MSI Stock Analysis: Motorola Solutions | NYSE

Communication Equipment | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 74.044m USD | 12M Return: -1.8% | US6200763075 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Two-Way Radios, Video Security, Command Software, Cybersecurity
Total Rating 61
Safety 76
Buy Signal 0.39
Communication Equipment
Industry Rotation: +17.7
Market Cap: 74.0B
Avg Turnover: 374M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility20.6%
VaR 5th Pctl3.33%
VaR vs Median-1.45%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.10
Rel. Str. IBD56
Rel. Str. Peer Group29.3
Character TTM
Beta0.329
Beta Downside0.386
Hurst Exponent0.477
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD27.01%
CAGR/Max DD0.63
CAGR/Mean DD1.94
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MSI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 2.35, "2021-12": 2.85, "2022-03": 1.7, "2022-06": 2.07, "2022-09": 3, "2022-12": 3.6, "2023-03": 2.22, "2023-06": 2.65, "2023-09": 3.19, "2023-12": 3.9, "2024-03": 2.81, "2024-06": 3.24, "2024-09": 3.74, "2024-12": 4.04, "2025-03": 3.18, "2025-06": 3.13, "2025-09": 4.06, "2025-12": 4.59, "2026-03": 3.37, "2026-06": 3.93,
EPS CAGR: 10.87%
EPS Trend: 97.8%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 16
Revenue Revenue of MSI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 2107, 2021-12: 2320, 2022-03: 1892, 2022-06: 2140, 2022-09: 2373, 2022-12: 2707, 2023-03: 2171, 2023-06: 2403, 2023-09: 2556, 2023-12: 2849, 2024-03: 2389, 2024-06: 2628, 2024-09: 2790, 2024-12: 3011, 2025-03: 2528, 2025-06: 2765, 2025-09: 3009, 2025-12: 3380, 2026-03: 2714, 2026-06: 3133,
Rev. CAGR: 7.93%
Rev. Trend: 99.6%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 5

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -1.4% 20
Feb +1.4% 17
Mar +1.1% 8
Apr -0.3% 22
May -4.5% 34
Jun +2.5% 46
Jul +1.1% 32
Aug +6.3% 53
Sep -2.8% 62
Oct -1.6% 0
Nov +4.5% 29
Dec -2.9% 28

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MSI Motorola Solutions

Motorola Solutions, Inc. (NYSE: MSI) is a global provider of public safety, government, defense, and enterprise security solutions, headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, and operating primarily in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and other international markets. The company operates through two main segments: Products and Systems Integration, which supplies infrastructure, devices (including two-way radios), video security, and access control technologies; and Software and Services, which delivers command center software, unified communications, managed services, and cybersecurity support. Its customers span a wide range of sectors, including law enforcement, fire and rescue, military and defense, utilities, healthcare, education, and retail, among others.

Founded in 1928 and rebranded from Motorola, Inc. to Motorola Solutions, Inc. in January 2011, the company has a long history rooted in the communications equipment industry and now focuses almost exclusively on mission-critical communications and video security for professional and government users. As a large-cap stock in the Information Technology sector with a market capitalization of approximately $74 billion, Motorola Solutions is one of the larger pure-play providers of land mobile radio (LMR) systems, a niche where it competes with firms such as L3Harris Technologies and Hytera, serving a customer base that relies on highly reliable, secure communications infrastructure.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Software and Services recurring revenue expands margins
  • Federal public safety spending drives order growth
  • Buybacks and dividend growth continue at steady pace
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 2.13b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.61 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 4.52% < 20% (prev 29.30%; Δ -24.78% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 2.97b > Net Income 2.13b
Net Debt (9.50b) to EBITDA (3.80b): 2.50 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.10 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (167.2m) vs 12m ago -0.95% < -2%
Gross Margin: 49.97% > 18% (prev 51.33%; Δ -1.37% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 68.64% > 50% (prev 67.60%; Δ 1.04% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.22 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.21b / Interest Expense TTM 445.0m)
Altman Z'' 2.01
A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 6.13b - Total Current Liabilities 5.58b) / Total Assets 19.2b
B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 2.63b / Total Assets 19.2b)
C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 3.21b / Avg Total Assets 17.8b)
D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 2.67b / Total Liabilities 16.6b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.01 = BBB
Beneish M -2.89
DSRI: 0.73 (Receivables 2.63b/3.27b, Revenue 12.2b/11.1b)
GMI: 1.03 (GM 51.33% / 49.97%)
AQI: 1.45 (AQ_t 0.62 / AQ_t-1 0.43)
SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 12.2b / 11.1b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 2.13b - CFO 2.97b) / TA 19.2b)
Beneish M = -2.89 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of MSI shares?

As of October 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 444.18 with a total of 908,417 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.72%, over one month by -3.17%, over three months by +6.74% and over the past year by -1.81%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 433.90 (which is 2.3% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is MSI a buy, sell or hold?

Motorola Solutions has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.36. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MSI.

  • StrongBuy: 7
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MSI price?
Analysts Target Price 526.9 18.6%
Motorola Solutions (MSI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 74.0b (74.0b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 35.2847
P/E Forward = 23.8663
P/S = 6.0508
P/B = 28.5179
P/EG = 2.0244
Revenue TTM = 12.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.21b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.80b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.42b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 760.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.2b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 587.0m
Net Debt = 9.50b USD (calculated: Debt 10.2b - CCE 710.0m)
Enterprise Value = 83.5b USD (74.0b + Debt 10.2b - CCE 710.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.22 (Ebit TTM 3.21b / Interest Expense TTM 445.0m)
EV/FCF = 31.21x (Enterprise Value 83.5b / FCF TTM 2.68b)
FCF Yield = 3.20% (FCF TTM 2.68b / Enterprise Value 83.5b)
FCF Margin = 21.88% (FCF TTM 2.68b / Revenue TTM 12.2b)
Net Margin = 17.44% (Net Income TTM 2.13b / Revenue TTM 12.2b)
Gross Margin = 49.97% ((Revenue TTM 12.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.12b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.56% (prev 47.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.34 (Enterprise Value 83.5b / Total Assets 19.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.36% (Interest Expense 445.0m / Debt 10.2b)
Taxrate = 22.72% (629.0m / 2.77b)
NOPAT = 2.48b (EBIT 3.21b * (1 - 22.72%))
Current Ratio = 1.10 (Total Current Assets 6.13b / Total Current Liabilities 5.58b)
Debt / Equity = 3.82 (Debt 10.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.67b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.50 (Net Debt 9.50b / EBITDA 3.80b)
Debt / FCF = 3.55 (Net Debt 9.50b / FCF TTM 2.68b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.49b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.97% (Net Income 2.13b / Total Assets 19.2b)
RoE = 85.76% (Net Income TTM 2.13b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.49b)
RoCE = 29.47% (EBIT 3.21b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.49b + L.T.Debt 8.42b))
RoIC = 17.98% (NOPAT 2.48b / Invested Capital 13.8b)
WACC = 6.68% (E(74.0b)/V(84.2b) * Re(7.14%) + D(10.2b)/V(84.2b) * Rd(4.36%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -33.72 | Cagr: 0.24%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.91% ; FCFF base≈2.56b ; Y1≈2.83b ; Y5≈3.64b
[DCF] Fair Price = 278.0 (EV 55.5b - Net Debt 9.50b = Equity 46.0b / Shares 165.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 12.29% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.82 | EPS CAGR: 10.87% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 16
Revenue Correlation: 99.59 | Revenue CAGR: 7.93% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.44 | Chg30d=-0.12% | Revisions=+13% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=17.72 | Chg30d=+0.18% | Revisions=+80% | GrowthEPS=+15.2% | GrowthRev=+11.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=19.43 | Chg30d=+0.37% | Revisions=+82% | GrowthEPS=+9.6% | GrowthRev=+8.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +68% (up=33, down=5)