(MP) MP Materials - Ratings and Ratios
Rare Earth, Neodymium, Praseodymium, Magnetic Precursors
MP EPS (Earnings per Share)
MP Revenue
Description: MP MP Materials July 27, 2025
MP Materials Corp is a rare earth materials producer operating in the Western Hemisphere, with a focus on the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine and Processing facility in California. The company has two segments: Materials, which handles mining and processing, and Magnetics, which produces magnetic precursor products.
From a business perspective, MP Materials is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for rare earth elements, particularly in the clean energy and technology sectors. With a market capitalization of $7.37 billion, the company has a significant presence in the Diversified Metals & Mining industry. The absence of a trailing P/E ratio indicates that the company may not have been profitable in the past, but the forward P/E of 24.10 suggests that investors expect future earnings growth.
To further evaluate MP Materials performance, we can examine key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, production capacity, and cost structure. The companys ability to increase production and reduce costs will be crucial in determining its future profitability. Additionally, the rare earth industrys dependence on Chinese supply chains and the companys ability to navigate these dynamics will be important factors in its success. With a return on equity (RoE) of -9.81%, the company still faces challenges in generating profits for shareholders.
From a valuation perspective, the stocks current price of $62.08 is near its 52-week high of $63.22, indicating a strong upward trend. The short-term and long-term moving averages (SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200) also suggest a bullish trend, with the stock price consistently above these averages. However, the average true range (ATR) of 4.14 (6.67%) indicates that the stock still exhibits some volatility.
Overall, MP Materials unique position in the rare earth market, combined with its growing production capacity and improving financials, make it an attractive opportunity for investors. However, the companys profitability and ability to navigate industry challenges will be crucial in determining its long-term success.
MP Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 12,540m |
| Sub-Industry | Diversified Metals & Mining |
| IPO / Inception | 2020-06-22 |
MP Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 58.1% |
| Fundamental | 15.1% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 191% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.44 of 5 |
MP Dividends
Currently no dividends paidMP Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 32.6% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 90.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -36.2% |
| CAGR 5y | 30.03% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.42 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.80 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.39 |
| Alpha | 225.98 |
| Beta | 2.326 |
| Volatility | 75.10% |
| Current Volume | 24690.1k |
| Average Volume 20d | 14957.8k |
| Stop Loss | 60.9 (-7.1%) |
| Signal | -0.16 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income (-101.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 14.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.11pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 286.4% (prev 537.0%; Δ -250.5pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO -43.2m > Net Income -101.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 3.60 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (163.8m) change vs 12m ago -0.91% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -23.41% (prev -12.19%; Δ -11.22pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 10.30% (prev 7.35%; Δ 2.96pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -4.25 (EBITDA TTM -28.3m / Interest Expense TTM 26.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.21
| (A) 0.30 = (Total Current Assets 960.4m - Total Current Liabilities 266.9m) / Total Assets 2.34b |
| (B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 266.8m / Total Assets 2.34b |
| (C) -0.05 = EBIT TTM -112.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.35b |
| (D) 0.20 = Book Value of Equity 266.8m / Total Liabilities 1.33b |
| Total Rating: 2.21 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 15.09
| 1. Piotroski 1.0pt = -4.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.50% = -0.75 |
| 3. FCF Margin -78.80% = -7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.91 = 2.10 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 6.65 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -17.77)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -9.73% = -1.62 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -56.69% = -4.25 |
| 9. EPS Trend -77.79% = -3.89 |
What is the price of MP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -20.90%, over one month by -3.83%, over three months by +2.28% and over the past year by +247.30%.
Is MP Materials a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MP is around 56.43 USD . This means that MP is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -13.94%.
Is MP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 80.7 | 23.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 80.7 | 23.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 65.8 | 0.4% |
MP Fundamental Data Overview October 27, 2025
P/E Forward = 81.3008
P/S = 51.7947
P/B = 12.4357
Beta = 2.326
Revenue TTM = 242.1m USD
EBIT TTM = -112.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = -28.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 843.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 67.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 916.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -188.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.70b USD (12.54b + Debt 916.8m - CCE 753.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.25 (Ebit TTM -112.3m / Interest Expense TTM 26.4m)
FCF Yield = -1.50% (FCF TTM -190.8m / Enterprise Value 12.70b)
FCF Margin = -78.80% (FCF TTM -190.8m / Revenue TTM 242.1m)
Net Margin = -41.87% (Net Income TTM -101.4m / Revenue TTM 242.1m)
Gross Margin = -23.41% ((Revenue TTM 242.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 298.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -24.72% (prev -15.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.44 (Enterprise Value 12.70b / Total Assets 2.34b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.59% (Interest Expense 5.41m / Debt 916.8m)
Taxrate = 27.74% (-11.9m / -42.7m)
NOPAT = -81.1m (EBIT -112.3m * (1 - 27.74%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.60 (Total Current Assets 960.4m / Total Current Liabilities 266.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.91 (Debt 916.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.01b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.65 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -188.1m / EBITDA -28.3m)
Debt / FCF = 0.99 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -188.1m / FCF TTM -190.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.34% (Net Income -101.4m / Total Assets 2.34b)
RoE = -9.73% (Net Income TTM -101.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.04b)
RoCE = -5.96% (EBIT -112.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.04b + L.T.Debt 843.4m))
RoIC = -4.14% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -81.1m / Invested Capital 1.96b)
WACC = 13.63% (E(12.54b)/V(13.46b) * Re(14.59%) + D(916.8m)/V(13.46b) * Rd(0.59%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 14.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -3.96%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -190.8m)
EPS Correlation: -77.79 | EPS CAGR: -35.27% | SUE: 3.69 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -56.69 | Revenue CAGR: -24.53% | SUE: 1.21 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for MP Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle