(MSCI) MSCI - Ratings and Ratios
Indexes, Analytics, ESG, Climate, Private Assets
MSCI EPS (Earnings per Share)
MSCI Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 38.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.30% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.25 |
| Alpha | -18.55 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.358 |
| Beta | 0.828 |
| Beta Downside | 0.964 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 25.99% |
| Mean DD | 9.03% |
| Median DD | 8.62% |
Description: MSCI MSCI September 29, 2025
MSCI Inc. (NYSE:MSCI) is a New-York-based provider of data, analytics, and decision-support tools that serve the global investment community across public and private markets. The company operates under a diversified model that splits revenue among four primary segments: Index, Analytics, ESG & Climate, and Private Assets/Capital Solutions.
Index segment – This business licenses more than 14,000 indexes, including the widely used MSCI World and MSCI Emerging Markets families, which together cover roughly 85 % of the investable global equity market. Index licensing accounts for about 45 % of MSCI’s total revenue, and growth is strongly tied to the rapid expansion of ETF assets, which have surged to >$9 trillion worldwide in 2023. The segment also monetizes the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) and GICS Direct, which are adopted by the majority of institutional managers for sector-level analysis.
Analytics segment – MSCI delivers risk-management, performance-attribution, and portfolio-construction tools, plus the HedgePlatform for hedge-fund risk monitoring. In 2023 the segment served roughly $30 trillion of assets under analysis (AUA), generating roughly 35 % of total revenue. Key drivers include heightened demand for multi-asset risk analytics amid volatile interest-rate environments and increasing regulatory scrutiny of model risk.
ESG & Climate segment – This unit provides ESG ratings, climate-risk data, and compliance solutions that help investors meet emerging regulations such as the EU Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) and the U.S. SEC’s climate-related disclosure rules. ESG revenues have been growing at an estimated 30 % CAGR since 2020, reflecting a sector-wide shift toward sustainable investing and the fact that MSCI now rates over 14,000 public companies on ESG metrics.
Private Assets & Private Capital Solutions – MSCI’s private-assets offering supplies real-estate and infrastructure benchmarks, return-analytics, and climate assessments, while the Private Capital Solutions suite automates sourcing, due-diligence, and performance-monitoring workflows for private-equity and infrastructure funds. The combined segment is positioned to capture a market that Bloomberg estimates will exceed $5 trillion in assets under management by 2027, driven by institutional appetite for alternative-asset exposure.
For a deeper, data-driven view of MSCI’s valuation dynamics and how its segment mix may affect future earnings, consider exploring the MSCI analysis page on ValueRay.
MSCI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 43,795m |
| Sub-Industry | Financial Exchanges & Data |
| IPO / Inception | 2007-11-15 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -16.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.95 of 5 |
MSCI Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.29% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.89% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 21.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 42.8% |
MSCI Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 5.45% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.21 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.60 |
| Current Volume | 533.1k |
| Average Volume | 620.7k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (1.22b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 183.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.27 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.89pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -5.74% (prev -3.29%; Δ -2.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.28 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.52b > Net Income 1.22b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.22b) to EBITDA (1.82b) ratio: 2.87 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.88 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (77.3m) change vs 12m ago -1.83% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 82.37% (prev 81.97%; Δ 0.41pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 56.59% (prev 51.82%; Δ 4.78pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.65 (EBITDA TTM 1.82b / Interest Expense TTM 191.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.79
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 1.31b - Total Current Liabilities 1.48b) / Total Assets 5.39b |
| (B) 0.98 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.28b / Total Assets 5.39b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.98 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.31 = EBIT TTM 1.66b / Avg Total Assets 5.40b |
| (D) 0.72 = Book Value of Equity 5.23b / Total Liabilities 7.31b |
| Total Rating: 5.79 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 80.12
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt = 3.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.01% = 1.51 |
| 3. FCF Margin 48.33% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity -2.93 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.87 = -1.58 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 29.73)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE -104.1% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 98.16% = 7.36 |
| 9. EPS Trend 96.58% = 4.83 |
What is the price of MSCI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.99%, over one month by +4.74%, over three months by +0.72% and over the past year by -4.74%.
Is MSCI a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MSCI is around 518.74 USD . This means that MSCI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -7.02%.
Is MSCI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MSCI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 655.1 | 17.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 655.1 | 17.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 576.4 | 3.3% |
MSCI Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 36.8892
P/E Forward = 29.1545
P/S = 14.3335
P/EG = 2.2266
Beta = 1.313
Revenue TTM = 3.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.66b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.82b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.51b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 27.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.22b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 49.01b USD (43.80b + Debt 5.62b - CCE 400.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.65 (Ebit TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 191.8m)
FCF Yield = 3.01% (FCF TTM 1.48b / Enterprise Value 49.01b)
FCF Margin = 48.33% (FCF TTM 1.48b / Revenue TTM 3.06b)
Net Margin = 40.03% (Net Income TTM 1.22b / Revenue TTM 3.06b)
Gross Margin = 82.37% ((Revenue TTM 3.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 538.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 83.30% (prev 82.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.10 (Enterprise Value 49.01b / Total Assets 5.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.95% (Interest Expense 53.6m / Debt 5.62b)
Taxrate = 17.94% (71.1m / 396.5m)
NOPAT = 1.36b (EBIT 1.66b * (1 - 17.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.88 (Total Current Assets 1.31b / Total Current Liabilities 1.48b)
Debt / Equity = -2.93 (negative equity) (Debt 5.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -1.92b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.87 (Net Debt 5.22b / EBITDA 1.82b)
Debt / FCF = 3.53 (Net Debt 5.22b / FCF TTM 1.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -1.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 22.70% (Net Income 1.22b / Total Assets 5.39b)
RoE = -104.1% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.22b / Total Stockholder Equity -1.18b)
RoCE = 49.71% (EBIT 1.66b / Capital Employed (Equity -1.18b + L.T.Debt 4.51b))
RoIC = 37.85% (NOPAT 1.36b / Invested Capital 3.60b)
WACC = 8.12% (E(43.80b)/V(49.41b) * Re(9.06%) + D(5.62b)/V(49.41b) * Rd(0.95%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 9.06% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.40%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.54% ; FCFE base≈1.44b ; Y1≈1.62b ; Y5≈2.20b
Fair Price DCF = 420.6 (DCF Value 31.61b / Shares Outstanding 75.1m; 5y FCF grow 15.00% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 96.58 | EPS CAGR: 17.93% | SUE: 0.85 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 98.16 | Revenue CAGR: 12.34% | SUE: -0.41 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for MSCI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle