(NCLH) Norwegian Cruise Line - Ratings and Ratios
Cruises, Dining, Entertainment, Excursions, Accommodations
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 55.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 76.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.87% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.30 |
| Alpha | -48.57 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.23 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.482 |
| Beta | 1.782 |
| Beta Downside | 1.917 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.68% |
| Mean DD | 20.29% |
| Median DD | 20.72% |
Description: NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line January 03, 2026
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) operates three cruise brands-Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises, and Regent Seven Seas-across a global itinerary network that spans North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Caribbean, Alaska, and other key destinations. The company’s offerings combine onboard accommodations, multiple dining venues, entertainment, and shore-excursion packages, positioning it as a full-service cruise operator headquartered in Miami.
As of FY 2023, NCLH generated roughly $2.3 billion in revenue with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 15%, supported by a fleet of 28 ships and an industry-leading load factor of about 95%. Recent trends show average ticket prices hovering around $1,200 per passenger, while the sector’s growth is tied to discretionary consumer spending, fuel-price volatility, and the pace of post-pandemic travel recovery.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of NCLH’s valuation metrics and scenario analyses.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 663.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.15 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -44.44% < 20% (prev -51.93%; Δ 7.49% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 2.03b > Net Income 663.5m |
| Net Debt (15.18b) to EBITDA (2.41b): 6.29 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.19 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (495.7m) vs 12m ago -3.72% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 41.98% > 18% (prev 0.39%; Δ 4159 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 46.16% > 50% (prev 47.29%; Δ -1.13% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.60 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.41b / Interest Expense TTM 890.4m) |
Altman Z'' (< 1.1 .. > 2.6) -1.95
| A: -0.19 (Total Current Assets 1.04b - Total Current Liabilities 5.35b) / Total Assets 22.21b |
| B: -0.25 (Retained Earnings -5.58b / Total Assets 22.21b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 1.42b / Avg Total Assets 21.00b) |
| D: -0.30 (Book Value of Equity -6.01b / Total Liabilities 20.02b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.95= D |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.66
| 1. Piotroski: 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: -4.23% |
| 3. FCF Margin: -10.68% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 7.00 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 6.29 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 2.87% |
| 7. RoE: 40.19% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 79.10% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 75.26% |
What is the price of NCLH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.61%, over one month by -14.01%, over three months by -12.75% and over the past year by -22.82%.
Is NCLH a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 13
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NCLH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 27.7 | 32.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 27.7 | 32.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 20.7 | -0.8% |
NCLH Fundamental Data Overview January 22, 2026
P/E Forward = 8.0515
P/S = 0.9568
P/B = 4.2286
P/EG = 0.4276
Revenue TTM = 9.69b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.42b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.41b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.65b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 904.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.35b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.18b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 24.45b USD (9.27b + Debt 15.35b - CCE 166.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.60 (Ebit TTM 1.42b / Interest Expense TTM 890.4m)
EV/FCF = -23.61x (Enterprise Value 24.45b / FCF TTM -1.04b)
FCF Yield = -4.23% (FCF TTM -1.04b / Enterprise Value 24.45b)
FCF Margin = -10.68% (FCF TTM -1.04b / Revenue TTM 9.69b)
Net Margin = 6.85% (Net Income TTM 663.5m / Revenue TTM 9.69b)
Gross Margin = 41.98% ((Revenue TTM 9.69b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.08% (prev 42.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.10 (Enterprise Value 24.45b / Total Assets 22.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.14% (Interest Expense 328.8m / Debt 15.35b)
Taxrate = 3.31% (14.3m / 433.6m)
NOPAT = 1.37b (EBIT 1.42b * (1 - 3.31%))
Current Ratio = 0.19 (Total Current Assets 1.04b / Total Current Liabilities 5.35b)
Debt / Equity = 7.00 (Debt 15.35b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.29 (Net Debt 15.18b / EBITDA 2.41b)
Debt / FCF = -14.66 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 15.18b / FCF TTM -1.04b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.16% (Net Income 663.5m / Total Assets 22.21b)
RoE = 40.19% (Net Income TTM 663.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.65b)
RoCE = 9.29% (EBIT 1.42b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.65b + L.T.Debt 13.65b))
RoIC = 8.87% (NOPAT 1.37b / Invested Capital 15.50b)
WACC = 5.99% (E(9.27b)/V(24.62b) * Re(12.48%) + D(15.35b)/V(24.62b) * Rd(2.14%) * (1-Tc(0.03)))
Discount Rate = 12.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 7.95%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.04b)
EPS Correlation: 75.26 | EPS CAGR: 169.2% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 79.10 | Revenue CAGR: 61.45% | SUE: -3.08 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=-0.018 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=15
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.64 | Chg30d=-0.009 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+26.0% | Growth Revenue=+10.2%
Additional Sources for NCLH Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle