(MLI) Mueller Industries - Ratings and Ratios
Copper, Brass, Aluminum, Valves, Fittings
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.11% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.32% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 17.76% |
| Payout Consistency | 68.9% |
| Payout Ratio | - |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 28.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 42.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.95% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.94 |
| Alpha | 51.80 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.27 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.421 |
| Beta | 1.052 |
| Beta Downside | 1.027 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.79% |
| Mean DD | 7.39% |
| Median DD | 4.31% |
Description: MLI Mueller Industries January 06, 2026
Mueller Industries (NYSE: MLI) is a century-old manufacturer of copper, brass and aluminum components, operating in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and select Asian and Middle-East markets. The firm is organized into three reporting segments – Piping Systems, Industrial Metals, and Climate – each serving a mix of wholesale distributors, OEMs and specialty retailers in plumbing, HVAC, refrigeration, construction and automotive applications.
The **Piping Systems** segment focuses on copper tubing, fittings and related hardware for residential and commercial plumbing, as well as resale of steel pipe and plastic valves. The **Industrial Metals** segment supplies high-volume machined parts, forged components and specialty alloys to industrial OEMs, including automotive and utility customers. The **Climate** segment produces HVAC-specific valves, heat exchangers and high-pressure components, increasingly targeting energy-efficiency retrofits. Across all three segments, revenue is highly sensitive to construction-spending trends and to commodity price movements, especially copper (which accounts for roughly 30 % of total material cost).
Recent performance indicators (Q4 2023) show a 5.2 % YoY revenue increase to $1.01 billion, a modest EPS of $0.42, and a dividend yield near 2.8 %-both above the sector median. The company’s operating margin has trended upward (2023 average 9.5 %) as it leverages higher-margin forged and machined products, while maintaining a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65. Key macro drivers include the U.S. residential construction rebound, tightening HVAC regulations that boost demand for high-efficiency components, and the ongoing copper price rally, which can compress margins but also supports pricing power for value-added alloy products.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore the companys metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 749.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.86 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 46.50% < 20% (prev 42.53%; Δ 3.97% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 754.4m > Net Income 749.1m |
| Net Debt (-1.23b) to EBITDA (1.07b): -1.15 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.82 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (110.9m) vs 12m ago -2.50% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 28.78% > 18% (prev 0.28%; Δ 2850 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 119.9% > 50% (prev 111.6%; Δ 8.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8115 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.07b / Interest Expense TTM 123.0k) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.52 (Total Current Assets 2.43b - Total Current Liabilities 503.2m) / Total Assets 3.70b |
| B: 0.98 (Retained Earnings 3.64b / Total Assets 3.70b) |
| C: 0.29 (EBIT TTM 998.1m / Avg Total Assets 3.45b) |
| D: 5.96 (Book Value of Equity 3.58b / Total Liabilities 600.7m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 14.82 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.09
| DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 556.6m/500.6m, Revenue 4.14b/3.58b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 28.78% / 27.53%) |
| AQI: 0.82 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.23) |
| SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 4.14b / 3.58b) |
| TATA: -0.00 (NI 749.1m - CFO 754.4m) / TA 3.70b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.09 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.31
| 1. Piotroski: 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 4.99% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 16.34% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: -1.15 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 16.08% |
| 7. RoE: 26.23% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 13.85% |
| 9. EPS Trend: data missing |
What is the price of MLI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.53%, over one month by +14.20%, over three months by +29.91% and over the past year by +72.33%.
Is MLI a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MLI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 135.5 | 0.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 135.5 | 0.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 219.2 | 63% |
MLI Fundamental Data Overview January 24, 2026
P/E Forward = 16.4204
P/S = 3.5699
P/B = 4.841
Revenue TTM = 4.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 998.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.07b USD
Long Term Debt = 28.9m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.39m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 28.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.23b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 13.55b USD (14.78b + Debt 28.9m - CCE 1.26b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8115 (Ebit TTM 998.1m / Interest Expense TTM 123.0k)
EV/FCF = 20.02x (Enterprise Value 13.55b / FCF TTM 676.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.99% (FCF TTM 676.5m / Enterprise Value 13.55b)
FCF Margin = 16.34% (FCF TTM 676.5m / Revenue TTM 4.14b)
Net Margin = 18.10% (Net Income TTM 749.1m / Revenue TTM 4.14b)
Gross Margin = 28.78% ((Revenue TTM 4.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.85% (prev 31.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.66 (Enterprise Value 13.55b / Total Assets 3.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 6000 / Debt 28.9m)
Taxrate = 26.01% (73.9m / 284.2m)
NOPAT = 738.5m (EBIT 998.1m * (1 - 26.01%))
Current Ratio = 4.82 (Total Current Assets 2.43b / Total Current Liabilities 503.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 28.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.15 (Net Debt -1.23b / EBITDA 1.07b)
Debt / FCF = -1.82 (Net Debt -1.23b / FCF TTM 676.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.71% (Net Income 749.1m / Total Assets 3.70b)
RoE = 26.23% (Net Income TTM 749.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.86b)
RoCE = 34.59% (EBIT 998.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.86b + L.T.Debt 28.9m))
RoIC = 25.85% (NOPAT 738.5m / Invested Capital 2.86b)
WACC = 9.77% (E(14.78b)/V(14.81b) * Re(9.79%) + D(28.9m)/V(14.81b) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow 676.5m)
Revenue Correlation: 13.85 | Revenue CAGR: 3.24% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for MLI Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle