Overview Dividends

(MP) MP Materials - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US5533681012

Rare Earth, Ore, Oxides, Magnetic Precursor

MP EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of MP over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": 0.0777, "2020-12": 0.18, "2021-03": 0.13, "2021-06": 0.17, "2021-09": 0.27, "2021-12": 0.31, "2022-03": 0.5, "2022-06": 0.43, "2022-09": 0.36, "2022-12": 0.42, "2023-03": 0.27, "2023-06": 0.09, "2023-09": 0.04, "2023-12": -0.02, "2024-03": -0.04, "2024-06": -0.17, "2024-09": -0.12, "2024-12": -0.12, "2025-03": -0.14, "2025-06": -0.13, "2025-09": -0.1,
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -51.56%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -84.4%

MP Revenue

Revenue of MP over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 41.022, 2020-12: 42.178, 2021-03: 59.971, 2021-06: 73.118, 2021-09: 99.754, 2021-12: 99.109, 2022-03: 166.258, 2022-06: 143.562, 2022-09: 124.445, 2022-12: 93.245, 2023-03: 95.7, 2023-06: 64.024, 2023-09: 52.516, 2023-12: 41.205, 2024-03: 48.684, 2024-06: 31.258, 2024-09: 62.927, 2024-12: 60.986, 2025-03: 60.81, 2025-06: 53.553, 2025-09: 53.553,
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -18.26%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -41.3%
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 90.5%
Value at Risk 5%th 129%
Relative Tail Risk -13.52%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 1.56
Alpha 185.43
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.564
Beta 0.972
Beta Downside 0.864
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 70.93%
Mean DD 38.11%
Median DD 41.09%

Description: MP MP Materials November 05, 2025

MP Materials Corp. (NYSE: MP) is a U.S.–based rare-earth producer that operates two business lines: the Materials segment, which owns and runs the Mountain Pass mine and processing plant in California, and the Magnetics segment, which manufactures magnetic-precursor products. Founded in 2017 and headquartered in Las Vegas, the firm supplies a significant portion of the domestic rare-earth supply chain.

Key metrics as of FY 2023 include roughly $1.0 billion in revenue, a net loss of about $200 million (reflecting high processing costs and commodity price volatility), and an estimated 30 percent share of U.S. rare-earth production capacity. The company’s outlook is tightly linked to policy-driven demand from electric-vehicle batteries, wind-turbine generators, and defense applications, as well as to the Inflation Reduction Act’s incentives for domestic critical-minerals sourcing.

For a deeper, data-driven assessment of MP Materials’ valuation and risk profile, you may find the analyst tools on ValueRay worth exploring.

MP Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 10,393m
Sub-Industry Diversified Metals & Mining
IPO / Inception 2020-06-22
Return 12m vs S&P 500 171%
Analyst Rating 4.44 of 5

MP Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

MP Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y 21.32%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio 0.30
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio 0.56
Current Volume 5909.1k
Average Volume 13678k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0

Net Income (-128.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 13.7m TTM)
FCFTA -0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.18pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 831.9% (prev 472.9%; Δ 359.0pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA -0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO -116.8m > Net Income -128.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio 8.05 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (177.2m) change vs 12m ago 7.96% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin -17.97% (prev -26.29%; Δ 8.32pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 7.51% (prev 8.00%; Δ -0.50pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -3.07 (EBITDA TTM -30.6m / Interest Expense TTM 31.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.40

(A) 0.50 = (Total Current Assets 2.17b - Total Current Liabilities 270.2m) / Total Assets 3.80b
(B) 0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 225.0m / Total Assets 3.80b
(C) -0.03 = EBIT TTM -96.6m / Avg Total Assets 3.05b
(D) 0.12 = Book Value of Equity 225.0m / Total Liabilities 1.83b
Total Rating: 3.40 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 22.32

1. Piotroski 0.0pt = -5.0
2. FCF Yield -2.85% = -1.43
3. FCF Margin data missing
4. Debt/Equity 0.47 = 2.39
5. Debt/Ebitda -20.64 = -2.50
6. ROIC - WACC (= -11.99)% = -12.50
7. RoE -7.99% = -1.33
8. Rev. Trend -41.30% = -3.10
9. EPS Trend -84.37% = -4.22

What is the price of MP shares?

As of November 18, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 56.98 with a total of 5,909,100 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.22%, over one month by -29.47%, over three months by -21.09% and over the past year by +210.52%.

Is MP Materials a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, MP Materials (NYSE:MP) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 22.32 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MP is around 52.30 USD . This means that MP is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -8.21%.

Is MP a buy, sell or hold?

MP Materials has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.44. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MP.
  • Strong Buy: 6
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MP price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 80.7 41.7%
Analysts Target Price 80.7 41.7%
ValueRay Target Price 58.5 2.7%

MP Fundamental Data Overview November 16, 2025

Market Cap USD = 10.39b (10.39b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 62.5
P/S = 44.6537
P/B = 5.1902
Beta = 1.698
Revenue TTM = 228.9m USD
EBIT TTM = -96.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -30.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 929.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 67.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 914.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 632.1m USD (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 10.16b USD (10.39b + Debt 914.5m - CCE 1.15b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.07 (Ebit TTM -96.6m / Interest Expense TTM 31.5m)
FCF Yield = -2.85% (FCF TTM -289.9m / Enterprise Value 10.16b)
FCF Margin = -126.7% (FCF TTM -289.9m / Revenue TTM 228.9m)
Net Margin = -56.16% (Net Income TTM -128.6m / Revenue TTM 228.9m)
Gross Margin = -17.97% ((Revenue TTM 228.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 270.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -32.53% (prev 9.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.67 (Enterprise Value 10.16b / Total Assets 3.80b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.94% (Interest Expense 8.57m / Debt 914.5m)
Taxrate = 28.50% (-16.7m / -58.4m)
NOPAT = -69.1m (EBIT -96.6m * (1 - 28.50%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 8.05 (Total Current Assets 2.17b / Total Current Liabilities 270.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.47 (Debt 914.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = -20.64 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 632.1m / EBITDA -30.6m)
Debt / FCF = -2.18 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 632.1m / FCF TTM -289.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.61b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.38% (Net Income -128.6m / Total Assets 3.80b)
RoE = -7.99% (Net Income TTM -128.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.61b)
RoCE = -3.81% (EBIT -96.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.61b + L.T.Debt 929.7m))
RoIC = -3.14% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -69.1m / Invested Capital 2.20b)
WACC = 8.85% (E(10.39b)/V(11.31b) * Re(9.57%) + D(914.5m)/V(11.31b) * Rd(0.94%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 9.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.15%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -289.9m)
EPS Correlation: -84.37 | EPS CAGR: -51.56% | SUE: 1.38 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -41.30 | Revenue CAGR: -18.26% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for MP Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle