(MRK) Merck - Ratings and Ratios
Keytruda, Gardasil, Januvia, Bovilis, Bravecto
MRK EPS (Earnings per Share)
MRK Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 38.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.53% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.07 |
| Alpha | -10.00 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.418 |
| Beta | 0.365 |
| Beta Downside | 0.482 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 43.44% |
| Mean DD | 15.40% |
| Median DD | 10.57% |
Description: MRK Merck September 24, 2025
Merck & Co., Inc. (ticker MRK) is a U.S.–based, globally operating healthcare company founded in 1891 and headquartered in Rahway, New Jersey, with business segments in human pharmaceuticals and animal health.
Its human-health portfolio spans oncology (Keytruda, Welireg, Zerbaxa, Noxafil), vaccines (Gardasil, Varivax, Vaxneuvance, RotaTeq, Pneumovax 23), and chronic-disease therapies (Januvia/Janumet, Belsomra, Isentress, Adempas, Verquvo, Lagevrio, among others).
The animal-health division offers livestock products (Nuflor, Bovilis, Banamine, etc.) and companion-animal medicines (Bravecto, Sentinel, Nobivac, etc.), complemented by Allflex Livestock Intelligence digital solutions.
Merck maintains a network of strategic collaborations, including three deruxtecan ADC candidates with Daiichi Sankyo, co-development of Lynparza and Koselugo with AstraZeneca, licensing of the LM-299 bispecific antibody from LaNova, and partnerships with Eisai, Bayer, Ridgeback, Moderna, and Antengene to expand its oncology and immunotherapy pipeline.
Key financial and sector metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached approximately $59.3 billion, with Keytruda alone generating roughly $13 billion; R&D expenditure was about $9.5 billion (≈16 % of sales); animal health contributed ~ $5 billion. Primary growth drivers are an aging global population, rising cancer incidence, and sustained vaccine demand post-COVID-19, while pricing pressure in the U.S. and biosimilar competition pose ongoing risks.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of MRK’s valuation sensitivities and peer-adjusted multiples, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-driven dashboard worth exploring.
MRK Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 214,149m |
| Sub-Industry | Pharmaceuticals |
| IPO / Inception | 1978-01-13 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -14.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.04 of 5 |
MRK Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.49% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.96% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.16% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 37.5% |
MRK Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | -0.85% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.02 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.06 |
| Current Volume | 19632k |
| Average Volume | 10758.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (19.03b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.85b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.89pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 29.47% (prev 17.06%; Δ 12.41pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 17.07b <= Net Income 19.03b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (23.20b) to EBITDA (26.18b) ratio: 0.89 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.66 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.50b) change vs 12m ago -1.69% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 78.32% (prev 75.82%; Δ 2.50pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 56.16% (prev 53.75%; Δ 2.41pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 13.53 (EBITDA TTM 26.18b / Interest Expense TTM 1.18b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.39
| (A) 0.17 = (Total Current Assets 47.56b - Total Current Liabilities 28.63b) / Total Assets 111.21b |
| (B) 0.65 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 72.23b / Total Assets 111.21b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 16.02b / Avg Total Assets 114.37b |
| (D) 1.16 = Book Value of Equity 68.82b / Total Liabilities 59.36b |
| Total Rating: 5.39 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 86.41
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.50% = 2.75 |
| 3. FCF Margin 20.31% = 5.08 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.80 = 2.19 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.89 = 1.92 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.17)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 38.95% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 76.88% = 5.77 |
| 9. EPS Trend 44.06% = 2.20 |
What is the price of MRK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.70%, over one month by +9.70%, over three months by +13.39% and over the past year by -2.03%.
Is Merck a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MRK is around 87.71 USD . This means that MRK is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.61%.
Is MRK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MRK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 101.5 | 9.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 101.5 | 9.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 95.8 | 3.1% |
MRK Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.4127
P/E Forward = 9.1324
P/S = 3.3338
P/B = 4.5634
P/EG = 0.8012
Beta = 0.319
Revenue TTM = 64.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 16.02b USD
EBITDA TTM = 26.18b USD
Long Term Debt = 34.46b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.41b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 41.37b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 23.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 237.31b USD (214.15b + Debt 41.37b - CCE 18.21b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.53 (Ebit TTM 16.02b / Interest Expense TTM 1.18b)
FCF Yield = 5.50% (FCF TTM 13.05b / Enterprise Value 237.31b)
FCF Margin = 20.31% (FCF TTM 13.05b / Revenue TTM 64.23b)
Net Margin = 29.63% (Net Income TTM 19.03b / Revenue TTM 64.23b)
Gross Margin = 78.32% ((Revenue TTM 64.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.93b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 81.92% (prev 77.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.13 (Enterprise Value 237.31b / Total Assets 111.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.58% (Interest Expense 238.0m / Debt 41.37b)
Taxrate = 14.20% (958.0m / 6.75b)
NOPAT = 13.74b (EBIT 16.02b * (1 - 14.20%))
Current Ratio = 1.66 (Total Current Assets 47.56b / Total Current Liabilities 28.63b)
Debt / Equity = 0.80 (Debt 41.37b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 51.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.89 (Net Debt 23.20b / EBITDA 26.18b)
Debt / FCF = 1.78 (Net Debt 23.20b / FCF TTM 13.05b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 48.87b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.11% (Net Income 19.03b / Total Assets 111.21b)
RoE = 38.95% (Net Income TTM 19.03b / Total Stockholder Equity 48.87b)
RoCE = 19.22% (EBIT 16.02b / Capital Employed (Equity 48.87b + L.T.Debt 34.46b))
RoIC = 16.43% (NOPAT 13.74b / Invested Capital 83.67b)
WACC = 6.26% (E(214.15b)/V(255.52b) * Re(7.37%) + D(41.37b)/V(255.52b) * Rd(0.58%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 7.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.11%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.94% ; FCFE base≈13.77b ; Y1≈14.41b ; Y5≈16.75b
Fair Price DCF = 118.4 (DCF Value 293.77b / Shares Outstanding 2.48b; 5y FCF grow 5.00% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 44.06 | EPS CAGR: 18.44% | SUE: 3.25 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 76.88 | Revenue CAGR: 8.43% | SUE: 0.60 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for MRK Stock
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