(MUR) Murphy Oil - Overview

Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas E&P | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 5.447m USD | Total Return: 85.3% in 12m

Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Gas Liquids
Total Rating 55
Safety 65
Buy Signal -0.31
Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Rotation: +14.4
Market Cap: 5.45B
Avg Turnover: 63.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility49.7%
VaR 5th Pctl8.82%
VaR vs Median7.66%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.50
Rel. Str. IBD85.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group66.4
Character TTM
Beta0.766
Beta Downside1.271
Hurst Exponent0.360
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD58.47%
CAGR/Max DD0.09
CAGR/Mean DD0.22
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MUR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.06, "2021-06": 0.59, "2021-09": 0.24, "2021-12": 0.4, "2022-03": 0.73, "2022-06": 1.93, "2022-09": 1.84, "2022-12": 1.1, "2023-03": 1.24, "2023-06": 0.79, "2023-09": 1.59, "2023-12": 0.9, "2024-03": 0.85, "2024-06": 0.81, "2024-09": 0.93, "2024-12": 0.34, "2025-03": 0.56, "2025-06": 0.27, "2025-09": 0.41, "2025-12": 0.14, "2026-03": 0.32,
EPS CAGR: -42.47%
EPS Trend: -96.9%
Last SUE: 0.06
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of MUR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 592.527, 2021-06: 758.829, 2021-09: 687.549, 2021-12: 762.31, 2022-03: 871.374, 2022-06: 1196.238, 2022-09: 1166.409, 2022-12: 986.119, 2023-03: 839.968, 2023-06: 812.85, 2023-09: 953.766, 2023-12: 842.27, 2024-03: 794.848, 2024-06: 801.007, 2024-09: 753.169, 2024-12: 669.574, 2025-03: 672.73, 2025-06: 683.065, 2025-09: 720.966, 2025-12: 642.062, 2026-03: 732.354,
Rev. CAGR: -11.96%
Rev. Trend: -97.3%
Last SUE: 0.42
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio 0.0 is critical

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: MUR Murphy Oil

Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) is a global upstream energy company headquartered in Houston, Texas. Founded in 1950, the firm specializes in the exploration and production (E&P) of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids across assets in the United States, Canada, and various international offshore locations.

Operating within the E&P sector, the company utilizes a business model focused on the high-risk, high-reward phase of the energy value chain, which involves identifying subterranean reserves and developing extraction infrastructure. Unlike integrated oil majors, pure-play E&P companies are highly sensitive to fluctuations in benchmark commodity prices such as West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent crude.

For a detailed analysis of the companys intrinsic valuation and historical performance metrics, consider reviewing the data on ValueRay. Murphy Oil Corporation maintains a diversified portfolio that includes both onshore unconventional plays and deepwater offshore projects.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Gulf of Mexico production volumes drive free cash flow and dividend growth
  • Onshore Eagle Ford production efficiency determines quarterly earnings performance
  • Global crude oil price fluctuations directly impact upstream revenue margins
  • Offshore exploration success in international basins influences long-term asset valuation
  • Capital expenditure discipline and debt reduction targets dictate shareholder returns
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: 84.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -11.82 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -7.10% < 20% (prev -8.19%; Δ 1.09% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 1.27b > Net Income 84.2m
Net Debt (2.67b) to EBITDA (1.32b): 2.03 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (144.4m) vs 12m ago -0.48% < -2%
Gross Margin: 69.07% > 18% (prev 0.32%; Δ 6.87k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 27.99% > 50% (prev 29.49%; Δ -1.51% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.01 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.32b / Interest Expense TTM 29.0b)
Altman Z'' 3.60
A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 937.0m - Total Current Liabilities 1.13b) / Total Assets 10.0b
B: 0.67 (Retained Earnings 6.69b / Total Assets 10.0b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 262.9m / Avg Total Assets 9.93b)
D: 1.31 (Book Value of Equity 6.31b / Total Liabilities 4.80b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.60 = AA
Beneish M -2.66
DSRI: 1.73 (Receivables 467.2m/282.2m, Revenue 2.78b/2.90b)
GMI: 0.47 (GM 69.07% / 32.24%)
AQI: 1.67 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.01)
SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 2.78b / 2.90b)
TATA: -0.12 (NI 84.2m - CFO 1.27b) / TA 10.0b)
Beneish M = -2.66 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of MUR shares?

As of May 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 38.00 with a total of 1,227,400 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.68%, over one month by -2.62%, over three months by +21.64% and over the past year by +85.32%.

Is MUR a buy, sell or hold?

Murphy Oil has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold MUR.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 13
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the MUR price?
Analysts Target Price 43.3 13.9%
Murphy Oil (MUR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 5.45b (5.45b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 64.4068
P/E Forward = 12.1359
P/S = 1.9812
P/B = 1.0683
P/EG = 0.328
Revenue TTM = 2.78b USD
EBIT TTM = 262.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.32b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.55b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 272.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.05b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 749.4m
Net Debt = 2.67b USD (calculated: Debt 3.05b - CCE 378.8m)
Enterprise Value = 8.12b USD (5.45b + Debt 3.05b - CCE 378.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.01 (Ebit TTM 262.9m / Interest Expense TTM 29.0b)
EV/FCF = 45.62x (Enterprise Value 8.12b / FCF TTM 177.9m)
FCF Yield = 2.19% (FCF TTM 177.9m / Enterprise Value 8.12b)
FCF Margin = 6.40% (FCF TTM 177.9m / Revenue TTM 2.78b)
Net Margin = 3.03% (Net Income TTM 84.2m / Revenue TTM 2.78b)
Gross Margin = 69.07% ((Revenue TTM 2.78b - Cost of Revenue TTM 859.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.96% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 8.12b / Total Assets 10.0b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 952.6% (Interest Expense 29.0b / Debt 3.05b)
 Taxrate = 41.92% (49.9m / 119.1m)
NOPAT = 152.7m (EBIT 262.9m * (1 - 41.92%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 937.0m / Total Current Liabilities 1.13b)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 3.05b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.03 (Net Debt 2.67b / EBITDA 1.32b)
Debt / FCF = 15.01 (Net Debt 2.67b / FCF TTM 177.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.85% (Net Income 84.2m / Total Assets 10.0b)
RoE = 1.64% (Net Income TTM 84.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.13b)
RoCE = 3.93% (EBIT 262.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 5.13b + L.T.Debt 1.55b))
RoIC = 1.66% (NOPAT 152.7m / Invested Capital 9.17b)
WACC = 5.56% (E(5.45b)/V(8.50b) * Re(8.68%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -77.78 | Cagr: -3.19%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈640.9m ; Y1≈562.0m ; Y5≈454.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 32.21 (EV 7.29b - Net Debt 2.67b = Equity 4.62b / Shares 143.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -96.93 | EPS CAGR: -42.47% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -97.32 | Revenue CAGR: -11.96% | SUE: 0.42 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.16 | Chg30d=-12.11% | Revisions=-29% | Analysts=13
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.99 | Chg30d=-10.20% | Revisions=+7% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.47 | Chg30d=-13.16% | Revisions=-60% | GrowthEPS=+153.2% | GrowthRev=+17.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.36 | Chg30d=-6.25% | Revisions=+22% | GrowthEPS=-3.0% | GrowthRev=-2.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -60%