(MNR) Mach Natural Resources - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Gas, Natural Resources
MNR EPS (Earnings per Share)
MNR Revenue
Description: MNR Mach Natural Resources August 13, 2025
Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) is a US-based Oil & Gas Exploration & Production company. The companys quarterly tax provision is a critical aspect of its financial reporting, reflecting the estimated taxes owed on its earnings.
To evaluate MNRs performance, key drivers to consider include crude oil prices, production volumes, and operating costs. The companys ability to maintain a strong balance sheet and generate cash flows is crucial. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) such as Return on Equity (RoE) of 28.04% and a relatively low Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.06 suggest a potentially attractive investment opportunity.
Economic drivers influencing MNRs business include global demand for crude oil, geopolitical events, and the overall energy market landscape. The companys market capitalization of $1.714 billion and average trading volume of 302,828 shares indicate a moderate level of liquidity. Investors should closely monitor MNRs quarterly earnings reports, production guidance, and hedging strategies to assess its financial health and growth prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MNRs P/E ratio is lower than some of its peers, potentially indicating undervaluation. However, the absence of a forward P/E ratio may suggest uncertainty around future earnings expectations. Investors should consider these factors in conjunction with the companys operational performance and industry trends to make informed investment decisions.
MNR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,018m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 2023-10-25 |
MNR Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -33.0% |
| Fundamental | 81.4% |
| Dividend Rating | 41.3% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -20.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 5.0 of 5 |
MNR Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 18.79% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 16.46% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 1.6% |
MNR Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -90.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -34.3% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -22.5% |
| CAGR 5y | -6.32% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.21 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.50 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.15 |
| Alpha | -8.75 |
| Beta | -0.313 |
| Volatility | 29.45% |
| Current Volume | 307.5k |
| Average Volume 20d | 307.5k |
| Stop Loss | 11.7 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | -1.24 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (394.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 62.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 37.53pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -5.46% (prev 1.77%; Δ -7.23pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 (>3.0%) and CFO 517.2m > Net Income 394.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (556.5m) to EBITDA (572.4m) ratio: 0.97 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.79 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (118.4m) change vs 12m ago 24.38% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 68.24% (prev 41.35%; Δ 26.88pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 45.80% (prev 38.92%; Δ 6.89pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.80 (EBITDA TTM 572.4m / Interest Expense TTM 81.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 81.39
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 12.55% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 30.87% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.35 = 2.44 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.97 = 1.81 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 8.47)% = 10.59 |
| 7. RoE 29.00% = 2.42 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -14.53% = -1.09 |
| 9. EPS Trend 14.56% = 0.73 |
What is the price of MNR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.25%, over one month by -8.62%, over three months by -15.81% and over the past year by -9.09%.
Is Mach Natural Resources a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MNR is around 13.27 USD . This means that MNR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 9.85%.
Is MNR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MNR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 20.3 | 68.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 20.3 | 68.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 14.2 | 17.7% |
MNR Fundamental Data Overview November 04, 2025
P/E Trailing = 6.0914
P/S = 2.1674
P/B = 1.5864
Beta = -0.313
Revenue TTM = 1.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 308.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 572.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 565.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.27m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 570.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 556.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.57b USD (2.02b + Debt 570.3m - CCE 13.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.80 (Ebit TTM 308.7m / Interest Expense TTM 81.3m)
FCF Yield = 12.55% (FCF TTM 323.0m / Enterprise Value 2.57b)
FCF Margin = 30.87% (FCF TTM 323.0m / Revenue TTM 1.05b)
Net Margin = 37.72% (Net Income TTM 394.7m / Revenue TTM 1.05b)
Gross Margin = 68.24% ((Revenue TTM 1.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 332.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 97.83% (prev 97.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.10 (Enterprise Value 2.57b / Total Assets 2.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.13% (Interest Expense 12.1m / Debt 570.3m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 243.9m (EBIT 308.7m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 209.2m / Total Current Liabilities 266.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.35 (Debt 570.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.64b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.97 (Net Debt 556.5m / EBITDA 572.4m)
Debt / FCF = 1.72 (Net Debt 556.5m / FCF TTM 323.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.36b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.91% (Net Income 394.7m / Total Assets 2.33b)
RoE = 29.00% (Net Income TTM 394.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.36b)
RoCE = 16.03% (EBIT 308.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.36b + L.T.Debt 565.0m))
RoIC = 12.63% (NOPAT 243.9m / Invested Capital 1.93b)
WACC = 4.16% (E(2.02b)/V(2.59b) * Re(4.86%) + D(570.3m)/V(2.59b) * Rd(2.13%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 4.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 11.63%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈323.0m ; Y1≈212.1m ; Y5≈97.0m
Fair Price DCF = 11.34 (DCF Value 1.91b / Shares Outstanding 168.1m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 14.56 | EPS CAGR: -2.45% | SUE: -0.91 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -14.53 | Revenue CAGR: -0.90% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for MNR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle