Overview Dividends

(MDV) Modiv - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US60784B1017

Industrial, Properties, Leases, Real Estate, Industrial Manufacturing

MDV EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of MDV over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-03": -6.1, "2020-06": -0.28, "2020-09": -0.13, "2020-12": 0.37, "2021-03": -0.11, "2021-06": -0.13, "2021-09": 0.41, "2021-12": -0.27, "2022-03": -2.9, "2022-06": 0.22, "2022-09": 0.39, "2022-12": -0.72, "2023-03": -1.64, "2023-06": 0.28, "2023-09": -0.62, "2023-12": -0.14, "2024-03": 0.34, "2024-06": 0.12, "2024-09": -0.05, "2024-12": 0.14, "2025-03": 0.08,
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -28.62%
EPS Growth Momentum (3Y): -13.3%

MDV Revenue

Revenue of MDV over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-03: 11.075162, 2020-06: 9.402678, 2020-09: 9.557191, 2020-12: 9.01481, 2021-03: 8.97487, 2021-06: 9.107008, 2021-09: 10.307683, 2021-12: 7.899149, 2022-03: 9.648649, 2022-06: 10.394118, 2022-09: 10.212418, 2022-12: 14.372106, 2023-03: 10.311182, 2023-06: 11.836563, 2023-09: 12.500338, 2023-12: 12.288516, 2024-03: 11.967, 2024-06: 11.409514, 2024-09: 11.655363, 2024-12: 11.729563, 2025-03: 11.793,
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 4.30%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 22.5%
Revenue Growth Momentum (3Y): -53.4%

Description: MDV Modiv

Modiv Inc (NYSE:MDV) is a self-managed Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) specializing in single-tenant, net-lease industrial manufacturing properties. The companys strategic focus is on acquiring critical industrial assets with long-term leases to tenants that are pivotal to the US economy and supply chain infrastructure.

As an internally managed REIT, Modiv Inc maintains control over its operations and investment decisions, allowing for a more streamlined and efficient management approach. The companys portfolio is likely comprised of properties that are leased to tenants in various industrial manufacturing sectors, such as logistics, distribution, and production.

Analyzing the companys , we can infer that Modiv Inc has a relatively small market capitalization of $163.65M USD, which may impact its liquidity and investor appeal. The P/E ratio of 65.68 and forward P/E of 149.25 suggest that the companys stock is trading at a premium, potentially due to its growth prospects or the markets expectations of its future performance. The Return on Equity (RoE) of 2.71% is relatively low, indicating that the company may not be generating substantial profits from its shareholders equity.

From a technical analysis perspective, the reveals that Modiv Incs stock price is currently trading below its short-term and long-term moving averages (SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200), indicating a potential downtrend. The Average True Range (ATR) of 0.63, representing 4.38% of the last price, suggests moderate volatility. The 52-week high and low prices of $17.16 and $12.89, respectively, provide a range for the stocks recent performance.

Forecasting Modiv Incs future performance, we can combine insights from both and . Given the current downtrend and the stocks premium valuation, we can expect the stock price to continue consolidating around its current levels. However, if the company can demonstrate improved profitability and growth, potentially through strategic acquisitions or tenant lease renewals, the stock price may experience a positive reversal. A potential price target could be around $16.50, representing a 14% increase from the current price, assuming the company meets its growth expectations and the overall market sentiment improves.

To achieve this forecast, Modiv Inc will need to focus on executing its investment strategy, maintaining a strong occupancy rate, and demonstrating prudent financial management. Investors should closely monitor the companys future earnings reports, guidance, and industry trends to reassess their investment thesis.

MDV Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 152m
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Industrial
GiC Sub-Industry Real Estate Development
IPO / Inception 2022-02-11

MDV Stock Ratings

Growth Rating -26.4
Fundamental 62.8%
Dividend Rating 73.1
Rel. Strength 7.36
Analysts 4.80 of 5
Fair Price Momentum 13.53 USD
Fair Price DCF 63.84 USD

MDV Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 9.19%
Yield on Cost 5y 2.86%
Annual Growth 5y 5.72%
Payout Consistency 100.0%
Payout Ratio 460.0%

MDV Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m 53.6%
Growth Correlation 12m -33.4%
Growth Correlation 5y 73.3%
CAGR 5y -28.21%
CAGR/Max DD 5y -0.33
Sharpe Ratio 12m -0.14
Alpha 3.45
Beta 0.137
Volatility 33.31%
Current Volume 50.4k
Average Volume 20d 41.1k
Stop Loss 14.5 (-3.3%)

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income (3.12m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.80m TTM)
FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.97pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -443.9% (prev -450.8%; Δ 6.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 18.3m > Net Income 3.12m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (273.7m) to EBITDA (37.6m) ratio: 7.27 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 0.19 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (11.3m) change vs 12m ago -0.37% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 92.54% (prev 82.33%; Δ 10.21pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 9.05% (prev 9.30%; Δ -0.25pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 1.19 (EBITDA TTM 37.6m / Interest Expense TTM 18.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -3.95

(A) -0.41 = (Total Current Assets 48.1m - Total Current Liabilities 254.9m) / Total Assets 506.8m
(B) -0.31 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -157.0m / Total Assets 506.8m
(C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 22.2m / Avg Total Assets 514.6m
(D) -0.53 = Book Value of Equity -155.5m / Total Liabilities 293.4m
Total Rating: -3.95 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.78

1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0
2. FCF Yield 4.28% = 2.14
3. FCF Margin 39.05% = 7.50
4. Debt/Equity 1.63 = 1.29
5. Debt/Ebitda 7.44 = -2.50
6. ROIC - WACC 4.84% = 6.05
7. RoE 1.70% = 0.14
8. Rev. Trend 22.49% = 1.12
9. Rev. CAGR 4.30% = 0.54
10. EPS Trend data missing
11. EPS CAGR -28.62% = -2.50
What is the price of MDV shares?
As of August 10, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 15.00 with a total of 50,355 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.53%, over one month by +3.02%, over three months by +6.18% and over the past year by +10.03%.
Is Modiv a good stock to buy?
Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Modiv is currently (August 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 62.78 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MDV is around 13.53 USD . This means that MDV is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -9.8%.
Is MDV a buy, sell or hold?
Modiv has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.80. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MDV.
  • Strong Buy: 4
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts for MDV share price target?
According to our own proprietary Forecast Model, MDV Modiv will be worth about 14.6 in August 2026. The stock is currently trading at 15.00. This means that the stock has a potential downside of -2.53%.
Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 17.7 18%
Analysts Target Price 17.7 18%
ValueRay Target Price 14.6 -2.5%

MDV Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 151.8m (151.8m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 6.17m USD (last quarter)
P/E Forward = 149.2537
P/S = 3.2289
P/B = 0.9166
Beta = -0.32
Revenue TTM = 46.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 22.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 37.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 30.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 249.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 279.7m USD (Calculated: Short Term 249.1m + Long Term 30.6m)
Net Debt = 273.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 425.4m USD (151.8m + Debt 279.7m - CCE 6.17m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.19 (Ebit TTM 22.2m / Interest Expense TTM 18.7m)
FCF Yield = 4.28% (FCF TTM 18.2m / Enterprise Value 425.4m)
FCF Margin = 39.05% (FCF TTM 18.2m / Revenue TTM 46.6m)
Net Margin = 6.70% (Net Income TTM 3.12m / Revenue TTM 46.6m)
Gross Margin = 92.54% ((Revenue TTM 46.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.48m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = -2.74 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 425.4m / Book Value Of Equity -155.5m)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 1.51% (Interest Expense 4.23m / Debt 279.7m)
 Taxrate = -64.12% (set to none) (from yearly Income Tax Expense: -4.16m / 6.49m)
 NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
 Current Ratio = 0.19 (Total Current Assets 48.1m / Total Current Liabilities 254.9m)
Debt / Equity = 1.63 (Debt 279.7m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 171.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.44 (Net Debt 273.7m / EBITDA 37.6m)
Debt / FCF = 15.38 (Debt 279.7m / FCF TTM 18.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 183.6m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 0.62% (Net Income 3.12m, Total Assets 506.8m )
RoE = 1.70% (Net Income TTM 3.12m / Total Stockholder Equity 183.6m)
RoCE = 10.35% (Ebit 22.2m / (Equity 183.6m + L.T.Debt 30.6m))
RoIC = 4.84% (Ebit 22.2m / (Assets 506.8m - Current Assets 48.1m))
 WACC = unknown (E(151.8m)/V(431.5m) * Re(6.52%)) + (D(279.7m)/V(431.5m) * Rd(1.51%) * (1-Tc(none)))
 Shares Correlation 5-Years: 66.70 | Cagr: 6.58%
Discount Rate = 6.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.58% ; FCFE base≈16.4m ; Y1≈21.0m ; Y5≈38.8m
Fair Price DCF = 63.84 (DCF Value 646.0m / Shares Outstanding 10.1m; 5y FCF grow 30.0% → 2.90% )
Revenue Correlation: 22.49 | Revenue CAGR: 4.30%
Revenue Growth Correlation: -53.43%
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: -28.62%
EPS Growth Correlation: -13.31%

Additional Sources for MDV Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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