(MPC) Marathon Petroleum - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US56585A1025

Refined Fuels, Petrochemicals, Asphalt, Propane, Renewable Diesel

MPC EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of MPC over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09-30": -1, "2020-12-31": -0.94, "2021-03-31": -0.2, "2021-06-30": 0.67, "2021-09-30": 0.73, "2021-12-31": 1.3, "2022-03-31": 1.45, "2022-06-30": 10.61, "2022-09-30": 7.81, "2022-12-31": 6.65, "2023-03-31": 6.09, "2023-06-30": 5.32, "2023-09-30": 8.14, "2023-12-31": 3.98, "2024-03-31": 2.58, "2024-06-30": 4.12, "2024-09-30": 1.87, "2024-12-31": 0.77, "2025-03-31": -0.24, "2025-06-30": 3.96,

MPC Revenue

Revenue of MPC over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09-30: 17252, 2020-12-31: 17904, 2021-03-31: 22636, 2021-06-30: 29550, 2021-09-30: 32317, 2021-12-31: 35274, 2022-03-31: 38068, 2022-06-30: 53862, 2022-09-30: 45782, 2022-12-31: 39700, 2023-03-31: 34707, 2023-06-30: 36385, 2023-09-30: 41029, 2023-12-31: 36338, 2024-03-31: 32759, 2024-06-30: 37758, 2024-09-30: 34933, 2024-12-31: 33067, 2025-03-31: 31393, 2025-06-30: 33660,

Description: MPC Marathon Petroleum

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is a leading integrated downstream energy company in the United States, operating through three main segments: Refining & Marketing, Midstream, and Renewable Diesel. The companys Refining & Marketing segment is a significant player in the US refining industry, producing a range of petroleum products, including transportation fuels, heavy fuel oil, and asphalt. With a strong presence in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions, MPC refines crude oil and other feedstocks, and distributes refined products through various channels, including wholesale marketing customers, spot market buyers, and branded outlets.

From a business perspective, MPCs diversified operations and vertically integrated model provide a competitive edge. The Midstream segment plays a crucial role in gathering, transporting, and storing crude oil and refined products, while the Renewable Diesel segment is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for low-carbon fuels. With a long history dating back to 1887, MPC has established itself as a major player in the US energy landscape, with a strong track record of delivering value to shareholders.

Key performance indicators (KPIs) that are relevant to MPCs business include refining margin, utilization rates, and product yields. The companys refining margin, which measures the difference between the cost of crude oil and the revenue generated from refined products, is a key metric. Additionally, MPCs debt-to-equity ratio, return on capital employed (ROCE), and dividend yield are also important KPIs. With a market capitalization of approximately $56.9 billion and a dividend yield of around 2-3%, MPC is an attractive investment opportunity for income-focused investors. Furthermore, the companys commitment to reducing its carbon footprint and investing in renewable energy sources is likely to be viewed favorably by ESG-conscious investors.

In terms of valuation, MPCs price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.10 and forward P/E ratio of 24.45 suggest that the stock is reasonably valued relative to its earnings growth prospects. The companys return on equity (RoE) of 13.09% is also respectable, indicating a decent level of profitability. Overall, MPCs diversified business model, strong operational performance, and commitment to sustainability make it an attractive investment opportunity in the energy sector.

MPC Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 55,426m
Sub-Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
IPO / Inception 2011-07-01

MPC Stock Ratings

Growth Rating 72.0%
Fundamental 48.9%
Dividend Rating 79.6%
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -2.08%
Analyst Rating 3.95 of 5

MPC Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 2.16%
Yield on Cost 5y 12.97%
Annual Growth 5y 7.85%
Payout Consistency 99.7%
Payout Ratio 57.2%

MPC Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m 34.9%
Growth Correlation 12m 46.2%
Growth Correlation 5y 93.2%
CAGR 5y 26.52%
CAGR/Max DD 3y 0.59
CAGR/Mean DD 3y 1.73
Sharpe Ratio 12m 1.62
Alpha 0.04
Beta 0.636
Volatility 25.47%
Current Volume 1706.8k
Average Volume 20d 1751.4k
Stop Loss 177.5 (-3%)
Signal 0.95

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (2.13b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 7.98b TTM)
FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.71pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 3.36% (prev 4.97%; Δ -1.61pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.47b > Net Income 2.13b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (28.36b) to EBITDA (8.90b) ratio: 3.19 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.23 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (309.0m) change vs 12m ago -11.71% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 5.80% (prev 9.15%; Δ -3.35pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 162.5% (prev 173.5%; Δ -10.97pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 4.15 (EBITDA TTM 8.90b / Interest Expense TTM 1.36b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.10

(A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 23.73b - Total Current Liabilities 19.25b) / Total Assets 78.48b
(B) 0.48 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 37.42b / Total Assets 78.48b
(C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 5.65b / Avg Total Assets 81.86b
(D) 0.68 = Book Value of Equity 37.33b / Total Liabilities 55.22b
Total Rating: 3.10 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 48.86

1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50
2. FCF Yield 4.40% = 2.20
3. FCF Margin 2.74% = 0.69
4. Debt/Equity 1.75 = 1.13
5. Debt/Ebitda 3.27 = -2.10
6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.56)% = 5.70
7. RoE 12.24% = 1.02
8. Rev. Trend -74.72% = -5.60
9. EPS Trend -73.46% = -3.67

What is the price of MPC shares?

As of September 17, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 182.99 with a total of 1,706,827 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.10%, over one month by +13.12%, over three months by +10.33% and over the past year by +16.26%.

Is Marathon Petroleum a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) is currently (September 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 48.86 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MPC is around 207.65 USD . This means that MPC is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +13.48% (Margin of Safety).

Is MPC a buy, sell or hold?

Marathon Petroleum has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.95. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MPC.
  • Strong Buy: 7
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MPC price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 181.4 -0.9%
Analysts Target Price 181.4 -0.9%
ValueRay Target Price 225.7 23.3%

Last update: 2025-09-13 05:03

MPC Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 55.43b (55.43b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 1.67b USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 26.5371
P/E Forward = 14.9031
P/S = 0.4141
P/B = 3.3228
P/EG = 1.855
Beta = 0.946
Revenue TTM = 133.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.65b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.90b USD
Long Term Debt = 26.84b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.27b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 29.10b USD (Calculated: Short Term 2.27b + Long Term 26.84b)
Net Debt = 28.36b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 82.85b USD (55.43b + Debt 29.10b - CCE 1.67b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.15 (Ebit TTM 5.65b / Interest Expense TTM 1.36b)
FCF Yield = 4.40% (FCF TTM 3.65b / Enterprise Value 82.85b)
FCF Margin = 2.74% (FCF TTM 3.65b / Revenue TTM 133.05b)
Net Margin = 1.60% (Net Income TTM 2.13b / Revenue TTM 133.05b)
Gross Margin = 5.80% ((Revenue TTM 133.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 125.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.22 (Enterprise Value 82.85b / Book Value Of Equity 37.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.18% (Interest Expense 344.0m / Debt 29.10b)
Taxrate = 14.94% (890.0m / 5.96b)
NOPAT = 4.80b (EBIT 5.65b * (1 - 14.94%))
Current Ratio = 1.23 (Total Current Assets 23.73b / Total Current Liabilities 19.25b)
Debt / Equity = 1.75 (Debt 29.10b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 16.62b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.27 (Net Debt 28.36b / EBITDA 8.90b)
Debt / FCF = 7.98 (Debt 29.10b / FCF TTM 3.65b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.42b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 2.72% (Net Income 2.13b, Total Assets 78.48b )
RoE = 12.24% (Net Income TTM 2.13b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.42b)
RoCE = 12.76% (Ebit 5.65b / (Equity 17.42b + L.T.Debt 26.84b))
RoIC = 10.39% (NOPAT 4.80b / Invested Capital 46.24b)
WACC = 5.83% (E(55.43b)/V(84.53b) * Re(8.36%)) + (D(29.10b)/V(84.53b) * Rd(1.18%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.00 | Cagr: -4.18%
Discount Rate = 8.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.89% ; FCFE base≈5.72b ; Y1≈4.72b ; Y5≈3.41b
Fair Price DCF = 195.3 (DCF Value 59.37b / Shares Outstanding 304.0m; 5y FCF grow -21.05% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -73.46 | EPS CAGR: -21.88% | SUE: 1.29 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -74.72 | Revenue CAGR: -10.58%

Additional Sources for MPC Stock

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