MTDR Stock Analysis: Matador Resources | NYSE
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 6.621m USD | 12M Return: 23.2% | US5764852050 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 95.1M
EPS Trend: -55.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 91.7%
Qual. Beats: 7
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Matador Resources Company (NYSE: MTDR) is an independent U.S. energy company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. The company operates through two segments: Exploration and Production (upstream) and Midstream. Its core upstream assets are concentrated in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays within the Delaware Basin of Southeast New Mexico and West Texas-a sub-basin of the Permian Basin, one of the most prolific oil-producing regions in the United States. Matador also holds interests in the Haynesville shale and Cotton Valley plays in Northwest Louisiana.
In addition to its upstream activities, Matador conducts midstream operations that support its production business. These include natural gas processing, oil transportation, and the gathering and disposal of oil, natural gas, and produced water. The company also provides these midstream services to third parties and sells natural gas to unaffiliated independent marketing and midstream companies, generating revenue beyond its own E&P output. This vertically integrated approach-combining upstream production with midstream infrastructure-is a common strategy among Permian Basin operators seeking to control costs and capture margin across the value chain.
Matador was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. It was formerly known as Matador Holdco, Inc. and adopted its current name in August 2011. The company trades as a mid-cap stock in the Energy sector under the GICS Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sub-industry classification.
- WTI crude and Henry Hub gas prices drive upstream revenue
- Delaware Basin production growth from Wolfcamp and Bone Spring wells
- Midstream segment expansion boosts natural gas processing margins
| Net Income: 723.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.73 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -13.93% < 20% (prev -4.14%; Δ -9.79% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 2.60b > Net Income 723.7m |
| Net Debt (4.36b) to EBITDA (2.38b): 1.83 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.65 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (124.2m) vs 12m ago -0.24% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.13% > 18% (prev 41.42%; Δ 5.71% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 31.41% > 50% (prev 33.42%; Δ -2.01% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.34 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.16b / Interest Expense TTM 218.0m) |
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 1.01b - Total Current Liabilities 1.55b) / Total Assets 13.5b |
| B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 3.41b / Total Assets 13.5b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 1.16b / Avg Total Assets 12.4b) |
| D: 0.82 (Book Value of Equity 5.93b / Total Liabilities 7.24b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.05 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 671.1m/658.8m, Revenue 3.89b/3.77b) |
| GMI: 0.88 (GM 41.42% / 47.13%) |
| AQI: 1.16 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 3.89b / 3.77b) |
| TATA: -0.14 (NI 723.7m - CFO 2.60b) / TA 13.5b) |
| Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 52.85 with a total of 1,312,247 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.46%, over one month by -11.58%, over three months by +2.14% and over the past year by +23.21%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 50.00 (which is 5.4% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Matador Resources has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.57. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MTDR.
- StrongBuy: 15
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 69.9 | 32.3% |
P/E Trailing = 9.1767
P/E Forward = 5.5036
P/S = 1.7243
P/B = 1.088
P/EG = 0.6115
Revenue TTM = 3.89b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.16b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 66.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.39b USD (corrected: LT Debt 4.22b + ST Debt 66.2m) + Leases 107.3m
Net Debt = 4.36b USD (calculated: Debt 4.39b - CCE 26.3m)
Enterprise Value = 11.0b USD (6.62b + Debt 4.39b - CCE 26.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.34 (Ebit TTM 1.16b / Interest Expense TTM 218.0m)
EV/FCF = 17.55x (Enterprise Value 11.0b / FCF TTM 625.8m)
FCF Yield = 5.70% (FCF TTM 625.8m / Enterprise Value 11.0b)
FCF Margin = 16.08% (FCF TTM 625.8m / Revenue TTM 3.89b)
Net Margin = 18.60% (Net Income TTM 723.7m / Revenue TTM 3.89b)
Gross Margin = 47.13% ((Revenue TTM 3.89b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.06b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 87.57% (prev 47.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 11.0b / Total Assets 13.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.97% (Interest Expense 218.0m / Debt 4.39b)
Taxrate = 14.63% (139.4m / 953.4m)
NOPAT = 993.3m (EBIT 1.16b * (1 - 14.63%))
Current Ratio = 0.65 (Total Current Assets 1.01b / Total Current Liabilities 1.55b)
Debt / Equity = 0.74 (Debt 4.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.83 (Net Debt 4.36b / EBITDA 2.38b)
Debt / FCF = 6.97 (Net Debt 4.36b / FCF TTM 625.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.84% (Net Income 723.7m / Total Assets 13.5b)
RoE = 12.76% (Net Income TTM 723.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.67b)
RoCE = 11.77% (EBIT 1.16b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.67b + L.T.Debt 4.22b))
RoIC = 8.29% (NOPAT 993.3m / Invested Capital 12.0b)
WACC = 6.33% (E(6.62b)/V(11.0b) * Re(7.71%) + D(4.39b)/V(11.0b) * Rd(4.97%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 7.71% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 22.82 | Cagr: 1.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈551.9m ; Y1≈632.7m ; Y5≈931.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 77.97 (EV 14.0b - Net Debt 4.36b = Equity 9.65b / Shares 123.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -55.03 | EPS CAGR: -6.94% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 91.74 | Revenue CAGR: 13.34% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 7
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.90 | Chg30d=+7.54% | Revisions=+38% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.07 | Chg30d=+4.04% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+40.1% | GrowthRev=+10.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.32 | Chg30d=+7.76% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+15.5% | GrowthRev=+10.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +74% (up=15, down=1)