MTUS Stock Analysis: Metallus | NYSE
Steel | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 786m USD | 12M Return: 16.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 7.28M
EPS Trend: -59.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -63.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Metallus Inc. (NYSE: MTUS) is a U.S.-headquartered specialty steel manufacturer that produces alloy steel, carbon steel, and micro-alloy steel products, including special bar quality (SBQ) bars, seamless mechanical tubes, precision steel components, and billets. These products serve critical applications in gears, axles, crankshafts, drill pipes, bearings, bushings, wind energy shafts, and military ordnance, supplying a diverse range of end markets such as automotive, energy, industrial equipment, mining, construction, rail, aerospace and defense, heavy truck, agriculture, and power generation. The company, formerly known as TimkenSteel Corporation before rebranding in February 2024, was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Canton, Ohio.
The company operates within the specialty steel niche of the broader materials sector, focusing on SBQ and engineered components rather than commodity flat-rolled steel. This positioning typically targets customers with demanding performance specifications, such as anti-friction bearing producers and energy equipment manufacturers, where quality and metallurgical precision command premium pricing over standard steel grades.
- Automotive and heavy truck cyclical demand drives SBQ volumes
- Steel scrap and iron ore cost volatility pressures margins
- Aerospace and defense orders expand high-margin product mix
| Net Income: 2.90m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.79 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 19.65% < 20% (prev 27.64%; Δ -7.99% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 28.0m > Net Income 2.90m |
| Net Debt (-90.8m) to EBITDA (65.6m): -1.38 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.73 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (43.2m) vs 12m ago -2.48% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 8.29% > 18% (prev 6.62%; Δ 1.67% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 105.9% > 50% (prev 94.68%; Δ 11.24% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.21 > 6 (EBIT TTM 9.00m / Interest Expense TTM 2.80m) |
| A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 552.1m - Total Current Liabilities 319.0m) / Total Assets 1.14b |
| B: -0.04 (Retained Earnings -48.2m / Total Assets 1.14b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 9.00m / Avg Total Assets 1.12b) |
| D: 1.50 (Book Value of Equity 683.0m / Total Liabilities 455.2m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.83 = A |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 147.4m/125.7m, Revenue 1.19b/1.04b) |
| GMI: 0.80 (GM 6.62% / 8.29%) |
| AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.14 (Revenue 1.19b / 1.04b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 2.90m - CFO 28.0m) / TA 1.14b) |
| Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 18.70 with a total of 331,368 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.72%, over one month by -5.75%, over three months by +7.41% and over the past year by +16.58%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 17.60 (which is 5.9% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Metallus has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold MTUS.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 22.5 | 20.3% |
P/E Trailing = 269.5714
P/E Forward = 20.8333
P/S = 0.6623
P/B = 1.0666
P/EG = 1.3889
Revenue TTM = 1.19b USD
EBIT TTM = 9.00m USD
EBITDA TTM = 65.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 8.70m USD (estimated: total debt 13.2m - short term 4.50m)
Short Term Debt = 4.50m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 13.2m already included)
Net Debt = -90.8m USD (calculated: Debt 13.2m - CCE 104.0m)
Enterprise Value = 694.7m USD (785.5m + Debt 13.2m - CCE 104.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.21 (Ebit TTM 9.00m / Interest Expense TTM 2.80m)
EV/FCF = -8.88x (Enterprise Value 694.7m / FCF TTM -78.2m)
FCF Yield = -11.26% (FCF TTM -78.2m / Enterprise Value 694.7m)
FCF Margin = -6.59% (FCF TTM -78.2m / Revenue TTM 1.19b)
Net Margin = 0.24% (Net Income TTM 2.90m / Revenue TTM 1.19b)
Gross Margin = 8.29% ((Revenue TTM 1.19b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.14% (prev 2.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.61 (Enterprise Value 694.7m / Total Assets 1.14b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 21.21% (Interest Expense 2.80m / Debt 13.2m)
Taxrate = 32.50% (2.60m / 8.00m)
NOPAT = 6.08m (EBIT 9.00m * (1 - 32.50%))
Current Ratio = 1.73 (Total Current Assets 552.1m / Total Current Liabilities 319.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 13.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 683.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.38 (Net Debt -90.8m / EBITDA 65.6m)
Debt / FCF = 1.16 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -90.8m / FCF TTM -78.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 689.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.26% (Net Income 2.90m / Total Assets 1.14b)
RoE = 0.42% (Net Income TTM 2.90m / Total Stockholder Equity 689.2m)
RoCE = 1.29% (EBIT 9.00m / Capital Employed (Equity 689.2m + L.T.Debt 8.70m))
RoIC = 0.79% (NOPAT 6.08m / Invested Capital 764.4m)
WACC = 9.03% (E(785.5m)/V(798.7m) * Re(8.94%) + D(13.2m)/V(798.7m) * Rd(21.21%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 8.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -58.43 | Cagr: -3.77%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -78.2m)
EPS Correlation: -59.51 | EPS CAGR: -53.37% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -63.89 | Revenue CAGR: -6.39% | SUE: 0.46 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.25 | Chg30d=+4.98% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=+2.31% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.83 | Chg30d=+1.53% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+124.3% | GrowthRev=+9.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.33 | Chg30d=-0.37% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+60.8% | GrowthRev=+7.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +44% (up=5, down=1)