(MSGE) Madison Square Garden - Overview
Stock: Venues, Concerts, Rockettes, Sports, Family Shows
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.85% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.57 |
| Alpha | 54.06 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.994 |
| Beta Downside | 1.141 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 33.94% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.76 |
Description: MSGE Madison Square Garden January 16, 2026
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE) operates a portfolio of iconic venues-including Madison Square Garden, Radio City Music Hall, the Beacon Theatre, and The Chicago Theatre-to produce, present, and host a broad mix of live entertainment such as concerts, sporting events, family shows, and the flagship “Christmas Spectacular Starring the Radio City Rockettes.” The company also runs an entertainment-booking business that matches artists and sports leagues with its venues, generating revenue from ticket sales, concessions, sponsorships, and ancillary services.
Key recent metrics show MSGE generated approximately $1.7 billion in revenue for FY 2023, with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 18%, reflecting strong pricing power in premium-ticket segments. Attendance rebounded to 85% of pre-COVID levels, driven by robust consumer discretionary spending and a favorable macro environment for live events, while the company’s pipeline includes several multi-year arena contracts that lock in high-margin bookings through 2027.
For a deeper, data-driven look at MSGE’s valuation and risk profile, you might find ValueRay’s analyst dashboard useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: -27.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.36 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -19.55% < 20% (prev -24.14%; Δ 4.59% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 214.0m > Net Income -27.6m |
| Net Debt (483.3m) to EBITDA (52.5m): 9.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.68 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (47.8m) vs 12m ago -1.58% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.12% > 18% (prev 0.44%; Δ 4568 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 59.49% > 50% (prev 60.47%; Δ -0.98% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.14 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 52.5m / Interest Expense TTM 43.3m) |
Altman Z'' 0.17
| A: -0.11 (Total Current Assets 420.1m - Total Current Liabilities 618.5m) / Total Assets 1.82b |
| B: 0.12 (Retained Earnings 224.1m / Total Assets 1.82b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 92.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.71b) |
| D: 0.11 (Book Value of Equity 193.5m / Total Liabilities 1.79b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.17 = B |
Beneish M -3.01
| DSRI: 1.18 (Receivables 159.4m/127.6m, Revenue 1.01b/960.5m) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 46.12% / 44.05%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 1.01b / 960.5m) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI -27.6m - CFO 214.0m) / TA 1.82b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of MSGE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.65%, over one month by +12.77%, over three months by +37.45% and over the past year by +70.21%.
Is MSGE a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MSGE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 68.7 | 12.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 68.7 | 12.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 73.4 | 20.7% |
MSGE Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 47.8469
P/S = 2.7648
P/B = 78.5117
Revenue TTM = 1.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 92.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 52.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 568.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 71.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 640.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 483.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.29b USD (2.81b + Debt 640.9m - CCE 157.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.14 (Ebit TTM 92.8m / Interest Expense TTM 43.3m)
EV/FCF = 15.89x (Enterprise Value 3.29b / FCF TTM 207.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.29% (FCF TTM 207.0m / Enterprise Value 3.29b)
FCF Margin = 20.39% (FCF TTM 207.0m / Revenue TTM 1.01b)
Net Margin = -2.72% (Net Income TTM -27.6m / Revenue TTM 1.01b)
Gross Margin = 46.12% ((Revenue TTM 1.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 546.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.72% (prev 35.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.80 (Enterprise Value 3.29b / Total Assets 1.82b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.63% (Interest Expense 10.4m / Debt 640.9m)
Taxrate = 39.61% (60.8m / 153.5m)
NOPAT = 56.0m (EBIT 92.8m * (1 - 39.61%))
Current Ratio = 0.68 (Total Current Assets 420.1m / Total Current Liabilities 618.5m)
Debt / Equity = 17.80 (Debt 640.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 36.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.22 (Net Debt 483.3m / EBITDA 52.5m)
Debt / FCF = 2.34 (Net Debt 483.3m / FCF TTM 207.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 573.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.62% (Net Income -27.6m / Total Assets 1.82b)
RoE = -4.82% (Net Income TTM -27.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 573.4m)
RoCE = 8.12% (EBIT 92.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 573.4m + L.T.Debt 568.8m))
RoIC = 9.62% (NOPAT 56.0m / Invested Capital 582.6m)
WACC = 7.98% (E(2.81b)/V(3.45b) * Re(9.58%) + D(640.9m)/V(3.45b) * Rd(1.63%) * (1-Tc(0.40)))
Discount Rate = 9.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.26% ; FCFF base≈149.5m ; Y1≈107.2m ; Y5≈58.4m
Fair Price DCF = 15.61 (EV 1.11b - Net Debt 483.3m = Equity 630.8m / Shares 40.4m; r=7.98% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -33.30% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 36.07 | EPS CAGR: 30.76% | SUE: -0.76 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 21.78 | Revenue CAGR: 25.89% | SUE: 1.17 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=-0.165 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=1.18 | Chg30d=-0.500 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+0.0% | Growth Revenue=+8.3%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=2.58 | Chg30d=+0.170 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+118.2% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%