(MTN) Vail Resorts - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US91879Q1094
Mountain Resorts, Ski Passes, Lodging, Golf
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 6.17% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.59% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 49.87% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 73.9% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 48.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.56% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.63 |
| Alpha | -32.96 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.32 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.416 |
| Beta | 0.821 |
| Beta Downside | 0.764 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.29% |
| Mean DD | 22.02% |
| Median DD | 22.91% |
Description: MTN Vail Resorts November 07, 2025
Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE: MTN) operates a portfolio of mountain resorts and ski areas across the United States and abroad, complemented by lodging, real-estate, and ancillary services.
The business is organized into three segments: (1) Mountain – destination ski resorts, regional ski areas, ski schools, dining, retail/rental, and real-estate brokerage; (2) Lodging – ownership or management of luxury hotels, condominiums, golf courses, and ground-transport services under the RockResorts brand; (3) Real Estate – development, ownership, and sale of property assets.
Key performance indicators that investors watch include the Epic Pass subscriber base (≈ 2.5 million in 2023, driving ~ 30 % of total revenue), average daily rate (ADR) for lodging (≈ $280 in FY 2023, up 7 % YoY), and same-store sales growth at mountain locations (≈ 5 % annualized). The segment’s revenue is highly sensitive to discretionary consumer spending and winter weather patterns, while inflation and labor costs exert pressure on operating margins.
For a deeper quantitative dive, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (280.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 177.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -20.84% (prev -7.00%; Δ -13.85pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 554.9m > Net Income 280.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.99b) to EBITDA (741.6m) ratio: 4.03 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.63 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (36.5m) change vs 12m ago -2.73% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 51.69% (prev 37.83%; Δ 13.86pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 51.65% (prev 50.63%; Δ 1.02pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.49 (EBITDA TTM 741.6m / Interest Expense TTM 171.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.54
| (A) -0.11 = (Total Current Assets 1.05b - Total Current Liabilities 1.67b) / Total Assets 5.78b |
| (B) 0.12 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 718.7m / Total Assets 5.78b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 599.3m / Avg Total Assets 5.74b |
| (D) 0.13 = Book Value of Equity 661.2m / Total Liabilities 5.02b |
| Total Rating: 0.54 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.95
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.90% |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.79% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 8.11 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.03 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.83)% |
| 7. RoE 48.81% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 9.73% |
| 9. EPS Trend -14.30% |
What is the price of MTN shares?
As of December 09, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 143.94 with a total of 1,252,760 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.75%, over one month by -1.51%, over three months by -3.77% and over the past year by -20.33%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.75%, over one month by -1.51%, over three months by -3.77% and over the past year by -20.33%.
Is MTN a buy, sell or hold?
Vail Resorts has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold MTN.
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MTN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 173.7 | 20.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 173.7 | 20.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 139.4 | -3.2% |
MTN Fundamental Data Overview December 07, 2025
Market Cap USD = 5.19b (5.19b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.1459
P/E Forward = 19.3798
P/S = 1.7509
P/B = 11.9455
P/EG = 2.0
Beta = 0.812
Revenue TTM = 2.96b USD
EBIT TTM = 599.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 741.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.59b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 634.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.44b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.99b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.19b USD (5.19b + Debt 3.44b - CCE 440.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.49 (Ebit TTM 599.3m / Interest Expense TTM 171.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.90% (FCF TTM 319.7m / Enterprise Value 8.19b)
FCF Margin = 10.79% (FCF TTM 319.7m / Revenue TTM 2.96b)
Net Margin = 9.45% (Net Income TTM 280.0m / Revenue TTM 2.96b)
Gross Margin = 51.69% ((Revenue TTM 2.96b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.43b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.48% (prev 58.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.42 (Enterprise Value 8.19b / Total Assets 5.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.33% (Interest Expense 45.8m / Debt 3.44b)
Taxrate = 22.09% (-54.7m / -247.6m)
NOPAT = 466.9m (EBIT 599.3m * (1 - 22.09%))
Current Ratio = 0.63 (Total Current Assets 1.05b / Total Current Liabilities 1.67b)
Debt / Equity = 8.11 (Debt 3.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 424.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.03 (Net Debt 2.99b / EBITDA 741.6m)
Debt / FCF = 9.35 (Net Debt 2.99b / FCF TTM 319.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 573.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.85% (Net Income 280.0m / Total Assets 5.78b)
RoE = 48.81% (Net Income TTM 280.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 573.7m)
RoCE = 18.91% (EBIT 599.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 573.7m + L.T.Debt 2.59b))
RoIC = 13.68% (NOPAT 466.9m / Invested Capital 3.41b)
WACC = 5.85% (E(5.19b)/V(8.63b) * Re(9.04%) + D(3.44b)/V(8.63b) * Rd(1.33%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.82%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.58% ; FCFE base≈342.0m ; Y1≈302.8m ; Y5≈251.8m
Fair Price DCF = 106.8 (DCF Value 3.84b / Shares Outstanding 36.0m; 5y FCF grow -14.10% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -14.30 | EPS CAGR: -16.63% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 9.73 | Revenue CAGR: 12.29% | SUE: -0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-01-31): EPS=6.69 | Chg30d=+0.026 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=6.87 | Chg30d=+0.019 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-8.8% | Growth Revenue=+1.6%
EPS next Year (2027-07-31): EPS=7.84 | Chg30d=-0.056 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+14.1% | Growth Revenue=+3.5%
P/E Trailing = 19.1459
P/E Forward = 19.3798
P/S = 1.7509
P/B = 11.9455
P/EG = 2.0
Beta = 0.812
Revenue TTM = 2.96b USD
EBIT TTM = 599.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 741.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.59b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 634.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.44b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.99b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.19b USD (5.19b + Debt 3.44b - CCE 440.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.49 (Ebit TTM 599.3m / Interest Expense TTM 171.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.90% (FCF TTM 319.7m / Enterprise Value 8.19b)
FCF Margin = 10.79% (FCF TTM 319.7m / Revenue TTM 2.96b)
Net Margin = 9.45% (Net Income TTM 280.0m / Revenue TTM 2.96b)
Gross Margin = 51.69% ((Revenue TTM 2.96b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.43b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.48% (prev 58.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.42 (Enterprise Value 8.19b / Total Assets 5.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.33% (Interest Expense 45.8m / Debt 3.44b)
Taxrate = 22.09% (-54.7m / -247.6m)
NOPAT = 466.9m (EBIT 599.3m * (1 - 22.09%))
Current Ratio = 0.63 (Total Current Assets 1.05b / Total Current Liabilities 1.67b)
Debt / Equity = 8.11 (Debt 3.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 424.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.03 (Net Debt 2.99b / EBITDA 741.6m)
Debt / FCF = 9.35 (Net Debt 2.99b / FCF TTM 319.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 573.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.85% (Net Income 280.0m / Total Assets 5.78b)
RoE = 48.81% (Net Income TTM 280.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 573.7m)
RoCE = 18.91% (EBIT 599.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 573.7m + L.T.Debt 2.59b))
RoIC = 13.68% (NOPAT 466.9m / Invested Capital 3.41b)
WACC = 5.85% (E(5.19b)/V(8.63b) * Re(9.04%) + D(3.44b)/V(8.63b) * Rd(1.33%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.82%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.58% ; FCFE base≈342.0m ; Y1≈302.8m ; Y5≈251.8m
Fair Price DCF = 106.8 (DCF Value 3.84b / Shares Outstanding 36.0m; 5y FCF grow -14.10% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -14.30 | EPS CAGR: -16.63% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 9.73 | Revenue CAGR: 12.29% | SUE: -0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-01-31): EPS=6.69 | Chg30d=+0.026 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=6.87 | Chg30d=+0.019 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-8.8% | Growth Revenue=+1.6%
EPS next Year (2027-07-31): EPS=7.84 | Chg30d=-0.056 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+14.1% | Growth Revenue=+3.5%
Additional Sources for MTN Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle