MOV Stock Analysis: Movado | NYSE
Luxury Goods | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 704m USD | 12M Return: 93.1% | US6245801062 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 6.98M
EPS Trend: -43.1%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 11.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Movado Group, Inc. is a global watch company that designs, sources, markets, and distributes timepieces through two segments: Watch and Accessory Brands, and Company Stores. Its portfolio combines owned brands (Movado, Concord, Ebel, Olivia Burton, and MVMT) with licensed brands from major fashion houses (Coach, Tommy Hilfiger, HUGO BOSS, Lacoste, Calvin Klein, and kate spade new york). The company also sells jewelry and other accessories and provides after-sales and shipping services. Movado operates a multi-channel distribution model, selling to jewelry chains, department stores, independent jewelers, distributors, licensors retail stores, and third-party e-commerce retailers, while also reaching consumers directly through its own e-commerce platforms. Founded in 1881 and headquartered in Paramus, New Jersey, the company was formerly known as North American Watch Corporation before adopting its current name in 1996.
As a constituent of the Consumer Discretionary sector within the Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods sub-industry, Movado follows a hybrid business model that blends premium owned-brand watchmaking with licensed-brand partnerships, allowing it to capture different price points and consumer segments. Its combination of wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels is typical of mid-sized luxury accessories companies seeking to balance brand reach with margin capture.
- Licensed brand portfolio drives Watch segment revenue
- Company Stores margins pressured by declining mall traffic
- Smartwatch competition pressures traditional watch demand
| Net Income: 41.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 58.49% < 20% (prev 59.30%; Δ -0.81% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 75.5m > Net Income 41.4m |
| Net Debt (-143.5m) to EBITDA (60.8m): -2.36 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.26 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (22.9m) vs 12m ago 1.56% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 56.11% > 18% (prev 53.71%; Δ 2.40% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 92.47% > 50% (prev 86.67%; Δ 5.80% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 103.7 > 6 (EBIT TTM 51.5m / Interest Expense TTM 496k) |
| A: 0.54 (Total Current Assets 527.2m - Total Current Liabilities 123.7m) / Total Assets 743.3m |
| B: 0.60 (Retained Earnings 444.8m / Total Assets 743.3m) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 51.5m / Avg Total Assets 746.0m) |
| D: 2.15 (Book Value of Equity 507.2m / Total Liabilities 236.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.23 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 99.5m/101.2m, Revenue 689.9m/648.9m) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 53.71% / 56.11%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.18) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 689.9m / 648.9m) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 41.4m - CFO 75.5m) / TA 743.3m) |
| Beneish M = -3.14 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 33.17 with a total of 189,336 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.69%, over one month by +1.00%, over three months by -13.33% and over the past year by +93.09%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 32.00 (which is 3.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Movado has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOV.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 47.5 | 43.2% |
P/E Trailing = 17.442
P/E Forward = 21.3675
P/S = 1.0211
P/B = 1.4668
P/EG = 0.8358
Revenue TTM = 689.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 51.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 60.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 49.7m USD (estimated: total debt 68.1m - short term 18.4m)
Short Term Debt = 18.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 68.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 68.1m already included)
Net Debt = -143.5m USD (calculated: Debt 68.1m - CCE 211.6m)
Enterprise Value = 560.9m USD (704.4m + Debt 68.1m - CCE 211.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 103.7 (Ebit TTM 51.5m / Interest Expense TTM 496k)
EV/FCF = 7.85x (Enterprise Value 560.9m / FCF TTM 71.4m)
FCF Yield = 12.73% (FCF TTM 71.4m / Enterprise Value 560.9m)
FCF Margin = 10.35% (FCF TTM 71.4m / Revenue TTM 689.9m)
Net Margin = 6.00% (Net Income TTM 41.4m / Revenue TTM 689.9m)
Gross Margin = 56.11% ((Revenue TTM 689.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 302.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.40% (prev 57.30%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.75 (Enterprise Value 560.9m / Total Assets 743.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.73% (Interest Expense 496k / Debt 68.1m)
Taxrate = 19.82% (10.3m / 52.2m)
NOPAT = 41.3m (EBIT 51.5m * (1 - 19.82%))
Current Ratio = 4.26 (Total Current Assets 527.2m / Total Current Liabilities 123.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 68.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 507.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.36 (Net Debt -143.5m / EBITDA 60.8m)
Debt / FCF = -2.01 (Net Debt -143.5m / FCF TTM 71.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 505.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.55% (Net Income 41.4m / Total Assets 743.3m)
RoE = 8.19% (Net Income TTM 41.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 505.1m)
RoCE = 9.27% (EBIT 51.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 505.1m + L.T.Debt 49.7m))
RoIC = 6.84% (NOPAT 41.3m / Invested Capital 603.6m)
WACC = 9.17% (E(704.4m)/V(772.5m) * Re(10.0%) + D(68.1m)/V(772.5m) * Rd(0.73%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 10.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 57.15 | Cagr: 0.49%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.36% ; FCFF base≈49.4m ; Y1≈56.7m ; Y5≈83.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 77.74 (EV 1.10b - Net Debt -143.5m = Equity 1.24b / Shares 16.0m; r=9.17% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -43.11 | EPS CAGR: -17.73% | SUE: 1.08 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 11.24 | Revenue CAGR: 0.30% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.55 | Chg30d=-13.07% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.94 | Chg30d=+3.42% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+65.4% | GrowthRev=+5.4%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=2.33 | Chg30d=+2.02% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+20.2% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +22% (up=4, down=2)