MUR Stock Analysis: Murphy Oil | NYSE
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.645m USD | 12M Return: 41.2% | US6267171022 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 57.6M
EPS Trend: -88.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -86.8%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Murphy Oil Corporation (NYSE: MUR) is an independent exploration and production (E&P) company that explores for and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) across the United States, Canada, and other international locations. The company is incorporated in 1950 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, a major hub of the global oil and gas industry. It was originally named Murphy Corporation before adopting its current name in 1964.
As a mid-cap stock classified within the GICS Energy sector and the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sub-industry, Murphy operates in the upstream segment of the petroleum value chain. Upstream E&P companies focus on locating hydrocarbon reserves, drilling wells, and lifting resources to the surface, which distinguishes them from midstream (transportation and storage) and downstream (refining and marketing) operators. Companies in this segment are typically capital-intensive, with financial performance closely tied to global crude oil and natural gas prices.
- WTI crude price volatility impacts upstream revenue and margins
- Gulf of Mexico and Canada oil sands production volumes fluctuate
- Capital allocation prioritizes oil portfolio and debt reduction
| Net Income: 294.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -8.82 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -5.80% < 20% (prev -5.30%; Δ -0.51% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 1.57b > Net Income 294.0m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.85 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (146.1m) vs 12m ago 2.05% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 82.33% > 18% (prev 29.46%; Δ 52.87% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 30.06% > 50% (prev 28.24%; Δ 1.82% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.98 > 6 (EBIT TTM -28.4b / Interest Expense TTM 29.0b) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 1.03b - Total Current Liabilities 1.20b) / Total Assets 10.3b |
| B: 0.67 (Retained Earnings 6.88b / Total Assets 10.3b) |
| C: -2.83 (EBIT TTM -28.4b / Avg Total Assets 10.1b) |
| D: 1.08 (Book Value of Equity 5.26b / Total Liabilities 4.87b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -15.80 = D |
| DSRI: 1.49 (Receivables 443.1m/274.0m, Revenue 3.02b/2.78b) |
| GMI: 0.36 (GM 29.46% / 82.33%) |
| AQI: 1.92 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 3.02b / 2.78b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 294.0m - CFO 1.57b) / TA 10.3b) |
| Beneish M = -2.61 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 39.04 with a total of 2,875,875 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.31%, over one month by +2.20%, over three months by +13.01% and over the past year by +41.19%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 37.00 (which is 5.2% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Murphy Oil has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.13. Therefore, it is recommended to hold MUR.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 40.4 | 3.6% |
P/E Trailing = 19.8889
P/E Forward = 13.4409
P/S = 1.8867
P/B = 0.9872
P/EG = 0.328
Revenue TTM = 3.02b USD
EBIT TTM = -28.4b USD
EBITDA TTM = -27.4b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.55b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 280.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 713.3m
Net Debt = 2.49b USD (calculated: Debt 2.97b - CCE 483.9m)
Enterprise Value = 8.14b USD (5.65b + Debt 2.97b - CCE 483.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.98 (Ebit TTM -28.4b / Interest Expense TTM 29.0b)
EV/FCF = 24.67x (Enterprise Value 8.14b / FCF TTM 329.8m)
FCF Yield = 4.05% (FCF TTM 329.8m / Enterprise Value 8.14b)
FCF Margin = 10.91% (FCF TTM 329.8m / Revenue TTM 3.02b)
Net Margin = 9.72% (Net Income TTM 294.0m / Revenue TTM 3.02b)
Gross Margin = 82.33% ((Revenue TTM 3.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 534.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 78.03% (prev 25.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.79 (Enterprise Value 8.14b / Total Assets 10.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 976.6% (Interest Expense 29.0b / Debt 2.97b)
Taxrate = 34.50% (165.1m / 478.6m)
NOPAT = -18.6b (EBIT -28.4b * (1 - 34.50%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.85 (Total Current Assets 1.03b / Total Current Liabilities 1.20b)
Debt / Equity = 0.57 (Debt 2.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.26b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.09 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 2.49b / EBITDA -27.4b)
Debt / FCF = 7.55 (Net Debt 2.49b / FCF TTM 329.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.15b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.92% (Net Income 294.0m / Total Assets 10.3b)
RoE = 5.71% (Net Income TTM 294.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.15b)
RoCE = -424.8% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -28.4b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.15b + L.T.Debt 1.55b))
RoIC = -202.4% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -18.6b / Invested Capital 9.20b)
WACC = 4.45% (E(5.65b)/V(8.62b) * Re(6.79%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 6.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -79.61 | Cagr: -2.25%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈671.4m ; Y1≈588.8m ; Y5≈475.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 35.89 (EV 7.64b - Net Debt 2.49b = Equity 5.15b / Shares 143.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -88.43 | EPS CAGR: -37.80% | SUE: 0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -86.81 | Revenue CAGR: -9.23% | SUE: 1.17 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.47 | Chg30d=+40.04% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.33 | Chg30d=+6.24% | Revisions=+44% | GrowthEPS=+143.0% | GrowthRev=+18.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.21 | Chg30d=-2.18% | Revisions=+22% | GrowthEPS=-3.5% | GrowthRev=-2.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=11, down=6)