(MLI) Mueller Industries - Ratings and Ratios
Copper Tubes, Brass Fittings, Aluminum Valves, Heat Exchangers, Duct
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.87% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.25% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 18.92% |
| Payout Consistency | 65.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 15.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 44.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.13% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.41 |
| Alpha | 26.86 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.15 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.416 |
| Beta | 1.052 |
| Beta Downside | 1.066 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.79% |
| Mean DD | 7.45% |
| Median DD | 4.43% |
Description: MLI Mueller Industries November 03, 2025
Mueller Industries (NYSE: MLI) is a diversified metal-fabrication company that produces copper, brass and aluminum components for plumbing, HVAC, refrigeration, automotive and industrial markets across North America, Europe, Asia and the Middle East. The firm operates three reporting segments: Piping Systems (copper tubes, fittings and related plumbing hardware), Industrial Metals (brass, bronze, copper-alloy rods, forged and machined parts, and fluid-control solutions) and Climate (HVAC valves, heat exchangers, high-pressure components and flexible ducting). Its customers range from wholesale distributors and building-material retailers to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in residential construction, manufactured housing, recreational vehicles and commercial HVAC.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue of roughly $1.2 billion, operating margin of ≈ 9 %, and a free-cash-flow conversion rate of about 75 %. The balance sheet is solid, with a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.3× and a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.5, indicating modest leverage relative to peers. The company’s dividend yield sits around 2.5 % and has been raised for three consecutive years, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
Economic and sector drivers that materially affect MLI’s outlook include: (1) U.S. housing-starts and multifamily construction activity, which directly feed demand for plumbing and HVAC components; (2) global copper and aluminum price volatility, where higher base-metal prices can boost gross margins but also increase input-cost risk; and (3) the ongoing “green-building” trend and stricter energy-efficiency codes, which spur retro-fit and new-install demand for high-efficiency HVAC systems-areas where Mueller’s Climate segment is positioned to benefit.
For a deeper quantitative view, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful for drilling into MLI’s valuation metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (749.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 248.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.18 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.86pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 46.50% (prev 42.53%; Δ 3.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 (>3.0%) and CFO 754.4m > Net Income 749.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.23b) to EBITDA (1.07b) ratio: -1.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.82 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (110.9m) change vs 12m ago -2.50% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.78% (prev 27.53%; Δ 1.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 119.9% (prev 111.6%; Δ 8.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8115 (EBITDA TTM 1.07b / Interest Expense TTM 123.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 14.82
| (A) 0.52 = (Total Current Assets 2.43b - Total Current Liabilities 503.2m) / Total Assets 3.70b |
| (B) 0.98 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.64b / Total Assets 3.70b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.98 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.29 = EBIT TTM 998.1m / Avg Total Assets 3.45b |
| (D) 5.96 = Book Value of Equity 3.58b / Total Liabilities 600.7m |
| Total Rating: 14.82 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 76.80
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.93% |
| 3. FCF Margin 16.34% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.15 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 15.98)% |
| 7. RoE 26.23% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 13.85% |
| 9. EPS Trend -59.47% |
What is the price of MLI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.85%, over one month by +8.69%, over three months by +14.71% and over the past year by +46.83%.
Is MLI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MLI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 130.5 | 12.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 130.5 | 12.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 179.5 | 55.3% |
MLI Fundamental Data Overview December 13, 2025
P/E Trailing = 17.0449
P/E Forward = 16.4204
P/S = 3.0534
P/B = 4.1174
Beta = 1.048
Revenue TTM = 4.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 998.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.07b USD
Long Term Debt = 28.9m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.39m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 28.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.23b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.41b USD (12.64b + Debt 28.9m - CCE 1.26b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8115 (Ebit TTM 998.1m / Interest Expense TTM 123.0k)
FCF Yield = 5.93% (FCF TTM 676.5m / Enterprise Value 11.41b)
FCF Margin = 16.34% (FCF TTM 676.5m / Revenue TTM 4.14b)
Net Margin = 18.10% (Net Income TTM 749.1m / Revenue TTM 4.14b)
Gross Margin = 28.78% ((Revenue TTM 4.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.85% (prev 31.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.09 (Enterprise Value 11.41b / Total Assets 3.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 6000 / Debt 28.9m)
Taxrate = 26.01% (73.9m / 284.2m)
NOPAT = 738.5m (EBIT 998.1m * (1 - 26.01%))
Current Ratio = 4.82 (Total Current Assets 2.43b / Total Current Liabilities 503.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 28.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.15 (Net Debt -1.23b / EBITDA 1.07b)
Debt / FCF = -1.82 (Net Debt -1.23b / FCF TTM 676.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.27% (Net Income 749.1m / Total Assets 3.70b)
RoE = 26.23% (Net Income TTM 749.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.86b)
RoCE = 34.59% (EBIT 998.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.86b + L.T.Debt 28.9m))
RoIC = 25.85% (NOPAT 738.5m / Invested Capital 2.86b)
WACC = 9.87% (E(12.64b)/V(12.67b) * Re(9.89%) + D(28.9m)/V(12.67b) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.35%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.71% ; FCFE base≈651.6m ; Y1≈613.3m ; Y5≈576.5m
Fair Price DCF = 68.52 (DCF Value 7.61b / Shares Outstanding 111.0m; 5y FCF grow -7.55% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -59.47 | EPS CAGR: -4.97% | SUE: -0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 13.85 | Revenue CAGR: 3.24% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.79 | Chg30d=+0.060 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.70 | Chg30d=+0.100 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.5% | Growth Revenue=+8.1%
Additional Sources for MLI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle