(MSM) MSC Industrial Direct - Ratings and Ratios
Cutting Tools, Measuring Tools, Fasteners, Power Tools, Safety Supplies
MSM EPS (Earnings per Share)
MSM Revenue
Description: MSM MSC Industrial Direct
MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. is a leading distributor of metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products, serving a diverse customer base across various industries, including manufacturing, government agencies, and individual machine shops. The companys extensive product portfolio comprises over 650,000 stock-keeping units (SKUs), including cutting tools, measuring instruments, and electrical supplies, which are made available through multiple channels, such as catalogs, e-commerce platforms, and inventory management solutions.
From a business perspective, MSC Industrial Direct has established a strong presence in North America and the UK, with a significant customer base and a well-developed logistics infrastructure, including customer care centers, customer fulfillment centers, regional inventory centers, and warehouses. The companys ability to provide a broad range of products and services, combined with its robust distribution network, enables it to effectively cater to the needs of its customers. Key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, gross margin, and inventory turnover are crucial in evaluating the companys operational efficiency and financial health. For instance, a high inventory turnover ratio indicates that the company is effectively managing its inventory levels, which is essential for a distributor like MSC Industrial Direct.
In terms of financial performance, MSC Industrial Direct has demonstrated a stable track record, with a market capitalization of approximately $5 billion. The companys return on equity (RoE) stands at 14.46%, indicating a reasonable level of profitability. To further assess the companys financial health, other KPIs such as debt-to-equity ratio, interest coverage ratio, and operating cash flow margin can be examined. For example, a low debt-to-equity ratio and a high interest coverage ratio would suggest that the company has a healthy capital structure and is capable of meeting its interest obligations.
From a valuation perspective, MSC Industrial Directs price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is around 25.53, which is slightly higher than its forward P/E ratio of 21.10. This suggests that the market expects the companys earnings to grow in the future. To gain a deeper understanding of the companys valuation, other metrics such as enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio and price-to-book (P/B) ratio can be analyzed. For instance, a comparison of MSC Industrial Directs EV/EBITDA ratio with that of its industry peers can help determine whether the company is overvalued or undervalued relative to its competitors.
MSM Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 5,100m |
Sub-Industry | Trading Companies & Distributors |
IPO / Inception | 1995-12-20 |
MSM Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | 55.9% |
Fundamental | 54.4% |
Dividend Rating | 45.6% |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -1.13% |
Analyst Rating | 3.27 of 5 |
MSM Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 3.97% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 6.96% |
Annual Growth 5y | -21.91% |
Payout Consistency | 96.2% |
Payout Ratio | 92.1% |
MSM Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 63.9% |
Growth Correlation 12m | 44.5% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 64.3% |
CAGR 5y | 12.36% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.42 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 1.60 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.45 |
Alpha | 0.00 |
Beta | 0.983 |
Volatility | 20.93% |
Current Volume | 426.4k |
Average Volume 20d | 413.2k |
Stop Loss | 90 (-3%) |
Signal | 1.21 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
Net Income (198.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 224.6m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.90pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 15.83% (prev 16.12%; Δ -0.29pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 360.7m > Net Income 198.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (504.3m) to EBITDA (377.8m) ratio: 1.33 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 1.92 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (55.8m) change vs 12m ago -1.04% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 40.92% (prev 41.03%; Δ -0.11pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 151.5% (prev 158.2%; Δ -6.74pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 11.57 (EBITDA TTM 377.8m / Interest Expense TTM 24.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.30
(A) 0.24 = (Total Current Assets 1.24b - Total Current Liabilities 644.3m) / Total Assets 2.48b |
(B) 0.17 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 423.5m / Total Assets 2.48b |
(C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 288.5m / Avg Total Assets 2.47b |
(D) 0.37 = Book Value of Equity 401.9m / Total Liabilities 1.10b |
Total Rating: 3.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.43
1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
2. FCF Yield 4.73% = 2.37 |
3. FCF Margin 7.04% = 1.76 |
4. Debt/Equity 0.40 = 2.42 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 1.44 = 1.07 |
6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.58)% = 3.23 |
7. RoE 14.46% = 1.20 |
8. Rev. Trend -48.38% = -3.63 |
9. EPS Trend -79.66% = -3.98 |
What is the price of MSM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.57%, over one month by +6.66%, over three months by +14.15% and over the past year by +18.08%.
Is MSC Industrial Direct a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MSM is around 89.94 USD . This means that MSM is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -3.11%.
Is MSM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MSM price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 90.3 | -2.7% |
Analysts Target Price | 90.3 | -2.7% |
ValueRay Target Price | 100.5 | 8.3% |
Last update: 2025-09-11 04:44
MSM Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 71.7m USD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 25.8757
P/E Forward = 21.4592
P/S = 1.3623
P/B = 3.7419
P/EG = 2.9816
Beta = 0.895
Revenue TTM = 3.74b USD
EBIT TTM = 288.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 377.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 285.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 258.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 543.7m USD (Calculated: Short Term 258.8m + Long Term 285.0m)
Net Debt = 504.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.57b USD (5.10b + Debt 543.7m - CCE 71.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.57 (Ebit TTM 288.5m / Interest Expense TTM 24.9m)
FCF Yield = 4.73% (FCF TTM 263.6m / Enterprise Value 5.57b)
FCF Margin = 7.04% (FCF TTM 263.6m / Revenue TTM 3.74b)
Net Margin = 5.30% (Net Income TTM 198.5m / Revenue TTM 3.74b)
Gross Margin = 40.92% ((Revenue TTM 3.74b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 13.86 (Enterprise Value 5.57b / Book Value Of Equity 401.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.11% (Interest Expense 6.03m / Debt 543.7m)
Taxrate = 25.32% (86.8m / 342.7m)
NOPAT = 215.5m (EBIT 288.5m * (1 - 25.32%))
Current Ratio = 1.92 (Total Current Assets 1.24b / Total Current Liabilities 644.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 543.7m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.37b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.44 (Net Debt 504.3m / EBITDA 377.8m)
Debt / FCF = 2.06 (Debt 543.7m / FCF TTM 263.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.37b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 8.02% (Net Income 198.5m, Total Assets 2.48b )
RoE = 14.46% (Net Income TTM 198.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.37b)
RoCE = 17.41% (Ebit 288.5m / (Equity 1.37b + L.T.Debt 285.0m))
RoIC = 11.37% (NOPAT 215.5m / Invested Capital 1.89b)
WACC = 8.79% (E(5.10b)/V(5.64b) * Re(9.64%)) + (D(543.7m)/V(5.64b) * Rd(1.11%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -6.06 | Cagr: -0.05%
Discount Rate = 9.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.38% ; FCFE base≈291.8m ; Y1≈287.2m ; Y5≈295.2m
Fair Price DCF = 71.72 (DCF Value 3.99b / Shares Outstanding 55.7m; 5y FCF grow -2.47% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -79.66 | EPS CAGR: -60.85% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -48.38 | Revenue CAGR: 0.56% | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for MSM Stock
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