(MPLX) MPLX - Ratings and Ratios
Pipelines, Terminals, Marine, Storage, Fractionation
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 7.31% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 29.05% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 6.25% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 83.6% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 16.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 26.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.89% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.88 |
| Alpha | 12.16 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.01 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.441 |
| Beta | 0.514 |
| Beta Downside | 0.736 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 14.58% |
| Mean DD | 2.18% |
| Median DD | 1.38% |
Description: MPLX MPLX December 03, 2025
MPLX LP (NYSE:MPLX) is a U.S.–based midstream energy company that owns and operates a diversified portfolio of gathering, processing, storage, and transportation assets for crude oil, refined products, natural gas, natural-gas liquids (NGLs) and select renewables.
The business is split into two reporting segments: (1) Crude Oil & Products Logistics, which handles crude gathering, storage, pipeline, rail, marine and truck movement of crude and refined fuels; and (2) Natural Gas & NGL Services, which covers natural-gas gathering, processing, fractionation, NGL extraction, storage and marketing, plus residue-gas and condensate sales.
Key operational metrics from the most recent 2023 Form 10-K show adjusted EBITDA of roughly $1.4 billion, a net gathering capacity of ~7.5 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) of natural gas, and over 10 million barrels per day (MMbpd) of combined crude and product pipeline throughput. The inland marine fleet adds ~1.2 million barrels per day of transport flexibility across the Mid-Continent and Gulf Coast.
Sector drivers that materially affect MPLX’s cash flow include U.S. natural-gas demand growth (≈2-3 % YoY in 2023, propelled by power-generation and petrochemical feedstock needs), the spread between WTI crude and refined product prices (which fuels product-logistics volumes), and evolving renewable-fuel mandates that increase the transport of ethanol-blended gasoline and renewable diesel.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown of MPLX’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-driven view.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (4.82b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 728.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 9.01% (prev -0.46%; Δ 9.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.09b > Net Income 4.82b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (24.32b) to EBITDA (7.15b) ratio: 3.40 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.31 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.02b) change vs 12m ago -0.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 49.02% (prev 44.45%; Δ 4.57pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 29.69% (prev 27.88%; Δ 1.81pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.01 (EBITDA TTM 7.15b / Interest Expense TTM 969.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 84.57
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.40% |
| 3. FCF Margin 47.63% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.82 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.40 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.24)% |
| 7. RoE 34.58% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 64.41% |
| 9. EPS Trend 64.89% |
What is the price of MPLX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.54%, over one month by +1.07%, over three months by +7.44% and over the past year by +22.60%.
Is MPLX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MPLX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 57.3 | 6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 57.3 | 6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 71.8 | 32.9% |
MPLX Fundamental Data Overview December 24, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.3898
P/E Forward = 11.236
P/S = 4.7099
P/B = 3.8247
P/EG = 2.3215
Beta = 0.541
Revenue TTM = 12.13b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.83b USD
EBITDA TTM = 7.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 24.14b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.50b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 26.09b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 24.32b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 78.07b USD (54.78b + Debt 26.09b - CCE 2.80b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.01 (Ebit TTM 5.83b / Interest Expense TTM 969.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.40% (FCF TTM 5.78b / Enterprise Value 78.07b)
FCF Margin = 47.63% (FCF TTM 5.78b / Revenue TTM 12.13b)
Net Margin = 39.71% (Net Income TTM 4.82b / Revenue TTM 12.13b)
Gross Margin = 49.02% ((Revenue TTM 12.13b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 60.82% (prev 43.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.81 (Enterprise Value 78.07b / Total Assets 43.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.93% (Interest Expense 243.0m / Debt 26.09b)
Taxrate = 0.19% (3.00m / 1.56b)
NOPAT = 5.81b (EBIT 5.83b * (1 - 0.19%))
Current Ratio = 1.31 (Total Current Assets 4.59b / Total Current Liabilities 3.50b)
Debt / Equity = 1.82 (Debt 26.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.40 (Net Debt 24.32b / EBITDA 7.15b)
Debt / FCF = 4.21 (Net Debt 24.32b / FCF TTM 5.78b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.93b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.15% (Net Income 4.82b / Total Assets 43.23b)
RoE = 34.58% (Net Income TTM 4.82b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.93b)
RoCE = 15.30% (EBIT 5.83b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.93b + L.T.Debt 24.14b))
RoIC = 15.90% (NOPAT 5.81b / Invested Capital 36.56b)
WACC = 5.66% (E(54.78b)/V(80.87b) * Re(7.91%) + D(26.09b)/V(80.87b) * Rd(0.93%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 7.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.79%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.07% ; FCFE base≈5.36b ; Y1≈5.67b ; Y5≈6.71b
Fair Price DCF = 115.5 (DCF Value 117.52b / Shares Outstanding 1.02b; 5y FCF grow 6.18% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 64.89 | EPS CAGR: 19.47% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 64.41 | Revenue CAGR: 9.29% | SUE: 1.46 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.11 | Chg30d=-0.011 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.60 | Chg30d=-0.089 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=-0.6% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%
Additional Sources for MPLX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle