(NFG) National Fuel Gas - Ratings and Ratios
Natural Gas, Oil, Gas Transportation, Gas Storage
NFG EPS (Earnings per Share)
NFG Revenue
Description: NFG National Fuel Gas July 25, 2025
National Fuel Gas Company is a diversified energy company with a presence in the natural gas industry, operating through four key segments: Exploration and Production, Pipeline and Storage, Gathering, and Utility. The companys diversified business model allows it to explore, develop, produce, transport, and distribute natural gas, providing a range of services to various customers.
The companys Exploration and Production segment is a key driver of its growth, with a focus on developing natural gas and oil resources in the Appalachian region. The Pipeline and Storage segment provides critical infrastructure for transporting and storing natural gas, serving a range of customers including utilities, industrial companies, and power producers. The Utility segment serves retail customers in New York and Pennsylvania, providing essential natural gas services.
From a financial perspective, National Fuel Gas Company has a market capitalization of approximately $8.06 billion, with a forward P/E ratio of 11.75, indicating a relatively attractive valuation. The companys return on equity (ROE) is currently 1.38%, which is a relatively low figure, suggesting potential for improvement. Other key performance indicators (KPIs) to monitor include the companys debt-to-equity ratio, interest coverage ratio, and dividend yield, which can provide insights into its financial health and sustainability.
Additional KPIs that can be used to evaluate National Fuel Gas Companys performance include its production growth rate, reserve replacement ratio, and operating cash flow margin. The companys ability to generate cash from its operations, invest in new projects, and return value to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks are also important metrics to track. By analyzing these KPIs, investors can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the companys strengths, weaknesses, and prospects for future growth.
NFG Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 7,744m |
| Sub-Industry | Gas Utilities |
| IPO / Inception | 1987-09-01 |
NFG Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 67.2% |
| Fundamental | 56.0% |
| Dividend Rating | 61.7% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 11.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.33 of 5 |
NFG Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.66% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.12% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 3.61% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 54.6% |
NFG Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -25.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 93.7% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 65% |
| CAGR 5y | 9.68% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.35 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.95 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.07 |
| Alpha | 17.74 |
| Beta | 0.592 |
| Volatility | 20.22% |
| Current Volume | 743.5k |
| Average Volume 20d | 549.2k |
| Stop Loss | 76.6 (-3%) |
| Signal | -0.70 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (243.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 131.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.21pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -22.06% (prev -6.07%; Δ -15.99pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.06b > Net Income 243.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.70b) to EBITDA (917.8m) ratio: 2.95 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.46 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (91.1m) change vs 12m ago -0.80% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 45.39% (prev 42.21%; Δ 3.18pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 25.80% (prev 22.89%; Δ 2.90pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.04 (EBITDA TTM 917.8m / Interest Expense TTM 155.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.12
| (A) -0.06 = (Total Current Assets 408.2m - Total Current Liabilities 889.9m) / Total Assets 8.45b |
| (B) 0.23 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.95b / Total Assets 8.45b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 471.8m / Avg Total Assets 8.46b |
| (D) 0.35 = Book Value of Equity 1.93b / Total Liabilities 5.47b |
| Total Rating: 1.12 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 55.98
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.78% = 0.89 |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.51% = 2.13 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.92 = 2.09 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.95 = -1.69 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.12)% = -0.15 |
| 7. RoE 8.59% = 0.72 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 5.69% = 0.43 |
| 9. EPS Trend -8.52% = -0.43 |
What is the price of NFG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.01%, over one month by -14.57%, over three months by -9.53% and over the past year by +33.00%.
Is National Fuel Gas a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NFG is around 82.34 USD . This means that NFG is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 4.23%.
Is NFG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NFG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 98.3 | 24.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 98.3 | 24.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 90 | 13.9% |
NFG Fundamental Data Overview October 20, 2025
P/E Trailing = 31.7407
P/E Forward = 11.0497
P/S = 3.547
P/B = 2.7849
P/EG = 2.05
Beta = 0.592
Revenue TTM = 2.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 471.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 917.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.38b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 361.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.74b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.70b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.45b USD (7.74b + Debt 2.74b - CCE 39.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.04 (Ebit TTM 471.8m / Interest Expense TTM 155.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.78% (FCF TTM 185.9m / Enterprise Value 10.45b)
FCF Margin = 8.51% (FCF TTM 185.9m / Revenue TTM 2.18b)
Net Margin = 11.15% (Net Income TTM 243.5m / Revenue TTM 2.18b)
Gross Margin = 45.39% ((Revenue TTM 2.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.84% (prev 46.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.24 (Enterprise Value 10.45b / Total Assets 8.45b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.38% (Interest Expense 37.9m / Debt 2.74b)
Taxrate = 25.43% (51.1m / 200.9m)
NOPAT = 351.9m (EBIT 471.8m * (1 - 25.43%))
Current Ratio = 0.46 (Total Current Assets 408.2m / Total Current Liabilities 889.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.92 (Debt 2.74b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.95 (Net Debt 2.70b / EBITDA 917.8m)
Debt / FCF = 14.55 (Net Debt 2.70b / FCF TTM 185.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.84b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.88% (Net Income 243.5m / Total Assets 8.45b)
RoE = 8.59% (Net Income TTM 243.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.84b)
RoCE = 9.04% (EBIT 471.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.84b + L.T.Debt 2.38b))
RoIC = 6.20% (NOPAT 351.9m / Invested Capital 5.67b)
WACC = 6.32% (E(7.74b)/V(10.49b) * Re(8.20%) + D(2.74b)/V(10.49b) * Rd(1.38%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.71%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.77% ; FCFE base≈145.0m ; Y1≈95.2m ; Y5≈43.5m
Fair Price DCF = 9.22 (DCF Value 833.3m / Shares Outstanding 90.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -8.52 | EPS CAGR: 12.37% | SUE: 0.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 5.69 | Revenue CAGR: 7.57% | SUE: -1.01 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for NFG Stock
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