(MGY) Magnolia Oil & Gas - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Natural Gas, Liquids
MGY EPS (Earnings per Share)
MGY Revenue
Description: MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation is a US-based independent oil and natural gas company that focuses on acquiring, developing, exploring, and producing oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves. The companys primary assets are located in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formation in South Texas.
To evaluate the companys performance, we can look at key performance indicators (KPIs) such as production growth, reserve replacement ratio, and operating costs. A strong production growth rate and a high reserve replacement ratio indicate a companys ability to sustainably grow its business. Additionally, operating costs, such as lease operating expenses (LOE) and general and administrative (G&A) expenses, can impact the companys profitability.
With a market capitalization of $4.44 billion, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation has a relatively moderate size in the oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) sector. The companys return on equity (RoE) of 20.13% suggests a strong ability to generate profits from shareholder equity. Furthermore, the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.42 and forward P/E ratio of 12.84 indicate that the companys stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings growth potential.
To further assess the companys prospects, we can analyze its financial health by examining metrics such as debt-to-equity ratio, interest coverage ratio, and cash flow from operations. A healthy balance sheet and sufficient cash flow can enable the company to invest in growth opportunities, return capital to shareholders, and weather potential downturns in the oil and gas market.
MGY Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 4,450m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 2017-05-05 |
MGY Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 13.7% |
| Fundamental | 73.1% |
| Dividend Rating | 76.9% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -14.1% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.53 of 5 |
MGY Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.40% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 11.39% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 59.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 29.6% |
MGY Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 59.9% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -46.3% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 77.1% |
| CAGR 5y | 7.04% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.22 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 0.44 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.76 |
| Alpha | 0.00 |
| Beta | 0.948 |
| Volatility | 31.54% |
| Current Volume | 2157.4k |
| Average Volume 20d | 2157.4k |
| Stop Loss | 23.8 (-3.6%) |
| Signal | 0.12 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (366.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 79.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.34pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 9.64% (prev 7.64%; Δ 2.00pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.30 (>3.0%) and CFO 863.7m > Net Income 366.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (159.9m) to EBITDA (927.0m) ratio: 0.17 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.44 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (187.6m) change vs 12m ago 1.42% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 50.22% (prev 58.03%; Δ -7.81pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 46.60% (prev 45.53%; Δ 1.07pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 25.68 (EBITDA TTM 927.0m / Interest Expense TTM 19.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.54
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 416.7m - Total Current Liabilities 288.6m) / Total Assets 2.86b |
| (B) 0.31 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 878.4m / Total Assets 2.86b |
| (C) 0.17 = EBIT TTM 498.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.85b |
| (D) 1.02 = Book Value of Equity 878.4m / Total Liabilities 862.3m |
| Total Rating: 3.54 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 73.07
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.54% = 4.27 |
| 3. FCF Margin 29.75% = 7.44 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.22 = 2.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.46 = 2.34 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 8.55)% = 10.69 |
| 7. RoE 19.04% = 1.59 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -29.84% = -2.24 |
| 9. EPS Trend -69.85% = -3.49 |
What is the price of MGY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.61%, over one month by +6.10%, over three months by +2.60% and over the past year by +1.87%.
Is Magnolia Oil & Gas a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MGY is around 23.83 USD . This means that MGY is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -3.44%.
Is MGY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the MGY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 26.8 | 8.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 26.8 | 8.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 26.6 | 7.9% |
Last update: 2025-09-11 04:44
MGY Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 251.8m USD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 12.1458
P/E Forward = 12.7226
P/S = 3.3482
P/B = 2.237
Beta = 1.325
Revenue TTM = 1.33b USD
EBIT TTM = 498.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 927.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 392.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 430.4m USD (Calculated: Short Term 37.5m + Long Term 392.9m)
Net Debt = 159.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.63b USD (4.45b + Debt 430.4m - CCE 251.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 25.68 (Ebit TTM 498.1m / Interest Expense TTM 19.4m)
FCF Yield = 8.54% (FCF TTM 395.4m / Enterprise Value 4.63b)
FCF Margin = 29.75% (FCF TTM 395.4m / Revenue TTM 1.33b)
Net Margin = 27.57% (Net Income TTM 366.4m / Revenue TTM 1.33b)
Gross Margin = 50.22% ((Revenue TTM 1.33b - Cost of Revenue TTM 661.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.27 (Enterprise Value 4.63b / Book Value Of Equity 878.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.30% (Interest Expense 5.60m / Debt 430.4m)
Taxrate = 19.43% (95.8m / 493.1m)
NOPAT = 401.3m (EBIT 498.1m * (1 - 19.43%))
Current Ratio = 1.44 (Total Current Assets 416.7m / Total Current Liabilities 288.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 430.4m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.46 (Net Debt 159.9m / EBITDA 927.0m)
Debt / FCF = 1.09 (Debt 430.4m / FCF TTM 395.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.92b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 12.81% (Net Income 366.4m, Total Assets 2.86b )
RoE = 19.04% (Net Income TTM 366.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.92b)
RoCE = 21.50% (Ebit 498.1m / (Equity 1.92b + L.T.Debt 392.9m))
RoIC = 17.32% (NOPAT 401.3m / Invested Capital 2.32b)
WACC = 8.76% (E(4.45b)/V(4.88b) * Re(9.51%)) + (D(430.4m)/V(4.88b) * Rd(1.30%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -21.21 | Cagr: -0.07%
Discount Rate = 9.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 64.12% ; FCFE base≈409.6m ; Y1≈268.9m ; Y5≈123.0m
Fair Price DCF = 10.40 (DCF Value 1.93b / Shares Outstanding 185.3m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -69.85 | EPS CAGR: -33.61% | SUE: 0.47 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -29.84 | Revenue CAGR: -14.00% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None
Additional Sources for MGY Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle