NEM Stock Analysis: Newmont Goldcorp | NYSE

Gold | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 121.754m USD | 12M Return: 39.6% | US6516391066 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Gold, Copper, Silver, Zinc
Total Rating 68
Safety 70
Buy Signal -0.39
Gold
Industry Rotation: -31.1
Market Cap: 122B
Avg Turnover: 674M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility47.0%
VaR 5th Pctl8.15%
VaR vs Median5.16%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.84
Rel. Str. IBD79.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group84.1
Character TTM
Beta0.702
Beta Downside0.726
Hurst Exponent0.464
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD36.57%
CAGR/Max DD1.30
CAGR/Mean DD4.19
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NEM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.6, "2021-12": 0.78, "2022-03": 0.69, "2022-06": 0.46, "2022-09": 0.27, "2022-12": 0.44, "2023-03": 0.4, "2023-06": 0.33, "2023-09": 0.36, "2023-12": 0.5, "2024-03": 0.55, "2024-06": 0.72, "2024-09": 0.81, "2024-12": 1.4, "2025-03": 1.25, "2025-06": 1.43, "2025-09": 1.71, "2025-12": 2.52, "2026-03": 2.9, "2026-06": 2.1,
EPS CAGR: 106.00%
EPS Trend: 99.5%
Last SUE: 0.21
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of NEM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 2906, 2021-12: 3390, 2022-03: 2965, 2022-06: 3163, 2022-09: 2673, 2022-12: 3148, 2023-03: 2657, 2023-06: 2705, 2023-09: 2493, 2023-12: 3920, 2024-03: 4001, 2024-06: 4311, 2024-09: 4600, 2024-12: 4871, 2025-03: 4871, 2025-06: 5275, 2025-09: 5380, 2025-12: 6571, 2026-03: 7307, 2026-06: 6118,
Rev. CAGR: 35.24%
Rev. Trend: 98.8%
Last SUE: -0.66
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Choppy
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +2.0% 20
Feb -5.0% 22
Mar +5.7% 33
Apr +3.1% 5
May -2.0% 30
Jun -0.6% 7
Jul +0.0% 5
Aug -5.3% 6
Sep -3.1% 40
Oct -0.6% 0
Nov +1.4% 16
Dec +1.5% 36

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NEM Newmont Goldcorp

Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM) is a large-cap U.S.-based gold producer headquartered in Denver, Colorado, with operations and assets spanning more than a dozen countries across North America, South America, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region. Founded in 1916 and listed since 1978, the company is classified within the Materials sector (Gold sub-industry) and primarily produces gold, while also exploring for copper, silver, lead, zinc, and other metals. As a diversified gold miner with a global footprint, Newmont is exposed to both commodity price volatility and country-specific operating risks typical of the precious metals mining industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Gold prices rally on Fed rate cuts and geopolitical risk
  • All-in sustaining costs decline boost free cash flow margins
  • Capital returns expand via dividend hikes and share buybacks
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.5
Net Income: 8.60b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 8.02 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 31.84% < 20% (prev 29.20%; Δ 2.64% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 12.6b > Net Income 8.60b
Net Debt (-7.15b) to EBITDA (16.4b): -0.44 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.55 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.07b) vs 12m ago -4.05% < -2%
Gross Margin: 57.63% > 18% (prev 40.90%; Δ 16.73% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 44.99% > 50% (prev 35.56%; Δ 9.43% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 86.72 > 6 (EBIT TTM 13.8b / Interest Expense TTM 159.0m)
Altman Z'' 4.56
A: 0.14 (Total Current Assets 13.3b - Total Current Liabilities 5.23b) / Total Assets 57.6b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 5.72b / Total Assets 57.6b)
C: 0.24 (EBIT TTM 13.8b / Avg Total Assets 56.4b)
D: 1.59 (Book Value of Equity 35.4b / Total Liabilities 22.2b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.56 = AA
Beneish M -2.78
DSRI: 1.43 (Receivables 1.18b/637.0m, Revenue 25.4b/19.6b)
GMI: 0.71 (GM 40.90% / 57.63%)
AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.20)
SGI: 1.29 (Revenue 25.4b / 19.6b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 8.60b - CFO 12.6b) / TA 57.6b)
Beneish M = -2.78 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of NEM shares?

As of October 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 117.84 with a total of 4,830,284 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.97%, over one month by -8.45%, over three months by +24.55% and over the past year by +39.59%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 107.50 (which is 8.8% or 2.8 ATR below the current price).

Is NEM a buy, sell or hold?

Newmont Goldcorp has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.43. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NEM.

  • StrongBuy: 15
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the NEM price?
Analysts Target Price 137.3 16.5%
Newmont Goldcorp (NEM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 122b (122b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 14.5712
P/E Forward = 11.6279
P/S = 4.7252
P/B = 3.8048
P/EG = 2.8267
Revenue TTM = 25.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 13.8b USD
EBITDA TTM = 16.4b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.08b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 383.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 515.0m
Net Debt = -7.15b USD (calculated: Debt 5.98b - CCE 13.1b)
Enterprise Value = 115b USD (122b + Debt 5.98b - CCE 13.1b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 86.72 (Ebit TTM 13.8b / Interest Expense TTM 159.0m)
EV/FCF = 11.77x (Enterprise Value 115b / FCF TTM 9.73b)
FCF Yield = 8.49% (FCF TTM 9.73b / Enterprise Value 115b)
FCF Margin = 38.36% (FCF TTM 9.73b / Revenue TTM 25.4b)
Net Margin = 33.88% (Net Income TTM 8.60b / Revenue TTM 25.4b)
Gross Margin = 57.63% ((Revenue TTM 25.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.00% (prev 64.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.99 (Enterprise Value 115b / Total Assets 57.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.66% (Interest Expense 159.0m / Debt 5.98b)
Taxrate = 37.28% (5.21b / 14.0b)
NOPAT = 8.65b (EBIT 13.8b * (1 - 37.28%))
Current Ratio = 2.55 (Total Current Assets 13.3b / Total Current Liabilities 5.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.17 (Debt 5.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 35.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.44 (Net Debt -7.15b / EBITDA 16.4b)
Debt / FCF = -0.73 (Net Debt -7.15b / FCF TTM 9.73b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 34.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.24% (Net Income 8.60b / Total Assets 57.6b)
RoE = 25.02% (Net Income TTM 8.60b / Total Stockholder Equity 34.4b)
RoCE = 34.96% (EBIT 13.8b / Capital Employed (Equity 34.4b + L.T.Debt 5.08b))
RoIC = 16.78% (NOPAT 8.65b / Invested Capital 51.5b)
WACC = 8.13% (E(122b)/V(128b) * Re(8.45%) + D(5.98b)/V(128b) * Rd(2.66%) * (1-Tc(0.37)))
Discount Rate = 8.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.07 | Cagr: -3.39%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈7.80b ; Y1≈8.94b ; Y5≈13.2b
[DCF] Fair Price = 194.6 (EV 198b - Net Debt -7.15b = Equity 205b / Shares 1.05b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 99.46 | EPS CAGR: 106.0% | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.84 | Revenue CAGR: 35.24% | SUE: -0.66 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.94 | Chg30d=+1.12% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.17 | Chg30d=+0.23% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+33.1% | GrowthRev=+18.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.14 | Chg30d=+0.56% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+10.6% | GrowthRev=+8.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +36% (up=6, down=2)