(MPC) Marathon Petroleum - Ratings and Ratios
Refined Fuels, Petrochemicals, Asphalt, Propane, Renewable Diesel
MPC EPS (Earnings per Share)
MPC Revenue
Description: MPC Marathon Petroleum
Marathon Petroleum Corporation is a leading integrated downstream energy company in the United States, operating through three main segments: Refining & Marketing, Midstream, and Renewable Diesel. The companys Refining & Marketing segment is a significant player in the US refining industry, producing a range of petroleum products, including transportation fuels, heavy fuel oil, and asphalt. With a strong presence in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions, MPC refines crude oil and other feedstocks, and distributes refined products through various channels, including wholesale marketing customers, spot market buyers, and branded outlets.
From a business perspective, MPCs diversified operations and vertically integrated model provide a competitive edge. The Midstream segment plays a crucial role in gathering, transporting, and storing crude oil and refined products, while the Renewable Diesel segment is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for low-carbon fuels. With a long history dating back to 1887, MPC has established itself as a major player in the US energy landscape, with a strong track record of delivering value to shareholders.
Key performance indicators (KPIs) that are relevant to MPCs business include refining margin, utilization rates, and product yields. The companys refining margin, which measures the difference between the cost of crude oil and the revenue generated from refined products, is a key metric. Additionally, MPCs debt-to-equity ratio, return on capital employed (ROCE), and dividend yield are also important KPIs. With a market capitalization of approximately $56.9 billion and a dividend yield of around 2-3%, MPC is an attractive investment opportunity for income-focused investors. Furthermore, the companys commitment to reducing its carbon footprint and investing in renewable energy sources is likely to be viewed favorably by ESG-conscious investors.
In terms of valuation, MPCs price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.10 and forward P/E ratio of 24.45 suggest that the stock is reasonably valued relative to its earnings growth prospects. The companys return on equity (RoE) of 13.09% is also respectable, indicating a decent level of profitability. Overall, MPCs diversified business model, strong operational performance, and commitment to sustainability make it an attractive investment opportunity in the energy sector.
MPC Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 54,511m |
Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing |
IPO / Inception | 2011-07-01 |
MPC Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | 69.6% |
Fundamental | 47.1% |
Dividend Rating | 79.3% |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -10.6% |
Analyst Rating | 3.95 of 5 |
MPC Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 2.18% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 12.22% |
Annual Growth 5y | 7.85% |
Payout Consistency | 99.7% |
Payout Ratio | 57.2% |
MPC Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 23.6% |
Growth Correlation 12m | 30.4% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 93.3% |
CAGR 5y | 43.59% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.97 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.48 |
Alpha | -9.51 |
Beta | 1.056 |
Volatility | 28.66% |
Current Volume | 1753.8k |
Average Volume 20d | 1784.2k |
Stop Loss | 174.3 (-3%) |
Signal | -0.14 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
Net Income (2.13b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 7.98b TTM) |
FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.71pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 3.36% (prev 4.97%; Δ -1.61pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.47b > Net Income 2.13b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (28.36b) to EBITDA (8.90b) ratio: 3.19 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 1.23 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (309.0m) change vs 12m ago -11.71% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 5.80% (prev 9.15%; Δ -3.35pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 162.5% (prev 173.5%; Δ -10.97pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 4.15 (EBITDA TTM 8.90b / Interest Expense TTM 1.36b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.10
(A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 23.73b - Total Current Liabilities 19.25b) / Total Assets 78.48b |
(B) 0.48 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 37.42b / Total Assets 78.48b |
(C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 5.65b / Avg Total Assets 81.86b |
(D) 0.68 = Book Value of Equity 37.33b / Total Liabilities 55.22b |
Total Rating: 3.10 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.07
1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
2. FCF Yield 4.45% = 2.23 |
3. FCF Margin 2.74% = 0.69 |
4. Debt/Equity 1.75 = 1.13 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 3.27 = -2.10 |
6. ROIC - WACC 3.58% = 4.47 |
7. RoE 12.24% = 1.02 |
8. Rev. Trend -74.72% = -3.74 |
9. Rev. CAGR -10.58% = -1.76 |
10. EPS Trend -74.61% = -1.87 |
11. EPS CAGR -26.19% = -2.50 |
What is the price of MPC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.37%, over one month by +9.17%, over three months by +13.83% and over the past year by +5.76%.
Is Marathon Petroleum a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MPC is around 220.75 USD . This means that MPC is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +22.84% (Margin of Safety).
Is MPC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MPC price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 180 | 0.2% |
Analysts Target Price | 180 | 0.2% |
ValueRay Target Price | 242.4 | 34.9% |
Last update: 2025-08-30 05:03
MPC Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 1.67b USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 26.0232
P/E Forward = 23.8663
P/S = 0.4072
P/B = 3.2533
P/EG = 2.9742
Beta = 0.874
Revenue TTM = 133.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.65b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.90b USD
Long Term Debt = 26.84b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.27b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 29.10b USD (Calculated: Short Term 2.27b + Long Term 26.84b)
Net Debt = 28.36b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 81.94b USD (54.51b + Debt 29.10b - CCE 1.67b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.15 (Ebit TTM 5.65b / Interest Expense TTM 1.36b)
FCF Yield = 4.45% (FCF TTM 3.65b / Enterprise Value 81.94b)
FCF Margin = 2.74% (FCF TTM 3.65b / Revenue TTM 133.05b)
Net Margin = 1.60% (Net Income TTM 2.13b / Revenue TTM 133.05b)
Gross Margin = 5.80% ((Revenue TTM 133.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 125.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.20 (Enterprise Value 81.94b / Book Value Of Equity 37.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.18% (Interest Expense 344.0m / Debt 29.10b)
Taxrate = 14.94% (890.0m / 5.96b)
NOPAT = 4.80b (EBIT 5.65b * (1 - 14.94%))
Current Ratio = 1.23 (Total Current Assets 23.73b / Total Current Liabilities 19.25b)
Debt / Equity = 1.75 (Debt 29.10b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 16.62b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.27 (Net Debt 28.36b / EBITDA 8.90b)
Debt / FCF = 7.98 (Debt 29.10b / FCF TTM 3.65b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.42b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 2.72% (Net Income 2.13b, Total Assets 78.48b )
RoE = 12.24% (Net Income TTM 2.13b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.42b)
RoCE = 12.76% (Ebit 5.65b / (Equity 17.42b + L.T.Debt 26.84b))
RoIC = 10.39% (NOPAT 4.80b / Invested Capital 46.24b)
WACC = 6.81% (E(54.51b)/V(83.61b) * Re(9.91%)) + (D(29.10b)/V(83.61b) * Rd(1.18%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -15.60%
Discount Rate = 9.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.98% ; FCFE base≈5.72b ; Y1≈4.72b ; Y5≈3.41b
Fair Price DCF = 153.4 (DCF Value 46.62b / Shares Outstanding 304.0m; 5y FCF grow -21.05% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -74.72 | Revenue CAGR: -10.58%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -0.55
EPS Correlation: -74.61 | EPS CAGR: -26.19%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -42.52
Additional Sources for MPC Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle