MOV Stock Analysis: Movado | NYSE
Luxury Goods | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 781m USD | 12M Return: 90% | US6245801062 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 6.69M
EPS Trend: -43.1%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 11.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Movado Group, Inc. is a U.S.-based designer, marketer, and distributor of watches and accessories that operates through two segments: Watch and Accessory Brands, and Company Stores. Its owned brand portfolio includes Movado, Concord, Ebel, Olivia Burton, and MVMT, while its licensed portfolio features prominent fashion names such as Coach, Tommy Hilfiger, HUGO BOSS, Lacoste, Calvin Klein, and Kate Spade New York. The company also distributes jewelry and other accessories and provides after-sales and shipping services.
The business relies on a multi-channel distribution model that serves jewelry store chains, department stores, independent regional jewelers, licensed brand retail stores, third-party e-commerce retailers, and its own direct-to-consumer e-commerce platforms. This blend of owned and licensed watch brands, sold through both wholesale and DTC channels, is a common structure in the global premium and fashion watch market, where brand licensing and retail partnerships play a key role in reaching diverse customer segments. Headquartered in Paramus, New Jersey, the company traces its origins to 1881 and adopted the Movado Group name in 1996.
- Licensed brand revenue from Coach and Tommy Hilfiger drives growth
- Smartwatch competition pressures traditional watch segment share
- China and Asia Pacific demand remains weak amid consumer slowdown
| Net Income: 41.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 58.49% < 20% (prev 59.30%; Δ -0.81% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 75.5m > Net Income 41.4m |
| Net Debt (-88.4m) to EBITDA (56.9m): -1.55 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.26 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (22.9m) vs 12m ago 1.56% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 56.11% > 18% (prev 53.71%; Δ 2.40% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 92.47% > 50% (prev 86.67%; Δ 5.80% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 74.43 > 6 (EBIT TTM 52.1m / Interest Expense TTM 700k) |
| A: 0.54 (Total Current Assets 527.2m - Total Current Liabilities 123.7m) / Total Assets 743.3m |
| B: 0.60 (Retained Earnings 444.8m / Total Assets 743.3m) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 52.1m / Avg Total Assets 746.0m) |
| D: 2.15 (Book Value of Equity 507.2m / Total Liabilities 236.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.24 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 94.3m/101.2m, Revenue 689.9m/648.9m) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 53.71% / 56.11%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.18) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 689.9m / 648.9m) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 41.4m - CFO 75.5m) / TA 743.3m) |
| Beneish M = -3.18 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of September 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 33.73 with a total of 191,192 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.88%, over one month by -11.66%, over three months by -9.38% and over the past year by +89.98%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 32.00 (which is 5.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Movado has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOV.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 47.5 | 40.8% |
P/E Trailing = 24.8227
P/E Forward = 21.1416
P/S = 1.1165
P/B = 1.5445
P/EG = 0.8358
Revenue TTM = 689.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 52.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 56.9m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 20.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 123.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 73.5m
Net Debt = -88.4m USD (calculated: Debt 123.2m - CCE 211.6m)
Enterprise Value = 692.5m USD (780.9m + Debt 123.2m - CCE 211.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 74.43 (Ebit TTM 52.1m / Interest Expense TTM 700k)
EV/FCF = 9.70x (Enterprise Value 692.5m / FCF TTM 71.4m)
FCF Yield = 10.31% (FCF TTM 71.4m / Enterprise Value 692.5m)
FCF Margin = 10.35% (FCF TTM 71.4m / Revenue TTM 689.9m)
Net Margin = 6.00% (Net Income TTM 41.4m / Revenue TTM 689.9m)
Gross Margin = 56.11% ((Revenue TTM 689.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 302.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.40% (prev 57.30%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 692.5m / Total Assets 743.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.57% (Interest Expense 700k / Debt 123.2m)
Taxrate = 19.82% (10.3m / 52.2m)
NOPAT = 41.8m (EBIT 52.1m * (1 - 19.82%))
Current Ratio = 4.26 (Total Current Assets 527.2m / Total Current Liabilities 123.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.24 (Debt 123.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 507.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.55 (Net Debt -88.4m / EBITDA 56.9m)
Debt / FCF = -1.24 (Net Debt -88.4m / FCF TTM 71.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 505.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.55% (Net Income 41.4m / Total Assets 743.3m)
RoE = 8.19% (Net Income TTM 41.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 505.1m)
RoCE = 8.41% (EBIT 52.1m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 743.3m - Current Liab 123.7m))
RoIC = 6.90% (NOPAT 41.8m / Invested Capital 605.8m)
WACC = 8.67% (E(780.9m)/V(904.1m) * Re(9.97%) + D(123.2m)/V(904.1m) * Rd(0.57%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 57.15 | Cagr: 0.49%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.93% ; FCFF base≈49.4m ; Y1≈56.7m ; Y5≈83.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 79.97 (EV 1.19b - Net Debt -88.4m = Equity 1.28b / Shares 16.0m; r=8.67% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -43.11 | EPS CAGR: -17.73% | SUE: 1.08 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 11.24 | Revenue CAGR: 0.30% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.51 | Chg30d=-19.69% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.87 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+59.8% | GrowthRev=+5.6%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=2.30 | Chg30d=+1.10% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+23.2% | GrowthRev=+1.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=3, down=0)