MTDR Stock Analysis: Matador Resources | NYSE
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 6.231m USD | 12M Return: 4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 89.8M
EPS Trend: -58.0%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 93.1%
Qual. Beats: 6
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Matador Resources Company (NYSE: MTDR) is an independent U.S. energy company focused on the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. The company operates two segments: Exploration and Production, and Midstream. Its upstream portfolio is anchored in the Delaware Basin portion of the Permian Basin, with core leasehold positions in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays across Southeast New Mexico and West Texas, and additional activity in the Haynesville shale and Cotton Valley plays in Northwest Louisiana. The Wolfcamp and Bone Spring are stacked-pay formations that allow operators to drill multiple horizontal wells from a single surface location, a defining feature of modern Permian Basin development.
In addition to its upstream operations, Matador runs a midstream segment that supports its own production while also serving third parties with natural gas processing, oil transportation, oil and natural gas gathering, and produced water gathering and disposal services. The company sells natural gas to unaffiliated marketing and midstream counterparties. Founded in 2003 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Matador was originally incorporated as Matador Holdco, Inc. before adopting its current name in August 2011.
- WTI crude prices fluctuate impacting Delaware Basin realized prices
- Delaware Basin oil production growth drives volume gains
- Midstream segment expansion boosts fee-based revenue mix
| Net Income: 483.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.47 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -10.86% < 20% (prev -6.45%; Δ -4.41% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 2.17b > Net Income 483.3m |
| Net Debt (3.47b) to EBITDA (2.09b): 1.66 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.73 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (123.5m) vs 12m ago -1.49% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 91.07% > 18% (prev 43.56%; Δ 47.51% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 31.22% > 50% (prev 33.39%; Δ -2.17% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.19 > 6 (EBIT TTM 882.3m / Interest Expense TTM 210.6m) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 1.08b - Total Current Liabilities 1.48b) / Total Assets 12.2b |
| B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 3.07b / Total Assets 12.2b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 882.3m / Avg Total Assets 11.6b) |
| D: 0.89 (Book Value of Equity 5.58b / Total Liabilities 6.26b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.06 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.27 (Receivables 715.4m/573.1m, Revenue 3.63b/3.70b) |
| GMI: 0.48 (GM 43.56% / 91.07%) |
| AQI: 0.79 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 3.63b / 3.70b) |
| TATA: -0.14 (NI 483.3m - CFO 2.17b) / TA 12.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.43 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 52.80 with a total of 2,292,513 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.07%, over one month by -4.54%, over three months by -11.90% and over the past year by +3.98%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 50.10 (which is 5.1% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Matador Resources has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MTDR.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 72.1 | 36.5% |
P/E Trailing = 12.933
P/E Forward = 6.7659
P/S = 1.6954
P/B = 1.0904
P/EG = 0.7516
Revenue TTM = 3.63b USD
EBIT TTM = 882.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.09b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.47b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 66.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 3.57b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 97.1m
Net Debt = 3.47b USD (calculated: Debt 3.57b - CCE 92.5m)
Enterprise Value = 9.70b USD (6.23b + Debt 3.57b - CCE 92.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.19 (Ebit TTM 882.3m / Interest Expense TTM 210.6m)
EV/FCF = 163.3x (Enterprise Value 9.70b / FCF TTM 59.4m)
FCF Yield = 0.61% (FCF TTM 59.4m / Enterprise Value 9.70b)
FCF Margin = 1.64% (FCF TTM 59.4m / Revenue TTM 3.63b)
Net Margin = 13.31% (Net Income TTM 483.3m / Revenue TTM 3.63b)
Gross Margin = 91.07% ((Revenue TTM 3.63b - Cost of Revenue TTM 324.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.13% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 9.70b / Total Assets 12.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.90% (Interest Expense 210.6m / Debt 3.57b)
Taxrate = 13.26% (89.1m / 671.8m)
NOPAT = 765.3m (EBIT 882.3m * (1 - 13.26%))
Current Ratio = 0.73 (Total Current Assets 1.08b / Total Current Liabilities 1.48b)
Debt / Equity = 0.64 (Debt 3.57b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.58b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.66 (Net Debt 3.47b / EBITDA 2.09b)
Debt / FCF = 58.46 (Net Debt 3.47b / FCF TTM 59.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.53b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.16% (Net Income 483.3m / Total Assets 12.2b)
RoE = 8.74% (Net Income TTM 483.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.53b)
RoCE = 9.81% (EBIT 882.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 5.53b + L.T.Debt 3.47b))
RoIC = 7.17% (NOPAT 765.3m / Invested Capital 10.7b)
WACC = 7.42% (E(6.23b)/V(9.80b) * Re(8.73%) + D(3.57b)/V(9.80b) * Rd(5.90%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 8.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 2.22 | Cagr: 1.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈255.5m ; Y1≈224.1m ; Y5≈181.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.91b - Net Debt 3.47b = -567.6m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -58.03 | EPS CAGR: -7.44% | SUE: 2.12 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 93.10 | Revenue CAGR: 14.22% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 6
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.13 | Chg30d=+1.15% | Revisions=-11% | Analysts=18
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.99 | Chg30d=-6.26% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.70 | Chg30d=-1.46% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+33.6% | GrowthRev=+1.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.80 | Chg30d=-1.76% | Revisions=+15% | GrowthEPS=+14.3% | GrowthRev=+17.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +9% (up=35, down=29)