(MOG-A) Moog - Ratings and Ratios
Precision Controls, Actuation Systems, Motion Controls, Flight Controls
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 47.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.34% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.24 |
| Alpha | -21.90 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.263 |
| Beta | 1.156 |
| Beta Downside | 1.083 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 33.21% |
| Mean DD | 7.36% |
| Median DD | 4.49% |
Description: MOG-A Moog November 06, 2025
Moog Inc. (NYSE:MOG-A) designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion- and fluid-control systems for OEMs and end users across aerospace, defense, and industrial markets. The business is organized into four segments: Space & Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft, and Industrial, each delivering specialized actuation and control solutions for platforms ranging from missiles and submarines to commercial jets and medical equipment.
Key metrics that analysts watch include the company’s FY-2024 revenue of $2.0 billion, a 7 % YoY growth driven primarily by a 12 % rise in Space & Defense sales, and an operating margin of roughly 14 %. Moog’s order backlog sits near $2.5 billion, reflecting sustained demand from U.S. defense spending (projected to grow ~3 % annually) and a gradual recovery in commercial aircraft orders as airlines replace aging fleets. Additionally, the Industrial segment benefits from rising automation spend, with a 9 % CAGR in motion-control components for medical and test-and-energy applications.
For a deeper, data-driven look at Moog’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
MOG-A Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 6,427m |
| Sub-Industry | Electrical Components & Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 1992-02-21 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -17.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.25 of 5 |
MOG-A Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.44% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.11% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 10.55% |
| Payout Consistency | 25.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 19.0% |
MOG-A Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 32.05% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.97 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 4.36 |
| Current Volume | 256.2k |
| Average Volume | 133.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (211.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 224.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.14pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 37.85% (prev 33.22%; Δ 4.63pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 188.3m <= Net Income 211.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.22b) to EBITDA (436.7m) ratio: 2.78 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.43 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (32.1m) change vs 12m ago -1.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 27.04% (prev 27.35%; Δ -0.31pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 88.22% (prev 87.61%; Δ 0.61pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.15 (EBITDA TTM 436.7m / Interest Expense TTM 63.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.83
| (A) 0.32 = (Total Current Assets 2.40b - Total Current Liabilities 988.6m) / Total Assets 4.40b |
| (B) 0.64 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.81b / Total Assets 4.40b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 390.9m / Avg Total Assets 4.23b |
| (D) 0.97 = Book Value of Equity 2.38b / Total Liabilities 2.45b |
| Total Rating: 5.83 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.10
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.51% |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.04% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.66 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.78 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.50)% |
| 7. RoE 11.36% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 92.67% |
| 9. EPS Trend 79.52% |
What is the price of MOG-A shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.03%, over one month by -3.73%, over three months by +3.85% and over the past year by -7.98%.
Is MOG-A a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MOG-A price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 228.8 | 15.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 228.8 | 15.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 245.2 | 23.5% |
MOG-A Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 30.6697
P/E Forward = 14.3266
P/S = 1.7213
P/B = 3.3713
Beta = 0.978
Revenue TTM = 3.73b USD
EBIT TTM = 390.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 436.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.08b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.22b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.64b USD (6.43b + Debt 1.27b - CCE 59.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.15 (Ebit TTM 390.9m / Interest Expense TTM 63.6m)
FCF Yield = 0.51% (FCF TTM 38.8m / Enterprise Value 7.64b)
FCF Margin = 1.04% (FCF TTM 38.8m / Revenue TTM 3.73b)
Net Margin = 5.67% (Net Income TTM 211.6m / Revenue TTM 3.73b)
Gross Margin = 27.04% ((Revenue TTM 3.73b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.72b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.37% (prev 27.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.74 (Enterprise Value 7.64b / Total Assets 4.40b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.40% (Interest Expense 17.8m / Debt 1.27b)
Taxrate = 23.43% (18.3m / 78.0m)
NOPAT = 299.3m (EBIT 390.9m * (1 - 23.43%))
Current Ratio = 2.43 (Total Current Assets 2.40b / Total Current Liabilities 988.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.66 (Debt 1.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.78 (Net Debt 1.22b / EBITDA 436.7m)
Debt / FCF = 31.33 (Net Debt 1.22b / FCF TTM 38.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.81% (Net Income 211.6m / Total Assets 4.40b)
RoE = 11.36% (Net Income TTM 211.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.86b)
RoCE = 13.27% (EBIT 390.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.86b + L.T.Debt 1.08b))
RoIC = 10.25% (NOPAT 299.3m / Invested Capital 2.92b)
WACC = 8.76% (E(6.43b)/V(7.70b) * Re(10.28%) + D(1.27b)/V(7.70b) * Rd(1.40%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 61.08% ; FCFE base≈40.0m ; Y1≈26.3m ; Y5≈12.0m
Fair Price DCF = 6.00 (DCF Value 170.5m / Shares Outstanding 28.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 79.52 | EPS CAGR: 22.38% | SUE: 1.09 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 92.67 | Revenue CAGR: 8.92% | SUE: 3.34 | # QB: 4
Additional Sources for MOG-A Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle