(MNR) Mach Natural Resources - Overview
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas E&P | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 2.481m USD | Total Return: 17.9% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 6.02M
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 50.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Share dilution 50.0% YoY
Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) is an independent upstream energy company focused on the acquisition and development of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The partnership operates primarily in the Anadarko Basin, the San Juan Basin, and the Permian Basin. Unlike pure-play exploration firms, MNR maintains a vertically integrated model by owning midstream infrastructure, including gathering systems and processing plants, to manage its production flow.
The company’s strategy centers on proved developed producing (PDP) wells, which typically offer lower geological risk compared to exploratory drilling. As an upstream operator in the Anadarko Basin, MNR functions within a mature resource play characterized by established infrastructure and predictable decline curves. Investors may find it useful to examine ValueRay for deeper insights into the companys valuation metrics. Headquartered in Oklahoma City, the entity was incorporated in 2023 to consolidate diverse regional assets.
- Production volume growth in the Anadarko Basin drives quarterly revenue
- Natural gas and NGL price volatility dictates distribution payout levels
- Strategic acquisitions of PDP assets increase cash flow per unit
- Operating expenses for midstream infrastructure influence net profit margins
- Regulatory shifts in Oklahoma and Texas impact drilling inventory value
| Net Income: 235.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -10.14 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -5.18% < 20% (prev -9.00%; Δ 3.82% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 534.8m > Net Income 235.0m |
| Net Debt (1.12b) to EBITDA (681.6m): 1.65 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (168.3m) vs 12m ago 50.02% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.88% > 18% (prev 0.33%; Δ 3.65k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 44.86% > 50% (prev 42.69%; Δ 2.17% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.57 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 681.6m / Interest Expense TTM 74.0m) |
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 229.3m/156.7m, Revenue 1.33b/957.2m) |
| GMI: 0.90 (GM 36.88% / 33.09%) |
| AQI: 0.69 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.39 (Revenue 1.33b / 957.2m) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 235.0m - CFO 534.8m) / TA 3.69b) |
| Beneish M = -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of May 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.14 with a total of 343,664 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.64%,
over one month by +13.07%,
over three months by +13.24% and
over the past year by +17.92%.
Mach Natural Resources has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MNR.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 18.7 | 32.3% |
P/S = 2.1448
P/B = 1.3423
Revenue TTM = 1.33b USD
EBIT TTM = 263.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 681.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.13b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.49m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.17b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 20.1m
Net Debt = 1.12b USD (calculated: Debt 1.17b - CCE 52.7m)
Enterprise Value = 3.60b USD (2.48b + Debt 1.17b - CCE 52.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.57 (Ebit TTM 263.8m / Interest Expense TTM 74.0m)
EV/FCF = 37.21x (Enterprise Value 3.60b / FCF TTM 96.8m)
FCF Yield = 2.69% (FCF TTM 96.8m / Enterprise Value 3.60b)
FCF Margin = 7.27% (FCF TTM 96.8m / Revenue TTM 1.33b)
Net Margin = 17.65% (Net Income TTM 235.0m / Revenue TTM 1.33b)
Gross Margin = 36.88% ((Revenue TTM 1.33b - Cost of Revenue TTM 840.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.06% (prev 29.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.98 (Enterprise Value 3.60b / Total Assets 3.69b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.30% (Interest Expense 74.0m / Debt 1.17b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 208.4m (EBIT 263.8m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 342.4m / Total Current Liabilities 411.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.64 (Debt 1.17b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.65 (Net Debt 1.12b / EBITDA 681.6m)
Debt / FCF = 11.59 (Net Debt 1.12b / FCF TTM 96.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.92% (Net Income 235.0m / Total Assets 3.69b)
RoE = 13.10% (Net Income TTM 235.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.79b)
RoCE = 9.01% (EBIT 263.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.79b + L.T.Debt 1.13b))
RoIC = 6.34% (NOPAT 208.4m / Invested Capital 3.29b)
WACC = 6.48% (E(2.48b)/V(3.66b) * Re(7.19%) + D(1.17b)/V(3.66b) * Rd(6.30%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 28.94%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈172.6m ; Y1≈151.3m ; Y5≈122.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.00 (EV 1.96b - Net Debt 1.12b = Equity 840.8m / Shares 168.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -1.15 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 50.14 | Revenue CAGR: 10.43% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=-28.68% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.29 | Chg30d=-9.92% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.48 | Chg30d=-4.27% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+20.2% | GrowthRev=+23.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.44 | Chg30d=-0.86% | Revisions=+14% | GrowthEPS=-2.5% | GrowthRev=+2.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -33%