(MUR) Murphy Oil - Overview

Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas E&P | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 5.992m USD | Total Return: 101.2% in 12m

Oil, Gas, Liquids
Total Rating 50
Safety 29
Buy Signal 0.14
Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Rotation: -11.7
Market Cap: 5.99B
Avg Turnover: 111M USD
ATR: 4.38%
Peers RS (IBD): 67.5
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility48.0%
Rel. Tail Risk-1.86%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.91
Alpha32.78
Character TTM
Beta0.941
Beta Downside1.523
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD58.47%
CAGR/Max DD0.11
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MUR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.06, "2021-06": 0.59, "2021-09": 0.24, "2021-12": 0.4, "2022-03": 0.73, "2022-06": 1.93, "2022-09": 1.84, "2022-12": 1.1, "2023-03": 1.24, "2023-06": 0.79, "2023-09": 1.59, "2023-12": 0.9, "2024-03": 0.85, "2024-06": 0.81, "2024-09": 0.93, "2024-12": 0.34, "2025-03": 0.56, "2025-06": 0.16, "2025-09": 0.41, "2025-12": 0.14,
EPS CAGR: -35.62%
EPS Trend: -79.7%
Last SUE: 0.96
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of MUR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 592.527, 2021-06: 758.829, 2021-09: 687.549, 2021-12: 762.31, 2022-03: 871.374, 2022-06: 1196.238, 2022-09: 1166.409, 2022-12: 986.119, 2023-03: 839.968, 2023-06: 812.85, 2023-09: 953.766, 2023-12: 842.27, 2024-03: 794.848, 2024-06: 801.007, 2024-09: 753.169, 2024-12: 669.574, 2025-03: 672.73, 2025-06: 683.065, 2025-09: 720.966, 2025-12: 642.062,
Rev. CAGR: -7.82%
Rev. Trend: -86.4%
Last SUE: -0.17
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings

Beneish M-Score 1.00 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation

choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: MUR Murphy Oil

Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) is an oil and gas exploration and production company. It operates in the United States, Canada, and internationally, focusing on crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids.

The company was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Its business model involves the upstream segment of the energy sector, which focuses on finding and extracting hydrocarbons.

For more detailed financial and operational data, ValueRay offers comprehensive analysis.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Global crude oil prices dictate exploration and production revenue
  • Natural gas demand shifts impact profitability
  • Regulatory changes in drilling permits affect operations
  • Production costs for new wells influence margins
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 104.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -14.06 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -5.72% < 20% (prev -5.22%; Δ -0.50% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 1.25b > Net Income 104.2m
Net Debt (1.82b) to EBITDA (1.25b): 1.46 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.85 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (144.0m) vs 12m ago -1.89% < -2%
Gross Margin: 71.85% > 18% (prev 0.33%; Δ 7.15k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 27.89% > 50% (prev 31.22%; Δ -3.34% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.83 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.25b / Interest Expense TTM 96.1m)
Altman Z'' 3.83
A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 907.3m - Total Current Liabilities 1.06b) / Total Assets 9.83b
B: 0.68 (Retained Earnings 6.69b / Total Assets 9.83b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 272.1m / Avg Total Assets 9.75b)
D: 1.46 (Book Value of Equity 6.69b / Total Liabilities 4.60b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 3.83 = AA
Beneish M 1.00
DSRI: 1.16 (Receivables 283.7m/272.5m, Revenue 2.72b/3.02b)
GMI: 0.46 (GM 71.85% / 33.19%)
AQI: 16.51 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.01)
SGI: 0.90 (Revenue 2.72b / 3.02b)
TATA: -0.12 (NI 104.2m - CFO 1.25b) / TA 9.83b)
Beneish M-Score: 5.62 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of MUR shares? As of April 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 41.08 with a total of 1,829,700 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.72%, over one month by +19.87%, over three months by +34.56% and over the past year by +101.23%.
Is MUR a buy, sell or hold? Murphy Oil has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefor, it is recommend to hold MUR.
  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 13
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the MUR price?
Analysts Target Price 39.5 -3.9%
Murphy Oil (MUR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 01 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 58.0556
P/E Forward = 91.7431
P/S = 2.2276
P/B = 1.0808
P/EG = 0.328
Revenue TTM = 2.72b USD
EBIT TTM = 272.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.25b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.38b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 281.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.20b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.82b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.82b USD (5.99b + Debt 2.20b - CCE 377.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.83 (Ebit TTM 272.1m / Interest Expense TTM 96.1m)
EV/FCF = 39.45x (Enterprise Value 7.82b / FCF TTM 198.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.54% (FCF TTM 198.2m / Enterprise Value 7.82b)
FCF Margin = 7.29% (FCF TTM 198.2m / Revenue TTM 2.72b)
Net Margin = 3.83% (Net Income TTM 104.2m / Revenue TTM 2.72b)
Gross Margin = 71.85% ((Revenue TTM 2.72b - Cost of Revenue TTM 765.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 66.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.79 (Enterprise Value 7.82b / Total Assets 9.83b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.03% (Interest Expense 22.8m / Debt 2.20b)
Taxrate = 30.03% (6.64m / 22.1m)
NOPAT = 190.4m (EBIT 272.1m * (1 - 30.03%))
Current Ratio = 0.85 (Total Current Assets 907.3m / Total Current Liabilities 1.06b)
Debt / Equity = 0.43 (Debt 2.20b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.12b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.46 (Net Debt 1.82b / EBITDA 1.25b)
Debt / FCF = 9.21 (Net Debt 1.82b / FCF TTM 198.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.14b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.07% (Net Income 104.2m / Total Assets 9.83b)
RoE = 2.03% (Net Income TTM 104.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.14b)
RoCE = 4.17% (EBIT 272.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 5.14b + L.T.Debt 1.38b))
RoIC = 2.89% (NOPAT 190.4m / Invested Capital 6.58b)
WACC = 6.99% (E(5.99b)/V(8.19b) * Re(9.29%) + D(2.20b)/V(8.19b) * Rd(1.03%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 9.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.70%
[DCF] Terminal Value 82.50% ; FCFF base≈740.5m ; Y1≈750.0m ; Y5≈816.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 114.4 (EV 18.23b - Net Debt 1.82b = Equity 16.40b / Shares 143.3m; r=6.99% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.94% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -79.67 | EPS CAGR: -35.62% | SUE: 0.96 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -86.42 | Revenue CAGR: -7.82% | SUE: -0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.09 | Chg7d=+0.492 | Chg30d=+0.826 | Revisions Net=+7 | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.07 | Chg7d=+1.275 | Chg30d=+1.993 | Revisions Net=+6 | Growth EPS=+124.2% | Growth Revenue=+3.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.01 | Chg7d=+0.676 | Chg30d=+0.955 | Revisions Net=+9 | Growth EPS=-2.1% | Growth Revenue=+6.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (7 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 7.6% (Discount Rate 9.3% - Earnings Yield 1.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -6.6% (Analyst 1.0% - Implied 7.6%)
External Resources
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