(MG) Mistras - Overview
Stock: Inspection, Monitoring, Sensors, Software, Diving
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 39.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.5% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.96 |
| Alpha | 31.97 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.870 |
| Beta Downside | 0.988 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 40.78% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.97 |
Description: MG Mistras December 31, 2025
Mistras Group Inc. (NYSE: MG) delivers technology-enabled asset protection across the United States, the Americas, Europe, and APAC, offering a portfolio that spans non-destructive testing, inline pipeline inspection, plant-condition-management software, and a broad suite of maintenance, engineering, and consulting services.
In FY 2023 the company reported roughly $1.2 billion in revenue with an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 13%, and a backlog of $300 million that reflects strong demand for its inspection and data-analytics services in oil-&-gas and power generation sectors.
Key economic drivers for Mistras include global energy-capex cycles (particularly upstream oil-field spending), heightened regulatory scrutiny of aging infrastructure, and accelerated adoption of digital condition-monitoring platforms that improve asset reliability and reduce downtime.
Sector-wide, the non-destructive testing market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6-7% through 2028, fueled by increasing safety standards in aerospace, nuclear power, and civil infrastructure projects.
For a deeper, data-driven view of MG’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analyst tools on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 18.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 15.62% < 20% (prev 10.58%; Δ 5.04% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 26.5m > Net Income 18.1m |
| Net Debt (206.6m) to EBITDA (69.7m): 2.96 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.9m) vs 12m ago 0.69% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.34% > 18% (prev 0.28%; Δ 2906 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 124.6% > 50% (prev 134.0%; Δ -9.33% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.57 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 69.7m / Interest Expense TTM 14.9m) |
Altman Z'' 1.61
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 237.5m - Total Current Liabilities 125.8m) / Total Assets 596.3m |
| B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 2.96m / Total Assets 596.3m) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 38.3m / Avg Total Assets 574.0m) |
| D: -0.08 (Book Value of Equity -27.9m / Total Liabilities 368.4m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.61 = BB |
Beneish M -2.96
| DSRI: 1.25 (Receivables 174.8m/144.1m, Revenue 715.3m/739.0m) |
| GMI: 0.95 (GM 29.34% / 27.84%) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.45 / AQ_t-1 0.50) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 715.3m / 739.0m) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 18.1m - CFO 26.5m) / TA 596.3m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.96 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of MG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.59%, over one month by +8.99%, over three months by +12.24% and over the past year by +46.26%.
Is MG a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 17 | 15.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 17 | 15.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 16.7 | 13.6% |
MG Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 19.7628
P/S = 0.6369
P/B = 1.9589
P/EG = 0.8563
Revenue TTM = 715.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 38.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 69.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 189.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 30.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 234.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 206.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 662.1m USD (455.6m + Debt 234.4m - CCE 27.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.57 (Ebit TTM 38.3m / Interest Expense TTM 14.9m)
EV/FCF = 314.8x (Enterprise Value 662.1m / FCF TTM 2.10m)
FCF Yield = 0.32% (FCF TTM 2.10m / Enterprise Value 662.1m)
FCF Margin = 0.29% (FCF TTM 2.10m / Revenue TTM 715.3m)
Net Margin = 2.53% (Net Income TTM 18.1m / Revenue TTM 715.3m)
Gross Margin = 29.34% ((Revenue TTM 715.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 505.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.59% (prev 29.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.11 (Enterprise Value 662.1m / Total Assets 596.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.44% (Interest Expense 3.38m / Debt 234.4m)
Taxrate = 22.34% (3.80m / 17.0m)
NOPAT = 29.7m (EBIT 38.3m * (1 - 22.34%))
Current Ratio = 1.89 (Total Current Assets 237.5m / Total Current Liabilities 125.8m)
Debt / Equity = 1.03 (Debt 234.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 227.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.96 (Net Debt 206.6m / EBITDA 69.7m)
Debt / FCF = 98.22 (Net Debt 206.6m / FCF TTM 2.10m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 210.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.16% (Net Income 18.1m / Total Assets 596.3m)
RoE = 8.63% (Net Income TTM 18.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 210.1m)
RoCE = 9.58% (EBIT 38.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 210.1m + L.T.Debt 189.2m))
RoIC = 7.55% (NOPAT 29.7m / Invested Capital 393.4m)
WACC = 6.40% (E(455.6m)/V(689.9m) * Re(9.12%) + D(234.4m)/V(689.9m) * Rd(1.44%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.28%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.10% ; FCFF base≈7.27m ; Y1≈4.77m ; Y5≈2.18m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 60.0m - Net Debt 206.6m = -146.5m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 44.34 | EPS CAGR: 101.8% | SUE: -2.54 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 47.44 | Revenue CAGR: 3.62% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.01 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+16.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.9%