MOV Stock Analysis: Movado | NYSE
Luxury Goods | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 836m USD | 12M Return: 134.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 11.5M
EPS Trend: -68.7%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -44.2%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Movado Group, Inc. is a U.S.-based designer, marketer, and distributor of watches and accessories that operates through two segments: Watch and Accessory Brands, and Company Stores. Its owned brand portfolio includes Movado, Concord, Ebel, Olivia Burton, and MVMT, while its licensed portfolio features prominent fashion names such as Coach, Tommy Hilfiger, HUGO BOSS, Lacoste, Calvin Klein, and Kate Spade New York. The company also distributes jewelry and other accessories and provides after-sales and shipping services.
The business relies on a multi-channel distribution model that serves jewelry store chains, department stores, independent regional jewelers, licensed brand retail stores, third-party e-commerce retailers, and its own direct-to-consumer e-commerce platforms. This blend of owned and licensed watch brands, sold through both wholesale and DTC channels, is a common structure in the global premium and fashion watch market, where brand licensing and retail partnerships play a key role in reaching diverse customer segments. Headquartered in Paramus, New Jersey, the company traces its origins to 1881 and adopted the Movado Group name in 1996.
- Licensed brand revenue from Coach and Tommy Hilfiger drives growth
- Smartwatch competition pressures traditional watch segment share
- China and Asia Pacific demand remains weak amid consumer slowdown
| Net Income: 32.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 9.07 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 58.88% < 20% (prev 59.85%; Δ -0.97% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 72.1m > Net Income 32.1m |
| Net Debt (-151.7m) to EBITDA (48.5m): -3.13 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.56 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (22.8m) vs 12m ago 1.45% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 54.82% > 18% (prev 53.75%; Δ 1.07% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 92.08% > 50% (prev 86.20%; Δ 5.88% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 78.52 > 6 (EBIT TTM 39.1m / Interest Expense TTM 498k) |
| A: 0.55 (Total Current Assets 514.2m - Total Current Liabilities 112.7m) / Total Assets 734.0m |
| B: 0.60 (Retained Earnings 441.4m / Total Assets 734.0m) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 39.1m / Avg Total Assets 740.6m) |
| D: 2.23 (Book Value of Equity 506.9m / Total Liabilities 227.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.25 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.86 (Receivables 85.7m/94.7m, Revenue 681.9m/644.1m) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 53.75% / 54.82%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.18) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 681.9m / 644.1m) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 32.1m - CFO 72.1m) / TA 734.0m) |
| Beneish M = -3.18 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 36.73 with a total of 240,476 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.56%, over one month by -1.58%, over three months by +44.26% and over the past year by +134.63%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 35.10 (which is 4.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Movado has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOV.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 47.5 | 29.3% |
P/E Trailing = 26.6738
P/E Forward = 24.0964
P/S = 1.2259
P/B = 1.6697
P/EG = 0.8358
Revenue TTM = 681.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 39.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 48.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 53.5m USD (estimated: total debt 73.5m - short term 20.1m)
Short Term Debt = 20.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 73.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 73.5m already included)
Net Debt = -151.7m USD (calculated: Debt 73.5m - CCE 225.3m)
Enterprise Value = 684.2m USD (836.0m + Debt 73.5m - CCE 225.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 78.52 (Ebit TTM 39.1m / Interest Expense TTM 498k)
EV/FCF = 10.07x (Enterprise Value 684.2m / FCF TTM 67.9m)
FCF Yield = 9.93% (FCF TTM 67.9m / Enterprise Value 684.2m)
FCF Margin = 9.96% (FCF TTM 67.9m / Revenue TTM 681.9m)
Net Margin = 4.70% (Net Income TTM 32.1m / Revenue TTM 681.9m)
Gross Margin = 54.82% ((Revenue TTM 681.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 308.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 57.30% (prev 54.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 684.2m / Total Assets 734.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.68% (Interest Expense 498k / Debt 73.5m)
Taxrate = 21.25% (8.78m / 41.3m)
NOPAT = 30.8m (EBIT 39.1m * (1 - 21.25%))
Current Ratio = 4.56 (Total Current Assets 514.2m / Total Current Liabilities 112.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.15 (Debt 73.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 506.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.13 (Net Debt -151.7m / EBITDA 48.5m)
Debt / FCF = -2.23 (Net Debt -151.7m / FCF TTM 67.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 500.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.33% (Net Income 32.1m / Total Assets 734.0m)
RoE = 6.40% (Net Income TTM 32.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 500.8m)
RoCE = 7.06% (EBIT 39.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 500.8m + L.T.Debt 53.5m))
RoIC = 5.07% (NOPAT 30.8m / Invested Capital 607.3m)
WACC = 9.22% (E(836.0m)/V(909.5m) * Re(9.98%) + D(73.5m)/V(909.5m) * Rd(0.68%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -4.97 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.22% ; FCFF base≈41.3m ; Y1≈47.4m ; Y5≈69.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 67.34 (EV 910.4m - Net Debt -151.7m = Equity 1.06b / Shares 15.8m; r=9.22% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -68.68 | EPS CAGR: -29.01% | SUE: 1.65 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -44.18 | Revenue CAGR: -1.44% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=0.35 | Chg30d=+6.98% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.62 | Chg30d=+0.90% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.83 | Chg30d=+19.72% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+56.5% | GrowthRev=+2.1%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=2.14 | Chg30d=+17.85% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+16.9% | GrowthRev=+2.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +73% (up=8, down=0)