MOG-A Stock Analysis: Moog | NYSE
Aerospace & Defense | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 12.438m USD | 12M Return: 70.8% | US6153942023 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 104M
EPS Trend: 95.9%
Qual. Beats: 5
Rev. Trend: 97.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Moog Inc. (MOG-A) designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid control systems for original equipment manufacturers and end users across aerospace, defense, and industrial markets in the United States, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through four reporting segments: Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft, and Industrial.
The Space and Defense segment supplies motion-control components for defense vehicles, missile systems, naval platforms, and space launch and satellite programs. The Military Aircraft segment produces primary and secondary flight controls and actuation systems for fixed-wing aircraft and rotorcraft, serving both OEM and aftermarket customers. The Commercial Aircraft segment delivers flight-critical control systems for widebody, narrowbody, business jets, and regional jets.
The Industrial segment provides customized motion-control components and systems for industrial automation, medical, simulation, test, and energy applications, including components for heavy machinery, medical devices, power generation, and flight-training simulation platforms.
Moog was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in East Aurora, New York, and was formerly known as Moog Valve Company. The business model relies on long product lifecycles tied to multi-year aerospace and defense programs, with recurring aftermarket service revenue supplementing original equipment sales, and operates within a sector characterized by high certification barriers and a limited base of qualified suppliers.
- US defense budget growth boosts Space and Defense segment backlog
- Boeing production rate increases drive Commercial Aircraft revenue
- Industrial segment margins pressured by weak automation demand
| Net Income: 377.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.47 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 31.41% < 20% (prev 37.83%; Δ -6.42% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 485.5m > Net Income 377.1m |
| Net Debt (1.08b) to EBITDA (613.3m): 1.76 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.09 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (32.0m) vs 12m ago -0.14% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 27.93% > 18% (prev 27.43%; Δ 0.50% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 94.20% > 50% (prev 84.97%; Δ 9.23% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.60 > 6 (EBIT TTM 503.5m / Interest Expense TTM 66.2m) |
| A: 0.28 (Total Current Assets 2.60b - Total Current Liabilities 1.25b) / Total Assets 4.77b |
| B: 0.65 (Retained Earnings 3.12b / Total Assets 4.77b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 503.5m / Avg Total Assets 4.58b) |
| D: 0.87 (Book Value of Equity 2.22b / Total Liabilities 2.55b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.65 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 1.49b/1.26b, Revenue 4.32b/3.74b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 27.43% / 27.93%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.22 / AQ_t-1 0.22) |
| SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 4.32b / 3.74b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 377.1m - CFO 485.5m) / TA 4.77b) |
| Beneish M = -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 362.92 with a total of 299,925 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.99%, over one month by -1.81%, over three months by -10.53% and over the past year by +70.79%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 342.40 (which is 5.7% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Moog has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOG-A.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 446.4 | 23% |
P/E Trailing = 33.3387
P/E Forward = 31.746
P/S = 2.8806
P/B = 5.2431
P/EG = 1.4941
Revenue TTM = 4.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 503.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 613.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 906.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 38.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.08b USD (calculated: Debt 1.15b - CCE 67.8m)
Enterprise Value = 13.5b USD (12.4b + Debt 1.15b - CCE 67.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.60 (Ebit TTM 503.5m / Interest Expense TTM 66.2m)
EV/FCF = 38.60x (Enterprise Value 13.5b / FCF TTM 350.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.59% (FCF TTM 350.2m / Enterprise Value 13.5b)
FCF Margin = 8.11% (FCF TTM 350.2m / Revenue TTM 4.32b)
Net Margin = 8.73% (Net Income TTM 377.1m / Revenue TTM 4.32b)
Gross Margin = 27.93% ((Revenue TTM 4.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.11b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.10% (prev 26.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.83 (Enterprise Value 13.5b / Total Assets 4.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.78% (Interest Expense 66.2m / Debt 1.15b)
Taxrate = 13.75% (60.1m / 437.3m)
NOPAT = 434.3m (EBIT 503.5m * (1 - 13.75%))
Current Ratio = 2.09 (Total Current Assets 2.60b / Total Current Liabilities 1.25b)
Debt / Equity = 0.52 (Debt 1.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.22b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.76 (Net Debt 1.08b / EBITDA 613.3m)
Debt / FCF = 3.08 (Net Debt 1.08b / FCF TTM 350.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.10b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.23% (Net Income 377.1m / Total Assets 4.77b)
RoE = 18.00% (Net Income TTM 377.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.10b)
RoCE = 16.77% (EBIT 503.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.10b + L.T.Debt 906.4m))
RoIC = 12.43% (NOPAT 434.3m / Invested Capital 3.49b)
WACC = 9.21% (E(12.4b)/V(13.6b) * Re(9.60%) + D(1.15b)/V(13.6b) * Rd(5.78%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 9.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -76.55 | Cagr: -0.41%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.23% ; FCFF base≈225.4m ; Y1≈258.4m ; Y5≈380.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 136.8 (EV 4.97b - Net Debt 1.08b = Equity 3.89b / Shares 28.4m; r=9.21% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.94 | EPS CAGR: 21.18% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: 97.51 | Revenue CAGR: 9.08% | SUE: 1.14 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=2.94 | Chg30d=+2.15% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=11.48 | Chg30d=+0.57% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+32.1% | GrowthRev=+13.7%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=12.00 | Chg30d=+1.71% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+4.6% | GrowthRev=+7.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +67% (up=6, down=0)