(MCO) Moodys - Ratings and Ratios
Credit Ratings, Risk Analytics, Research, Data, SaaS
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.78% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.43% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 11.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 27.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 36.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 0.17% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.07 |
| Alpha | -17.07 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.75 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.338 |
| Beta | 1.031 |
| Beta Downside | 1.100 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.65% |
| Mean DD | 5.31% |
| Median DD | 4.83% |
Description: MCO Moodys December 02, 2025
Moody’s Corporation (NYSE:MCO) is a global integrated risk-assessment firm that operates through two primary businesses: Moody’s Analytics and Moody’s Investors Service.
Moody’s Analytics delivers credit research, quantitative models, economic data, and SaaS solutions that support risk-management, banking, insurance, and “know-your-customer” (KYC) workflows for institutional market participants.
Moody’s Investors Service provides credit ratings and related assessment services on a wide range of debt instruments-including corporate, financial-institution, sovereign, and structured-finance securities-helping issuers and investors gauge creditworthiness.
Founded in 1900 (originally Dun & Bradstreet) and renamed in 2000, the company is headquartered in New York and is classified under the Financial Exchanges & Data sub-industry.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue of roughly $6.2 billion, operating margin near 38 %, and a ~40 % share of the global credit-rating market; Moody’s Analytics SaaS revenue grew ~12 % YoY, driven by heightened regulatory compliance and ESG-data demand. The business’s performance is sensitive to macro-drivers such as interest-rate cycles, credit-cycle volatility, and the pace of digital transformation in financial services.
For deeper quantitative insights on Moody’s valuation and risk metrics, consider exploring the ValueRay platform.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (2.24b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 450.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.40pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 28.00% (prev 29.58%; Δ -1.59pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.72b > Net Income 2.24b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.46b) to EBITDA (3.64b) ratio: 1.50 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.84 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (180.2m) change vs 12m ago -1.26% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 67.46% (prev 66.81%; Δ 0.65pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 48.11% (prev 43.73%; Δ 4.38pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 15.84 (EBITDA TTM 3.64b / Interest Expense TTM 200.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 7.37
| (A) 0.14 = (Total Current Assets 4.60b - Total Current Liabilities 2.50b) / Total Assets 15.41b |
| (B) 1.10 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 16.93b / Total Assets 15.41b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.10 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.20 = EBIT TTM 3.17b / Avg Total Assets 15.59b |
| (D) 1.45 = Book Value of Equity 16.42b / Total Liabilities 11.30b |
| Total Rating: 7.37 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 88.14
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.85% |
| 3. FCF Margin 35.24% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.93 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 12.72)% |
| 7. RoE 59.17% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 82.38% |
| 9. EPS Trend 64.19% |
What is the price of MCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.44%, over one month by -0.82%, over three months by -4.97% and over the past year by -1.59%.
Is MCO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 541.8 | 12.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 541.8 | 12.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 537.4 | 12% |
MCO Fundamental Data Overview December 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 39.1602
P/E Forward = 29.7619
P/S = 11.6297
P/B = 21.9621
P/EG = 1.8719
Beta = 1.453
Revenue TTM = 7.50b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.17b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.64b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.98b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 98.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.46b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 92.70b USD (87.23b + Debt 7.64b - CCE 2.18b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.84 (Ebit TTM 3.17b / Interest Expense TTM 200.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.85% (FCF TTM 2.64b / Enterprise Value 92.70b)
FCF Margin = 35.24% (FCF TTM 2.64b / Revenue TTM 7.50b)
Net Margin = 29.92% (Net Income TTM 2.24b / Revenue TTM 7.50b)
Gross Margin = 67.46% ((Revenue TTM 7.50b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.44b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 69.36% (prev 67.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.01 (Enterprise Value 92.70b / Total Assets 15.41b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.94% (Interest Expense 72.0m / Debt 7.64b)
Taxrate = 25.37% (220.0m / 867.0m)
NOPAT = 2.36b (EBIT 3.17b * (1 - 25.37%))
Current Ratio = 1.84 (Total Current Assets 4.60b / Total Current Liabilities 2.50b)
Debt / Equity = 1.93 (Debt 7.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.50 (Net Debt 5.46b / EBITDA 3.64b)
Debt / FCF = 2.07 (Net Debt 5.46b / FCF TTM 2.64b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.56% (Net Income 2.24b / Total Assets 15.41b)
RoE = 59.17% (Net Income TTM 2.24b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.79b)
RoCE = 29.40% (EBIT 3.17b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.79b + L.T.Debt 6.98b))
RoIC = 21.80% (NOPAT 2.36b / Invested Capital 10.84b)
WACC = 9.09% (E(87.23b)/V(94.88b) * Re(9.82%) + D(7.64b)/V(94.88b) * Rd(0.94%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.82% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.93%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.89% ; FCFE base≈2.52b ; Y1≈3.10b ; Y5≈5.30b
Fair Price DCF = 369.8 (DCF Value 65.97b / Shares Outstanding 178.4m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 64.19 | EPS CAGR: 14.88% | SUE: 2.86 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 82.38 | Revenue CAGR: 7.34% | SUE: 1.13 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=4.21 | Chg30d=+0.029 | Revisions Net=+4 | Analysts=18
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=16.32 | Chg30d=+0.090 | Revisions Net=+22 | Growth EPS=+11.2% | Growth Revenue=+8.1%
Additional Sources for MCO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle