(MOS) The Mosaic - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US61945C1036

Phosphate, Potash, Fertilizers, Crop Nutrients, Animal Feed

MOS EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of MOS over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-03": -0.53590285110876, "2020-06": 0.1243115656963, "2020-09": -0.016354523872329, "2020-12": 2.1655767721685, "2021-03": 0.40935214211076, "2021-06": 1.1406209235586, "2021-09": 0.9705114822547, "2021-12": 1.761059602649, "2022-03": 3.1937314239395, "2022-06": 2.8529330762875, "2022-09": 2.4207650273224, "2022-12": 1.521815008726, "2023-03": 1.28373191615, "2023-06": 1.1057836379982, "2023-09": -0.012669683257919, "2023-12": 1.1147390906317, "2024-03": 0.13972179289026, "2024-06": -0.50280199252802, "2024-09": 0.38259236067627, "2024-12": 0.53061224489796, "2025-03": 0.74827152734129, "2025-06": 1.2894819466248,

MOS Revenue

Revenue of MOS over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-03: 1798.1, 2020-06: 2044.7, 2020-09: 2381.5, 2020-12: 2457.4, 2021-03: 2297.1, 2021-06: 2800.7, 2021-09: 3418.6, 2021-12: 3841, 2022-03: 3922.3, 2022-06: 5373.1, 2022-09: 5348.5, 2022-12: 4481.3, 2023-03: 3604.3, 2023-06: 3394, 2023-09: 3548.3, 2023-12: 3149.5, 2024-03: 2679.4, 2024-06: 2816.6, 2024-09: 2810.9, 2024-12: 2815.9, 2025-03: 2620.9, 2025-06: 3005.7,

Description: MOS The Mosaic

The Mosaic Company is a leading global producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients, operating in multiple countries across the Americas, Asia, and Australia. The companys diverse product portfolio includes diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and MicroEssentials ammoniated phosphate products, as well as potash products used in various industries such as agriculture, animal feed, and industrial applications.

From a business perspective, The Mosaic Companys revenue streams are diversified across different regions and customer segments, including distributors, retail chains, cooperatives, and farmers. The companys extensive distribution network and sales force enable it to effectively serve a wide range of customers. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) to monitor include revenue growth, gross margin, and operating cash flow, which can indicate the companys ability to maintain its market position and invest in growth initiatives.

The companys operational efficiency can be evaluated by tracking metrics such as production capacity utilization, cost per ton of production, and inventory turnover. Additionally, The Mosaic Companys commitment to sustainability can be assessed by monitoring its environmental footprint, including greenhouse gas emissions, water usage, and waste management practices. Other relevant KPIs include return on equity (ROE), debt-to-equity ratio, and dividend yield, which can provide insights into the companys financial health and attractiveness to investors.

To further analyze The Mosaic Companys performance, its essential to examine its segment-wise profitability, with a focus on the Phosphates and Potash segments. The companys ability to maintain its market share and pricing power in these segments will be crucial in driving future growth. Furthermore, The Mosaic Companys investment in Mosaic Fertilizantes, its Brazilian fertilizer business, is expected to contribute to the companys growth prospects in the region.

MOS Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 10,600m
Sub-Industry Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals
IPO / Inception 2004-10-25

MOS Stock Ratings

Growth Rating 13.7%
Fundamental 41.7%
Dividend Rating 66.1%
Return 12m vs S&P 500 15.7%
Analyst Rating 3.85 of 5

MOS Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 2.88%
Yield on Cost 5y 5.29%
Annual Growth 5y 33.24%
Payout Consistency 74.9%
Payout Ratio 47.5%

MOS Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m -67.8%
Growth Correlation 12m 74.8%
Growth Correlation 5y -7.6%
CAGR 5y -11.37%
CAGR/Max DD 3y -0.20
CAGR/Mean DD 3y -0.29
Sharpe Ratio 12m 1.39
Alpha 20.26
Beta 0.984
Volatility 35.40%
Current Volume 3338.8k
Average Volume 20d 3590.8k
Stop Loss 32.6 (-3.1%)
Signal 0.30

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0

Net Income (940.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 675.2m TTM)
FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.04pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 5.34% (prev 5.25%; Δ 0.09pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.18b > Net Income 940.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (4.34b) to EBITDA (2.50b) ratio: 1.74 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.14 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (318.5m) change vs 12m ago -0.84% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 15.33% (prev 14.45%; Δ 0.88pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 48.02% (prev 54.03%; Δ -6.02pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 6.42 (EBITDA TTM 2.50b / Interest Expense TTM 228.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.64

(A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 5.02b - Total Current Liabilities 4.42b) / Total Assets 24.30b
(B) 0.60 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 14.50b / Total Assets 24.30b
(C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 1.47b / Avg Total Assets 23.44b
(D) 1.06 = Book Value of Equity 12.42b / Total Liabilities 11.72b
Total Rating: 3.64 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 41.67

1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0
2. FCF Yield 0.03% = 0.01
3. FCF Margin 0.04% = 0.01
4. Debt/Equity 0.36 = 2.44
5. Debt/Ebitda 1.78 = 0.42
6. ROIC - WACC -3.26% = -4.08
7. RoE 7.92% = 0.66
8. Rev. Trend -84.90% = -4.25
9. Rev. CAGR -18.91% = -2.50
10. EPS Trend -41.88% = -1.05
11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0

What is the price of MOS shares?

As of September 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 33.65 with a total of 3,338,800 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.41%, over one month by +8.62%, over three months by -2.05% and over the past year by +37.69%.

Is The Mosaic a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, The Mosaic (NYSE:MOS) is currently (September 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 41.67 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MOS is around 33.17 USD . This means that MOS is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -1.43%.

Is MOS a buy, sell or hold?

The Mosaic has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.85. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOS.
  • Strong Buy: 5
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MOS price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 39.8 18.1%
Analysts Target Price 39.8 18.1%
ValueRay Target Price 36.5 8.4%

Last update: 2025-09-03 04:43

MOS Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 10.60b (10.60b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 286.2m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 11.322
P/E Forward = 9.542
P/S = 0.942
P/B = 0.8525
P/EG = 0.94
Beta = 1.127
Revenue TTM = 11.25b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.47b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.50b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.33b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.12b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.45b USD (Calculated: Short Term 1.12b + Long Term 3.33b)
Net Debt = 4.34b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.77b USD (10.60b + Debt 4.45b - CCE 286.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.42 (Ebit TTM 1.47b / Interest Expense TTM 228.9m)
FCF Yield = 0.03% (FCF TTM 4.30m / Enterprise Value 14.77b)
FCF Margin = 0.04% (FCF TTM 4.30m / Revenue TTM 11.25b)
Net Margin = 8.35% (Net Income TTM 940.0m / Revenue TTM 11.25b)
Gross Margin = 15.33% ((Revenue TTM 11.25b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.19 (Enterprise Value 14.77b / Book Value Of Equity 12.42b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.49% (Interest Expense 66.1m / Debt 4.45b)
Taxrate = 59.19% (186.7m / 315.4m)
NOPAT = 600.1m (EBIT 1.47b * (1 - 59.19%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 5.02b / Total Current Liabilities 4.42b)
Debt / Equity = 0.36 (Debt 4.45b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 12.44b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.78 (Net Debt 4.34b / EBITDA 2.50b)
Debt / FCF = 1035 (Debt 4.45b / FCF TTM 4.30m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.87b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 3.87% (Net Income 940.0m, Total Assets 24.30b )
RoE = 7.92% (Net Income TTM 940.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.87b)
RoCE = 9.67% (Ebit 1.47b / (Equity 11.87b + L.T.Debt 3.33b))
RoIC = 3.70% (NOPAT 600.1m / Invested Capital 16.20b)
WACC = 6.97% (E(10.60b)/V(15.05b) * Re(9.64%)) + (D(4.45b)/V(15.05b) * Rd(1.49%) * (1-Tc(0.59)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -96.19 | Cagr: -0.79%
Discount Rate = 9.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.60% ; FCFE base≈188.6m ; Y1≈123.8m ; Y5≈56.6m
Fair Price DCF = 2.75 (DCF Value 871.7m / Shares Outstanding 317.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -84.90 | Revenue CAGR: -18.91%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 25.83
EPS Correlation: -41.88 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 205.2

Additional Sources for MOS Stock

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