(MSCI) MSCI - Ratings and Ratios
Indexes, Analytics, ESG, Real Estate, Private Capital
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.34% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.79% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 21.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 42.8% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 38.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.80% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.45 |
| Alpha | -23.18 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.16 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.332 |
| Beta | 0.804 |
| Beta Downside | 0.946 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 25.99% |
| Mean DD | 9.12% |
| Median DD | 8.75% |
Description: MSCI MSCI December 04, 2025
MSCI Inc. (NYSE:MSCI) delivers decision-support tools for the global investment community, covering index construction, analytics, ESG/Climate data, and private-asset solutions. The company, founded in 1998 and headquartered in New York, operates primarily within the Financial Exchanges & Data sub-industry.
The Index segment supplies more than 12,000 indexes that underpin ETFs, mutual funds, futures, options, and structured products, and it licenses the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS). In FY 2023, index licensing generated roughly $800 million in revenue, reflecting MSCI’s dominant market share in the ETF space (≈ 70 % of global ETF assets reference an MSCI index).
The Analytics segment offers risk-management, performance-attribution, and portfolio-construction tools, including the HedgePlatform for hedge-fund risk monitoring. Revenue from analytics grew at a 12 % compound annual rate (CAGR) over the past three years, driven by heightened demand for multi-asset risk analytics amid volatile equity and fixed-income markets.
The ESG & Climate segment provides ratings, data, and research that help institutional investors assess long-term risk and comply with expanding regulatory mandates (e.g., EU Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation). ESG data subscriptions now account for about 20 % of total MSCI revenue, a share that has been expanding at ~15 % YoY as investors allocate more capital to sustainable strategies.
The Private Assets and Private Capital Solutions segments deliver real-estate, infrastructure, and private-equity analytics, supporting workflow automation from sourcing to performance reporting. These offerings are increasingly relevant as private-capital inflows are projected to exceed $1 trillion annually through 2027, according to industry forecasts.
For a deeper dive into how MSCI’s data ecosystem might intersect with emerging investment themes, you may find ValueRay’s analytical platform worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (1.22b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 183.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.27 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.89pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -5.74% (prev -3.29%; Δ -2.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.28 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.52b > Net Income 1.22b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.22b) to EBITDA (1.82b) ratio: 2.87 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.88 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (77.3m) change vs 12m ago -1.83% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 82.37% (prev 81.97%; Δ 0.41pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 56.59% (prev 51.82%; Δ 4.78pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.66 (EBITDA TTM 1.82b / Interest Expense TTM 191.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.80
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 1.31b - Total Current Liabilities 1.48b) / Total Assets 5.39b |
| (B) 0.98 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.28b / Total Assets 5.39b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.98 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.31 = EBIT TTM 1.66b / Avg Total Assets 5.40b |
| (D) 0.72 = Book Value of Equity 5.23b / Total Liabilities 7.31b |
| Total Rating: 5.80 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 80.19
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.11% |
| 3. FCF Margin 48.33% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -2.93 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.87 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 29.89)% |
| 7. RoE -104.1% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 98.46% |
| 9. EPS Trend 96.51% |
What is the price of MSCI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.82%, over one month by -7.36%, over three months by -6.03% and over the past year by -11.87%.
Is MSCI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MSCI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 657.6 | 22.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 657.6 | 22.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 551.2 | 2.4% |
MSCI Fundamental Data Overview December 05, 2025
P/E Trailing = 34.6168
P/E Forward = 28.3286
P/S = 13.8138
P/EG = 1.9557
Beta = 1.313
Revenue TTM = 3.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.66b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.82b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.51b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 27.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.22b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 47.43b USD (42.21b + Debt 5.62b - CCE 400.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.66 (Ebit TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 191.8m)
FCF Yield = 3.11% (FCF TTM 1.48b / Enterprise Value 47.43b)
FCF Margin = 48.33% (FCF TTM 1.48b / Revenue TTM 3.06b)
Net Margin = 40.03% (Net Income TTM 1.22b / Revenue TTM 3.06b)
Gross Margin = 82.37% ((Revenue TTM 3.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 538.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 83.30% (prev 82.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 8.80 (Enterprise Value 47.43b / Total Assets 5.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.95% (Interest Expense 53.6m / Debt 5.62b)
Taxrate = 17.94% (71.1m / 396.5m)
NOPAT = 1.36b (EBIT 1.66b * (1 - 17.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.88 (Total Current Assets 1.31b / Total Current Liabilities 1.48b)
Debt / Equity = -2.93 (negative equity) (Debt 5.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -1.92b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.87 (Net Debt 5.22b / EBITDA 1.82b)
Debt / FCF = 3.53 (Net Debt 5.22b / FCF TTM 1.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -1.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 22.70% (Net Income 1.22b / Total Assets 5.39b)
RoE = -104.1% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.22b / Total Stockholder Equity -1.18b)
RoCE = 38.33% (EBIT 1.66b / Capital Employed (Equity -1.18b + L.T.Debt 5.51b))
RoIC = 37.91% (NOPAT 1.36b / Invested Capital 3.59b)
WACC = 8.02% (E(42.21b)/V(47.83b) * Re(8.98%) + D(5.62b)/V(47.83b) * Rd(0.95%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 8.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.40%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.80% ; FCFE base≈1.44b ; Y1≈1.62b ; Y5≈2.20b
Fair Price DCF = 426.4 (DCF Value 32.04b / Shares Outstanding 75.1m; 5y FCF grow 15.00% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 96.51 | EPS CAGR: 16.64% | SUE: 0.85 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 98.46 | Revenue CAGR: 10.27% | SUE: -0.41 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=4.51 | Chg30d=+0.014 | Revisions Net=+5 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.36 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=+8 | Growth EPS=+12.8% | Growth Revenue=+9.5%
Additional Sources for MSCI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle