(NABL) N-Able - Overview
Stock: Security, Backup, Endpoint, Monitoring, Automation
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.86% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.93 |
| Alpha | -59.51 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.061 |
| Beta Downside | 0.950 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 63.92% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.29 |
Description: NABL N-Able January 16, 2026
N-Able, Inc. (NYSE:NABL) delivers a cloud-native software platform that enables Managed Service Providers (MSPs) to offer unified endpoint management, remote monitoring, data-protection-as-a-service, and a suite of security functions-including patch management, MDR, and email security-to SMB customers across the U.S., U.K., and other international markets.
In FY 2023 the company reported $465 million in revenue, a 22 % year-over-year increase driven largely by strong demand for its backup-and-disaster-recovery (BDR) and security-as-a-service modules. The MSP market is expanding at an estimated 9 % CAGR, propelled by SMB digital-transformation budgets and a macro-trend toward outsourced IT operations; N-Able’s ARR grew to $620 million, indicating a high-touch, subscription-based revenue base that is less sensitive to short-term economic swings.
Key upside catalysts include continued SMB cloud-security spend, potential cross-sell of its integrated “operating system” platform to existing MSP partners, and the scalability of its multi-tenant architecture. Risks revolve around competitive pressure from larger players (e.g., ConnectWise, Datto) and the need to sustain high churn-free growth as the market matures. For a deeper quantitative view, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst dashboard can help you validate the assumptions behind these growth estimates.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: -6.51m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.20 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.44% < 20% (prev 41.15%; Δ -32.72% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 93.9m > Net Income -6.51m |
| Net Debt (267.6m) to EBITDA (79.2m): 3.38 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.27 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (188.4m) vs 12m ago 0.18% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 78.88% > 18% (prev 0.84%; Δ 7804 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 37.97% > 50% (prev 37.44%; Δ 0.53% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.39 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 79.2m / Interest Expense TTM 31.1m) |
Altman Z'' 0.79
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 200.3m - Total Current Liabilities 158.4m) / Total Assets 1.40b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 61.4m / Total Assets 1.40b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 43.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.31b) |
| D: 0.22 (Book Value of Equity 129.3m / Total Liabilities 584.7m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.79 = B |
Beneish M -3.08
| DSRI: 0.79 (Receivables 79.1m/92.5m, Revenue 497.7m/458.1m) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 78.88% / 83.63%) |
| AQI: 1.13 (AQ_t 0.81 / AQ_t-1 0.72) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 497.7m / 458.1m) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI -6.51m - CFO 93.9m) / TA 1.40b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of NABL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.58%, over one month by -22.83%, over three months by -34.00% and over the past year by -42.52%.
Is NABL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NABL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.7 | 72% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9.7 | 72% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.2 | -7.7% |
NABL Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 2.282
P/B = 1.4088
Revenue TTM = 497.7m USD
EBIT TTM = 43.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 79.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 328.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 369.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 267.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.40b USD (1.14b + Debt 369.0m - CCE 101.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.39 (Ebit TTM 43.1m / Interest Expense TTM 31.1m)
EV/FCF = 19.97x (Enterprise Value 1.40b / FCF TTM 70.3m)
FCF Yield = 5.01% (FCF TTM 70.3m / Enterprise Value 1.40b)
FCF Margin = 14.12% (FCF TTM 70.3m / Revenue TTM 497.7m)
Net Margin = -1.31% (Net Income TTM -6.51m / Revenue TTM 497.7m)
Gross Margin = 78.88% ((Revenue TTM 497.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 105.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 80.71% (prev 78.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.00 (Enterprise Value 1.40b / Total Assets 1.40b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.34% (Interest Expense 8.63m / Debt 369.0m)
Taxrate = 42.96% (23.3m / 54.3m)
NOPAT = 24.6m (EBIT 43.1m * (1 - 42.96%))
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 200.3m / Total Current Liabilities 158.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 369.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 813.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.38 (Net Debt 267.6m / EBITDA 79.2m)
Debt / FCF = 3.81 (Net Debt 267.6m / FCF TTM 70.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 789.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.50% (Net Income -6.51m / Total Assets 1.40b)
RoE = -0.82% (Net Income TTM -6.51m / Total Stockholder Equity 789.3m)
RoCE = 3.86% (EBIT 43.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 789.3m + L.T.Debt 328.2m))
RoIC = 2.19% (NOPAT 24.6m / Invested Capital 1.12b)
WACC = 7.75% (E(1.14b)/V(1.50b) * Re(9.83%) + D(369.0m)/V(1.50b) * Rd(2.34%) * (1-Tc(0.43)))
Discount Rate = 9.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.51%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 82.09% ; FCFF base≈67.7m ; Y1≈83.5m ; Y5≈142.3m
Fair Price DCF = 12.16 (EV 2.53b - Net Debt 267.6m = Equity 2.27b / Shares 186.3m; r=7.75% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -24.87 | EPS CAGR: -31.37% | SUE: -2.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.14 | Revenue CAGR: 10.85% | SUE: 3.11 | # QB: 8
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+16.2% | Growth Revenue=+8.8%