(MOG-A) Moog - Ratings and Ratios
Precision Controls, Actuation Systems, Motion Controls, Flight Controls
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.45% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.51% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.78% |
| Payout Consistency | 23.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 13.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 46.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.16% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.80 |
| Alpha | 8.55 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.33 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.409 |
| Beta | 1.174 |
| Beta Downside | 1.053 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 33.21% |
| Mean DD | 7.29% |
| Median DD | 4.44% |
Description: MOG-A Moog November 06, 2025
Moog Inc. (NYSE:MOG-A) designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion- and fluid-control systems for OEMs and end users across aerospace, defense, and industrial markets. The business is organized into four segments: Space & Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft, and Industrial, each delivering specialized actuation and control solutions for platforms ranging from missiles and submarines to commercial jets and medical equipment.
Key metrics that analysts watch include the company’s FY-2024 revenue of $2.0 billion, a 7 % YoY growth driven primarily by a 12 % rise in Space & Defense sales, and an operating margin of roughly 14 %. Moog’s order backlog sits near $2.5 billion, reflecting sustained demand from U.S. defense spending (projected to grow ~3 % annually) and a gradual recovery in commercial aircraft orders as airlines replace aging fleets. Additionally, the Industrial segment benefits from rising automation spend, with a 9 % CAGR in motion-control components for medical and test-and-energy applications.
For a deeper, data-driven look at Moog’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (235.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 231.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.62pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 32.36% (prev 31.63%; Δ 0.73pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 157.8m <= Net Income 235.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (96.8m) to EBITDA (488.5m) ratio: 0.20 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.12 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (32.1m) change vs 12m ago -0.85% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 27.24% (prev 27.06%; Δ 0.18pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 90.38% (prev 87.42%; Δ 2.96pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.34 (EBITDA TTM 488.5m / Interest Expense TTM 72.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.57
| (A) 0.28 = (Total Current Assets 2.37b - Total Current Liabilities 1.12b) / Total Assets 4.43b |
| (B) 0.64 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.83b / Total Assets 4.43b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 384.7m / Avg Total Assets 4.28b |
| (D) 0.97 = Book Value of Equity 2.36b / Total Liabilities 2.43b |
| Total Rating: 5.57 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.70
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.26% |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.57% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.08 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.20 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.99)% |
| 7. RoE 12.39% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 96.06% |
| 9. EPS Trend 79.31% |
What is the price of MOG-A shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.67%, over one month by +9.52%, over three months by +22.20% and over the past year by +29.44%.
Is MOG-A a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MOG-A price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 256.5 | -0.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 256.5 | -0.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 353.4 | 37.1% |
MOG-A Fundamental Data Overview January 05, 2026
P/E Trailing = 34.1352
P/E Forward = 14.3266
P/S = 2.1666
P/B = 4.1979
Beta = 0.967
Revenue TTM = 3.87b USD
EBIT TTM = 384.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 488.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 944.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.56m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 158.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 96.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.46b USD (8.36b + Debt 158.8m - CCE 62.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.34 (Ebit TTM 384.7m / Interest Expense TTM 72.1m)
FCF Yield = 0.26% (FCF TTM 22.1m / Enterprise Value 8.46b)
FCF Margin = 0.57% (FCF TTM 22.1m / Revenue TTM 3.87b)
Net Margin = 6.08% (Net Income TTM 235.0m / Revenue TTM 3.87b)
Gross Margin = 27.24% ((Revenue TTM 3.87b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.53% (prev 27.37%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.91 (Enterprise Value 8.46b / Total Assets 4.43b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 11.17% (Interest Expense 17.7m / Debt 158.8m)
Taxrate = 28.16% (26.1m / 92.5m)
NOPAT = 276.4m (EBIT 384.7m * (1 - 28.16%))
Current Ratio = 2.12 (Total Current Assets 2.37b / Total Current Liabilities 1.12b)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 158.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.99b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.20 (Net Debt 96.8m / EBITDA 488.5m)
Debt / FCF = 4.38 (Net Debt 96.8m / FCF TTM 22.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.90b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.31% (Net Income 235.0m / Total Assets 4.43b)
RoE = 12.39% (Net Income TTM 235.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.90b)
RoCE = 13.54% (EBIT 384.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.90b + L.T.Debt 944.1m))
RoIC = 9.30% (NOPAT 276.4m / Invested Capital 2.97b)
WACC = 10.30% (E(8.36b)/V(8.52b) * Re(10.34%) + D(158.8m)/V(8.52b) * Rd(11.17%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 10.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 60.85% ; FCFE base≈31.8m ; Y1≈20.9m ; Y5≈9.54m
Fair Price DCF = 4.66 (DCF Value 134.5m / Shares Outstanding 28.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 79.31 | EPS CAGR: 24.96% | SUE: 2.11 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 96.06 | Revenue CAGR: 10.39% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.35 | Chg30d=+0.015 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=10.09 | Chg30d=+0.407 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+16.1% | Growth Revenue=+8.7%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=10.96 | Chg30d=-0.163 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+8.7% | Growth Revenue=+5.0%
Additional Sources for MOG-A Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle