Overview Dividends

(MPC) Marathon Petroleum - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US56585A1025

Gasoline, Diesel, Asphalt, Petrochemicals, Renewable Diesel

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Market Cap in USD: 49,443m

IPO / Inception: 2011-07-01
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 5.44%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 25.09%
EPS Trend: -35.7%

Last SUE: -0.28
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -0.40%
Rev. Trend: -59.3%

Last SUE: 2.72
Qual. Beats: 3

Dividends

Dividend Yield	2.19%
Yield on Cost 5y	9.85%
Yield CAGR 5y	12.60%
Payout Consistency	99.7%
Payout Ratio	49.7%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	35.3%
Value at Risk 5%th	56.7%
Relative Tail Risk	-2.41%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.63
Alpha	3.13
CAGR/Max DD	0.36

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.536
Beta	1.017
Beta Downside	1.387

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	44.75%
Mean DD	15.55%
Median DD	16.14%

Description: MPC Marathon Petroleum December 02, 2025

Marathon Petroleum Corp (NYSE:MPC) is an integrated downstream energy firm operating in the United States across three core segments: Refining & Marketing, Midstream, and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing unit processes crude oil and feedstocks at facilities in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast, producing transportation fuels (reformulated and blend-grade gasoline), heavy fuel oil, asphalt, propane, and petrochemicals, which it sells wholesale, spot-market, and through ARCO-branded dealer contracts.

The Midstream segment provides the logistical backbone-pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges-that moves crude, refined products, renewable diesel, natural gas, and NGLs. The Renewable Diesel segment converts renewable feedstocks into low-carbon diesel, leveraging the same midstream network to market the product to wholesale buyers, spot traders, and ARCO dealers under long-term supply agreements.

Key operational metrics (as of Q3 2024) include a refining capacity of ~3.1 MMbbl/d, a midstream pipeline network of ~3,200 mi, and renewable diesel output of ~300 k bbl/d, positioning MPC to benefit from higher refined-product margins driven by seasonal gasoline demand spikes and the ongoing diesel-fuel-price spread. However, the companys earnings remain sensitive to crude-oil price volatility, regulatory carbon-intensity standards, and the pace of renewable-fuel adoption in the U.S. market.

For a deeper dive into MPC’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you may find the ValueRay platform’s data visualizations useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5

Net Income (2.88b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 8.00b TTM)

FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.53pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 4.43% (prev 3.44%; Δ 0.99pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 7.39b > Net Income 2.88b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (31.55b) to EBITDA (10.17b) ratio: 3.10 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.32 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (304.0m) change vs 12m ago -8.43% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 6.66% (prev 7.31%; Δ -0.65pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 163.4% (prev 177.8%; Δ -14.41pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 5.12 (EBITDA TTM 10.17b / Interest Expense TTM 1.35b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.22

(A) 0.07 = (Total Current Assets 24.63b - Total Current Liabilities 18.73b) / Total Assets 83.24b

(B) 0.46 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 38.52b / Total Assets 83.24b

(D) 0.65 = Book Value of Equity 38.42b / Total Liabilities 59.35b

Total Rating: 3.22 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.28

1. Piotroski 3.50pt

2. FCF Yield 5.28%

3. FCF Margin 3.21%

4. Debt/Equity 2.00

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.10

6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.83)%

7. RoE 16.99%

8. Rev. Trend -59.31%

9. EPS Trend -35.66%

What is the price of MPC shares?

As of January 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 170.42 with a total of 2,362,461 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.03%, over one month by -10.14%, over three months by -11.49% and over the past year by +23.96%.

Is MPC a buy, sell or hold?

Marathon Petroleum has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.95. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MPC.

Strong Buy: 7
Buy: 5
Hold: 8
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MPC price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	200.7	17.8%
Analysts Target Price	200.7	17.8%
ValueRay Target Price	189.8	11.4%

MPC Fundamental Data Overview January 03, 2026

Market Cap USD = 49.44b (49.44b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.3011
P/E Forward = 10.0908
P/S = 0.3701
P/B = 2.8594
P/EG = 0.9093
Beta = 0.716
Revenue TTM = 133.26b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.92b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.17b USD
Long Term Debt = 31.23b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.05b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 34.20b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 31.55b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 80.99b USD (49.44b + Debt 34.20b - CCE 2.65b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.12 (Ebit TTM 6.92b / Interest Expense TTM 1.35b)
FCF Yield = 5.28% (FCF TTM 4.28b / Enterprise Value 80.99b)
FCF Margin = 3.21% (FCF TTM 4.28b / Revenue TTM 133.26b)
Net Margin = 2.16% (Net Income TTM 2.88b / Revenue TTM 133.26b)
Gross Margin = 6.66% ((Revenue TTM 133.26b - Cost of Revenue TTM 124.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 7.95% (prev 8.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 80.99b / Total Assets 83.24b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 341.0m / Debt 34.20b)
Taxrate = 19.14% (460.0m / 2.40b)
NOPAT = 5.60b (EBIT 6.92b * (1 - 19.14%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 24.63b / Total Current Liabilities 18.73b)
Debt / Equity = 2.00 (Debt 34.20b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.10 (Net Debt 31.55b / EBITDA 10.17b)
Debt / FCF = 7.38 (Net Debt 31.55b / FCF TTM 4.28b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.97b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.46% (Net Income 2.88b / Total Assets 83.24b)
RoE = 16.99% (Net Income TTM 2.88b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.97b)
RoCE = 14.36% (EBIT 6.92b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.97b + L.T.Debt 31.23b))
RoIC = 11.92% (NOPAT 5.60b / Invested Capital 46.94b)
WACC = 6.10% (E(49.44b)/V(83.65b) * Re(9.76%) + D(34.20b)/V(83.65b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 9.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -10.20%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.66% ; FCFE base≈4.70b ; Y1≈3.72b ; Y5≈2.48b
Fair Price DCF = 116.8 (DCF Value 35.11b / Shares Outstanding 300.6m; 5y FCF grow -24.76% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -35.66 | EPS CAGR: 25.09% | SUE: -0.28 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -59.31 | Revenue CAGR: -0.40% | SUE: 2.72 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.81 | Chg30d=-0.248 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=16
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.22 | Chg30d=-0.238 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+39.3% | Growth Revenue=-5.9%

Additional Sources for MPC Stock

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