(MTN) Vail Resorts - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US91879Q1094
Stock: Ski Resorts, Lodging, Real Estate, Retail, Dining
Total Rating 26
Risk 57
Buy Signal -1.27
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.62% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.28 |
| Alpha | -20.00 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.642 |
| Beta Downside | 1.043 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 44.37% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.22 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: MTN Vail Resorts March 04, 2026
Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) operates mountain resorts and ski areas across the United States and internationally. The companys business model is diversified across three segments.
The Mountain segment, central to its operations, includes ski school, dining, and retail/rental services. This segment is typical for leisure facilities companies focused on winter sports.
The Lodging segment manages luxury hotels and condominiums under the RockResorts brand, alongside other properties and ground transportation services. This integrates hospitality services directly with resort operations.
The Real Estate segment develops and sells real estate properties, leveraging land assets associated with its resorts. This provides an additional revenue stream from property development.
For more detailed financial analysis, ValueRay offers in-depth data.
Headlines to watch out for
- Ski season snowfall directly impacts mountain segment revenue
- Lodging occupancy rates influence profitability
- Real estate development projects drive segment growth
- Consumer discretionary spending affects resort visitation
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 266.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.59 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -29.89% < 20% (prev -17.67%; Δ -12.23% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 588.4m > Net Income 266.1m |
| Net Debt (2.84b) to EBITDA (863.9m): 3.29 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.54 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (35.9m) vs 12m ago -4.17% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 42.78% > 18% (prev 0.42%; Δ 4.24k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 52.17% > 50% (prev 51.17%; Δ 1.00% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.13 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 863.9m / Interest Expense TTM 180.8m) |
Altman Z'' -0.01
| A: -0.15 (Total Current Assets 1.05b - Total Current Liabilities 1.94b) / Total Assets 5.76b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 452.1m / Total Assets 5.76b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 565.9m / Avg Total Assets 5.70b) |
| D: 0.07 (Book Value of Equity 390.8m / Total Liabilities 5.30b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.01 = B |
Beneish M -2.82
| DSRI: 1.31 (Receivables 175.8m/130.2m, Revenue 2.98b/2.89b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 42.78% / 42.48%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.36 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 2.98b / 2.89b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 266.1m - CFO 588.4m) / TA 5.76b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.82 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of MTN shares?
As of March 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 138.53 with a total of 1,251,309 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.06%, over one month by -1.92%, over three months by -16.30% and over the past year by -12.55%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.06%, over one month by -1.92%, over three months by -16.30% and over the past year by -12.55%.
Is MTN a buy, sell or hold?
Vail Resorts has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold MTN.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MTN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 173.7 | 25.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 173.7 | 25.4% |
MTN Fundamental Data Overview March 15, 2026
P/E Trailing = 19.9655
P/E Forward = 19.0476
P/S = 1.6769
P/B = 31.7277
P/EG = 3.3335
Revenue TTM = 2.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 565.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 863.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.58b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 625.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.42b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.84b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.83b USD (4.99b + Debt 3.42b - CCE 581.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.13 (Ebit TTM 565.9m / Interest Expense TTM 180.8m)
EV/FCF = 22.20x (Enterprise Value 7.83b / FCF TTM 352.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.50% (FCF TTM 352.5m / Enterprise Value 7.83b)
FCF Margin = 11.85% (FCF TTM 352.5m / Revenue TTM 2.98b)
Net Margin = 8.94% (Net Income TTM 266.1m / Revenue TTM 2.98b)
Gross Margin = 42.78% ((Revenue TTM 2.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.70b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -11.77% (prev -6.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.36 (Enterprise Value 7.83b / Total Assets 5.76b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.50% (Interest Expense 51.3m / Debt 3.42b)
Taxrate = 25.95% (104.4m / 402.4m)
NOPAT = 419.0m (EBIT 565.9m * (1 - 25.95%))
Current Ratio = 0.54 (Total Current Assets 1.05b / Total Current Liabilities 1.94b)
Debt / Equity = 21.86 (Debt 3.42b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 156.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.29 (Net Debt 2.84b / EBITDA 863.9m)
Debt / FCF = 8.05 (Net Debt 2.84b / FCF TTM 352.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 501.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.67% (Net Income 266.1m / Total Assets 5.76b)
RoE = 53.03% (Net Income TTM 266.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 501.8m)
RoCE = 18.34% (EBIT 565.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 501.8m + L.T.Debt 2.58b))
RoIC = 12.17% (NOPAT 419.0m / Invested Capital 3.44b)
WACC = 5.36% (E(4.99b)/V(8.41b) * Re(8.28%) + D(3.42b)/V(8.41b) * Rd(1.50%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.94%
[DCF] Terminal Value 85.36% ; FCFF base≈336.3m ; Y1≈306.7m ; Y5≈270.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 148.5 (EV 8.15b - Net Debt 2.84b = Equity 5.31b / Shares 35.8m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -10.97% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -15.11 | EPS CAGR: -22.52% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -17.98 | Revenue CAGR: -27.53% | SUE: -0.27 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=10.63 | Chg7d=-0.123 | Chg30d=-0.124 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=6.62 | Chg7d=-0.128 | Chg30d=-0.213 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=-12.1% | Growth Revenue=+0.2%
EPS next Year (2027-07-31): EPS=7.89 | Chg7d=-0.021 | Chg30d=-0.030 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+19.3% | Growth Revenue=+4.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.20 (2 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.3% (Discount Rate 8.3% - Earnings Yield 5.0%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -2.2% (Analyst 1.1% - Implied 3.3%)
P/E Forward = 19.0476
P/S = 1.6769
P/B = 31.7277
P/EG = 3.3335
Revenue TTM = 2.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 565.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 863.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.58b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 625.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.42b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.84b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.83b USD (4.99b + Debt 3.42b - CCE 581.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.13 (Ebit TTM 565.9m / Interest Expense TTM 180.8m)
EV/FCF = 22.20x (Enterprise Value 7.83b / FCF TTM 352.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.50% (FCF TTM 352.5m / Enterprise Value 7.83b)
FCF Margin = 11.85% (FCF TTM 352.5m / Revenue TTM 2.98b)
Net Margin = 8.94% (Net Income TTM 266.1m / Revenue TTM 2.98b)
Gross Margin = 42.78% ((Revenue TTM 2.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.70b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -11.77% (prev -6.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.36 (Enterprise Value 7.83b / Total Assets 5.76b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.50% (Interest Expense 51.3m / Debt 3.42b)
Taxrate = 25.95% (104.4m / 402.4m)
NOPAT = 419.0m (EBIT 565.9m * (1 - 25.95%))
Current Ratio = 0.54 (Total Current Assets 1.05b / Total Current Liabilities 1.94b)
Debt / Equity = 21.86 (Debt 3.42b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 156.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.29 (Net Debt 2.84b / EBITDA 863.9m)
Debt / FCF = 8.05 (Net Debt 2.84b / FCF TTM 352.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 501.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.67% (Net Income 266.1m / Total Assets 5.76b)
RoE = 53.03% (Net Income TTM 266.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 501.8m)
RoCE = 18.34% (EBIT 565.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 501.8m + L.T.Debt 2.58b))
RoIC = 12.17% (NOPAT 419.0m / Invested Capital 3.44b)
WACC = 5.36% (E(4.99b)/V(8.41b) * Re(8.28%) + D(3.42b)/V(8.41b) * Rd(1.50%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.94%
[DCF] Terminal Value 85.36% ; FCFF base≈336.3m ; Y1≈306.7m ; Y5≈270.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 148.5 (EV 8.15b - Net Debt 2.84b = Equity 5.31b / Shares 35.8m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -10.97% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -15.11 | EPS CAGR: -22.52% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -17.98 | Revenue CAGR: -27.53% | SUE: -0.27 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=10.63 | Chg7d=-0.123 | Chg30d=-0.124 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=6.62 | Chg7d=-0.128 | Chg30d=-0.213 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=-12.1% | Growth Revenue=+0.2%
EPS next Year (2027-07-31): EPS=7.89 | Chg7d=-0.021 | Chg30d=-0.030 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+19.3% | Growth Revenue=+4.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.20 (2 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.3% (Discount Rate 8.3% - Earnings Yield 5.0%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -2.2% (Analyst 1.1% - Implied 3.3%)