NEU Stock Analysis: NewMarket | NYSE

Specialty Chemicals | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 7.226m USD | 12M Return: 7.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Lubricant Additives, Fuel Additives, Antiknock Compounds, Industrial Additives
Total Rating 51
Safety 85
Buy Signal -0.07
Specialty Chemicals
Industry Rotation: -1.8
Market Cap: 7.23B
Avg Turnover: 83.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility28.0%
VaR 5th Pctl4.71%
VaR vs Median2.29%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.27
Rel. Str. IBD50.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group55.4
Character TTM
Beta0.457
Beta Downside0.344
Hurst Exponent0.437
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD32.77%
CAGR/Max DD0.74
CAGR/Mean DD2.32
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NEU over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 4.75, "2021-09": 4.8, "2021-12": 1.65, "2022-03": 5.75, "2022-06": 6.54, "2022-09": 6.32, "2022-12": 9.26, "2023-03": 10.09, "2023-06": 10.36, "2023-09": 11.6, "2023-12": 8.38, "2024-03": 11.2335, "2024-06": 11.6339, "2024-09": 13.7902, "2024-12": 11.56, "2025-03": 13.2631, "2025-06": 2.75, "2025-09": 10.6708, "2025-12": 8.6158, "2026-03": 12.6176,
EPS CAGR: -2.37%
EPS Trend: -18.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of NEU over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 590.721, 2021-09: 622.207, 2021-12: 576.567, 2022-03: 662.552, 2022-06: 723.639, 2022-09: 696.049, 2022-12: 682.559, 2023-03: 702.789, 2023-06: 685.13, 2023-09: 667.15, 2023-12: 643.35, 2024-03: 696.736, 2024-06: 710.228, 2024-09: 724.947, 2024-12: 654.647, 2025-03: 700.946, 2025-06: 698.509, 2025-09: 690.311, 2025-12: 635.403, 2026-03: 669.717,
Rev. CAGR: 0.04%
Rev. Trend: 2.5%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -1.2% 16
Feb -1.1% 14
Mar +0.5% 16
Apr +1.7% 17
May +0.9% 14
Jun -1.0% 0
Jul +1.2% 9
Aug +0.1% 20
Sep -0.6% 12
Oct +0.6% 8
Nov +0.9% 21
Dec -1.5% 38

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NEU NewMarket

NewMarket Corporation (NYSE: NEU) is a U.S.-based specialty chemicals company that, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells petroleum additives for global markets. Its product portfolio spans lubricant additives, engine oil additives for passenger and heavy-duty commercial applications, driveline additives, industrial additives, and fuel additives used by refineries, OEMs, governments, and individual customers. The company also markets antiknock compounds, performs contract manufacturing, and owns a real property in Virginia. It operates across North America, Latin America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and India. Founded in 1887 and headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, NewMarket trades as a mid-cap stock within the GICS Materials sector and the Specialty Chemicals sub-industry.

As a specialty chemicals producer, NewMarket operates in a niche segment of the broader petroleum value chain, supplying additive packages that improve lubricant performance, fuel efficiency, and emissions characteristics rather than producing base fuels or crude. Its business model is largely B2B, with customers concentrated among oil refiners, lubricant blenders, and engine and equipment manufacturers, which typically involves long product qualification cycles and recurring demand from existing formulations.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Stricter emissions standards boost lubricant additive demand globally
  • Petroleum additive margins pressured by raw material cost volatility
  • Heavy-duty commercial and marine segments drive volume growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 410.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.05 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 24.04% < 20% (prev 26.07%; Δ -2.03% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 572.7m > Net Income 410.9m
Net Debt (1.03b) to EBITDA (710.8m): 1.44 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.55 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (9.40m) vs 12m ago -0.66% < -2%
Gross Margin: 31.26% > 18% (prev 32.46%; Δ -1.20% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 79.97% > 50% (prev 86.32%; Δ -6.35% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.51 > 6 (EBIT TTM 585.9m / Interest Expense TTM 37.8m)
Altman Z'' 4.93
A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 1.06b - Total Current Liabilities 417.3m) / Total Assets 3.50b
B: 0.47 (Retained Earnings 1.63b / Total Assets 3.50b)
C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 585.9m / Avg Total Assets 3.37b)
D: 0.98 (Book Value of Equity 1.73b / Total Liabilities 1.77b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.93 = AAA
Beneish M -2.97
DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 438.4m/463.3m, Revenue 2.69b/2.79b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 32.46% / 31.26%)
AQI: 1.12 (AQ_t 0.45 / AQ_t-1 0.40)
SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 2.69b / 2.79b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 410.9m - CFO 572.7m) / TA 3.50b)
Beneish M = -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of NEU shares?

As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 779.15 with a total of 74,145 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.53%, over one month by -2.62%, over three months by +21.15% and over the past year by +7.85%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 752.00 (which is 3.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is NEU a buy, sell or hold?

NewMarket has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the NEU price?
Analysts Target Price 450 -42.2%
NewMarket (NEU) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 03 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 7.23b (7.23b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.9197
P/E Forward = 22.5225
P/S = 2.6823
P/B = 4.1707
P/EG = 5.6368
Revenue TTM = 2.69b USD
EBIT TTM = 585.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 710.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 939.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 16.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.10b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 80.2m
Net Debt = 1.03b USD (calculated: Debt 1.10b - CCE 73.2m)
Enterprise Value = 8.25b USD (7.23b + Debt 1.10b - CCE 73.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.51 (Ebit TTM 585.9m / Interest Expense TTM 37.8m)
EV/FCF = 17.06x (Enterprise Value 8.25b / FCF TTM 483.7m)
FCF Yield = 5.86% (FCF TTM 483.7m / Enterprise Value 8.25b)
FCF Margin = 17.96% (FCF TTM 483.7m / Revenue TTM 2.69b)
Net Margin = 15.25% (Net Income TTM 410.9m / Revenue TTM 2.69b)
Gross Margin = 31.26% ((Revenue TTM 2.69b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.85b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.98% (prev 30.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.36 (Enterprise Value 8.25b / Total Assets 3.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.43% (Interest Expense 37.8m / Debt 1.10b)
Taxrate = 25.04% (137.2m / 548.1m)
NOPAT = 439.2m (EBIT 585.9m * (1 - 25.04%))
Current Ratio = 2.55 (Total Current Assets 1.06b / Total Current Liabilities 417.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.63 (Debt 1.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.44 (Net Debt 1.03b / EBITDA 710.8m)
Debt / FCF = 2.12 (Net Debt 1.03b / FCF TTM 483.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.70b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.20% (Net Income 410.9m / Total Assets 3.50b)
RoE = 24.12% (Net Income TTM 410.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.70b)
RoCE = 22.17% (EBIT 585.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.70b + L.T.Debt 939.6m))
RoIC = 14.49% (NOPAT 439.2m / Invested Capital 3.03b)
WACC = 6.93% (E(7.23b)/V(8.33b) * Re(7.59%) + D(1.10b)/V(8.33b) * Rd(3.43%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -55.21 | Cagr: -0.92%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.53% ; FCFF base≈482.3m ; Y1≈487.2m ; Y5≈522.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 770.3 (EV 8.11b - Net Debt 1.03b = Equity 7.09b / Shares 9.20m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.71% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -18.41 | EPS CAGR: -2.37% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 2.54 | Revenue CAGR: 0.04% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0