(MLI) Mueller Industries - Ratings and Ratios
Copper, Brass, Aluminum, Valves, Fittings
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.83% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.63% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 17.76% |
| Payout Consistency | 68.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 15.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 41.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.88% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.44 |
| Alpha | 31.58 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.11 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.351 |
| Beta | 1.051 |
| Beta Downside | 1.014 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.79% |
| Mean DD | 7.45% |
| Median DD | 4.43% |
Description: MLI Mueller Industries January 06, 2026
Mueller Industries (NYSE: MLI) is a century-old manufacturer of copper, brass and aluminum components, operating in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and select Asian and Middle-East markets. The firm is organized into three reporting segments – Piping Systems, Industrial Metals, and Climate – each serving a mix of wholesale distributors, OEMs and specialty retailers in plumbing, HVAC, refrigeration, construction and automotive applications.
The **Piping Systems** segment focuses on copper tubing, fittings and related hardware for residential and commercial plumbing, as well as resale of steel pipe and plastic valves. The **Industrial Metals** segment supplies high-volume machined parts, forged components and specialty alloys to industrial OEMs, including automotive and utility customers. The **Climate** segment produces HVAC-specific valves, heat exchangers and high-pressure components, increasingly targeting energy-efficiency retrofits. Across all three segments, revenue is highly sensitive to construction-spending trends and to commodity price movements, especially copper (which accounts for roughly 30 % of total material cost).
Recent performance indicators (Q4 2023) show a 5.2 % YoY revenue increase to $1.01 billion, a modest EPS of $0.42, and a dividend yield near 2.8 %-both above the sector median. The company’s operating margin has trended upward (2023 average 9.5 %) as it leverages higher-margin forged and machined products, while maintaining a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65. Key macro drivers include the U.S. residential construction rebound, tightening HVAC regulations that boost demand for high-efficiency components, and the ongoing copper price rally, which can compress margins but also supports pricing power for value-added alloy products.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore the companys metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (749.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 248.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.18 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.86pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 46.50% (prev 42.53%; Δ 3.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 (>3.0%) and CFO 754.4m > Net Income 749.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.23b) to EBITDA (1.07b) ratio: -1.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.82 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (110.9m) change vs 12m ago -2.50% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.78% (prev 27.53%; Δ 1.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 119.9% (prev 111.6%; Δ 8.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8115 (EBITDA TTM 1.07b / Interest Expense TTM 123.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 14.82
| (A) 0.52 = (Total Current Assets 2.43b - Total Current Liabilities 503.2m) / Total Assets 3.70b |
| (B) 0.98 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.64b / Total Assets 3.70b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.98 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.29 = EBIT TTM 998.1m / Avg Total Assets 3.45b |
| (D) 5.96 = Book Value of Equity 3.58b / Total Liabilities 600.7m |
| Total Rating: 14.82 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 76.23
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.88% |
| 3. FCF Margin 16.34% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.15 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 15.98)% |
| 7. RoE 26.23% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 13.85% |
| 9. EPS Trend -70.41% |
What is the price of MLI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.01%, over one month by +7.25%, over three months by +20.60% and over the past year by +50.12%.
Is MLI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MLI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 130.5 | 8.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 130.5 | 8.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 186.1 | 55.2% |
MLI Fundamental Data Overview January 03, 2026
P/E Trailing = 17.1599
P/E Forward = 16.4204
P/S = 3.0786
P/B = 4.1514
Beta = 1.048
Revenue TTM = 4.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 998.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.07b USD
Long Term Debt = 28.9m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.39m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 28.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.23b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.51b USD (12.74b + Debt 28.9m - CCE 1.26b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8115 (Ebit TTM 998.1m / Interest Expense TTM 123.0k)
FCF Yield = 5.88% (FCF TTM 676.5m / Enterprise Value 11.51b)
FCF Margin = 16.34% (FCF TTM 676.5m / Revenue TTM 4.14b)
Net Margin = 18.10% (Net Income TTM 749.1m / Revenue TTM 4.14b)
Gross Margin = 28.78% ((Revenue TTM 4.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.85% (prev 31.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.11 (Enterprise Value 11.51b / Total Assets 3.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 6000 / Debt 28.9m)
Taxrate = 26.01% (73.9m / 284.2m)
NOPAT = 738.5m (EBIT 998.1m * (1 - 26.01%))
Current Ratio = 4.82 (Total Current Assets 2.43b / Total Current Liabilities 503.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 28.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.15 (Net Debt -1.23b / EBITDA 1.07b)
Debt / FCF = -1.82 (Net Debt -1.23b / FCF TTM 676.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.27% (Net Income 749.1m / Total Assets 3.70b)
RoE = 26.23% (Net Income TTM 749.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.86b)
RoCE = 34.59% (EBIT 998.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.86b + L.T.Debt 28.9m))
RoIC = 25.85% (NOPAT 738.5m / Invested Capital 2.86b)
WACC = 9.87% (E(12.74b)/V(12.77b) * Re(9.89%) + D(28.9m)/V(12.77b) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.35%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.71% ; FCFE base≈651.6m ; Y1≈613.3m ; Y5≈576.5m
Fair Price DCF = 68.52 (DCF Value 7.61b / Shares Outstanding 111.0m; 5y FCF grow -7.55% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -70.41 | EPS CAGR: -53.61% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 13.85 | Revenue CAGR: 3.24% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.79 | Chg30d=+0.060 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.70 | Chg30d=+0.100 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.5% | Growth Revenue=+8.1%
Additional Sources for MLI Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle