(MOG-A) Moog - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 9.488m USD | Total Return: 96.2% in 12m

Aerospace, Defense, Industrial, Controls,
Total Rating 81
Safety 89
Buy Signal 0.24
Aerospace & Defense
Industry Rotation: -8.4
Market Cap: 9.49B
Avg Turnover: 71.7M USD
ATR: 3.72%
Peers RS (IBD): 82.9
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility33.4%
Rel. Tail Risk-5.35%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.06
Alpha63.09
Character TTM
Beta1.186
Beta Downside1.082
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD33.21%
CAGR/Max DD1.45
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MOG-A over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 1.51, "2021-06": 1.12, "2021-09": 1.07, "2021-12": 1.11, "2022-03": 1.49, "2022-06": 1.61, "2022-09": 1.36, "2022-12": 1.25, "2023-03": 1.42, "2023-06": 1.37, "2023-09": 2.1, "2023-12": 1.53, "2024-03": 2.19, "2024-06": 1.91, "2024-09": 2.16, "2024-12": 1.78, "2025-03": 1.92, "2025-06": 2.37, "2025-09": 2.56, "2025-12": 2.63,
EPS CAGR: 16.36%
EPS Trend: 79.7%
Last SUE: 2.68
Qual. Beats: 3
Revenue Revenue of MOG-A over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 736.402, 2021-06: 707.352, 2021-09: 724.285, 2021-12: 724.154, 2022-03: 770.963, 2022-06: 773.286, 2022-09: 768.376, 2022-12: 760.409, 2023-03: 837.003, 2023-06: 850.176, 2023-09: 872.051, 2023-12: 856.85, 2024-03: 930.303, 2024-06: 904.735, 2024-09: 919.395, 2024-12: 910.315, 2025-03: 934.84, 2025-06: 971.363, 2025-09: 1049.137999, 2025-12: 1100.346,
Rev. CAGR: 9.95%
Rev. Trend: 95.5%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 6

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Garp

Description: MOG-A Moog

Moog Inc. (NYSE: MOG-A) designs, manufactures and integrates precision motion-control and fluid-control systems for OEMs and end-users across aerospace, defense and industrial markets. The business is organized into four segments-Space & Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft and Industrial-each supplying mission-critical actuation, flight-control and automation components to platforms ranging from missiles and satellites to commercial jets and heavy-machinery equipment.

In the most recent fiscal year (ended Sept 30 2025), Moog generated $1.38 billion in revenue, a 7 % year-over-year increase, and reported adjusted earnings per share of $2.45, up 12 % YoY. The company’s order backlog rose to $2.1 billion, reflecting a 15 % jump driven largely by higher defense contracts and a rebound in commercial aircraft orders. Operating margins improved to 13.2 %, supported by cost-saving initiatives in its Industrial segment.

Key macro drivers include a 5 % rise in U.S. defense spending announced in the FY 2026 budget, robust growth in commercial aircraft deliveries (+8 % YoY) as airlines replace aging fleets, and a 6 % projected CAGR for industrial automation, which underpins demand for Moog’s high-precision motion-control solutions in medical devices and energy applications.

For a deeper dive into Moog’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you may want to explore the analysis on ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Defense spending directly impacts Space and Defense segment revenue
  • Commercial aircraft production rates drive Commercial Aircraft segment sales
  • Military aircraft upgrade cycles influence Military Aircraft segment performance
  • Industrial automation investment affects Industrial segment demand
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 258.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.76 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 34.46% < 20% (prev 36.34%; Δ -1.88% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 245.3m > Net Income 258.7m
Net Debt (983.6m) to EBITDA (529.5m): 1.86 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.33 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (32.0m) vs 12m ago -1.12% < -2%
Gross Margin: 27.28% > 18% (prev 0.27%; Δ 2.70k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 92.76% > 50% (prev 87.40%; Δ 5.35% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.87 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 529.5m / Interest Expense TTM 72.3m)
Altman Z'' 5.75
A: 0.31 (Total Current Assets 2.45b - Total Current Liabilities 1.05b) / Total Assets 4.55b
B: 0.64 (Retained Earnings 2.90b / Total Assets 4.55b)
C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 424.0m / Avg Total Assets 4.37b)
D: 0.96 (Book Value of Equity 2.39b / Total Liabilities 2.49b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 5.75 = AAA
Beneish M -2.95
DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 1.37b/1.21b, Revenue 4.06b/3.66b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 27.28% / 27.30%)
AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.22 / AQ_t-1 0.23)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 4.06b / 3.66b)
TATA: 0.00 (NI 258.7m - CFO 245.3m) / TA 4.55b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of MOG-A shares? As of April 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 312.03 with a total of 114,469 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.38%, over one month by -0.81%, over three months by +13.04% and over the past year by +96.16%.
Is MOG-A a buy, sell or hold? Moog has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOG-A.
  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MOG-A price?
Analysts Target Price 324.5 4%
Moog (MOG-A) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 08 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 37.3663
P/E Forward = 15.3374
P/S = 2.3409
P/B = 4.454
P/EG = 1.4941
Revenue TTM = 4.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 424.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 529.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.05b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.69m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.06b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 983.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.47b USD (9.49b + Debt 1.06b - CCE 73.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.87 (Ebit TTM 424.0m / Interest Expense TTM 72.3m)
EV/FCF = 96.96x (Enterprise Value 10.47b / FCF TTM 108.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.03% (FCF TTM 108.0m / Enterprise Value 10.47b)
FCF Margin = 2.66% (FCF TTM 108.0m / Revenue TTM 4.06b)
Net Margin = 6.38% (Net Income TTM 258.7m / Revenue TTM 4.06b)
Gross Margin = 27.28% ((Revenue TTM 4.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.74% (prev 27.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.30 (Enterprise Value 10.47b / Total Assets 4.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.63% (Interest Expense 17.2m / Debt 1.06b)
Taxrate = 22.09% (22.4m / 101.2m)
NOPAT = 330.3m (EBIT 424.0m * (1 - 22.09%))
Current Ratio = 2.33 (Total Current Assets 2.45b / Total Current Liabilities 1.05b)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 1.06b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.86 (Net Debt 983.6m / EBITDA 529.5m)
Debt / FCF = 9.11 (Net Debt 983.6m / FCF TTM 108.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.96b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.92% (Net Income 258.7m / Total Assets 4.55b)
RoE = 13.20% (Net Income TTM 258.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.96b)
RoCE = 14.08% (EBIT 424.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.96b + L.T.Debt 1.05b))
RoIC = 10.93% (NOPAT 330.3m / Invested Capital 3.02b)
WACC = 9.26% (E(9.49b)/V(10.54b) * Re(10.15%) + D(1.06b)/V(10.54b) * Rd(1.63%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 10.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 65.15% ; FCFF base≈108.0m ; Y1≈70.9m ; Y5≈32.4m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 526.0m - Net Debt 983.6m = -457.7m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: 79.69 | EPS CAGR: 16.36% | SUE: 2.68 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 95.54 | Revenue CAGR: 9.95% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 6
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.55 | Chg7d=-0.070 | Chg30d=-0.085 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=10.26 | Chg7d=+0.325 | Chg30d=+0.315 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+18.1% | Growth Revenue=+11.5%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=11.49 | Chg7d=+0.223 | Chg30d=+0.527 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+12.0% | Growth Revenue=+6.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 7.5% (Discount Rate 10.2% - Earnings Yield 2.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +1.8% (Analyst 9.3% - Implied 7.5%)
External Resources
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