(MLI) Mueller Industries - Overview
Stock: Copper, Brass, Aluminum, Valves, Fittings
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.11% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.68% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 17.76% |
| Payout Consistency | 68.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 15.3% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 52.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.01% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.26 |
| Alpha | 35.66 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.078 |
| Beta Downside | 1.014 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.79% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.83 |
Description: MLI Mueller Industries January 06, 2026
Mueller Industries (NYSE: MLI) is a century-old manufacturer of copper, brass and aluminum components, operating in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and select Asian and Middle-East markets. The firm is organized into three reporting segments – Piping Systems, Industrial Metals, and Climate – each serving a mix of wholesale distributors, OEMs and specialty retailers in plumbing, HVAC, refrigeration, construction and automotive applications.
The **Piping Systems** segment focuses on copper tubing, fittings and related hardware for residential and commercial plumbing, as well as resale of steel pipe and plastic valves. The **Industrial Metals** segment supplies high-volume machined parts, forged components and specialty alloys to industrial OEMs, including automotive and utility customers. The **Climate** segment produces HVAC-specific valves, heat exchangers and high-pressure components, increasingly targeting energy-efficiency retrofits. Across all three segments, revenue is highly sensitive to construction-spending trends and to commodity price movements, especially copper (which accounts for roughly 30 % of total material cost).
Recent performance indicators (Q4 2023) show a 5.2 % YoY revenue increase to $1.01 billion, a modest EPS of $0.42, and a dividend yield near 2.8 %-both above the sector median. The company’s operating margin has trended upward (2023 average 9.5 %) as it leverages higher-margin forged and machined products, while maintaining a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65. Key macro drivers include the U.S. residential construction rebound, tightening HVAC regulations that boost demand for high-efficiency components, and the ongoing copper price rally, which can compress margins but also supports pricing power for value-added alloy products.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore the companys metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 765.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.23 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.56 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 48.64% < 20% (prev 42.83%; Δ 5.81% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 > 3% & CFO 755.4m > Net Income 765.2m |
| Net Debt (-1.32b) to EBITDA (1.08b): -1.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 5.92 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (110.9m) vs 12m ago -2.66% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 27.38% > 18% (prev 0.28%; Δ 2710 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 132.5% > 50% (prev 114.5%; Δ 17.95% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9375 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.08b / Interest Expense TTM 108.0k) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.67 (Total Current Assets 2.45b - Total Current Liabilities 413.1m) / Total Assets 3.02b |
| B: 1.20 (Retained Earnings 3.64b / Total Assets 3.02b) |
| C: 0.32 (EBIT TTM 1.01b / Avg Total Assets 3.15b) |
| D: 5.02 (Book Value of Equity 2.49b / Total Liabilities 497.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 15.77 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.57
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 475.6m/450.1m, Revenue 4.18b/3.77b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 27.38% / 27.71%) |
| AQI: 0.0 (AQ_t 0.0 / AQ_t-1 0.22) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 4.18b / 3.77b) |
| TATA: 0.00 (NI 765.2m - CFO 755.4m) / TA 3.02b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.57 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of MLI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -13.43%, over one month by -1.71%, over three months by +10.94% and over the past year by +46.48%.
Is MLI a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MLI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 140 | 18.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 140 | 18.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 176 | 49.3% |
MLI Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 16.4204
P/S = 3.0622
P/B = 3.9651
Revenue TTM = 4.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.01b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.08b USD
Long Term Debt = 37.9m USD (estimated: total debt 46.5m - short term 8.52m)
Short Term Debt = 8.52m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 46.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.32b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.47b USD (12.80b + Debt 46.5m - CCE 1.37b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9375 (Ebit TTM 1.01b / Interest Expense TTM 108.0k)
EV/FCF = 16.71x (Enterprise Value 11.47b / FCF TTM 686.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.98% (FCF TTM 686.6m / Enterprise Value 11.47b)
FCF Margin = 16.43% (FCF TTM 686.6m / Revenue TTM 4.18b)
Net Margin = 18.31% (Net Income TTM 765.2m / Revenue TTM 4.18b)
Gross Margin = 27.38% ((Revenue TTM 4.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.61% (prev 28.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.80 (Enterprise Value 11.47b / Total Assets 3.02b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.13% (Interest Expense 60.0k / Debt 46.5m)
Taxrate = 21.52% (42.7m / 198.2m)
NOPAT = 794.6m (EBIT 1.01b * (1 - 21.52%))
Current Ratio = 5.92 (Total Current Assets 2.45b / Total Current Liabilities 413.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 46.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.22 (Net Debt -1.32b / EBITDA 1.08b)
Debt / FCF = -1.92 (Net Debt -1.32b / FCF TTM 686.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 24.26% (Net Income 765.2m / Total Assets 3.02b)
RoE = 27.46% (Net Income TTM 765.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.79b)
RoCE = 35.84% (EBIT 1.01b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.79b + L.T.Debt 37.9m))
RoIC = 27.55% (NOPAT 794.6m / Invested Capital 2.88b)
WACC = 9.85% (E(12.80b)/V(12.84b) * Re(9.89%) + D(46.5m)/V(12.84b) * Rd(0.13%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.35%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.48% ; FCFF base≈638.3m ; Y1≈600.7m ; Y5≈563.4m
Fair Price DCF = 78.49 (EV 7.39b - Net Debt -1.32b = Equity 8.71b / Shares 111.0m; r=9.85% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -7.55% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -62.45 | EPS CAGR: -17.04% | SUE: -1.47 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 15.27 | Revenue CAGR: -1.28% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.47 | Chg30d=-0.320 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.40 | Chg30d=-0.300 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+16.7% | Growth Revenue=+9.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.35 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+12.8% | Growth Revenue=+7.5%