(MSI) Motorola Solutions - Ratings and Ratios
Two-Way Radios, Video Security, Command Software, Network Infrastructure
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 20.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 30.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.41% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.28 |
| Alpha | -32.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.455 |
| Beta | 0.522 |
| Beta Downside | 0.525 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 26.54% |
| Mean DD | 5.66% |
| Median DD | 4.06% |
Description: MSI Motorola Solutions September 26, 2025
Motorola Solutions (NYSE:MSI) delivers public-safety and enterprise-security hardware, software, and services across the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, and other international markets. The business is split into two operating segments: Products & Systems Integration, which sells land-mobile-radio (LMR) radios, video-surveillance cameras, access-control hardware, network-core equipment, and integration services; and Software & Services, which provides command-center platforms, unified-communications applications, video-analytics software, maintenance contracts, and cybersecurity support.
The company’s customer base spans government agencies, police and fire departments, transportation authorities, utilities, and a broad set of commercial sectors such as hospitality, manufacturing, and oil & gas. Revenue is heavily weighted toward recurring contracts-approximately 65 % of FY 2023 sales were subscription-based or service-linked, which helps smooth earnings amid cyclical capital-expenditure cycles.
Key financial highlights (FY 2023): Revenue $10.0 billion, up 5 % YoY; operating margin 15.2 %; free cash flow $1.6 billion; and a backlog of roughly $4.5 billion, indicating strong demand pipeline. The Products segment contributed about 58 % of total revenue, while Software & Services generated the remaining 42 % and grew at a faster 9 % rate, driven by expanding software-as-a-service (SaaS) contracts.
Sector drivers that materially affect MSI include: (1) sustained federal and state spending on public-safety communications infrastructure, which the Congressional Budget Office projects will grow at a 3–4 % annual rate through 2028; (2) the industry shift toward 5G-enabled mission-critical communications, where MSI’s recent acquisition of Airwave (UK) positions it to capture a larger share of the European market; and (3) rising cybersecurity requirements for critical-infrastructure networks, boosting demand for MSI’s managed-security services.
For a deeper quantitative comparison of MSI’s valuation metrics against peers, the ValueRay platform offers a concise dashboard you may find useful.
MSI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 63,854m |
| Sub-Industry | Communications Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 1977-01-03 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -33.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.23 of 5 |
MSI Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.18% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.74% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 11.26% |
| Payout Consistency | 89.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 29.4% |
MSI Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 12.91% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.49 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.28 |
| Current Volume | 2308.6k |
| Average Volume | 1374.4k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (2.12b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 678.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.82pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.66% (prev 10.73%; Δ -10.06pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.65b > Net Income 2.12b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (9.04b) to EBITDA (3.44b) ratio: 2.63 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.01 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (169.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.11% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 50.95% (prev 50.85%; Δ 0.10pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 69.22% (prev 76.72%; Δ -7.50pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 9.64 (EBITDA TTM 3.44b / Interest Expense TTM 317.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.74
| (A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 5.73b - Total Current Liabilities 5.66b) / Total Assets 18.80b |
| (B) 0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.59b / Total Assets 18.80b |
| (C) 0.19 = EBIT TTM 3.06b / Avg Total Assets 16.34b |
| (D) 0.01 = Book Value of Equity 179.0m / Total Liabilities 16.45b |
| Total Rating: 1.74 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 76.70
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.31% |
| 3. FCF Margin 21.34% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 4.27 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.63 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 18.94)% |
| 7. RoE 110.8% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 58.38% |
| 9. EPS Trend 55.10% |
What is the price of MSI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.89%, over one month by -17.65%, over three months by -20.03% and over the past year by -24.69%.
Is MSI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MSI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 498.4 | 35.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 498.4 | 35.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 373 | 1.1% |
MSI Fundamental Data Overview November 16, 2025
P/E Trailing = 30.7676
P/E Forward = 23.3645
P/S = 5.6443
P/B = 27.4404
P/EG = 1.4333
Beta = 0.988
Revenue TTM = 11.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.06b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.44b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.41b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.06b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.94b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.04b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 72.90b USD (63.85b + Debt 9.94b - CCE 894.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.64 (Ebit TTM 3.06b / Interest Expense TTM 317.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.31% (FCF TTM 2.41b / Enterprise Value 72.90b)
FCF Margin = 21.34% (FCF TTM 2.41b / Revenue TTM 11.31b)
Net Margin = 18.70% (Net Income TTM 2.12b / Revenue TTM 11.31b)
Gross Margin = 50.95% ((Revenue TTM 11.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.55b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.92% (prev 51.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.88 (Enterprise Value 72.90b / Total Assets 18.80b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.04% (Interest Expense 103.0m / Debt 9.94b)
Taxrate = 22.21% (161.0m / 725.0m)
NOPAT = 2.38b (EBIT 3.06b * (1 - 22.21%))
Current Ratio = 1.01 (Total Current Assets 5.73b / Total Current Liabilities 5.66b)
Debt / Equity = 4.27 (Debt 9.94b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.33b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.63 (Net Debt 9.04b / EBITDA 3.44b)
Debt / FCF = 3.75 (Net Debt 9.04b / FCF TTM 2.41b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.91b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.26% (Net Income 2.12b / Total Assets 18.80b)
RoE = 110.8% (Net Income TTM 2.12b / Total Stockholder Equity 1.91b)
RoCE = 29.62% (EBIT 3.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.91b + L.T.Debt 8.41b))
RoIC = 25.92% (NOPAT 2.38b / Invested Capital 9.18b)
WACC = 6.98% (E(63.85b)/V(73.79b) * Re(7.94%) + D(9.94b)/V(73.79b) * Rd(1.04%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.73%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.11% ; FCFE base≈2.37b ; Y1≈2.71b ; Y5≈3.76b
Fair Price DCF = 390.5 (DCF Value 65.04b / Shares Outstanding 166.6m; 5y FCF grow 16.72% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 55.10 | EPS CAGR: 4.47% | SUE: 2.97 | # QB: 17
Revenue Correlation: 58.38 | Revenue CAGR: 3.92% | SUE: 1.36 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for MSI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle