(MOS) The Mosaic - Overview
Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Agricultural Inputs | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 6.926m USD | Total Return: -35.3% in 12m
Phosphate, Potash, Fertilizers, Animal Feed, Industrial Salts
Total Rating 30
Safety 74
Buy Signal -1.39
Agricultural Inputs
Industry Rotation: +14.9
Industry Rotation: +14.9
Market Cap:
6.93B
Avg Turnover: 183M
Avg Turnover: 183M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility39.0%
VaR 5th Pctl6.72%
VaR vs Median4.75%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.93
Rel. Str. IBD7.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group4.5
Character TTM
Beta0.708
Beta Downside0.907
Hurst Exponent0.340
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD44.43%
CAGR/Max DD-0.29
CAGR/Mean DD-0.52
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: -68.13%
EPS Trend: -83.5%
EPS Trend: -83.5%
Last SUE: -2.40
Qual. Beats: -2
Qual. Beats: -2
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: -14.41%
Rev. Trend: -77.1%
Rev. Trend: -77.1%
Last SUE: 0.91
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Fakeout
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Description: MOS The Mosaic
The Mosaic Company is a global producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The company manages its operations through three primary segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. Its business model integrates mining, chemical processing, and distribution to supply agricultural and industrial markets across North America, South America, and Asia.
Operating within the fertilizer and agricultural chemicals sector, Mosaic is subject to the cyclical nature of global commodity prices and agricultural demand. The company produces specialized products such as MicroEssentials and K-Mag, which provide higher nutrient efficiency compared to standard commodity fertilizers. Its extensive logistics infrastructure, including port terminals and warehouses, supports a distribution network reaching wholesale distributors and retail cooperatives worldwide.
For a deeper look into the companys valuation metrics, you may find further insights on ValueRay. The Mosaic Company maintains its corporate headquarters in Tampa, Florida, and continues to serve as a key supplier for global food security initiatives.
- Global agricultural commodity prices directly influence fertilizer demand and pricing power
- Volatility in natural gas input costs impacts phosphate production margins
- Brazilian market demand fluctuations drive Mosaic Fertilizantes segment revenue performance
- Geopolitical supply disruptions in potash markets affect global market share and pricing
- Environmental regulations regarding phosphogypsum disposal increase long-term operational costs
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
6.0
| Net Income: 726.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.73% < 20% (prev 4.55%; Δ 4.18% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 886.1m > Net Income 726.7m |
| Net Debt (5.17b) to EBITDA (1.94b): 2.67 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.25 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (317.5m) vs 12m ago -0.22% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 13.89% > 18% (prev 0.14%; Δ 1.37k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 50.53% > 50% (prev 47.76%; Δ 2.76% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.03 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.94b / Interest Expense TTM 220.8m) |
Altman Z''
3.54
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 5.34b - Total Current Liabilities 4.29b) / Total Assets 24.57b |
| B: 0.56 (Retained Earnings 13.86b / Total Assets 24.57b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 1.55b / Avg Total Assets 23.87b) |
| D: 0.93 (Book Value of Equity 11.77b / Total Liabilities 12.61b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.54 = A |
Beneish M
-3.11
| DSRI: 0.72 (Receivables 1.02b/1.30b, Revenue 12.06b/11.06b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 13.89% / 14.47%) |
| AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 12.06b / 11.06b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 726.7m - CFO 886.1m) / TA 24.57b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.11 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of MOS shares?
As of May 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 21.76 with a total of 8,642,336 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.94%, over one month by -8.30%, over three months by -24.54% and over the past year by -35.30%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.94%, over one month by -8.30%, over three months by -24.54% and over the past year by -35.30%.
Is MOS a buy, sell or hold?
The Mosaic has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.85.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOS.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MOS price?
| Analysts Target Price | 29.6 | 36.2% |
The Mosaic (MOS) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 14 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 12.8176 P/E Forward = 15.625
P/S = 0.5746
P/B = 0.5836
P/EG = 1.5627
Revenue TTM = 12.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.55b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.94b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.25b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.20b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.45b USD (corrected: LT Debt 4.25b + ST Debt 1.20b)
Net Debt = 5.17b USD (recalculated: Debt 5.45b - CCE 281.8m)
Enterprise Value = 12.10b USD (6.93b + Debt 5.45b - CCE 281.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.03 (Ebit TTM 1.55b / Interest Expense TTM 220.8m)
EV/FCF = -24.72x (Enterprise Value 12.10b / FCF TTM -489.3m)
FCF Yield = -4.04% (FCF TTM -489.3m / Enterprise Value 12.10b)
FCF Margin = -4.06% (FCF TTM -489.3m / Revenue TTM 12.06b)
Net Margin = 6.03% (Net Income TTM 726.7m / Revenue TTM 12.06b)
Gross Margin = 13.89% ((Revenue TTM 12.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.38b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 7.86% (prev 14.17%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.49 (Enterprise Value 12.10b / Total Assets 24.57b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.01% (Interest Expense 55.3m / Debt 5.45b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 1.23b (EBIT 1.55b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.25 (Total Current Assets 5.34b / Total Current Liabilities 4.29b)
Debt / Equity = 0.46 (Debt 5.45b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.80b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.67 (Net Debt 5.17b / EBITDA 1.94b)
Debt / FCF = -10.57 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 5.17b / FCF TTM -489.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.28b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.04% (Net Income 726.7m / Total Assets 24.57b)
RoE = 5.92% (Net Income TTM 726.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 12.28b)
RoCE = 9.39% (EBIT 1.55b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.28b + L.T.Debt 4.25b))
RoIC = 7.17% (NOPAT 1.23b / Invested Capital 17.11b)
WACC = 5.09% (E(6.93b)/V(12.38b) * Re(8.47%) + D(5.45b)/V(12.38b) * Rd(1.01%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.47% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.16%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -489.3m)
EPS Correlation: -83.46 | EPS CAGR: -68.13% | SUE: -2.40 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: -77.11 | Revenue CAGR: -14.41% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.31 | Chg30d=-8.87% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=11
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.36 | Chg30d=-32.27% | Revisions=-56% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.44 | Chg30d=-17.40% | Revisions=-64% | GrowthEPS=-36.6% | GrowthRev=+8.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.30 | Chg30d=-6.47% | Revisions=-38% | GrowthEPS=+59.8% | GrowthRev=-1.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -64%