(MSM) MSC Industrial Direct - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Distribution | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 5.040m USD | Total Return: 34.8% in 12m

Tools, Supplies, Machinery, Fasteners, Safety
Total Rating 55
Safety 82
Buy Signal 0.03
Industrial Distribution
Industry Rotation: +0.6
Market Cap: 5.04B
Avg Turnover: 51.2M USD
ATR: 3.62%
Peers RS (IBD): 56.5
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility27.4%
Rel. Tail Risk-6.99%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.81
Alpha3.96
Character TTM
Beta0.802
Beta Downside1.283
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD29.30%
CAGR/Max DD0.20
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MSM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-02": 1.03, "2021-05": 1.42, "2021-08": 1.26, "2021-11": 1.25, "2022-02": 1.29, "2022-05": 1.82, "2022-08": 1.79, "2022-11": 1.48, "2023-02": 1.45, "2023-05": 1.74, "2023-08": 1.64, "2023-11": 1.25, "2024-02": 1.18, "2024-05": 1.33, "2024-08": 1.03, "2024-11": 0.86, "2025-02": 0.72, "2025-05": 1.08, "2025-08": 1.09, "2025-11": 0.99, "2026-02": 0.82,
EPS CAGR: -19.15%
EPS Trend: -86.0%
Last SUE: -0.36
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of MSM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-02: 773.995, 2021-05: 866.294, 2021-08: 831.031, 2021-11: 848.547, 2022-02: 862.522, 2022-05: 958.579, 2022-08: 1022.245, 2022-11: 957.745, 2023-02: 961.632, 2023-05: 1054.464, 2023-08: 1035.441, 2023-11: 953.969, 2024-02: 935.348, 2024-05: 979.35, 2024-08: 952.284, 2024-11: 928.484, 2025-02: 891.717, 2025-05: 971.145, 2025-08: 978.175, 2025-11: 965.684, 2026-02: 917.774,
Rev. CAGR: -1.15%
Rev. Trend: -44.4%
Last SUE: -1.05
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: MSM MSC Industrial Direct

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) distributes metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services.

The companys product portfolio includes cutting tools, abrasives, and safety supplies. MRO distribution is a mature sector focused on efficiency and supply chain management.

MSM utilizes multiple sales channels, including e-commerce, catalogs, and inventory management solutions. This multi-channel approach is common among industrial distributors to reach diverse customer segments.

Its customer base includes machine shops, manufacturing companies, and government agencies. Further details on MSMs operational efficiency can be found on platforms like ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Industrial production levels impact demand for MRO products
  • Raw material cost fluctuations affect profit margins
  • E-commerce growth drives market share expansion
  • Manufacturing sector health dictates sales volume
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 155.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.62 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 13.59% < 20% (prev 15.24%; Δ -1.65% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 261.3m > Net Income 155.9m
Net Debt (512.5m) to EBITDA (264.2m): 1.94 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.73 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (55.9m) vs 12m ago 0.09% < -2%
Gross Margin: 40.78% > 18% (prev 0.41%; Δ 4.04k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 156.0% > 50% (prev 152.4%; Δ 3.65% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.68 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 264.2m / Interest Expense TTM 22.6m)
Altman Z'' 2.95
A: 0.21 (Total Current Assets 1.23b - Total Current Liabilities 709.0m) / Total Assets 2.45b
B: 0.17 (Retained Earnings 420.2m / Total Assets 2.45b)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 218.7m / Avg Total Assets 2.46b)
D: 0.38 (Book Value of Equity 401.8m / Total Liabilities 1.07b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 2.95 = A
Beneish M -3.12
DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 373.6m/395.3m, Revenue 3.83b/3.75b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 40.78% / 40.88%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.34 / AQ_t-1 0.34)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 3.83b / 3.75b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 155.9m - CFO 261.3m) / TA 2.45b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of MSM shares? As of April 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 90.69 with a total of 486,092 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.80%, over one month by -0.79%, over three months by +7.88% and over the past year by +34.81%.
Is MSM a buy, sell or hold? MSC Industrial Direct has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.27. Therefor, it is recommend to hold MSM.
  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MSM price?
Analysts Target Price 88.8 -2.1%
MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 06 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 24.2796
P/E Forward = 21.2766
P/S = 1.315
P/B = 3.6925
P/EG = 2.265
Revenue TTM = 3.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 218.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 264.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 168.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 338.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 558.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 512.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.55b USD (5.04b + Debt 558.7m - CCE 46.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.68 (Ebit TTM 218.7m / Interest Expense TTM 22.6m)
EV/FCF = 33.33x (Enterprise Value 5.55b / FCF TTM 166.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.00% (FCF TTM 166.6m / Enterprise Value 5.55b)
FCF Margin = 4.35% (FCF TTM 166.6m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Net Margin = 4.07% (Net Income TTM 155.9m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Gross Margin = 40.78% ((Revenue TTM 3.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.14% (prev 40.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.27 (Enterprise Value 5.55b / Total Assets 2.45b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.97% (Interest Expense 5.42m / Debt 558.7m)
Taxrate = 24.74% (13.9m / 56.0m)
NOPAT = 164.6m (EBIT 218.7m * (1 - 24.74%))
Current Ratio = 1.73 (Total Current Assets 1.23b / Total Current Liabilities 709.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 558.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.38b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.94 (Net Debt 512.5m / EBITDA 264.2m)
Debt / FCF = 3.08 (Net Debt 512.5m / FCF TTM 166.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.35% (Net Income 155.9m / Total Assets 2.45b)
RoE = 11.30% (Net Income TTM 155.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.38b)
RoCE = 14.12% (EBIT 218.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.38b + L.T.Debt 168.8m))
RoIC = 8.70% (NOPAT 164.6m / Invested Capital 1.89b)
WACC = 8.00% (E(5.04b)/V(5.60b) * Re(8.81%) + D(558.7m)/V(5.60b) * Rd(0.97%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.15%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.18% ; FCFF base≈232.1m ; Y1≈189.8m ; Y5≈134.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 35.82 (EV 2.51b - Net Debt 512.5m = Equity 2.00b / Shares 55.8m; r=8.00% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -21.88% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -86.03 | EPS CAGR: -19.15% | SUE: -0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -44.40 | Revenue CAGR: -1.15% | SUE: -1.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-05-31): EPS=1.25 | Chg7d=+0.052 | Chg30d=+0.044 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=4.33 | Chg7d=+0.047 | Chg30d=+0.037 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+15.2% | Growth Revenue=+4.6%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=4.91 | Chg7d=+0.063 | Chg30d=+0.049 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+13.3% | Growth Revenue=+5.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.11 (5 Up / 4 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 4.7% (Discount Rate 8.8% - Earnings Yield 4.1%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +1.5% (Analyst 6.2% - Implied 4.7%)
External Resources
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