Overview Dividends

(MP) MP Materials - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US5533681012

Rare Earth, Ore, Oxides, Magnetic Precursor

MP EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of MP over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": 0.0777, "2020-12": 0.18, "2021-03": 0.13, "2021-06": 0.17, "2021-09": 0.27, "2021-12": 0.31, "2022-03": 0.5, "2022-06": 0.43, "2022-09": 0.36, "2022-12": 0.42, "2023-03": 0.27, "2023-06": 0.09, "2023-09": 0.04, "2023-12": -0.02, "2024-03": -0.04, "2024-06": -0.17, "2024-09": -0.12, "2024-12": -0.12, "2025-03": -0.14, "2025-06": -0.13, "2025-09": -0.1,
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -51.56%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -84.4%

MP Revenue

Revenue of MP over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 41.022, 2020-12: 42.178, 2021-03: 59.971, 2021-06: 73.118, 2021-09: 99.754, 2021-12: 99.109, 2022-03: 166.258, 2022-06: 143.562, 2022-09: 124.445, 2022-12: 93.245, 2023-03: 95.7, 2023-06: 64.024, 2023-09: 52.516, 2023-12: 41.205, 2024-03: 48.684, 2024-06: 31.258, 2024-09: 62.927, 2024-12: 60.986, 2025-03: 60.81, 2025-06: 53.553, 2025-09: null,
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -26.41%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -59.0%
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 92.6%
Value at Risk 5%th 133%
Reward
Sharpe Ratio 1.61
Alpha 200.70
Character
Hurst Exponent 0.744
Beta 1.698
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 70.93%
Mean DD 38.14%

Description: MP MP Materials November 05, 2025

MP Materials Corp. (NYSE: MP) is a U.S.–based rare-earth producer that operates two business lines: the Materials segment, which owns and runs the Mountain Pass mine and processing plant in California, and the Magnetics segment, which manufactures magnetic-precursor products. Founded in 2017 and headquartered in Las Vegas, the firm supplies a significant portion of the domestic rare-earth supply chain.

Key metrics as of FY 2023 include roughly $1.0 billion in revenue, a net loss of about $200 million (reflecting high processing costs and commodity price volatility), and an estimated 30 percent share of U.S. rare-earth production capacity. The company’s outlook is tightly linked to policy-driven demand from electric-vehicle batteries, wind-turbine generators, and defense applications, as well as to the Inflation Reduction Act’s incentives for domestic critical-minerals sourcing.

For a deeper, data-driven assessment of MP Materials’ valuation and risk profile, you may find the analyst tools on ValueRay worth exploring.

MP Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 10,385m
Sub-Industry Diversified Metals & Mining
IPO / Inception 2020-06-22
Return 12m vs S&P 500 173%
Analyst Rating 4.44 of 5

MP Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

MP Growth Ratios

CAGR 23.39%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio 0.33
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio 0.61
Current Volume 18762.1k
Average Volume 14957.8k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0

Net Income (-112.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 14.3m TTM)
FCFTA -0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.68pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 799.1% (prev 537.0%; Δ 262.2pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA -0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO -81.6m > Net Income -112.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio 8.05 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (175.0m) change vs 12m ago 5.86% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin -15.70% (prev -12.19%; Δ -3.51pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 7.73% (prev 7.35%; Δ 0.39pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -4.75 (EBITDA TTM -55.2m / Interest Expense TTM 29.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.34

(A) 0.50 = (Total Current Assets 2.17b - Total Current Liabilities 270.2m) / Total Assets 3.80b
(B) 0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 225.0m / Total Assets 3.80b
(C) -0.05 = EBIT TTM -140.6m / Avg Total Assets 3.08b
(D) 0.16 = Book Value of Equity 225.3m / Total Liabilities 1.42b
Total Rating: 3.34 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 22.26

1. Piotroski 0.0pt = -5.0
2. FCF Yield -2.65% = -1.33
3. FCF Margin data missing
4. Debt/Equity 0.42 = 2.41
5. Debt/Ebitda 2.71 = -1.33
6. ROIC - WACC (= -16.38)% = -12.50
7. RoE -8.12% = -1.35
8. Rev. Trend -58.96% = -4.42
9. EPS Trend -84.37% = -4.22

What is the price of MP shares?

As of November 11, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 64.18 with a total of 18,762,100 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.31%, over one month by -18.08%, over three months by -11.71% and over the past year by +214.45%.

Is MP Materials a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, MP Materials (NYSE:MP) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 22.26 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MP is around 57.37 USD . This means that MP is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -10.61%.

Is MP a buy, sell or hold?

MP Materials has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.44. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MP.
  • Strong Buy: 6
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MP price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 80.6 25.6%
Analysts Target Price 80.6 25.6%
ValueRay Target Price 65.6 2.1%

MP Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025

Market Cap USD = 10.38b (10.38b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 81.3008
P/S = 44.6184
P/B = 12.4357
Beta = 1.698
Revenue TTM = 238.3m USD
EBIT TTM = -140.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -55.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 843.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 67.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 997.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -149.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.44b USD (10.38b + Debt 997.3m - CCE 1.94b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.75 (Ebit TTM -140.6m / Interest Expense TTM 29.6m)
FCF Yield = -2.65% (FCF TTM -250.7m / Enterprise Value 9.44b)
FCF Margin = -105.2% (FCF TTM -250.7m / Revenue TTM 238.3m)
Net Margin = -47.12% (Net Income TTM -112.3m / Revenue TTM 238.3m)
Gross Margin = -15.70% ((Revenue TTM 238.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 275.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.48% (prev -15.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.49 (Enterprise Value 9.44b / Total Assets 3.80b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 8.57m / Debt 997.3m)
Taxrate = 28.50% (-16.7m / -58.4m)
NOPAT = -100.5m (EBIT -140.6m * (1 - 28.50%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 8.05 (Total Current Assets 2.17b / Total Current Liabilities 270.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 997.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.38b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.71 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -149.9m / EBITDA -55.2m)
Debt / FCF = 0.60 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -149.9m / FCF TTM -250.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.96% (Net Income -112.3m / Total Assets 3.80b)
RoE = -8.12% (Net Income TTM -112.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.38b)
RoCE = -6.31% (EBIT -140.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.38b + L.T.Debt 843.4m))
RoIC = -5.13% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -100.5m / Invested Capital 1.96b)
WACC = 11.25% (E(10.38b)/V(11.38b) * Re(12.27%) + D(997.3m)/V(11.38b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 12.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.73%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -250.7m)
EPS Correlation: -84.37 | EPS CAGR: -51.56% | SUE: 1.38 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -58.96 | Revenue CAGR: -26.41% | SUE: 0.82 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for MP Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle