(MOS) The Mosaic - NYSE
Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Agricultural Inputs | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 6.630m USD | Total Return: -34.2% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 210M
EPS Trend: -76.2%
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: -76.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
P/E ratio 149.0
Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
The Mosaic Company (NYSE: MOS) is a Tampa, Florida-based producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients, organized into three operating segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The company operates a vertically integrated business model, owning and managing mines, chemical plants, blending and bagging facilities, port terminals, and warehouses that support both upstream extraction and downstream distribution.
Mosaics product portfolio includes diammonium phosphate (DAP), monoammonium phosphate (MAP), the value-added MicroEssentials ammoniated phosphate, the K-Mag double sulfate of potash magnesia, and feed phosphates marketed under the Biofos and Nexfos brands. The company sells through wholesale distributors, retail chains, cooperatives, independent retailers, and national accounts, and also exports to customers in more than a dozen countries, including Brazil, China, Canada, and India.
As a participant in the GICS Materials sector under Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals, Mosaic supplies two of the three primary macronutrients (phosphorus and potassium) used in commercial agriculture. Phosphate and potash mining is a capital-intensive, resource-driven industry in which a small number of producers, including Mosaic, account for a significant share of global supply.
- Potash and phosphate prices decline on weak global demand
- Brazil real weakness pressures Mosaic Fertilizantes margins
- Lower natural gas and sulfur costs boost phosphate margins
| Net Income: 726.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.73% < 20% (prev 4.55%; Δ 4.18% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 886.1m > Net Income 726.7m |
| Net Debt (5.43b) to EBITDA (2.40b): 2.27 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.25 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (317.5m) vs 12m ago -0.22% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 13.89% > 18% (prev 14.47%; Δ -0.58% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 50.53% > 50% (prev 47.76%; Δ 2.76% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.99 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.32b / Interest Expense TTM 220.8m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 5.34b - Total Current Liabilities 4.29b) / Total Assets 24.6b |
| B: 0.56 (Retained Earnings 13.9b / Total Assets 24.6b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.32b / Avg Total Assets 23.9b) |
| D: 0.94 (Book Value of Equity 11.8b / Total Liabilities 12.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.47 = A |
| DSRI: 0.89 (Receivables 1.26b/1.30b, Revenue 12.1b/11.1b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 14.47% / 13.89%) |
| AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 12.1b / 11.1b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 726.7m - CFO 886.1m) / TA 24.6b) |
| Beneish M = -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of June 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 22.38 with a total of 9,436,691 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.27%, over one month by -1.06%, over three months by -9.57% and over the past year by -34.15%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 20.20 (which is 9.7% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
The Mosaic has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.85. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOS.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 27 | 20.8% |
P/E Trailing = 149.0
P/E Forward = 20.0401
P/S = 0.5334
P/B = 0.5722
P/EG = 2.0198
Revenue TTM = 12.1b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.32b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.40b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.27b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.20b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.71b USD (corrected: LT Debt 4.27b + ST Debt 1.20b) + Leases 239.7m
Net Debt = 5.43b USD (calculated: Debt 5.71b - CCE 281.8m)
Enterprise Value = 12.1b USD (6.63b + Debt 5.71b - CCE 281.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.99 (Ebit TTM 1.32b / Interest Expense TTM 220.8m)
EV/FCF = -24.65x (Enterprise Value 12.1b / FCF TTM -489.3m)
FCF Yield = -4.06% (FCF TTM -489.3m / Enterprise Value 12.1b)
FCF Margin = -4.06% (FCF TTM -489.3m / Revenue TTM 12.1b)
Net Margin = 6.03% (Net Income TTM 726.7m / Revenue TTM 12.1b)
Gross Margin = 13.89% ((Revenue TTM 12.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 7.86% (prev 14.17%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.49 (Enterprise Value 12.1b / Total Assets 24.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.86% (Interest Expense 220.8m / Debt 5.71b)
Taxrate = 31.90% (351.6m / 1.10b)
NOPAT = 900.1m (EBIT 1.32b * (1 - 31.90%))
Current Ratio = 1.25 (Total Current Assets 5.34b / Total Current Liabilities 4.29b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 5.71b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.8b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.27 (Net Debt 5.43b / EBITDA 2.40b)
Debt / FCF = -11.10 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 5.43b / FCF TTM -489.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.04% (Net Income 726.7m / Total Assets 24.6b)
RoE = 5.92% (Net Income TTM 726.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 12.3b)
RoCE = 7.99% (EBIT 1.32b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.3b + L.T.Debt 4.27b))
RoIC = 4.25% (NOPAT 900.1m / Invested Capital 21.2b)
WACC = 6.25% (E(6.63b)/V(12.3b) * Re(9.36%) + D(5.71b)/V(12.3b) * Rd(3.86%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 9.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -75.02 | Cagr: -1.40%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -489.3m)
EPS Correlation: -76.18 | EPS CAGR: -29.32% | SUE: -1.70 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: -76.08 | Revenue CAGR: -10.43% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.19 | Chg30d=-1.66% | Revisions=-67% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.31 | Chg30d=+9.53% | Revisions=-54% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=-3.74% | Revisions=-71% | GrowthEPS=-61.8% | GrowthRev=+4.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.92 | Chg30d=-2.84% | Revisions=-38% | GrowthEPS=+121.4% | GrowthRev=+0.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -71%