(MTDR) Matador Resources - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Natural Gas, Midstream Services
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.91% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 12.35% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 89.45% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 19.6% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 62.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.37% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.30 |
| Alpha | -40.86 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.481 |
| Beta | 1.401 |
| Beta Downside | 2.115 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.83% |
| Mean DD | 20.80% |
| Median DD | 20.23% |
Description: MTDR Matador Resources November 06, 2025
Matador Resources Company (NYSE: MTDR) is an independent U.S. energy firm that acquires, explores, develops, and produces oil and natural-gas assets, operating through an Exploration & Production segment and a Midstream segment.
The company’s primary acreage is concentrated in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin (Southeast New Mexico/West Texas), with additional exposure to the Eagle Ford shale (South Texas) and the Haynesville and Cotton Valley shales (Northwest Louisiana).
Its Midstream unit provides natural-gas processing, oil-transport, produced-water gathering, and disposal services both for Matador’s own fields and for third-party customers, creating an internal logistics buffer against market bottlenecks.
Incorporated in 2003 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the company rebranded from Matador Holdco to Matador Resources in August 2011.
As of Q3 2024, Matador reported a net production average of ~38 MMcf/d of natural gas and ~5 Mbbl/d of oil, with a cash-flow conversion of roughly 1.2 × EBITDA to free cash flow and a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.0 ×; the firm’s earnings are highly sensitive to Henry Hub gas prices and to the ongoing “tight oil” supply-demand balance that drives WTI differentials. For a deeper dive into how these fundamentals compare to sector peers, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful for further research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (781.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 229.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.31pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -8.90% (prev -3.56%; Δ -5.33pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.53b > Net Income 781.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.31b) to EBITDA (2.54b) ratio: 1.30 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.73 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (124.7m) change vs 12m ago -0.20% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 39.21% (prev 45.72%; Δ -6.51pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 34.35% (prev 31.37%; Δ 2.98pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.36 (EBITDA TTM 2.54b / Interest Expense TTM 213.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.01
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 916.8m - Total Current Liabilities 1.26b) / Total Assets 11.65b |
| (B) 0.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.01b / Total Assets 11.65b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 1.36b / Avg Total Assets 11.13b |
| (D) 0.52 = Book Value of Equity 3.01b / Total Liabilities 5.79b |
| Total Rating: 2.01 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.56
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.69% |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.82% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.60 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.30 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.83)% |
| 7. RoE 14.71% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 67.98% |
| 9. EPS Trend -19.49% |
What is the price of MTDR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.65%, over one month by +22.76%, over three months by -5.36% and over the past year by -19.84%.
Is MTDR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MTDR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 58.7 | 29.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 58.7 | 29.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 43.7 | -3.4% |
MTDR Fundamental Data Overview December 05, 2025
P/E Trailing = 7.0962
P/E Forward = 10.01
P/S = 1.5499
P/B = 0.9694
P/EG = 3.3353
Beta = 1.114
Revenue TTM = 3.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.54b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 110.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.33b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.31b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.82b USD (5.51b + Debt 3.33b - CCE 20.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.36 (Ebit TTM 1.36b / Interest Expense TTM 213.4m)
FCF Yield = 4.69% (FCF TTM 413.8m / Enterprise Value 8.82b)
FCF Margin = 10.82% (FCF TTM 413.8m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Net Margin = 20.42% (Net Income TTM 781.2m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Gross Margin = 39.21% ((Revenue TTM 3.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.08% (prev 37.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 8.82b / Total Assets 11.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.52% (Interest Expense 50.6m / Debt 3.33b)
Taxrate = 22.76% (59.1m / 259.8m)
NOPAT = 1.05b (EBIT 1.36b * (1 - 22.76%))
Current Ratio = 0.73 (Total Current Assets 916.8m / Total Current Liabilities 1.26b)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 3.33b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.51b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.30 (Net Debt 3.31b / EBITDA 2.54b)
Debt / FCF = 8.00 (Net Debt 3.31b / FCF TTM 413.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.31b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.71% (Net Income 781.2m / Total Assets 11.65b)
RoE = 14.71% (Net Income TTM 781.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.31b)
RoCE = 15.91% (EBIT 1.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.31b + L.T.Debt 3.22b))
RoIC = 12.24% (NOPAT 1.05b / Invested Capital 8.56b)
WACC = 7.41% (E(5.51b)/V(8.84b) * Re(11.18%) + D(3.33b)/V(8.84b) * Rd(1.52%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 11.18% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.04% ; FCFE base≈386.1m ; Y1≈454.5m ; Y5≈695.7m
Fair Price DCF = 58.41 (DCF Value 7.26b / Shares Outstanding 124.3m; 5y FCF grow 18.85% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -19.49 | EPS CAGR: 2.06% | SUE: 1.02 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 67.98 | Revenue CAGR: 13.87% | SUE: 1.88 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.22 | Chg30d=+0.009 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=15
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.16 | Chg30d=-0.045 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-11.8% | Growth Revenue=+1.6%
Additional Sources for MTDR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle