Overview Dividends

(MOS) The Mosaic - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US61945C1036

Phosphate, Potash, Fertilizer, Crop Nutrients

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of MOS over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": 0.23, "2020-12": 0.57, "2021-03": 0.57, "2021-06": 1.17, "2021-09": 1.35, "2021-12": 1.95, "2022-03": 2.41, "2022-06": 3.64, "2022-09": 3.22, "2022-12": 1.74, "2023-03": 1.14, "2023-06": 1.04, "2023-09": 0.68, "2023-12": 0.71, "2024-03": 0.65, "2024-06": 0.54, "2024-09": 0.3826, "2024-12": 0.45, "2025-03": 0.49, "2025-06": 1.29, "2025-09": 1.04,
EPS CAGR: -17.07%
EPS Trend: -37.4%
Last SUE: 0.37σ
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Revenue of MOS over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 2381.5, 2020-12: 2457.4, 2021-03: 2297.1, 2021-06: 2800.7, 2021-09: 3418.6, 2021-12: 3841, 2022-03: 3922.3, 2022-06: 5373.1, 2022-09: 5348.5, 2022-12: 4481.3, 2023-03: 3604.3, 2023-06: 3394, 2023-09: 3548.3, 2023-12: 3149.5, 2024-03: 2679.4, 2024-06: 2816.6, 2024-09: 2810.9, 2024-12: 2815.9, 2025-03: 2620.9, 2025-06: 3005.7, 2025-09: 3452.1,
Revenue CAGR: -9.05%
Revenue Trend: -62.4%
Last SUE: -0.41σ
Qual. Beats: 0
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 35.8%
Value at Risk 5%th 56.7%
Relative Tail Risk -3.72%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio -0.09
Alpha -16.40
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.436
Beta 0.746
Beta Downside 0.992
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 57.67%
Mean DD 38.35%
Median DD 40.65%

Description: MOS The Mosaic October 30, 2025

The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) is a vertically integrated producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients, operating through three segments-Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. Its asset base includes mines, chemical plants, blending and bagging facilities, port terminals, and warehouses across 17 countries, enabling sales to distributors, cooperatives, retailers, industrial accounts, and farmers worldwide.

In 2023 Mosaic generated roughly $13.5 billion in revenue with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 15 %, while maintaining a net debt of about $3.2 billion. Production volumes averaged 11.5 million tons of phosphate products and 5.2 million tons of potash, positioning the company as the second-largest potash supplier globally. Key economic drivers include global food demand growth, commodity price cycles (especially nitrogen, phosphate, and potash), and geopolitical factors that affect fertilizer supply chains, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

For a deeper dive into Mosaic’s valuation metrics, scenario analysis, and how its exposure to fertilizer price volatility may affect future returns, explore the detailed research available on ValueRay.

MOS Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 8,268m
Sub-Industry Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals
IPO / Inception 2004-10-25
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -18.2%
Analyst Rating 3.85 of 5

MOS Dividends

Metric Value
Dividend Yield 3.69%
Yield on Cost 5y 4.23%
Yield CAGR 5y 43.16%
Payout Consistency 71.7%
Payout Ratio 26.6%

MOS Growth Ratios

Metric Value
CAGR 3y -20.58%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio -0.36
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio -0.54
Current Volume 7784.8k
Average Volume 6901.5k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (1.23b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 713.7m TTM)
FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.12pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 5.26% (prev 6.94%; Δ -1.68pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.10b <= Net Income 1.23b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (4.65b) to EBITDA (2.97b) ratio: 1.57 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.14 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (319.4m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 15.65% (prev 15.45%; Δ 0.20pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 49.60% (prev 49.19%; Δ 0.42pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 8.02 (EBITDA TTM 2.97b / Interest Expense TTM 237.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.80

(A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 5.08b - Total Current Liabilities 4.45b) / Total Assets 24.67b
(B) 0.60 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 14.85b / Total Assets 24.67b
(C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 1.90b / Avg Total Assets 23.98b
(D) 1.09 = Book Value of Equity 12.76b / Total Liabilities 11.73b
Total Rating: 3.80 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.47

1. Piotroski 5.50pt
2. FCF Yield -1.58%
3. FCF Margin -1.71%
4. Debt/Equity 0.38
5. Debt/Ebitda 1.57
6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.27)%
7. RoE 10.14%
8. Rev. Trend -62.38%
9. EPS Trend -37.39%

What is the price of MOS shares?

As of November 25, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 23.60 with a total of 7,784,805 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.75%, over one month by -21.28%, over three months by -28.28% and over the past year by -7.30%.

Is MOS a buy, sell or hold?

The Mosaic has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.85. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOS.
  • Strong Buy: 5
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MOS price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 35.2 49.2%
Analysts Target Price 35.2 49.2%
ValueRay Target Price 23.7 0.6%

MOS Fundamental Data Overview November 18, 2025

Market Cap USD = 8.27b (8.27b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 6.7487
P/E Forward = 8.6957
P/S = 0.6951
P/B = 0.647
P/EG = 0.8827
Beta = 0.937
Revenue TTM = 11.89b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.90b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.97b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.37b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.25b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.80b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.65b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.92b USD (8.27b + Debt 4.80b - CCE 153.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.02 (Ebit TTM 1.90b / Interest Expense TTM 237.6m)
FCF Yield = -1.58% (FCF TTM -203.7m / Enterprise Value 12.92b)
FCF Margin = -1.71% (FCF TTM -203.7m / Revenue TTM 11.89b)
Net Margin = 10.33% (Net Income TTM 1.23b / Revenue TTM 11.89b)
Gross Margin = 15.65% ((Revenue TTM 11.89b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.00% (prev 17.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.52 (Enterprise Value 12.92b / Total Assets 24.67b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.23% (Interest Expense 59.3m / Debt 4.80b)
Taxrate = 29.28% (175.5m / 599.3m)
NOPAT = 1.35b (EBIT 1.90b * (1 - 29.28%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 5.08b / Total Current Liabilities 4.45b)
Debt / Equity = 0.38 (Debt 4.80b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.78b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.57 (Net Debt 4.65b / EBITDA 2.97b)
Debt / FCF = -22.83 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 4.65b / FCF TTM -203.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.12b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.98% (Net Income 1.23b / Total Assets 24.67b)
RoE = 10.14% (Net Income TTM 1.23b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.12b)
RoCE = 12.29% (EBIT 1.90b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.12b + L.T.Debt 3.37b))
RoIC = 8.13% (NOPAT 1.35b / Invested Capital 16.57b)
WACC = 5.86% (E(8.27b)/V(13.07b) * Re(8.76%) + D(4.80b)/V(13.07b) * Rd(1.23%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 8.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.27%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -203.7m)
EPS Correlation: -37.39 | EPS CAGR: -17.07% | SUE: 0.37 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -62.38 | Revenue CAGR: -9.05% | SUE: -0.41 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for MOS Stock

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