(MP) MP Materials - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US5533681012

Rare Earth, Neodymium, Praseodymium, Magnetic Precursors

MP EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of MP over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09-30": 0.0777, "2020-12-31": 0.18, "2021-03-31": 0.13, "2021-06-30": 0.17, "2021-09-30": 0.27, "2021-12-31": 0.31, "2022-03-31": 0.5, "2022-06-30": 0.43, "2022-09-30": 0.36, "2022-12-31": 0.42, "2023-03-31": 0.27, "2023-06-30": 0.09, "2023-09-30": 0.04, "2023-12-31": -0.02, "2024-03-31": -0.04, "2024-06-30": -0.17, "2024-09-30": -0.12, "2024-12-31": -0.12, "2025-03-31": -0.12, "2025-06-30": -0.13,

MP Revenue

Revenue of MP over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09-30: 41.022, 2020-12-31: 42.178, 2021-03-31: 59.971, 2021-06-30: 73.118, 2021-09-30: 99.754, 2021-12-31: 99.109, 2022-03-31: 166.258, 2022-06-30: 143.562, 2022-09-30: 124.445, 2022-12-31: 93.245, 2023-03-31: 95.7, 2023-06-30: 64.024, 2023-09-30: 52.516, 2023-12-31: 41.205, 2024-03-31: 48.684, 2024-06-30: 31.258, 2024-09-30: 62.927, 2024-12-31: 60.986, 2025-03-31: 60.81, 2025-06-30: 57.393,

Description: MP MP Materials

MP Materials Corp is a rare earth materials producer operating in the Western Hemisphere, with a focus on the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine and Processing facility in California. The company has two segments: Materials, which handles mining and processing, and Magnetics, which produces magnetic precursor products.

From a business perspective, MP Materials is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for rare earth elements, particularly in the clean energy and technology sectors. With a market capitalization of $7.37 billion, the company has a significant presence in the Diversified Metals & Mining industry. The absence of a trailing P/E ratio indicates that the company may not have been profitable in the past, but the forward P/E of 24.10 suggests that investors expect future earnings growth.

To further evaluate MP Materials performance, we can examine key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, production capacity, and cost structure. The companys ability to increase production and reduce costs will be crucial in determining its future profitability. Additionally, the rare earth industrys dependence on Chinese supply chains and the companys ability to navigate these dynamics will be important factors in its success. With a return on equity (RoE) of -9.81%, the company still faces challenges in generating profits for shareholders.

From a valuation perspective, the stocks current price of $62.08 is near its 52-week high of $63.22, indicating a strong upward trend. The short-term and long-term moving averages (SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200) also suggest a bullish trend, with the stock price consistently above these averages. However, the average true range (ATR) of 4.14 (6.67%) indicates that the stock still exhibits some volatility.

Overall, MP Materials unique position in the rare earth market, combined with its growing production capacity and improving financials, make it an attractive opportunity for investors. However, the companys profitability and ability to navigate industry challenges will be crucial in determining its long-term success.

MP Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 11,247m
Sub-Industry Diversified Metals & Mining
IPO / Inception 2020-06-22

MP Stock Ratings

Growth Rating 57.2%
Fundamental 14.5%
Dividend Rating -
Return 12m vs S&P 500 297%
Analyst Rating 4.44 of 5

MP Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

MP Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m 73.5%
Growth Correlation 12m 89.9%
Growth Correlation 5y -37%
CAGR 5y 28.54%
CAGR/Max DD 3y 0.40
CAGR/Mean DD 3y 0.70
Sharpe Ratio 12m 1.03
Alpha 0.13
Beta 0.592
Volatility 58.23%
Current Volume 11214.1k
Average Volume 20d 8741.1k
Stop Loss 62.4 (-6.6%)
Signal 0.08

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0

Net Income (-101.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 14.5m TTM)
FCFTA -0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.02pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 286.4% (prev 537.0%; Δ -250.5pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA -0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO -43.2m > Net Income -101.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio 3.60 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (163.8m) change vs 12m ago -0.91% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin -23.41% (prev -12.19%; Δ -11.22pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 10.30% (prev 7.35%; Δ 2.96pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -4.25 (EBITDA TTM -28.3m / Interest Expense TTM 26.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.21

(A) 0.30 = (Total Current Assets 960.4m - Total Current Liabilities 266.9m) / Total Assets 2.34b
(B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 266.8m / Total Assets 2.34b
(C) -0.05 = EBIT TTM -112.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.35b
(D) 0.20 = Book Value of Equity 266.8m / Total Liabilities 1.33b
Total Rating: 2.21 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 14.45

1. Piotroski 1.0pt = -4.0
2. FCF Yield -1.52% = -0.76
3. FCF Margin -71.48% = -7.50
4. Debt/Equity 0.90 = 2.11
5. Debt/Ebitda -32.19 = -2.50
6. ROIC - WACC (= -13.35)% = -12.50
7. RoE -9.73% = -1.62
8. Rev. Trend -56.69% = -4.25
9. EPS Trend -90.49% = -4.52

What is the price of MP shares?

As of September 18, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 66.81 with a total of 11,214,100 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.00%, over one month by -7.48%, over three months by +88.30% and over the past year by +370.16%.

Is MP Materials a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, MP Materials (NYSE:MP) is currently (September 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 14.45 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MP is around 68.57 USD . This means that MP is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 2.63%.

Is MP a buy, sell or hold?

MP Materials has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.44. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MP.
  • Strong Buy: 6
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MP price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 77 15.3%
Analysts Target Price 77 15.3%
ValueRay Target Price 75.8 13.5%

Last update: 2025-09-15 04:40

MP Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 11.25b (11.25b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 753.7m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 72.9927
P/S = 46.455
P/B = 11.1301
Beta = 2.328
Revenue TTM = 242.1m USD
EBIT TTM = -112.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = -28.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 843.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 67.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 910.8m USD (Calculated: Short Term 67.4m + Long Term 843.4m)
Net Debt = -188.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.40b USD (11.25b + Debt 910.8m - CCE 753.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.25 (Ebit TTM -112.3m / Interest Expense TTM 26.4m)
FCF Yield = -1.52% (FCF TTM -173.1m / Enterprise Value 11.40b)
FCF Margin = -71.48% (FCF TTM -173.1m / Revenue TTM 242.1m)
Net Margin = -41.87% (Net Income TTM -101.4m / Revenue TTM 242.1m)
Gross Margin = -23.41% ((Revenue TTM 242.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 298.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 42.75 (Enterprise Value 11.40b / Book Value Of Equity 266.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.59% (Interest Expense 5.41m / Debt 910.8m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default)
NOPAT = -112.3m (EBIT -112.3m, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 3.60 (Total Current Assets 960.4m / Total Current Liabilities 266.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.90 (Debt 910.8m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.01b)
Debt / EBITDA = -32.19 (Net Debt -188.1m / EBITDA -28.3m)
Debt / FCF = -5.26 (Debt 910.8m / FCF TTM -173.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.04b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -4.34% (Net Income -101.4m, Total Assets 2.34b )
RoE = -9.73% (Net Income TTM -101.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.04b)
RoCE = -5.96% (Ebit -112.3m / (Equity 1.04b + L.T.Debt 843.4m))
RoIC = -5.73% (NOPAT -112.3m / Invested Capital 1.96b)
WACC = 7.61% (E(11.25b)/V(12.16b) * Re(8.19%)) + (D(910.8m)/V(12.16b) * Rd(0.59%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -69.70 | Cagr: -1.50%
Discount Rate = 8.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -173.1m)
EPS Correlation: -90.49 | EPS CAGR: -57.36% | SUE: 1.93 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -56.69 | Revenue CAGR: -24.53% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None

Additional Sources for MP Stock

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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle