Overview Dividends

(MTUS) Metallus - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US8873991033

Alloy Steel, Carbon Steel, Micro-Alloy Steel, SBQ Bars, Seamless Tubes

Steel
Market Cap in USD: 712m
IPO / Inception: 2014-06-19
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -1.37%

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 39.7%
Value at Risk 5%th 61.6%
Relative Tail Risk -5.52%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.34
Alpha -7.81
CAGR/Max DD 0.02
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.386
Beta 1.237
Beta Downside 1.070
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 52.74%
Mean DD 22.33%
Median DD 17.54%

Description: MTUS Metallus October 23, 2025

Metallus, Inc. (NYSE: MTUS) is a U.S.–based manufacturer of alloy, carbon, and micro-alloy steel products, supplying special-bar-quality (SBQ) bars, seamless tubes, precision components, and billets to a broad range of end-markets including automotive, energy, aerospace, defense, heavy-truck, and rail. The company, originally TimkenSteel, rebranded in February 2024 and traces its roots to 1899, with headquarters in Canton, Ohio.

Key industry metrics that shape Metallus’s outlook include: (1) U.S. steel demand, which grew ~4 % YoY in Q2 2024 driven by a rebound in construction and automotive production; (2) capacity utilization in the specialty steel segment, hovering around 78 %-a level that suggests modest pricing power but limited upside without additional plant investment; and (3) the ongoing impact of Section 232 tariffs, which have kept imported alloy steel prices roughly 6-8 % above domestic levels, supporting Metallus’s gross margins. Additionally, the global shift toward electrified vehicles and wind-energy turbines is boosting demand for high-strength, low-weight steel components-core products in Metallus’s portfolio.

For a deeper quantitative view of MTUS’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform offers a detailed model worth exploring.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5

Net Income (-8.30m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 67.9m TTM)
FCFTA -0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -8.14pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 24.23% (prev 31.91%; Δ -7.67pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 31.8m > Net Income -8.30m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (-175.8m) to EBITDA (56.6m) ratio: -3.11 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.90 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (43.3m) change vs 12m ago 0.46% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 8.84% (prev 10.94%; Δ -2.10pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 99.09% (prev 103.4%; Δ -4.28pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 0.29 (EBITDA TTM 56.6m / Interest Expense TTM 2.80m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.38

(A) 0.24 = (Total Current Assets 579.6m - Total Current Liabilities 305.4m) / Total Assets 1.15b
(B) -0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -39.3m / Total Assets 1.15b
(C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 800.0k / Avg Total Assets 1.14b
(D) -0.07 = Book Value of Equity -33.9m / Total Liabilities 452.7m
Total Rating: 1.38 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 26.23

1. Piotroski 2.50pt
2. FCF Yield -10.64%
3. FCF Margin -5.05%
4. Debt/Equity 0.02
5. Debt/Ebitda -3.11
6. ROIC - WACC (= -10.41)%
7. RoE -1.20%
8. Rev. Trend -50.36%
9. EPS Trend -58.02%

What is the price of MTUS shares?

As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 18.21 with a total of 392,029 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.66%, over one month by +13.32%, over three months by +9.24% and over the past year by +12.62%.

Is MTUS a buy, sell or hold?

Metallus has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefor, it is recommend to hold MTUS.
  • Strong Buy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MTUS price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 20.5 12.6%
Analysts Target Price 20.5 12.6%
ValueRay Target Price 18.6 1.9%

MTUS Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025

Market Cap USD = 712.3m (712.3m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 13.1234
P/S = 0.6295
P/B = 1.0387
P/EG = 0.6315
Beta = 1.449
Revenue TTM = 1.13b USD
EBIT TTM = 800.0k USD
EBITDA TTM = 56.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 15.7m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.10m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -175.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 536.5m USD (712.3m + Debt 15.7m - CCE 191.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.29 (Ebit TTM 800.0k / Interest Expense TTM 2.80m)
FCF Yield = -10.64% (FCF TTM -57.1m / Enterprise Value 536.5m)
FCF Margin = -5.05% (FCF TTM -57.1m / Revenue TTM 1.13b)
Net Margin = -0.73% (Net Income TTM -8.30m / Revenue TTM 1.13b)
Gross Margin = 8.84% ((Revenue TTM 1.13b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.44% (prev 10.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.47 (Enterprise Value 536.5m / Total Assets 1.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.92% (Interest Expense 1.40m / Debt 15.7m)
Taxrate = 25.69% (2.80m / 10.9m)
NOPAT = 594.5k (EBIT 800.0k * (1 - 25.69%))
Current Ratio = 1.90 (Total Current Assets 579.6m / Total Current Liabilities 305.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 15.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 697.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.11 (Net Debt -175.8m / EBITDA 56.6m)
Debt / FCF = 3.08 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -175.8m / FCF TTM -57.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 691.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.72% (Net Income -8.30m / Total Assets 1.15b)
RoE = -1.20% (Net Income TTM -8.30m / Total Stockholder Equity 691.1m)
RoCE = 0.11% (EBIT 800.0k / Capital Employed (Equity 691.1m + L.T.Debt 15.7m))
RoIC = 0.09% (NOPAT 594.5k / Invested Capital 693.8m)
WACC = 10.49% (E(712.3m)/V(728.0m) * Re(10.58%) + D(15.7m)/V(728.0m) * Rd(8.92%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 10.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -4.12%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -57.1m)
EPS Correlation: -58.02 | EPS CAGR: -30.90% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -50.36 | Revenue CAGR: -2.65% | SUE: -0.20 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=-0.060 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=-0.145 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+108.3% | Growth Revenue=+11.3%

Additional Sources for MTUS Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle