MUR Stock Analysis: Murphy Oil | NYSE
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.376m USD | 12M Return: 71.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 51.7M
EPS Trend: -97.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -97.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Murphy Oil Corporation (NYSE: MUR) is a U.S.-based oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) company that explores for and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids across assets in the United States, Canada, and other international locations. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas, was incorporated in 1950, and adopted its current name in 1964. Listed on the NYSE since 1983 and classified within the GICS Energy sector, Murphy Oil is a mid-cap E&P operator whose financial performance is closely tied to hydrocarbon commodity prices and the capital-intensive nature of upstream oil and gas development.
- WTI crude prices drive upstream segment revenue
- Canada heavy oil differentials squeeze realized pricing
- Capital returns through dividends and buybacks boost shareholder yield
| Net Income: 84.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -11.82 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.10% < 20% (prev -8.19%; Δ 1.09% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 1.27b > Net Income 84.2m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (144.4m) vs 12m ago -0.48% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 69.07% > 18% (prev 32.24%; Δ 36.83% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 27.99% > 50% (prev 29.49%; Δ -1.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 937.0m - Total Current Liabilities 1.13b) / Total Assets 10.0b |
| B: 0.67 (Retained Earnings 6.69b / Total Assets 10.0b) |
| C: -2.89 (EBIT TTM -28.7b / Avg Total Assets 9.93b) |
| D: 1.06 (Book Value of Equity 5.10b / Total Liabilities 4.80b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -16.29 = D |
| DSRI: 1.73 (Receivables 467.2m/282.2m, Revenue 2.78b/2.90b) |
| GMI: 0.47 (GM 32.24% / 69.07%) |
| AQI: 1.67 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 2.78b / 2.90b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 84.2m - CFO 1.27b) / TA 10.0b) |
| Beneish M = -2.55 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 38.73 with a total of 1,405,513 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.28%, over one month by +22.10%, over three months by -7.32% and over the past year by +71.80%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 36.70 (which is 5.2% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Murphy Oil has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold MUR.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 43.1 | 11.2% |
P/E Trailing = 63.1724
P/E Forward = 11.976
P/S = 1.9103
P/B = 1.0543
P/EG = 0.328
Revenue TTM = 2.78b USD
EBIT TTM = -28.7b USD
EBITDA TTM = -27.7b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.55b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 272.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.05b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 749.4m
Net Debt = 2.67b USD (calculated: Debt 3.05b - CCE 378.8m)
Enterprise Value = 8.05b USD (5.38b + Debt 3.05b - CCE 378.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -28.7b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 45.22x (Enterprise Value 8.05b / FCF TTM 177.9m)
FCF Yield = 2.21% (FCF TTM 177.9m / Enterprise Value 8.05b)
FCF Margin = 6.40% (FCF TTM 177.9m / Revenue TTM 2.78b)
Net Margin = 3.03% (Net Income TTM 84.2m / Revenue TTM 2.78b)
Gross Margin = 69.07% ((Revenue TTM 2.78b - Cost of Revenue TTM 859.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.96% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 8.05b / Total Assets 10.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 3.05b)
Taxrate = 35.82% (61.8m / 172.4m)
NOPAT = -18.4b (EBIT -28.7b * (1 - 35.82%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 937.0m / Total Current Liabilities 1.13b)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 3.05b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.10 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 2.67b / EBITDA -27.7b)
Debt / FCF = 15.01 (Net Debt 2.67b / FCF TTM 177.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.85% (Net Income 84.2m / Total Assets 10.0b)
RoE = 1.64% (Net Income TTM 84.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.13b)
RoCE = -430.0% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -28.7b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.13b + L.T.Debt 1.55b))
RoIC = -204.1% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -18.4b / Invested Capital 9.04b)
WACC = 4.68% (E(5.38b)/V(8.43b) * Re(7.33%) + D(3.05b)/V(8.43b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 7.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -92.25 | Cagr: -3.19%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈640.9m ; Y1≈562.0m ; Y5≈454.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 32.21 (EV 7.29b - Net Debt 2.67b = Equity 4.62b / Shares 143.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -97.77 | EPS CAGR: -42.97% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -97.32 | Revenue CAGR: -11.96% | SUE: 0.42 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.58 | Chg30d=+22.43% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=13
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.74 | Chg30d=-30.60% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.50 | Chg30d=-6.00% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=+155.4% | GrowthRev=+14.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.09 | Chg30d=-11.19% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=-11.7% | GrowthRev=-0.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -35% (up=4, down=10)