Overview Dividends

(MP) MP Materials - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US5533681012

Rare Earth, Ore, Oxides, Magnetic Precursor

Diversified Metals & Mining
Market Cap in USD: 10,847m
IPO / Inception: 2020-06-22
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 169%

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 89.9%
Value at Risk 5%th 128%
Relative Tail Risk -13.40%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 1.56
Alpha 176.74
CAGR/Max DD 0.39
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.491
Beta 1.031
Beta Downside 0.895
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 70.93%
Mean DD 38.41%
Median DD 41.34%

Description: MP MP Materials November 05, 2025

MP Materials Corp. (NYSE: MP) is a U.S.–based rare-earth producer that operates two business lines: the Materials segment, which owns and runs the Mountain Pass mine and processing plant in California, and the Magnetics segment, which manufactures magnetic-precursor products. Founded in 2017 and headquartered in Las Vegas, the firm supplies a significant portion of the domestic rare-earth supply chain.

Key metrics as of FY 2023 include roughly $1.0 billion in revenue, a net loss of about $200 million (reflecting high processing costs and commodity price volatility), and an estimated 30 percent share of U.S. rare-earth production capacity. The company’s outlook is tightly linked to policy-driven demand from electric-vehicle batteries, wind-turbine generators, and defense applications, as well as to the Inflation Reduction Act’s incentives for domestic critical-minerals sourcing.

For a deeper, data-driven assessment of MP Materials’ valuation and risk profile, you may find the analyst tools on ValueRay worth exploring.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0

Net Income (-117.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 14.0m TTM)
FCFTA -0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.75pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 818.1% (prev 472.9%; Δ 345.3pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA -0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO -78.4m > Net Income -117.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio 8.05 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (175.0m) change vs 12m ago 6.63% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin -16.13% (prev -26.29%; Δ 10.16pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 7.63% (prev 8.00%; Δ -0.37pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -4.72 (EBITDA TTM -47.2m / Interest Expense TTM 28.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.35

(A) 0.50 = (Total Current Assets 2.17b - Total Current Liabilities 270.2m) / Total Assets 3.80b
(B) 0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 225.0m / Total Assets 3.80b
(C) -0.04 = EBIT TTM -133.9m / Avg Total Assets 3.05b
(D) 0.16 = Book Value of Equity 225.3m / Total Liabilities 1.42b
Total Rating: 3.35 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 12.98

1. Piotroski 0.0pt
2. FCF Yield -2.15%
3. FCF Margin -98.84%
4. Debt/Equity 0.42
5. Debt/Ebitda 3.18
6. ROIC - WACC (= -13.39)%
7. RoE -8.59%
8. Rev. Trend -71.47%
9. EPS Trend -91.36%

What is the price of MP shares?

As of December 12, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 60.01 with a total of 4,919,277 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.90%, over one month by -3.13%, over three months by -4.79% and over the past year by +208.53%.

Is MP a buy, sell or hold?

MP Materials has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.44. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MP.
  • Strong Buy: 6
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MP price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 79.3 32.1%
Analysts Target Price 79.3 32.1%
ValueRay Target Price 60.8 1.3%

MP Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025

Market Cap USD = 10.85b (10.85b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 81.3008
P/S = 46.6031
P/B = 5.6007
Beta = 1.702
Revenue TTM = 232.7m USD
EBIT TTM = -133.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -47.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 929.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 67.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 997.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -149.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.70b USD (10.85b + Debt 997.3m - CCE 1.14b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.72 (Ebit TTM -133.9m / Interest Expense TTM 28.4m)
FCF Yield = -2.15% (FCF TTM -230.0m / Enterprise Value 10.70b)
FCF Margin = -98.84% (FCF TTM -230.0m / Revenue TTM 232.7m)
Net Margin = -50.55% (Net Income TTM -117.6m / Revenue TTM 232.7m)
Gross Margin = -16.13% ((Revenue TTM 232.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 270.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.48% (prev -24.07%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.82 (Enterprise Value 10.70b / Total Assets 3.80b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 8.57m / Debt 997.3m)
Taxrate = 28.50% (-16.7m / -58.4m)
NOPAT = -95.8m (EBIT -133.9m * (1 - 28.50%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 8.05 (Total Current Assets 2.17b / Total Current Liabilities 270.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 997.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.38b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.18 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -149.9m / EBITDA -47.2m)
Debt / FCF = 0.65 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -149.9m / FCF TTM -230.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.37b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.10% (Net Income -117.6m / Total Assets 3.80b)
RoE = -8.59% (Net Income TTM -117.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.37b)
RoCE = -5.82% (EBIT -133.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.37b + L.T.Debt 929.7m))
RoIC = -4.36% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -95.8m / Invested Capital 2.20b)
WACC = 9.04% (E(10.85b)/V(11.84b) * Re(9.81%) + D(997.3m)/V(11.84b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 9.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.73%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -230.0m)
EPS Correlation: -91.36 | EPS CAGR: -37.74% | SUE: 1.38 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -71.47 | Revenue CAGR: -15.14% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=-0.049 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.75 | Chg30d=-0.175 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+367.4% | Growth Revenue=+123.6%

Additional Sources for MP Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle