NEM Stock Analysis: Newmont Goldcorp | NYSE

Gold | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 101.727m USD | 12M Return: 58.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Gold, Copper, Silver, Zinc
Total Rating 73
Safety 77
Buy Signal -0.68
Gold
Industry Rotation: +10.6
Market Cap: 102B
Avg Turnover: 868M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility54.2%
VaR 5th Pctl9.33%
VaR vs Median4.63%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.15
Rel. Str. IBD35.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group66.1
Character TTM
Beta0.638
Beta Downside0.696
Hurst Exponent0.418
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD36.57%
CAGR/Max DD0.86
CAGR/Mean DD2.63
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NEM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.83, "2021-09": 0.6, "2021-12": 0.78, "2022-03": 0.69, "2022-06": 0.46, "2022-09": 0.27, "2022-12": 0.44, "2023-03": 0.4, "2023-06": 0.33, "2023-09": 0.36, "2023-12": 0.5, "2024-03": 0.55, "2024-06": 0.72, "2024-09": 0.81, "2024-12": 1.4, "2025-03": 1.25, "2025-06": 1.43, "2025-09": 1.71, "2025-12": 2.52, "2026-03": 2.9,
EPS CAGR: 100.42%
EPS Trend: 98.9%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 6
Revenue Revenue of NEM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 3036, 2021-09: 2906, 2021-12: 3390, 2022-03: 2965, 2022-06: 3163, 2022-09: 2673, 2022-12: 3148, 2023-03: 2657, 2023-06: 2705, 2023-09: 2493, 2023-12: 3920, 2024-03: 4001, 2024-06: 4311, 2024-09: 4600, 2024-12: 4871, 2025-03: 4871, 2025-06: 5275, 2025-09: 5380, 2025-12: 6571, 2026-03: 7183,
Rev. CAGR: 35.05%
Rev. Trend: 98.8%
Last SUE: 1.72
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +1.1% 15
Feb -6.0% 32
Mar +8.5% 31
Apr +1.2% 0
May -1.4% 27
Jun -2.2% 14
Jul +0.0% 8
Aug -5.3% 10
Sep -2.4% 32
Oct +0.1% 8
Nov +2.2% 23
Dec +2.0% 34

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NEM Newmont Goldcorp

Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM) is a gold producer that also explores for copper, silver, lead, zinc, and other metals. The company maintains operations and/or assets across a geographically diverse portfolio spanning the United States, Papua New Guinea, Australia, Ghana, Suriname, Argentina, the Dominican Republic, Chile, Peru, Ecuador, Mexico, and Canada. Founded in 1916 and headquartered in Denver, Colorado, Newmont is listed on the NYSE and operates within the Materials sector (GICS Sub Industry: Gold), where it is widely regarded as one of the worlds largest gold mining companies. As a producer in the precious metals industry, Newmonts revenue is primarily tied to the market price of gold, with copper and silver often recovered as byproducts of gold mining operations.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Gold price appreciation lifts realized prices and operating margins
  • All-in sustaining costs decline driving free cash flow expansion
  • Nevada Gold Mines JV with Barrick delivers record production volumes
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.5
Net Income: 8.46b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.21 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 14.42 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 32.69% < 20% (prev 28.49%; Δ 4.20% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.21 > 3% & CFO 12.1b > Net Income 8.46b
Net Debt (-2.80b) to EBITDA (16.9b): -0.17 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.44 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.09b) vs 12m ago -3.55% < -2%
Gross Margin: 55.12% > 18% (prev 37.07%; Δ 18.05% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 43.13% > 50% (prev 33.60%; Δ 9.53% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 74.53 > 6 (EBIT TTM 14.1b / Interest Expense TTM 189.0m)
Altman Z'' 4.49
A: 0.14 (Total Current Assets 13.5b - Total Current Liabilities 5.53b) / Total Assets 57.7b
B: 0.09 (Retained Earnings 4.97b / Total Assets 57.7b)
C: 0.25 (EBIT TTM 14.1b / Avg Total Assets 56.6b)
D: 1.55 (Book Value of Equity 34.9b / Total Liabilities 22.6b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.49 = AA
Beneish M -2.78
DSRI: 1.44 (Receivables 1.68b/887.0m, Revenue 24.4b/18.7b)
GMI: 0.67 (GM 37.07% / 55.12%)
AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.20)
SGI: 1.31 (Revenue 24.4b / 18.7b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 8.46b - CFO 12.1b) / TA 57.7b)
Beneish M = -2.78 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of NEM shares?

As of July 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 95.29 with a total of 4,423,061 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.80%, over one month by -4.93%, over three months by -18.02% and over the past year by +58.34%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 89.40 (which is 6.2% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is NEM a buy, sell or hold?

Newmont Goldcorp has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.36. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NEM.

  • StrongBuy: 13
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NEM price?
Analysts Target Price 135.8 42.5%
Newmont Goldcorp (NEM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 11 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 102b (102b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.3593
P/E Forward = 9.8232
P/S = 4.0541
P/B = 2.8488
P/EG = 2.7807
Revenue TTM = 24.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 14.1b USD
EBITDA TTM = 16.9b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.08b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 116.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 453.0m
Net Debt = -2.80b USD (calculated: Debt 5.99b - CCE 8.78b)
Enterprise Value = 98.9b USD (102b + Debt 5.99b - CCE 8.78b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 74.53 (Ebit TTM 14.1b / Interest Expense TTM 189.0m)
EV/FCF = 8.06x (Enterprise Value 98.9b / FCF TTM 12.3b)
FCF Yield = 12.41% (FCF TTM 12.3b / Enterprise Value 98.9b)
FCF Margin = 50.28% (FCF TTM 12.3b / Revenue TTM 24.4b)
Net Margin = 34.64% (Net Income TTM 8.46b / Revenue TTM 24.4b)
Gross Margin = 55.12% ((Revenue TTM 24.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 62.44% (prev 58.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.72 (Enterprise Value 98.9b / Total Assets 57.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.16% (Interest Expense 189.0m / Debt 5.99b)
Taxrate = 38.38% (5.35b / 13.9b)
NOPAT = 8.68b (EBIT 14.1b * (1 - 38.38%))
Current Ratio = 2.44 (Total Current Assets 13.5b / Total Current Liabilities 5.53b)
Debt / Equity = 0.17 (Debt 5.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 34.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.17 (Net Debt -2.80b / EBITDA 16.9b)
Debt / FCF = -0.23 (Net Debt -2.80b / FCF TTM 12.3b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 33.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.94% (Net Income 8.46b / Total Assets 57.7b)
RoE = 25.22% (Net Income TTM 8.46b / Total Stockholder Equity 33.5b)
RoCE = 36.48% (EBIT 14.1b / Capital Employed (Equity 33.5b + L.T.Debt 5.08b))
RoIC = 17.01% (NOPAT 8.68b / Invested Capital 51.0b)
WACC = 7.88% (E(102b)/V(108b) * Re(8.23%) + D(5.99b)/V(108b) * Rd(3.16%) * (1-Tc(0.38)))
Discount Rate = 8.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -49.44 | Cagr: 4.76%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈8.89b ; Y1≈10.2b ; Y5≈15.0b
[DCF] Fair Price = 214.0 (EV 226b - Net Debt -2.80b = Equity 228b / Shares 1.07b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.92 | EPS CAGR: 100.4% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 98.81 | Revenue CAGR: 35.05% | SUE: 1.72 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.13 | Chg30d=-5.78% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.32 | Chg30d=-12.93% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.76 | Chg30d=-5.25% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+41.6% | GrowthRev=+22.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.99 | Chg30d=-3.55% | Revisions=-30% | GrowthEPS=+12.6% | GrowthRev=+7.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -23% (up=7, down=12)