MDU Stock Analysis: MDU Resources | NYSE
Utilities - Regulated Gas | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.329m USD | 12M Return: 30.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 34.2M
EPS Trend: -82.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -91.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
MDU Resources Group is a U.S. regulated energy delivery company operating through three segments: Electric, Natural Gas Distribution, and Pipeline. Its electric business serves customers in Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming via transmission and distribution infrastructure along with substations. The natural gas distribution segment serves eight states across the northern and western U.S., while the pipeline segment provides natural gas transportation and underground storage services across the Rocky Mountain and northern Great Plains regions. The company also offers ancillary services including cathodic protection and transportation and storage solutions.
Founded in 1924 and headquartered in Bismarck, North Dakota, MDU Resources is classified within the Utilities sector, specifically the Gas Utilities sub-industry. As a regulated multi-utility holding company, its operations are generally subject to state-level public utility commissions that establish rates based on an allowed return on invested capital, which tends to produce stable, predictable cash flows characteristic of the utility sector. Its mid-cap status and diversified energy delivery footprint across multiple states position it as a regional player in the U.S. utility landscape.
- Regulated rate base growth supports earnings across utility segments
- Pipeline segment benefits from Rocky Mountain storage and transportation demand
- Construction services divestiture sharpens pure-play regulated utility focus
| Net Income: 189.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.83 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -8.79% < 20% (prev -5.04%; Δ -3.75% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 405.1m > Net Income 189.3m |
| Net Debt (2.63b) to EBITDA (528.8m): 4.98 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.78 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (207.0m) vs 12m ago 1.00% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 28.16% > 18% (prev 32.12%; Δ -3.96% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 24.67% > 50% (prev 26.50%; Δ -1.83% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.81 > 6 (EBIT TTM 319.2m / Interest Expense TTM 113.6m) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 559.5m - Total Current Liabilities 718.3m) / Total Assets 7.68b |
| B: 0.15 (Retained Earnings 1.16b / Total Assets 7.68b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 319.2m / Avg Total Assets 7.32b) |
| D: 0.61 (Book Value of Equity 2.90b / Total Liabilities 4.78b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.29 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.85 (Receivables 223.0m/269.2m, Revenue 1.81b/1.84b) |
| GMI: 1.14 (GM 32.12% / 28.16%) |
| AQI: -1.04 (AQ_t -0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.15) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 1.81b / 1.84b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 189.3m - CFO 405.1m) / TA 7.68b) |
| Beneish M = -4.26 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 20.83 with a total of 925,109 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.79%, over one month by -0.57%, over three months by -5.42% and over the past year by +30.91%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.70 (which is 5.4% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).
MDU Resources has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.20. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MDU.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 23.3 | 11.8% |
P/E Trailing = 22.5109
P/E Forward = 21.5517
P/S = 2.3965
P/B = 1.5267
P/EG = 2.7257
Revenue TTM = 1.81b USD
EBIT TTM = 319.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 528.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.38b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 214.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.69b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 90.7m
Net Debt = 2.63b USD (calculated: Debt 2.69b - CCE 53.3m)
Enterprise Value = 6.96b USD (4.33b + Debt 2.69b - CCE 53.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.81 (Ebit TTM 319.2m / Interest Expense TTM 113.6m)
EV/FCF = -18.02x (Enterprise Value 6.96b / FCF TTM -386.2m)
FCF Yield = -5.55% (FCF TTM -386.2m / Enterprise Value 6.96b)
FCF Margin = -21.38% (FCF TTM -386.2m / Revenue TTM 1.81b)
Net Margin = 10.48% (Net Income TTM 189.3m / Revenue TTM 1.81b)
Gross Margin = 28.16% ((Revenue TTM 1.81b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.0% (prev 25.51%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.91 (Enterprise Value 6.96b / Total Assets 7.68b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.23% (Interest Expense 113.6m / Debt 2.69b)
Taxrate = 7.65% (15.7m / 205.5m)
NOPAT = 294.8m (EBIT 319.2m * (1 - 7.65%))
Current Ratio = 0.78 (Total Current Assets 559.5m / Total Current Liabilities 718.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.93 (Debt 2.69b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.90b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.98 (Net Debt 2.63b / EBITDA 528.8m)
Debt / FCF = -6.82 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 2.63b / FCF TTM -386.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.78b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.58% (Net Income 189.3m / Total Assets 7.68b)
RoE = 6.80% (Net Income TTM 189.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.78b)
RoCE = 6.18% (EBIT 319.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.78b + L.T.Debt 2.38b))
RoIC = 4.14% (NOPAT 294.8m / Invested Capital 7.13b)
WACC = 5.85% (E(4.33b)/V(7.02b) * Re(7.05%) + D(2.69b)/V(7.02b) * Rd(4.23%) * (1-Tc(0.08)))
Discount Rate = 7.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.56 | Cagr: 0.63%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -386.2m)
EPS Correlation: -82.56 | EPS CAGR: -20.52% | SUE: -0.17 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -91.77 | Revenue CAGR: -37.23% | SUE: -0.10 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=+13.76% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=-8.17% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.98 | Chg30d=+0.63% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+5.0% | GrowthRev=+6.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.06 | Chg30d=+0.77% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+8.2% | GrowthRev=+7.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -38% (up=1, down=4)