MLI Stock Analysis: Mueller Industries | NYSE
Metal Fabrication | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 12.727m USD | 12M Return: 5% | US6247561029 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 86.1M
EPS Trend: 96.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Mueller Industries, Inc. (NYSE: MLI) is a manufacturer of copper, brass, and aluminum products serving customers across the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Asia, the Middle East, and Mexico. Founded in 1917 and headquartered in Collierville, Tennessee, the company operates through three reportable segments: Piping Systems, Industrial Metals, and Climate. Its products are used in plumbing, refrigeration, HVAC, automotive, construction, electrical transmission, and telecommunications applications, with sales channels directed primarily at wholesalers, distributors, building material retailers, and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).
As a large-cap member of the Industrials sector (GICS Sub-Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components), Mueller Industries operates a business model centered on metal processing and fabrication, converting raw copper, brass, and aluminum into semi-finished and finished components. The companys diversified product portfolio spans upstream metal mill products, downstream value-added components, and specialized HVAC and refrigeration parts, allowing it to serve multiple end markets from a single manufacturing base.
- Copper price swings drive Piping Systems margin compression
- HVAC OEM demand lifts Climate segment revenue
- Housing slowdown pressures plumbing wholesale volumes
| Net Income: 863.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -9.05 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 44.46% < 20% (prev 46.50%; Δ -2.04% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 477.9m > Net Income 863.6m |
| Net Debt (-1.43b) to EBITDA (1.22b): -1.18 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.39 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (220.1m) vs 12m ago -0.79% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 26.45% > 18% (prev 28.78%; Δ -2.32% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 125.1% > 50% (prev 112.0%; Δ 13.15% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.47k > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.14b / Interest Expense TTM 330k) |
| A: 0.52 (Total Current Assets 2.88b - Total Current Liabilities 655.6m) / Total Assets 4.30b |
| B: 0.88 (Retained Earnings 3.76b / Total Assets 4.30b) |
| C: 0.29 (EBIT TTM 1.14b / Avg Total Assets 4.00b) |
| D: 4.65 (Book Value of Equity 3.51b / Total Liabilities 755.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 13.05 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 724.0m/556.6m, Revenue 5.00b/4.14b) |
| GMI: 1.09 (GM 28.78% / 26.45%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.18 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 1.21 (Revenue 5.00b / 4.14b) |
| TATA: 0.09 (NI 863.6m - CFO 477.9m) / TA 4.30b) |
| Beneish M = -2.75 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 54.11 with a total of 2,098,676 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.92%, over one month by -10.31%, over three months by -14.05% and over the past year by +4.98%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 51.60 (which is 4.6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Mueller Industries has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MLI.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 80 | 47.8% |
P/E Trailing = 14.7538
P/E Forward = 18.1818
P/S = 2.5444
P/B = 3.7612
P/EG = 3.4081
Revenue TTM = 5.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.14b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.22b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.24m USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 8.18m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 46.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 19.4m
Net Debt = -1.43b USD (calculated: Debt 46.0m - CCE 1.48b)
Enterprise Value = 11.3b USD (12.7b + Debt 46.0m - CCE 1.48b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.47k (Ebit TTM 1.14b / Interest Expense TTM 330k)
EV/FCF = 28.42x (Enterprise Value 11.3b / FCF TTM 397.4m)
FCF Yield = 3.52% (FCF TTM 397.4m / Enterprise Value 11.3b)
FCF Margin = 7.94% (FCF TTM 397.4m / Revenue TTM 5.00b)
Net Margin = 17.27% (Net Income TTM 863.6m / Revenue TTM 5.00b)
Gross Margin = 26.45% ((Revenue TTM 5.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.68b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.48% (prev 27.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.63 (Enterprise Value 11.3b / Total Assets 4.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.72% (Interest Expense 330k / Debt 46.0m)
Taxrate = 24.61% (281.7m / 1.14b)
NOPAT = 863.1m (EBIT 1.14b * (1 - 24.61%))
Current Ratio = 4.39 (Total Current Assets 2.88b / Total Current Liabilities 655.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 46.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.51b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.18 (Net Debt -1.43b / EBITDA 1.22b)
Debt / FCF = -3.61 (Net Debt -1.43b / FCF TTM 397.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.22b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.61% (Net Income 863.6m / Total Assets 4.30b)
RoE = 26.80% (Net Income TTM 863.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.22b)
RoCE = 35.47% (EBIT 1.14b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.22b + L.T.Debt 5.24m))
RoIC = 25.38% (NOPAT 863.1m / Invested Capital 3.40b)
WACC = 9.13% (E(12.7b)/V(12.8b) * Re(9.16%) + D(46.0m)/V(12.8b) * Rd(0.72%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -90.00 | Cagr: -1.54%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.23% ; FCFF base≈509.0m ; Y1≈446.4m ; Y5≈360.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 29.68 (EV 5.13b - Net Debt -1.43b = Equity 6.56b / Shares 221.2m; r=9.13% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.98 | EPS CAGR: 16.77% | SUE: -0.34 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.01 | Revenue CAGR: 15.25% | SUE: 0.34 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=1.09 | Chg30d=+10.10% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.15 | Chg30d=-1.19% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+30.9% | GrowthRev=+21.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.65 | Chg30d=+6.16% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+12.0% | GrowthRev=+7.7%