MCK Stock Analysis: McKesson | NYSE

Medical Distribution | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 102.704m USD | 12M Return: 24.3% | US58155Q1031 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Pharmaceuticals, Oncology, Prescription Services, Medical Supplies
Total Rating 60
Safety 62
Buy Signal -0.37
Medical Distribution
Industry Rotation: -4.1
Market Cap: 103B
Avg Turnover: 754M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility37.2%
VaR 5th Pctl6.05%
VaR vs Median-1.01%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.71
Rel. Str. IBD48.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group37.1
Character TTM
Beta-0.354
Beta Downside-0.634
Hurst Exponent0.446
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD27.17%
CAGR/Max DD0.99
CAGR/Mean DD4.37
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MCK over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 5.56, "2021-09": 6.15, "2021-12": 6.15, "2022-03": 5.83, "2022-06": 5.83, "2022-09": 6.06, "2022-12": 6.9, "2023-03": 7.19, "2023-06": 7.27, "2023-09": 6.23, "2023-12": 7.74, "2024-03": 6.18, "2024-06": 7.88, "2024-09": 7.07, "2024-12": 8.03, "2025-03": 10.12, "2025-06": 8.26, "2025-09": 9.86, "2025-12": 9.34, "2026-03": 11.69, "2026-06": 9.93,
EPS CAGR: 17.05%
EPS Trend: 95.9%
Last SUE: 1.50
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of MCK over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 62674, 2021-09: 66576, 2021-12: 68614, 2022-03: 66102, 2022-06: 67154, 2022-09: 70157, 2022-12: 70490, 2023-03: 68910, 2023-06: 74483, 2023-09: 77215, 2023-12: 80898, 2024-03: 76355, 2024-06: 79283, 2024-09: 93651, 2024-12: 95294, 2025-03: 90823, 2025-06: 97827, 2025-09: 103150, 2025-12: 106158, 2026-03: 96295, 2026-06: 105380,
Rev. CAGR: 14.50%
Rev. Trend: 99.2%
Last SUE: 0.54
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +1.5% 19
Feb +0.5% 10
Mar -0.9% 5
Apr +0.9% 5
May +3.0% 28
Jun +0.2% 5
Jul +0.3% 8
Aug -0.3% 0
Sep -1.1% 14
Oct -0.6% 0
Nov +6.1% 56
Dec -4.6% 46

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MCK McKesson

McKesson Corporation (NYSE: MCK) is a major U.S.-headquartered healthcare services company operating through four segments: North American Pharmaceutical, Oncology & Multispecialty, Prescription Technology Solutions, and Medical-Surgical Solutions. The company distributes branded, generic, specialty, biosimilar, and over-the-counter pharmaceutical drugs to retail pharmacies, hospitals, long-term care centers, clinics, and other institutions, while also providing logistics, consulting, technology, and clinical solutions across the healthcare value chain. Additional offerings include gene therapy services (InspiroGene), vaccine distribution, cancer and specialty care technology, electronic prior authorization, prescription price transparency tools, and medical-surgical supplies to physician offices, surgery centers, and home health agencies.

Founded in 1833 and headquartered in Irving, Texas, McKesson is classified under the GICS Health Care Distributors sub-industry. It is one of the largest pharmaceutical wholesalers in the United States, a sector that functions as an intermediary between drug manufacturers and healthcare providers and historically operates on a high-volume, low-margin business model. In recent years, the company has increasingly expanded into value-added services-such as technology platforms, patient access programs, and specialty care solutions-to complement its core wholesale distribution operations.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Specialty oncology distribution revenue accelerates on biosimilar adoption
  • Opioid litigation settlement charges pressure reported margins
  • Prescription Technology Solutions scales with prior authorization demand
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 4.59b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.57 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.83% < 20% (prev -1.99%; Δ 0.16% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 6.85b > Net Income 4.59b
Net Debt (8.62b) to EBITDA (7.38b): 1.17 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.89 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (119.2m) vs 12m ago -5.02% < -2%
Gross Margin: 3.64% > 18% (prev 3.33%; Δ 0.31% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 484.5% > 50% (prev 464.4%; Δ 20.15% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 24.20 > 6 (EBIT TTM 6.65b / Interest Expense TTM 275.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.89
A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 62.8b - Total Current Liabilities 70.4b) / Total Assets 88.3b
B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 22.8b / Total Assets 88.3b)
C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 6.65b / Avg Total Assets 84.8b)
D: 0.08 (Book Value of Equity 6.50b / Total Liabilities 81.8b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.89 = B
Beneish M -3.07
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 30.3b/28.2b, Revenue 411b/378b)
GMI: 0.91 (GM 3.33% / 3.64%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.24 / AQ_t-1 0.24)
SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 411b / 378b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 4.59b - CFO 6.85b) / TA 88.3b)
Beneish M = -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of MCK shares?

As of August 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 871.38 with a total of 1,377,728 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.68%, over one month by +11.11%, over three months by +17.30% and over the past year by +24.32%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 825.70 (which is 5.2% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is MCK a buy, sell or hold?

McKesson has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MCK.

  • StrongBuy: 10
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MCK price?
Analysts Target Price 947.1 8.7%
McKesson (MCK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 103b (103b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 22.8624
P/E Forward = 18.7617
P/S = 0.2555
P/B = 4.9219
P/EG = 1.6216
Revenue TTM = 411b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.65b USD
EBITDA TTM = 7.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.26b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.59b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.8b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.09b
Net Debt = 8.62b USD (calculated: Debt 13.8b - CCE 5.16b)
Enterprise Value = 111b USD (103b + Debt 13.8b - CCE 5.16b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 24.20 (Ebit TTM 6.65b / Interest Expense TTM 275.0m)
EV/FCF = 16.51x (Enterprise Value 111b / FCF TTM 6.75b)
FCF Yield = 6.06% (FCF TTM 6.75b / Enterprise Value 111b)
FCF Margin = 1.64% (FCF TTM 6.75b / Revenue TTM 411b)
Net Margin = 1.12% (Net Income TTM 4.59b / Revenue TTM 411b)
Gross Margin = 3.64% ((Revenue TTM 411b - Cost of Revenue TTM 396b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 3.50% (prev 4.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.26 (Enterprise Value 111b / Total Assets 88.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.99% (Interest Expense 275.0m / Debt 13.8b)
Taxrate = 17.93% (1.16b / 6.46b)
NOPAT = 5.46b (EBIT 6.65b * (1 - 17.93%))
Current Ratio = 0.89 (Total Current Assets 62.8b / Total Current Liabilities 70.4b)
Debt / Equity = 2.12 (Debt 13.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.17 (Net Debt 8.62b / EBITDA 7.38b)
Debt / FCF = 1.28 (Net Debt 8.62b / FCF TTM 6.75b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 912.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.41% (Net Income 4.59b / Total Assets 88.3b)
RoE = 503.2% (Net Income TTM 4.59b / Total Stockholder Equity 912.5m)
RoCE = 107.8% (EBIT 6.65b / Capital Employed (Equity 912.5m + L.T.Debt 5.26b))
RoIC = 37.93% (NOPAT 5.46b / Invested Capital 14.4b)
WACC = 4.37% (E(103b)/V(116b) * Re(4.74%) + D(13.8b)/V(116b) * Rd(1.99%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 4.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.84 | Cagr: -4.30%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈6.34b ; Y1≈7.27b ; Y5≈10.7b
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.30k (EV 161b - Net Debt 8.62b = Equity 152b / Shares 117.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.87 | EPS CAGR: 17.05% | SUE: 1.50 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.23 | Revenue CAGR: 14.50% | SUE: 0.54 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=10.76 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=+38% | Analysts=15
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=11.06 | Chg30d=-1.49% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=44.25 | Chg30d=-0.02% | Revisions=-12% | GrowthEPS=+13.2% | GrowthRev=+6.9%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=50.38 | Chg30d=+0.06% | Revisions=-10% | GrowthEPS=+13.8% | GrowthRev=+7.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=11, down=11)