(MTDR) Matador Resources - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US5764852050

Oil, Natural Gas, Midstream Services

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Market Cap in USD: 5,282m

IPO / Inception: 2012-02-02
12m vs SPY: -41.9%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -49.92%
EPS Trend: -64.4%

Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 13.87%
Rev. Trend: 68.0%

Last SUE: 1.88
Qual. Beats: 4

Dividends

Dividend Yield	2.95%
Yield on Cost 5y	8.88%
Yield CAGR 5y	80.06%
Payout Consistency	100.0%
Payout Ratio	19.6%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	39.9%
Value at Risk 5%th	66.5%
Relative Tail Risk	1.19%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.52
Alpha	-52.72
CAGR/Max DD	-0.20

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.412
Beta	1.413
Beta Downside	2.115

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	46.83%
Mean DD	21.85%
Median DD	21.30%

Description: MTDR Matador Resources January 09, 2026

Matador Resources Company (NYSE: MTDR) is an independent U.S. energy firm that acquires, explores, develops and produces oil and natural gas, while also operating a midstream segment that processes, transports and disposes of produced water.

The company’s core upstream assets are located in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin (Southeast New Mexico/West Texas), with additional positions in the Eagle Ford shale (South Texas) and the Haynesville and Cotton Valley shales (Northwest Louisiana).

Matador’s midstream business provides natural-gas processing, oil gathering, and produced-water disposal services to both its own operations and third-party customers, creating a vertically integrated cost structure.

As of Q2 2024, Matador reported net production of approximately 35 MMcf/d of natural gas and 5 Mbbl/d of oil, generated $210 million of operating cash flow, and reduced its net debt to $500 million, reflecting disciplined capital allocation amid a volatile commodity environment.

Key sector drivers include the price spread between West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude and Henry Hub natural-gas prices, which has been widening due to higher demand for gas-fired power generation, and the ongoing U.S. rig-count rebound that supports continued drilling activity in the Delaware Basin.

For a deeper quantitative dive into MTDR’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might find ValueRay’s data platform worth a quick look.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (781.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 229.5m TTM)

FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.31pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -8.90% (prev -3.56%; Δ -5.33pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.22 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.53b > Net Income 781.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (3.31b) to EBITDA (2.54b) ratio: 1.30 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.73 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (124.7m) change vs 12m ago -0.20% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 39.21% (prev 45.72%; Δ -6.51pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 34.35% (prev 31.37%; Δ 2.98pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 6.36 (EBITDA TTM 2.54b / Interest Expense TTM 213.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.01

(A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 916.8m - Total Current Liabilities 1.26b) / Total Assets 11.65b

(B) 0.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.01b / Total Assets 11.65b

(D) 0.52 = Book Value of Equity 3.01b / Total Liabilities 5.79b

Total Rating: 2.01 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 68.55

1. Piotroski 5.50pt

2. FCF Yield 4.82%

3. FCF Margin 10.82%

4. Debt/Equity 0.60

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.30

6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.97)%

7. RoE 14.71%

8. Rev. Trend 67.98%

9. EPS Trend -64.42%

What is the price of MTDR shares?

As of January 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 42.25 with a total of 1,751,158 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.03%, over one month by -5.88%, over three months by -1.92% and over the past year by -29.77%.

Is MTDR a buy, sell or hold?

Matador Resources has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MTDR.

Strong Buy: 10
Buy: 4
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MTDR price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	58.3	37.9%
Analysts Target Price	58.3	37.9%
ValueRay Target Price	42.1	-0.4%

MTDR Fundamental Data Overview January 10, 2026

P/E Trailing = 6.7997
P/E Forward = 9.8814
P/S = 1.4851
P/B = 0.9577
P/EG = 3.2949
Beta = 1.083
Revenue TTM = 3.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.54b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 110.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.33b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.31b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.59b USD (5.28b + Debt 3.33b - CCE 20.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.36 (Ebit TTM 1.36b / Interest Expense TTM 213.4m)
EV/FCF = 20.77x (Enterprise Value 8.59b / FCF TTM 413.8m)
FCF Yield = 4.82% (FCF TTM 413.8m / Enterprise Value 8.59b)
FCF Margin = 10.82% (FCF TTM 413.8m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Net Margin = 20.42% (Net Income TTM 781.2m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Gross Margin = 39.21% ((Revenue TTM 3.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.08% (prev 37.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.74 (Enterprise Value 8.59b / Total Assets 11.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.52% (Interest Expense 50.6m / Debt 3.33b)
Taxrate = 22.76% (59.1m / 259.8m)
NOPAT = 1.05b (EBIT 1.36b * (1 - 22.76%))
Current Ratio = 0.73 (Total Current Assets 916.8m / Total Current Liabilities 1.26b)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 3.33b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.51b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.30 (Net Debt 3.31b / EBITDA 2.54b)
Debt / FCF = 8.00 (Net Debt 3.31b / FCF TTM 413.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.31b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.02% (Net Income 781.2m / Total Assets 11.65b)
RoE = 14.71% (Net Income TTM 781.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.31b)
RoCE = 15.91% (EBIT 1.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.31b + L.T.Debt 3.22b))
RoIC = 12.24% (NOPAT 1.05b / Invested Capital 8.56b)
WACC = 7.27% (E(5.28b)/V(8.61b) * Re(11.12%) + D(3.33b)/V(8.61b) * Rd(1.52%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 11.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.08% ; FCFF base≈386.1m ; Y1≈454.4m ; Y5≈694.4m
Fair Price DCF = 84.72 (EV 13.84b - Net Debt 3.31b = Equity 10.53b / Shares 124.3m; r=7.27% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 18.85% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -64.42 | EPS CAGR: -49.92% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 67.98 | Revenue CAGR: 13.87% | SUE: 1.88 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.11 | Chg30d=-0.074 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=15
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.88 | Chg30d=-0.214 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-16.1% | Growth Revenue=+0.2%

Additional Sources for MTDR Stock

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