(MTDR) Matador Resources - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Natural Gas, Midstream Services
MTDR EPS (Earnings per Share)
MTDR Revenue
Description: MTDR Matador Resources November 06, 2025
Matador Resources Company (NYSE: MTDR) is an independent U.S. energy firm that acquires, explores, develops, and produces oil and natural-gas assets, operating through an Exploration & Production segment and a Midstream segment.
The company’s primary acreage is concentrated in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin (Southeast New Mexico/West Texas), with additional exposure to the Eagle Ford shale (South Texas) and the Haynesville and Cotton Valley shales (Northwest Louisiana).
Its Midstream unit provides natural-gas processing, oil-transport, produced-water gathering, and disposal services both for Matador’s own fields and for third-party customers, creating an internal logistics buffer against market bottlenecks.
Incorporated in 2003 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the company rebranded from Matador Holdco to Matador Resources in August 2011.
As of Q3 2024, Matador reported a net production average of ~38 MMcf/d of natural gas and ~5 Mbbl/d of oil, with a cash-flow conversion of roughly 1.2 × EBITDA to free cash flow and a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.0 ×; the firm’s earnings are highly sensitive to Henry Hub gas prices and to the ongoing “tight oil” supply-demand balance that drives WTI differentials. For a deeper dive into how these fundamentals compare to sector peers, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful for further research.
MTDR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 4,904m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 2012-02-02 |
MTDR Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -48.3% |
| Fundamental | 80.1% |
| Dividend Rating | 89.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -41.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.50 of 5 |
MTDR Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 4.12% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 19.87% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 89.45% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 19.6% |
MTDR Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -82.5% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -65.7% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 50.2% |
| CAGR 5y | -16.66% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.36 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.76 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.21 |
| Alpha | -51.46 |
| Beta | 1.403 |
| Volatility | 47.77% |
| Current Volume | 2097.4k |
| Average Volume 20d | 2119k |
| Stop Loss | 36.3 (-4.3%) |
| Signal | 0.02 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (781.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 230.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.14pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -8.86% (prev -3.56%; Δ -5.30pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.53b > Net Income 781.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.10b) to EBITDA (2.55b) ratio: 0.82 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.73 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (124.7m) change vs 12m ago -0.20% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 76.90% (prev 45.60%; Δ 31.30pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 34.50% (prev 31.37%; Δ 3.12pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.37 (EBITDA TTM 2.55b / Interest Expense TTM 213.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.02
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 916.8m - Total Current Liabilities 1.26b) / Total Assets 11.65b |
| (B) 0.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.01b / Total Assets 11.65b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 1.36b / Avg Total Assets 11.13b |
| (D) 0.52 = Book Value of Equity 3.01b / Total Liabilities 5.79b |
| Total Rating: 2.02 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 80.09
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt = 2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 13.95% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 25.43% = 6.36 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.38 = 2.43 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.82 = 1.99 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.97)% = 4.96 |
| 7. RoE 14.71% = 1.23 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 87.16% = 6.54 |
| 9. EPS Trend -18.33% = -0.92 |
What is the price of MTDR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.51%, over one month by -15.37%, over three months by -18.17% and over the past year by -32.25%.
Is Matador Resources a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MTDR is around 30.16 USD . This means that MTDR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -20.51%.
Is MTDR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MTDR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 59.7 | 57.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 59.7 | 57.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 33.6 | -11.5% |
MTDR Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 6.3237
P/E Forward = 7.9051
P/S = 1.3787
P/B = 1.0057
P/EG = 0.6631
Beta = 1.403
Revenue TTM = 3.84b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.55b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.33b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 118.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.12b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.10b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.00b USD (4.90b + Debt 2.12b - CCE 20.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.37 (Ebit TTM 1.36b / Interest Expense TTM 213.4m)
FCF Yield = 13.95% (FCF TTM 976.9m / Enterprise Value 7.00b)
FCF Margin = 25.43% (FCF TTM 976.9m / Revenue TTM 3.84b)
Net Margin = 20.34% (Net Income TTM 781.2m / Revenue TTM 3.84b)
Gross Margin = 76.90% ((Revenue TTM 3.84b - Cost of Revenue TTM 887.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 100.0% (prev 37.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.60 (Enterprise Value 7.00b / Total Assets 11.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.39% (Interest Expense 50.6m / Debt 2.12b)
Taxrate = 22.76% (59.1m / 259.8m)
NOPAT = 1.05b (EBIT 1.36b * (1 - 22.76%))
Current Ratio = 0.73 (Total Current Assets 916.8m / Total Current Liabilities 1.26b)
Debt / Equity = 0.38 (Debt 2.12b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.51b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.82 (Net Debt 2.10b / EBITDA 2.55b)
Debt / FCF = 2.15 (Net Debt 2.10b / FCF TTM 976.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.31b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.71% (Net Income 781.2m / Total Assets 11.65b)
RoE = 14.71% (Net Income TTM 781.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.31b)
RoCE = 15.74% (EBIT 1.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.31b + L.T.Debt 3.33b))
RoIC = 12.34% (NOPAT 1.05b / Invested Capital 8.51b)
WACC = 8.37% (E(4.90b)/V(7.02b) * Re(11.19%) + D(2.12b)/V(7.02b) * Rd(2.39%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 11.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 1.65%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.08% ; FCFE base≈724.0m ; Y1≈855.1m ; Y5≈1.32b
Fair Price DCF = 110.6 (DCF Value 13.74b / Shares Outstanding 124.3m; 5y FCF grow 19.29% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -18.33 | EPS CAGR: -14.32% | SUE: -0.45 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.16 | Revenue CAGR: 10.84% | SUE: 2.77 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for MTDR Stock
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