MTB Stock Analysis: M&T Bank | NYSE

Banks - Regional | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 36.298m USD | 12M Return: 35% | US55261F1049 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Commercial Lending, Mortgage Loans, Deposit Accounts, Wealth Management
Total Rating 55
Safety 43
Buy Signal 0.47
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: -4.2
Market Cap: 36.3B
Avg Turnover: 263M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility25.7%
VaR 5th Pctl4.39%
VaR vs Median3.89%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.31
Rel. Str. IBD77.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group64.3
Character TTM
Beta0.783
Beta Downside0.776
Hurst Exponent0.603
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD28.51%
CAGR/Max DD1.04
CAGR/Mean DD3.99
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MTB over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 3.49, "2021-09": 5.06, "2021-12": 3.49, "2022-03": 2.73, "2022-06": 3.12, "2022-09": 3.77, "2022-12": 4.51, "2023-03": 4.01, "2023-06": 4.11, "2023-09": 3.98, "2023-12": 3.6, "2024-03": 3.01, "2024-06": 3.79, "2024-09": 4.03, "2024-12": 3.77, "2025-03": 3.32, "2025-06": 4.24, "2025-09": 4.82, "2025-12": 4.67, "2026-03": 4.13, "2026-06": 5.35,
EPS CAGR: 6.42%
EPS Trend: 62.0%
Last SUE: 3.86
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of MTB over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1483.991, 2021-09: 1562.072, 2021-12: 1537.155, 2022-03: 1469.143, 2022-06: 2036.242, 2022-09: 2344.592, 2022-12: 2753.746, 2023-03: 2894, 2023-06: 3319, 2023-09: 3201, 2023-12: 3298.106, 2024-03: 3300, 2024-06: 3373, 2024-09: 3391, 2024-12: 3341, 2025-03: 3171, 2025-06: 3292, 2025-09: 2513, 2025-12: 3333, 2026-03: 3225, 2026-06: 3360,
Rev. CAGR: -1.17%
Rev. Trend: -28.5%
Last SUE: 0.69
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Supp Ema20

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +3.9% 34
Feb -1.2% 5
Mar -8.4% 49
Apr +1.0% 5
May -0.8% 24
Jun -0.3% 5
Jul +0.0% 10
Aug -0.8% 14
Sep +0.0% 0
Oct -0.7% 5
Nov +4.7% 28
Dec +0.6% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MTB M&T Bank

M&T Bank Corporation is a U.S. bank holding company that operates through Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company and Wilmington Trust, National Association, delivering retail and commercial banking services nationwide. As a large-cap regional bank, it serves middle-market and large commercial clients, small businesses, and consumers through a branch network supplemented by telephone, online, and ATM channels.

Operations are organized into three reportable segments: Commercial Bank, Retail Bank, and Institutional Services and Wealth Management. The Commercial Bank provides lending, leasing, letters of credit, cash management, and commercial real estate financing, while the Retail Bank offers deposits, residential mortgages, home equity, auto and recreational loans, and credit cards. The Institutional Services and Wealth Management segment delivers trustee, agency, investment management, fiduciary, and family office services, plus investment products such as mutual funds and annuities to institutions and high-net-worth clients.

Founded in 1856 and headquartered in Buffalo, New York, M&T combines traditional interest-based banking with fee-generating wealth and institutional services, a dual-revenue model common among super-regional banks that helps offset cyclical pressure on net interest margins.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin expands on asset repricing from Fed tightening
  • Commercial real estate exposure raises credit loss provisions
  • Peoples United acquisition boosts deposits and fee income
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 3.03b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.70 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.36k% < 20% (prev -830.1%; Δ -534.7% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 4.82b > Net Income 3.03b
Net Debt (16.2b) to EBITDA (4.56b): 3.56 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.01 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (156.6m) vs 12m ago -2.16% < -2%
Gross Margin: 76.03% > 18% (prev 67.31%; Δ 8.72% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 5.77% > 50% (prev 6.24%; Δ -0.47% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.22 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.13b / Interest Expense TTM 3.39b)
Altman Z'' -4.47
A: -0.77 (Total Current Assets 1.94b - Total Current Liabilities 172b) / Total Assets 219b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 22.0b / Total Assets 219b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 4.13b / Avg Total Assets 215b)
D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 27.9b / Total Liabilities 191b)
Altman-Z'' = -4.47 = D
What is the price of MTB shares?

As of August 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 253.25 with a total of 542,242 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.24%, over one month by +4.41%, over three months by +24.96% and over the past year by +34.98%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 241.70 (which is 4.6% or 2.8 ATR below the current price).

Is MTB a buy, sell or hold?

M&T Bank has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.90. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MTB.

  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the MTB price?
Analysts Target Price 256 1.1%
M&T Bank (MTB) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 36.3b (36.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 13.2654
P/E Forward = 13.1062
P/S = 3.8407
P/B = 1.4177
P/EG = 1.6811
Revenue TTM = 12.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.13b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.56b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.6b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.61b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.2b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 16.2b USD (calculated: Debt 18.2b - CCE 1.94b)
Enterprise Value = 52.5b USD (36.3b + Debt 18.2b - CCE 1.94b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.22 (Ebit TTM 4.13b / Interest Expense TTM 3.39b)
EV/FCF = 11.43x (Enterprise Value 52.5b / FCF TTM 4.60b)
FCF Yield = 8.75% (FCF TTM 4.60b / Enterprise Value 52.5b)
FCF Margin = 36.99% (FCF TTM 4.60b / Revenue TTM 12.4b)
Net Margin = 24.40% (Net Income TTM 3.03b / Revenue TTM 12.4b)
Gross Margin = 76.03% ((Revenue TTM 12.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 71.79% (prev 71.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.24 (Enterprise Value 52.5b / Total Assets 219b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 18.64% (Interest Expense 3.39b / Debt 18.2b)
Taxrate = 22.67% (889.0m / 3.92b)
NOPAT = 3.19b (EBIT 4.13b * (1 - 22.67%))
Current Ratio = 0.01 (Total Current Assets 1.94b / Total Current Liabilities 172b)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 18.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 27.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.56 (Net Debt 16.2b / EBITDA 4.56b)
Debt / FCF = 3.53 (Net Debt 16.2b / FCF TTM 4.60b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 28.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.41% (Net Income 3.03b / Total Assets 219b)
RoE = 10.66% (Net Income TTM 3.03b / Total Stockholder Equity 28.5b)
RoCE = 9.82% (EBIT 4.13b / Capital Employed (Equity 28.5b + L.T.Debt 13.6b))
RoIC = 1.46% (NOPAT 3.19b / Invested Capital 219b)
WACC = 10.63% (E(36.3b)/V(54.5b) * Re(8.74%) + D(18.2b)/V(54.5b) * Rd(18.64%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -92.72 | Cagr: -2.85%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.95% ; FCFF base≈3.94b ; Y1≈4.52b ; Y5≈6.65b
[DCF] Fair Price = 379.8 (EV 71.3b - Net Debt 16.2b = Equity 55.0b / Shares 144.9m; r=10.63% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 62.03 | EPS CAGR: 6.42% | SUE: 3.86 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -28.49 | Revenue CAGR: -1.17% | SUE: 0.69 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.91 | Chg30d=+0.25% | Revisions=+13% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.30 | Chg30d=+2.88% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+13.5% | GrowthRev=+3.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=21.07 | Chg30d=+0.67% | Revisions=+56% | GrowthEPS=+9.2% | GrowthRev=+3.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +52% (up=29, down=8)