(MLI) Mueller Industries - Ratings and Ratios
Copper Tubes, Brass Fittings, Aluminum Valves, Heat Exchangers, Duct
MLI EPS (Earnings per Share)
MLI Revenue
Description: MLI Mueller Industries November 03, 2025
Mueller Industries (NYSE: MLI) is a diversified metal-fabrication company that produces copper, brass and aluminum components for plumbing, HVAC, refrigeration, automotive and industrial markets across North America, Europe, Asia and the Middle East. The firm operates three reporting segments: Piping Systems (copper tubes, fittings and related plumbing hardware), Industrial Metals (brass, bronze, copper-alloy rods, forged and machined parts, and fluid-control solutions) and Climate (HVAC valves, heat exchangers, high-pressure components and flexible ducting). Its customers range from wholesale distributors and building-material retailers to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in residential construction, manufactured housing, recreational vehicles and commercial HVAC.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue of roughly $1.2 billion, operating margin of ≈ 9 %, and a free-cash-flow conversion rate of about 75 %. The balance sheet is solid, with a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.3× and a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.5, indicating modest leverage relative to peers. The company’s dividend yield sits around 2.5 % and has been raised for three consecutive years, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
Economic and sector drivers that materially affect MLI’s outlook include: (1) U.S. housing-starts and multifamily construction activity, which directly feed demand for plumbing and HVAC components; (2) global copper and aluminum price volatility, where higher base-metal prices can boost gross margins but also increase input-cost risk; and (3) the ongoing “green-building” trend and stricter energy-efficiency codes, which spur retro-fit and new-install demand for high-efficiency HVAC systems-areas where Mueller’s Climate segment is positioned to benefit.
For a deeper quantitative view, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful for drilling into MLI’s valuation metrics.
MLI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 11,753m |
| Sub-Industry | Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components |
| IPO / Inception | 1991-02-25 |
MLI Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 80.3% |
| Fundamental | 81.8% |
| Dividend Rating | 63.8% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 1.60% |
| Analyst Rating | 5.0 of 5 |
MLI Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 0.89% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.32% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 41.42% |
| Payout Consistency | 66.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 14.9% |
MLI Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 88.3% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 51.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 98.4% |
| CAGR 5y | 51.18% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 1.84 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 6.54 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.14 |
| Alpha | 9.80 |
| Beta | 1.022 |
| Volatility | 30.64% |
| Current Volume | 457.1k |
| Average Volume 20d | 719.5k |
| Stop Loss | 103.6 (-3.3%) |
| Signal | 0.37 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (749.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 248.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.18 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.86pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 46.50% (prev 42.53%; Δ 3.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 (>3.0%) and CFO 754.4m > Net Income 749.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.23b) to EBITDA (1.07b) ratio: -1.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.82 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (110.9m) change vs 12m ago -2.50% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.78% (prev 27.53%; Δ 1.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 119.9% (prev 111.6%; Δ 8.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8085 (EBITDA TTM 1.07b / Interest Expense TTM 123.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 14.81
| (A) 0.52 = (Total Current Assets 2.43b - Total Current Liabilities 503.2m) / Total Assets 3.70b |
| (B) 0.98 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.64b / Total Assets 3.70b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.98 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.29 = EBIT TTM 994.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.45b |
| (D) 5.96 = Book Value of Equity 3.58b / Total Liabilities 600.7m |
| Total Rating: 14.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 81.78
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.46% = 3.23 |
| 3. FCF Margin 16.34% = 4.09 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.01 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.15 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 16.66)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 26.23% = 2.19 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 63.10% = 4.73 |
| 9. EPS Trend -39.11% = -1.96 |
What is the price of MLI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.15%, over one month by +8.52%, over three months by +21.65% and over the past year by +15.85%.
Is Mueller Industries a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MLI is around 135.85 USD . This means that MLI is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +26.86% (Margin of Safety).
Is MLI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MLI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 130.5 | 21.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 130.5 | 21.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 153.2 | 43% |
MLI Fundamental Data Overview November 04, 2025
P/E Trailing = 15.8251
P/E Forward = 16.4204
P/S = 2.8391
P/B = 3.8165
Beta = 1.022
Revenue TTM = 4.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 994.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.07b USD
Long Term Debt = 32.7m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 8.39m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 28.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.23b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.46b USD (11.75b + Debt 28.9m - CCE 1.32b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8085 (Ebit TTM 994.4m / Interest Expense TTM 123.0k)
FCF Yield = 6.46% (FCF TTM 676.5m / Enterprise Value 10.46b)
FCF Margin = 16.34% (FCF TTM 676.5m / Revenue TTM 4.14b)
Net Margin = 18.10% (Net Income TTM 749.1m / Revenue TTM 4.14b)
Gross Margin = 28.78% ((Revenue TTM 4.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.85% (prev 31.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.83 (Enterprise Value 10.46b / Total Assets 3.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 6000 / Debt 28.9m)
Taxrate = 26.01% (73.9m / 284.2m)
NOPAT = 735.8m (EBIT 994.4m * (1 - 26.01%))
Current Ratio = 4.82 (Total Current Assets 2.43b / Total Current Liabilities 503.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 28.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.15 (Net Debt -1.23b / EBITDA 1.07b)
Debt / FCF = -1.82 (Net Debt -1.23b / FCF TTM 676.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.27% (Net Income 749.1m / Total Assets 3.70b)
RoE = 26.23% (Net Income TTM 749.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.86b)
RoCE = 34.42% (EBIT 994.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.86b + L.T.Debt 32.7m))
RoIC = 26.41% (NOPAT 735.8m / Invested Capital 2.79b)
WACC = 9.76% (E(11.75b)/V(11.78b) * Re(9.78%) + D(28.9m)/V(11.78b) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.35%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.09% ; FCFE base≈651.6m ; Y1≈613.3m ; Y5≈576.5m
Fair Price DCF = 69.61 (DCF Value 7.73b / Shares Outstanding 111.0m; 5y FCF grow -7.55% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -39.11 | EPS CAGR: -10.28% | SUE: -0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 63.10 | Revenue CAGR: 7.76% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for MLI Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle