Overview Dividends

(MTN) Vail Resorts - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US91879Q1094

Mountain Resorts, Ski Passes, Lodging, Golf

Leisure Facilities
Market Cap in USD: 4,912m
IPO / Inception: 1997-02-03
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -31.7%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of MTN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-01": 3.62, "2021-04": 6.72, "2021-07": -3.49, "2021-10": -3.44, "2022-01": 5.47, "2022-04": 9.16, "2022-07": -2.7, "2022-10": -3.4, "2023-01": 5.16, "2023-04": 8.18, "2023-07": -3.35, "2023-10": -4.6, "2024-01": 5.76, "2024-04": 9.54, "2024-07": -4.67, "2024-10": -4.61, "2025-01": 6.56, "2025-04": 10.54, "2025-07": -5.08, "2025-10": -5.2,
EPS CAGR: -55.93%
EPS Trend: -23.6%
Last SUE: 0.08
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Revenue of MTN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-01: 684.644, 2021-04: 889.078, 2021-07: 204.202, 2021-10: 175.576, 2022-01: 906.535, 2022-04: 1176.665, 2022-07: 267.136, 2022-10: 279.447, 2023-01: 1101.718, 2023-04: 1238.431, 2023-07: 269.768, 2023-10: 258.565, 2024-01: 1077.958, 2024-04: 1283.282, 2024-07: 265.386, 2024-10: 260.212, 2025-01: 1137.054, 2025-04: 1295.558, 2025-07: 271.203, 2025-10: 270.949,
Rev. CAGR: -27.53%
Rev. Trend: -18.0%
Last SUE: -0.27
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield 6.46%
Yield on Cost 5y 3.77%
Yield CAGR 5y 49.87%
Payout Consistency 94.7%
Payout Ratio 130.2%
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 30.9%
Value at Risk 5%th 48.6%
Relative Tail Risk -4.30%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio -0.50
Alpha -32.77
CAGR/Max DD -0.31
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.492
Beta 0.779
Beta Downside 0.759
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 44.77%
Mean DD 22.10%
Median DD 24.57%

Description: MTN Vail Resorts November 07, 2025

Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE: MTN) operates a portfolio of mountain resorts and ski areas across the United States and abroad, complemented by lodging, real-estate, and ancillary services.

The business is organized into three segments: (1) Mountain – destination ski resorts, regional ski areas, ski schools, dining, retail/rental, and real-estate brokerage; (2) Lodging – ownership or management of luxury hotels, condominiums, golf courses, and ground-transport services under the RockResorts brand; (3) Real Estate – development, ownership, and sale of property assets.

Key performance indicators that investors watch include the Epic Pass subscriber base (≈ 2.5 million in 2023, driving ~ 30 % of total revenue), average daily rate (ADR) for lodging (≈ $280 in FY 2023, up 7 % YoY), and same-store sales growth at mountain locations (≈ 5 % annualized). The segment’s revenue is highly sensitive to discretionary consumer spending and winter weather patterns, while inflation and labor costs exert pressure on operating margins.

For a deeper quantitative dive, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5

Net Income (266.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 178.5m TTM)
FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.59pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -29.90% (prev -17.67%; Δ -12.23pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 588.4m > Net Income 266.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (219.5m) to EBITDA (617.0m) ratio: 0.36 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 0.54 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (35.9m) change vs 12m ago -4.17% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 60.89% (prev 37.70%; Δ 23.19pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 52.16% (prev 51.16%; Δ 1.00pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 3.43 (EBITDA TTM 617.0m / Interest Expense TTM 180.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.05

(A) -0.15 = (Total Current Assets 1.05b - Total Current Liabilities 1.94b) / Total Assets 5.76b
(B) 0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 452.1m / Total Assets 5.76b
(C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 619.5m / Avg Total Assets 5.70b
(D) 0.07 = Book Value of Equity 390.8m / Total Liabilities 5.30b
Total Rating: 0.05 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 71.27

1. Piotroski 7.50pt
2. FCF Yield 6.87%
3. FCF Margin 11.85%
4. Debt/Equity 5.12
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.36
6. ROIC - WACC (= 13.49)%
7. RoE 53.03%
8. Rev. Trend -17.99%
9. EPS Trend -23.63%

What is the price of MTN shares?

As of January 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 137.39 with a total of 875,521 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.56%, over one month by -2.98%, over three months by -8.38% and over the past year by -19.13%.

Is MTN a buy, sell or hold?

Vail Resorts has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefor, it is recommend to hold MTN.
  • Strong Buy: 3
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 7
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MTN price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 175.3 27.6%
Analysts Target Price 175.3 27.6%
ValueRay Target Price 134.9 -1.8%

MTN Fundamental Data Overview January 08, 2026

P/E Trailing = 19.6561
P/E Forward = 18.7617
P/S = 1.6509
P/B = 31.2361
P/EG = 2.0
Beta = 0.816
Revenue TTM = 2.97b USD
EBIT TTM = 619.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 617.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.58b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 625.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 800.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 219.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.13b USD (4.91b + Debt 800.9m - CCE 581.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.43 (Ebit TTM 619.5m / Interest Expense TTM 180.8m)
FCF Yield = 6.87% (FCF TTM 352.5m / Enterprise Value 5.13b)
FCF Margin = 11.85% (FCF TTM 352.5m / Revenue TTM 2.97b)
Net Margin = 8.94% (Net Income TTM 266.1m / Revenue TTM 2.97b)
Gross Margin = 60.89% ((Revenue TTM 2.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 89.58% (prev 90.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.89 (Enterprise Value 5.13b / Total Assets 5.76b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.40% (Interest Expense 51.3m / Debt 800.9m)
Taxrate = -23.58% (negative due to tax credits) (60.6m / -257.1m)
NOPAT = 765.6m (EBIT 619.5m * (1 - -23.58%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.54 (Total Current Assets 1.05b / Total Current Liabilities 1.94b)
Debt / Equity = 5.12 (Debt 800.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 156.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.36 (Net Debt 219.5m / EBITDA 617.0m)
Debt / FCF = 0.62 (Net Debt 219.5m / FCF TTM 352.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 501.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.67% (Net Income 266.1m / Total Assets 5.76b)
RoE = 53.03% (Net Income TTM 266.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 501.8m)
RoCE = 20.08% (EBIT 619.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 501.8m + L.T.Debt 2.58b))
RoIC = 22.23% (NOPAT 765.6m / Invested Capital 3.44b)
WACC = 8.74% (E(4.91b)/V(5.71b) * Re(8.88%) + D(800.9m)/V(5.71b) * Rd(6.40%) * (1-Tc(-0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.94%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.23% ; FCFF base≈336.3m ; Y1≈306.8m ; Y5≈270.8m
Fair Price DCF = 114.1 (EV 4.30b - Net Debt 219.5m = Equity 4.08b / Shares 35.8m; r=8.74% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -10.97% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -23.63 | EPS CAGR: -55.93% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -17.99 | Revenue CAGR: -27.53% | SUE: -0.27 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=10.67 | Chg30d=+0.320 | Revisions Net=+6 | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=7.00 | Chg30d=+0.058 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=-7.0% | Growth Revenue=+1.2%
EPS next Year (2027-07-31): EPS=7.89 | Chg30d=+0.050 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+12.6% | Growth Revenue=+3.5%

Additional Sources for MTN Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle