.37 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (172.4m) vs 12m ago 0.05% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 3.70% > 18% (prev -5.83%; Δ 9.53% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 42.58% > 50% (prev 40.21%; Δ 2.38% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.14 > 6 (EBIT TTM -9.84m / Interest Expense TTM 68.5m) |
| A: -0.29 (Total Current Assets 272.5m - Total Current Liabilities 733.7m) / Total Assets 1.59b |
| B: -0.22 (Retained Earnings -355.1m / Total Assets 1.59b) |
| C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -9.84m / Avg Total Assets 1.59b) |
| D: 0.13 (Book Value of Equity 179.4m / Total Liabilities 1.41b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -2.54 = D |
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 179.4m/165.7m, Revenue 677.8m/640.5m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.64 / AQ_t-1 0.65) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 677.8m / 640.5m) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI -18.1m - CFO 114.5m) / TA 1.59b) |
| Beneish M = -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of June 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 23.53 with a total of 300,659 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.02%,
over one month by +24.50%,
over three months by +40.39% and
over the past year by +39.31%.
Manchester United has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MANU.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 25.7 | 9.3% |
Market Cap GBP = 2.82b (3.78b USD * 0.7457 USD.GBP)
P/E Forward = 106.383
P/S = 4.2361
P/B = 16.1604
P/EG = 0.3502
Revenue TTM = 677.8m GBP
EBIT TTM = -9.84m GBP
EBITDA TTM = 216.2m GBP
Long Term Debt = 490.1m GBP (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 262.9m GBP (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 759.3m GBP (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.34m
Net Debt = 698.4m GBP (calculated: Debt 759.3m - CCE 60.9m)
Enterprise Value = 3.52b GBP (2.82b + Debt 759.3m - CCE 60.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.14 (Ebit TTM -9.84m / Interest Expense TTM 68.5m)
EV/FCF = -29.47x (Enterprise Value 3.52b / FCF TTM -119.5m)
FCF Yield = -3.39% (FCF TTM -119.5m / Enterprise Value 3.52b)
FCF Margin = -17.63% (FCF TTM -119.5m / Revenue TTM 677.8m)
Net Margin = -2.67% (Net Income TTM -18.1m / Revenue TTM 677.8m)
Gross Margin = 3.70% ((Revenue TTM 677.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 652.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 8.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.21 (Enterprise Value 3.52b / Total Assets 1.59b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.02% (Interest Expense 68.5m / Debt 759.3m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -7.77m (EBIT -9.84m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.37 (Total Current Assets 272.5m / Total Current Liabilities 733.7m)
Debt / Equity = 4.23 (Debt 759.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 179.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.23 (Net Debt 698.4m / EBITDA 216.2m)
Debt / FCF = -5.85 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 698.4m / FCF TTM -119.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 187.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.14% (Net Income -18.1m / Total Assets 1.59b)
RoE = -9.65% (Net Income TTM -18.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 187.6m)
RoCE = -1.45% (EBIT -9.84m / Capital Employed (Equity 187.6m + L.T.Debt 490.1m))
RoIC = -0.72% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -7.77m / Invested Capital 1.09b)
WACC = 6.75% (E(2.82b)/V(3.58b) * Re(6.65%) + D(759.3m)/V(3.58b) * Rd(9.02%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 93.21 | Cagr: 2.33%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -119.5m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -26.29 | Revenue CAGR: -1.09% | SUE: 0.32 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=+50.00% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.26 | Chg30d=-36.84% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=-153.9% | GrowthRev=-0.1%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=+83.33% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+142.3% | GrowthRev=+13.7%