(MOS) The Mosaic - NYSE
Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Agricultural Inputs | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 7.069m USD | Total Return: -32.1% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 186M
EPS Trend: -76.2%
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: -76.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
P/E ratio 158.9
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
The Mosaic Company is a global producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The company manages its operations through three primary segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. Its business model integrates mining, chemical processing, and distribution to supply agricultural and industrial markets across North America, South America, and Asia.
Operating within the fertilizer and agricultural chemicals sector, Mosaic is subject to the cyclical nature of global commodity prices and agricultural demand. The company produces specialized products such as MicroEssentials and K-Mag, which provide higher nutrient efficiency compared to standard commodity fertilizers. Its extensive logistics infrastructure, including port terminals and warehouses, supports a distribution network reaching wholesale distributors and retail cooperatives worldwide.
For a deeper look into the companys valuation metrics, you may find further insights on ValueRay. The Mosaic Company maintains its corporate headquarters in Tampa, Florida, and continues to serve as a key supplier for global food security initiatives.
- Global agricultural commodity prices directly influence fertilizer demand and pricing power
- Volatility in natural gas input costs impacts phosphate production margins
- Brazilian market demand fluctuations drive Mosaic Fertilizantes segment revenue performance
- Geopolitical supply disruptions in potash markets affect global market share and pricing
- Environmental regulations regarding phosphogypsum disposal increase long-term operational costs
| Net Income: 726.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.73% < 20% (prev 4.55%; Δ 4.18% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 886.1m > Net Income 726.7m |
| Net Debt (5.43b) to EBITDA (1.57b): 3.46 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.25 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (317.5m) vs 12m ago -0.22% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 13.89% > 18% (prev 14.47%; Δ -0.58% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 50.53% > 50% (prev 47.76%; Δ 2.76% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.02 > 6 (EBIT TTM 446.9m / Interest Expense TTM 220.8m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 5.34b - Total Current Liabilities 4.29b) / Total Assets 24.6b |
| B: 0.56 (Retained Earnings 13.9b / Total Assets 24.6b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 446.9m / Avg Total Assets 23.9b) |
| D: 0.94 (Book Value of Equity 11.8b / Total Liabilities 12.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.23 = A |
| DSRI: 0.72 (Receivables 1.02b/1.30b, Revenue 12.1b/11.1b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 14.47% / 13.89%) |
| AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 12.1b / 11.1b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 726.7m - CFO 886.1m) / TA 24.6b) |
| Beneish M = -3.11 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of June 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 22.69 with a total of 12,679,984 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.02%,
over one month by +2.37%,
over three months by -26.91% and
over the past year by -32.10%.
The Mosaic has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.85. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOS.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 26.8 | 18.2% |
P/E Trailing = 158.8572
P/E Forward = 20.9644
P/S = 0.5687
P/B = 0.5989
P/EG = 2.0198
Revenue TTM = 12.1b USD
EBIT TTM = 446.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.57b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.27b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.20b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.71b USD (corrected: LT Debt 4.27b + ST Debt 1.20b) + Leases 239.7m
Net Debt = 5.43b USD (calculated: Debt 5.71b - CCE 281.8m)
Enterprise Value = 12.5b USD (7.07b + Debt 5.71b - CCE 281.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.02 (Ebit TTM 446.9m / Interest Expense TTM 220.8m)
EV/FCF = -25.55x (Enterprise Value 12.5b / FCF TTM -489.3m)
FCF Yield = -3.91% (FCF TTM -489.3m / Enterprise Value 12.5b)
FCF Margin = -4.06% (FCF TTM -489.3m / Revenue TTM 12.1b)
Net Margin = 6.03% (Net Income TTM 726.7m / Revenue TTM 12.1b)
Gross Margin = 13.89% ((Revenue TTM 12.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 7.86% (prev 14.17%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.51 (Enterprise Value 12.5b / Total Assets 24.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.86% (Interest Expense 220.8m / Debt 5.71b)
Taxrate = 31.90% (351.6m / 1.10b)
NOPAT = 304.4m (EBIT 446.9m * (1 - 31.90%))
Current Ratio = 1.25 (Total Current Assets 5.34b / Total Current Liabilities 4.29b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 5.71b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.8b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.46 (Net Debt 5.43b / EBITDA 1.57b)
Debt / FCF = -11.10 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 5.43b / FCF TTM -489.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.04% (Net Income 726.7m / Total Assets 24.6b)
RoE = 5.92% (Net Income TTM 726.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 12.3b)
RoCE = 2.70% (EBIT 446.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 12.3b + L.T.Debt 4.27b))
RoIC = 1.44% (NOPAT 304.4m / Invested Capital 21.2b)
WACC = 6.31% (E(7.07b)/V(12.8b) * Re(9.28%) + D(5.71b)/V(12.8b) * Rd(3.86%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 9.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -75.02 | Cagr: -1.40%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -489.3m)
EPS Correlation: -76.18 | EPS CAGR: -29.32% | SUE: -1.70 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: -76.08 | Revenue CAGR: -10.43% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=-38.43% | Revisions=-67% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.29 | Chg30d=-35.51% | Revisions=-54% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.82 | Chg30d=-46.19% | Revisions=-71% | GrowthEPS=-63.7% | GrowthRev=+6.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.83 | Chg30d=-23.90% | Revisions=-38% | GrowthEPS=+122.2% | GrowthRev=+0.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -71%