MOG-A Stock Analysis: Moog | NYSE
Aerospace & Defense | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 13.188m USD | 12M Return: 130% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 126M
EPS Trend: 96.0%
Qual. Beats: 4
Rev. Trend: 98.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Moog Inc. (NYSE: MOG-A) is a U.S.-based precision motion and fluid controls manufacturer that designs and integrates components for original equipment manufacturers and end users across aerospace, defense, and industrial markets, with operations in the United States, Germany, and other international locations. The company operates through four reportable segments-Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft, and Industrial-reflecting a diversified business model that serves both defense and commercial customers while also supplying non-aerospace markets such as medical devices, industrial automation, simulation, test, and energy applications. Its product portfolio spans flight-control actuation systems, missile and naval components, satellite and spacecraft hardware, and high-performance motion-control components used in heavy machinery and power generation. Founded in 1951 (originally as Moog Valve Company) and headquartered in East Aurora, New York, Moog generates revenue from a mix of OEM contracts and aftermarket support, which is a common feature of the precision aerospace and defense components industry where long product lifecycles and recurring service revenue are typical.
- DoD budget growth fuels Space and Defense segment expansion
- Commercial Aircraft recovery hinges on Boeing and Airbus production rates
- Military Aircraft aftermarket revenue supports margin expansion
| Net Income: 284.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 27.02% < 20% (prev 37.62%; Δ -10.60% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 335.5m > Net Income 284.8m |
| Net Debt (932.3m) to EBITDA (549.5m): 1.70 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.68 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (32.1m) vs 12m ago 0.41% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 26.95% > 18% (prev 26.98%; Δ -0.03% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 90.50% > 50% (prev 84.95%; Δ 5.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.53 > 6 (EBIT TTM 446.1m / Interest Expense TTM 68.3m) |
| A: 0.23 (Total Current Assets 2.79b - Total Current Liabilities 1.67b) / Total Assets 4.90b |
| B: 0.61 (Retained Earnings 2.98b / Total Assets 4.90b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 446.1m / Avg Total Assets 4.61b) |
| D: 0.75 (Book Value of Equity 2.10b / Total Liabilities 2.80b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.93 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 1.45b/1.27b, Revenue 4.17b/3.67b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 26.98% / 26.95%) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.23) |
| SGI: 1.14 (Revenue 4.17b / 3.67b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 284.8m - CFO 335.5m) / TA 4.90b) |
| Beneish M = -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 417.42 with a total of 366,349 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.28%, over one month by +11.81%, over three months by +44.07% and over the past year by +130.00%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 400.10 (which is 4.1% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Moog has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOG-A.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 353.3 | -15.4% |
P/E Trailing = 46.929
P/E Forward = 15.3374
P/S = 3.1619
P/B = 6.2727
P/EG = 1.4941
Revenue TTM = 4.17b USD
EBIT TTM = 446.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 549.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 739.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 500.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.24b USD (corrected: LT Debt 739.8m + ST Debt 500.0m)
Net Debt = 932.3m USD (calculated: Debt 1.24b - CCE 307.6m)
Enterprise Value = 14.1b USD (13.2b + Debt 1.24b - CCE 307.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.53 (Ebit TTM 446.1m / Interest Expense TTM 68.3m)
EV/FCF = 69.22x (Enterprise Value 14.1b / FCF TTM 204.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.44% (FCF TTM 204.0m / Enterprise Value 14.1b)
FCF Margin = 4.89% (FCF TTM 204.0m / Revenue TTM 4.17b)
Net Margin = 6.83% (Net Income TTM 284.8m / Revenue TTM 4.17b)
Gross Margin = 26.95% ((Revenue TTM 4.17b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.06% (prev 26.74%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.88 (Enterprise Value 14.1b / Total Assets 4.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.51% (Interest Expense 68.3m / Debt 1.24b)
Taxrate = 24.62% (93.0m / 377.8m)
NOPAT = 336.3m (EBIT 446.1m * (1 - 24.62%))
Current Ratio = 1.68 (Total Current Assets 2.79b / Total Current Liabilities 1.67b)
Debt / Equity = 0.59 (Debt 1.24b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.70 (Net Debt 932.3m / EBITDA 549.5m)
Debt / FCF = 4.57 (Net Debt 932.3m / FCF TTM 204.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.18% (Net Income 284.8m / Total Assets 4.90b)
RoE = 14.06% (Net Income TTM 284.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.03b)
RoCE = 16.13% (EBIT 446.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.03b + L.T.Debt 739.8m))
RoIC = 9.53% (NOPAT 336.3m / Invested Capital 3.53b)
WACC = 9.45% (E(13.2b)/V(14.4b) * Re(9.95%) + D(1.24b)/V(14.4b) * Rd(5.51%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -37.78 | Cagr: -0.24%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.67% ; FCFF base≈204.0m ; Y1≈204.8m ; Y5≈217.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 67.15 (EV 2.84b - Net Debt 932.3m = Equity 1.91b / Shares 28.4m; r=9.45% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.99 | EPS CAGR: 21.12% | SUE: 1.82 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 97.95 | Revenue CAGR: 8.67% | SUE: 0.62 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=10.61 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+22.1% | GrowthRev=+11.4%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=11.49 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+14% | GrowthEPS=+8.3% | GrowthRev=+6.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%