(MGY) Magnolia Oil & Gas - Overview
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas E&P | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 5.211m USD | Total Return: 27.9% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 63.8M
EPS Trend: -78.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 19.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation is an independent upstream energy company focused on the acquisition and development of hydrocarbon reserves in South Texas. Its core operations are concentrated in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations, specifically within Karnes County and the Giddings field. Headquartered in Houston, the firm specializes in the exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids.
The company operates within the Exploration & Production (E&P) sector, a segment characterized by high capital intensity and direct exposure to global commodity price fluctuations. Magnolia utilizes a business model centered on high-margin growth and disciplined capital allocation within established geological fairways. Investors can evaluate the companys long-term valuation metrics and inventory depth on ValueRay.
- Crude oil price fluctuations impact revenue and cash flow generation
- Production growth in Giddings Field drives long-term asset value
- Eagle Ford Shale drilling efficiency lowers break-even operating costs
- Capital allocation strategy prioritizes shareholder returns through buybacks and dividends
- Regulatory shifts in Texas drilling permits affect future development timelines
| Net Income: 322.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.66 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2.21% < 20% (prev 7.56%; Δ -5.36% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.29 > 3% & CFO 850.8m > Net Income 322.2m |
| Net Debt (308.0m) to EBITDA (878.7m): 0.35 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.10 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (183.3m) vs 12m ago -2.85% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.49% > 18% (prev 51.64%; Δ -5.15% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 45.42% > 50% (prev 46.95%; Δ -1.53% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 19.21 > 6 (EBIT TTM 429.8m / Interest Expense TTM 22.4m) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 319.7m - Total Current Liabilities 290.5m) / Total Assets 2.94b |
| B: 0.35 (Retained Earnings 1.04b / Total Assets 2.94b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 429.8m / Avg Total Assets 2.91b) |
| D: 2.24 (Book Value of Equity 2.04b / Total Liabilities 908.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.56 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.25 (Receivables 194.2m/157.9m, Revenue 1.32b/1.35b) |
| GMI: 1.11 (GM 51.64% / 46.49%) |
| AQI: 0.35 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 1.32b / 1.35b) |
| TATA: -0.18 (NI 322.2m - CFO 850.8m) / TA 2.94b) |
| Beneish M = -3.13 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of June 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 27.96 with a total of 1,396,192 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.41%,
over one month by -9.63%,
over three months by -1.04% and
over the past year by +27.89%.
Magnolia Oil & Gas has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.53. Therefore, it is recommended to hold MGY.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 33.9 | 21.2% |
P/E Trailing = 15.815
P/E Forward = 9.4877
P/S = 3.9478
P/B = 2.4855
Revenue TTM = 1.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 429.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 878.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 393.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 432.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 19.5m
Net Debt = 308.0m USD (calculated: Debt 432.4m - CCE 124.4m)
Enterprise Value = 5.52b USD (5.21b + Debt 432.4m - CCE 124.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 19.21 (Ebit TTM 429.8m / Interest Expense TTM 22.4m)
EV/FCF = 15.00x (Enterprise Value 5.52b / FCF TTM 368.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.67% (FCF TTM 368.0m / Enterprise Value 5.52b)
FCF Margin = 27.88% (FCF TTM 368.0m / Revenue TTM 1.32b)
Net Margin = 24.40% (Net Income TTM 322.2m / Revenue TTM 1.32b)
Gross Margin = 46.49% ((Revenue TTM 1.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 706.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.98% (prev 42.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.87 (Enterprise Value 5.52b / Total Assets 2.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.17% (Interest Expense 22.4m / Debt 432.4m)
Taxrate = 18.63% (75.9m / 407.4m)
NOPAT = 349.7m (EBIT 429.8m * (1 - 18.63%))
Current Ratio = 1.10 (Total Current Assets 319.7m / Total Current Liabilities 290.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.21 (Debt 432.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.04b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.35 (Net Debt 308.0m / EBITDA 878.7m)
Debt / FCF = 0.84 (Net Debt 308.0m / FCF TTM 368.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.97b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.08% (Net Income 322.2m / Total Assets 2.94b)
RoE = 16.38% (Net Income TTM 322.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.97b)
RoCE = 18.21% (EBIT 429.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.97b + L.T.Debt 393.4m))
RoIC = 13.41% (NOPAT 349.7m / Invested Capital 2.61b)
WACC = 8.82% (E(5.21b)/V(5.64b) * Re(9.20%) + D(432.4m)/V(5.64b) * Rd(5.17%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 9.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -20.0 | Cagr: -1.08%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.36% ; FCFF base≈394.7m ; Y1≈346.1m ; Y5≈279.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 20.86 (EV 4.17b - Net Debt 308.0m = Equity 3.86b / Shares 184.9m; r=8.82% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -78.85 | EPS CAGR: -13.09% | SUE: 0.66 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 18.96 | Revenue CAGR: 0.84% | SUE: 1.32 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=+5.67% | Revisions=+18% | Analysts=17
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.78 | Chg30d=+4.71% | Revisions=+7% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.94 | Chg30d=+4.19% | Revisions=+16% | GrowthEPS=+68.7% | GrowthRev=+23.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.64 | Chg30d=+0.96% | Revisions=-6% | GrowthEPS=-10.2% | GrowthRev=-3.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +18%