MTDR Stock Analysis: Matador Resources | NYSE
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 7.178m USD | 12M Return: 22% | US5764852050 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 119M
EPS Trend: -55.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 91.7%
Qual. Beats: 7
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Matador Resources Company (NYSE: MTDR) is an independent U.S. energy company focused on the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. The company operates two segments: Exploration and Production, and Midstream. Its upstream portfolio is anchored in the Delaware Basin portion of the Permian Basin, with core leasehold positions in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays across Southeast New Mexico and West Texas, and additional activity in the Haynesville shale and Cotton Valley plays in Northwest Louisiana. The Wolfcamp and Bone Spring are stacked-pay formations that allow operators to drill multiple horizontal wells from a single surface location, a defining feature of modern Permian Basin development.
In addition to its upstream operations, Matador runs a midstream segment that supports its own production while also serving third parties with natural gas processing, oil transportation, oil and natural gas gathering, and produced water gathering and disposal services. The company sells natural gas to unaffiliated marketing and midstream counterparties. Founded in 2003 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Matador was originally incorporated as Matador Holdco, Inc. before adopting its current name in August 2011.
- WTI crude prices fluctuate impacting Delaware Basin realized prices
- Delaware Basin oil production growth drives volume gains
- Midstream segment expansion boosts fee-based revenue mix
| Net Income: 723.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.73 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -13.93% < 20% (prev -4.14%; Δ -9.79% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 2.60b > Net Income 723.7m |
| Net Debt (4.36b) to EBITDA (2.38b): 1.83 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.65 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (124.2m) vs 12m ago -0.24% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.13% > 18% (prev 41.42%; Δ 5.71% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 31.41% > 50% (prev 33.42%; Δ -2.01% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.34 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.16b / Interest Expense TTM 218.0m) |
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 1.01b - Total Current Liabilities 1.55b) / Total Assets 13.5b |
| B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 3.41b / Total Assets 13.5b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 1.16b / Avg Total Assets 12.4b) |
| D: 0.82 (Book Value of Equity 5.93b / Total Liabilities 7.24b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.05 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 671.1m/658.8m, Revenue 3.89b/3.77b) |
| GMI: 0.88 (GM 41.42% / 47.13%) |
| AQI: 1.16 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 3.89b / 3.77b) |
| TATA: -0.14 (NI 723.7m - CFO 2.60b) / TA 13.5b) |
| Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 58.38 with a total of 1,417,325 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.74%, over one month by +13.77%, over three months by +9.39% and over the past year by +22.00%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 55.50 (which is 4.9% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Matador Resources has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MTDR.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 68.4 | 17.1% |
P/E Trailing = 9.8139
P/E Forward = 8.7719
P/S = 1.8829
P/B = 1.2107
P/EG = 0.975
Revenue TTM = 3.89b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.16b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 66.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.39b USD (corrected: LT Debt 4.22b + ST Debt 66.2m) + Leases 107.3m
Net Debt = 4.36b USD (calculated: Debt 4.39b - CCE 26.3m)
Enterprise Value = 11.5b USD (7.18b + Debt 4.39b - CCE 26.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.34 (Ebit TTM 1.16b / Interest Expense TTM 218.0m)
EV/FCF = 18.44x (Enterprise Value 11.5b / FCF TTM 625.8m)
FCF Yield = 5.42% (FCF TTM 625.8m / Enterprise Value 11.5b)
FCF Margin = 16.08% (FCF TTM 625.8m / Revenue TTM 3.89b)
Net Margin = 18.60% (Net Income TTM 723.7m / Revenue TTM 3.89b)
Gross Margin = 47.13% ((Revenue TTM 3.89b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.06b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 87.57% (prev 47.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.86 (Enterprise Value 11.5b / Total Assets 13.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.97% (Interest Expense 218.0m / Debt 4.39b)
Taxrate = 14.63% (139.4m / 953.4m)
NOPAT = 993.3m (EBIT 1.16b * (1 - 14.63%))
Current Ratio = 0.65 (Total Current Assets 1.01b / Total Current Liabilities 1.55b)
Debt / Equity = 0.74 (Debt 4.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.83 (Net Debt 4.36b / EBITDA 2.38b)
Debt / FCF = 6.97 (Net Debt 4.36b / FCF TTM 625.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.84% (Net Income 723.7m / Total Assets 13.5b)
RoE = 12.76% (Net Income TTM 723.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.67b)
RoCE = 11.77% (EBIT 1.16b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.67b + L.T.Debt 4.22b))
RoIC = 8.29% (NOPAT 993.3m / Invested Capital 12.0b)
WACC = 6.55% (E(7.18b)/V(11.6b) * Re(7.97%) + D(4.39b)/V(11.6b) * Rd(4.97%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 7.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 22.82 | Cagr: 1.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈551.9m ; Y1≈632.7m ; Y5≈931.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 77.97 (EV 14.0b - Net Debt 4.36b = Equity 9.65b / Shares 123.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -55.03 | EPS CAGR: -6.94% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 91.74 | Revenue CAGR: 13.34% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 7
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.69 | Chg30d=+2.55% | Revisions=-32% | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.32 | Chg30d=+6.01% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+27.2% | GrowthRev=+7.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.42 | Chg30d=-0.67% | Revisions=-19% | GrowthEPS=+14.9% | GrowthRev=+12.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -32% (up=10, down=21)