MUR Stock Analysis: Murphy Oil | NYSE
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.737m USD | 12M Return: 63.8% | US6267171022 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 60.4M
EPS Trend: -88.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 42.8%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Murphy Oil Corporation (NYSE: MUR) is a U.S.-based oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) company that explores for and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids across assets in the United States, Canada, and other international locations. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas, was incorporated in 1950, and adopted its current name in 1964. Listed on the NYSE since 1983 and classified within the GICS Energy sector, Murphy Oil is a mid-cap E&P operator whose financial performance is closely tied to hydrocarbon commodity prices and the capital-intensive nature of upstream oil and gas development.
- WTI crude prices drive upstream segment revenue
- Canada heavy oil differentials squeeze realized pricing
- Capital returns through dividends and buybacks boost shareholder yield
| Net Income: 232b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -13.57 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -18.87% < 20% (prev -5.30%; Δ -13.57% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.00 > 3% & CFO 1.27b > Net Income 232b |
| Net Debt (1498b) to EBITDA (518b): 2.89 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.85 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (146.1m) vs 12m ago 2.05% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 18.09% > 50% (prev 28.24%; Δ -10.15% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.74 > 6 (EBIT TTM 255b / Interest Expense TTM 53.9b) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 1027b - Total Current Liabilities 1202b) / Total Assets 10278b |
| B: 0.67 (Retained Earnings 6876b / Total Assets 10278b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 255b / Avg Total Assets 5144b) |
| D: 1.11 (Book Value of Equity 5403b / Total Liabilities 4875b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.57 = A |
As of August 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 35.49 with a total of 1,361,522 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.37%, over one month by +5.16%, over three months by -4.84% and over the past year by +63.75%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 33.10 (which is 6.7% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Murphy Oil has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold MUR.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 43.1 | 21.4% |
P/E Trailing = 61.1852
P/E Forward = 12.2549
P/S = 1.7226
P/B = 1.079
P/EG = 0.328
Revenue TTM = 930b USD
EBIT TTM = 255b USD
EBITDA TTM = 518b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.38b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 283b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1982b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 749.4m
Net Debt = 1498b USD (calculated: Debt 1982b - CCE 484b)
Enterprise Value = 1503b USD (4.74b + Debt 1982b - CCE 484b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.74 (Ebit TTM 255b / Interest Expense TTM 53.9b)
EV/FCF = 1000.0x (Enterprise Value 1503b / FCF TTM 177.9m)
FCF Yield = 0.01% (FCF TTM 177.9m / Enterprise Value 1503b)
FCF Margin = 0.02% (FCF TTM 177.9m / Revenue TTM 930b)
Net Margin = 24.96% (Net Income TTM 232b / Revenue TTM 930b)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 930b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.11b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.15 (Enterprise Value 1503b / Total Assets 10278b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.72% (Interest Expense 53.9b / Debt 1982b)
Taxrate = 22.61% (77.1b / 341b)
NOPAT = 198b (EBIT 255b * (1 - 22.61%))
Current Ratio = 0.85 (Total Current Assets 1027b / Total Current Liabilities 1202b)
Debt / Equity = 0.37 (Debt 1982b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5403b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.89 (Net Debt 1498b / EBITDA 518b)
Debt / FCF = 8.42k (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 1498b / FCF TTM 177.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1355b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.51% (Net Income 232b / Total Assets 10278b)
RoE = 17.14% (Net Income TTM 232b / Total Stockholder Equity 1355b)
RoCE = 18.84% (EBIT 255b / Capital Employed (Equity 1355b + L.T.Debt 1.38b))
RoIC = 2.12% (NOPAT 198b / Invested Capital 9312b)
WACC = 2.12% (E(4.74b)/V(1986b) * Re(6.99%) + D(1982b)/V(1986b) * Rd(2.72%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 6.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -79.61 | Cagr: -2.25%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈640.9m ; Y1≈562.0m ; Y5≈454.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 7.29b - Net Debt 1498b = -1491b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -88.43 | EPS CAGR: -37.80% | SUE: 0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 42.80 | Revenue CAGR: 119.1% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.74 | Chg30d=-24.37% | Revisions=-53% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.50 | Chg30d=-3.40% | Revisions=-31% | GrowthEPS=+155.4% | GrowthRev=+14.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.09 | Chg30d=-10.28% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=-11.7% | GrowthRev=-0.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -51% (up=8, down=28)