(NGG) National Grid - Overview

Sector: Utilities | Industry: Utilities - Regulated Electric | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 83.430m USD | Total Return: 22.8% in 12m

Electricity Transmission, Electricity Distribution, Gas Supply, Gas Distribution
Total Rating 57
Safety 70
Buy Signal -0.52
Utilities - Regulated Electric
Industry Rotation: +13.2
Market Cap: 83.4B
Avg Turnover: 92.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility29.2%
VaR 5th Pctl5.18%
VaR vs Median7.95%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.87
Rel. Str. IBD52.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group65.8
Character TTM
Beta0.007
Beta Downside-0.227
Hurst Exponent0.503
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD20.76%
CAGR/Max DD0.81
CAGR/Mean DD3.11

Warnings

Share dilution 23.0% YoY

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: NGG National Grid

National Grid plc (NGG) is a major multinational utility company focused on the transmission and distribution of electricity and natural gas. Headquartered in London, the company operates regulated networks across the United Kingdom and the Northeastern United States, specifically in New York and New England. Its portfolio includes high-voltage transmission lines, local distribution networks, subsea electricity interconnectors, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) storage facilities.

As a regulated utility, the company operates under a natural monopoly business model where revenue is largely determined by government regulators based on capital investment and service performance. This sector is characterized by high capital intensity and serves as critical infrastructure for the energy transition. Investors may find ValueRay useful for analyzing the companys valuation metrics and dividend history. The company also maintains a non-regulated division, National Grid Ventures, which invests in competitive energy markets and renewable energy technologies.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Regulatory rate case settlements in New York and New England drive earnings
  • UK energy transition capital expenditure increases asset base and regulated returns
  • Interest rate fluctuations impact debt servicing costs for capital intensive infrastructure
  • Electricity transmission network expansion supports long-term revenue growth and dividend stability
  • Political and regulatory shifts in UK energy policy affect allowed profit margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 6.11b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.10 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -6.48% < 20% (prev -3.15%; Δ -3.33% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 11.46b > Net Income 6.11b
Net Debt (44.76b) to EBITDA (15.03b): 2.98 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.76 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (995.2m) vs 12m ago 23.01% < -2%
Gross Margin: 29.34% > 18% (prev 0.22%; Δ 2.91k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 34.54% > 50% (prev 32.60%; Δ 1.94% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.02 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 15.03b / Interest Expense TTM 2.65b)
Altman Z'' 2.39
A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 7.49b - Total Current Liabilities 9.80b) / Total Assets 108.29b
B: 0.39 (Retained Earnings 41.91b / Total Assets 108.29b)
C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 10.66b / Avg Total Assets 103.31b)
D: 0.55 (Book Value of Equity 38.02b / Total Liabilities 68.95b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.39 = BBB
Beneish M -3.15
DSRI: 1.15 (Receivables 3.88b/3.03b, Revenue 35.68b/32.05b)
GMI: 0.74 (GM 29.34% / 21.71%)
AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.18 / AQ_t-1 0.19)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 35.68b / 32.05b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 6.11b - CFO 11.46b) / TA 108.29b)
Beneish M = -3.15 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of NGG shares?

As of May 23, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 86.42 with a total of 685,071 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.40%, over one month by +1.18%, over three months by -5.28% and over the past year by +22.78%.

Is NGG a buy, sell or hold?

National Grid has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NGG.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NGG price?
Analysts Target Price 92.3 6.8%
National Grid (NGG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 20 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 20.96
P/E Forward = 13.3156
P/S = 4.717
P/B = 1.5096
P/EG = 1.0017
Revenue TTM = 35.68b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.66b USD
EBITDA TTM = 15.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 42.29b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 3.90b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 47.59b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 829.0m
Net Debt = 44.76b USD (calculated: Debt 47.59b - CCE 2.83b)
Enterprise Value = 128.19b USD (83.43b + Debt 47.59b - CCE 2.83b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.02 (Ebit TTM 10.66b / Interest Expense TTM 2.65b)
EV/FCF = -18.10x (Enterprise Value 128.19b / FCF TTM -7.08b)
FCF Yield = -5.52% (FCF TTM -7.08b / Enterprise Value 128.19b)
FCF Margin = -19.85% (FCF TTM -7.08b / Revenue TTM 35.68b)
Net Margin = 17.13% (Net Income TTM 6.11b / Revenue TTM 35.68b)
Gross Margin = 29.34% ((Revenue TTM 35.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 25.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.02% (prev 22.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.18 (Enterprise Value 128.19b / Total Assets 108.29b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.02% (Interest Expense 483.2m / Debt 47.59b)
Taxrate = 21.78% (742.0m / 3.41b)
NOPAT = 8.34b (EBIT 10.66b * (1 - 21.78%))
Current Ratio = 0.76 (Total Current Assets 7.49b / Total Current Liabilities 9.80b)
Debt / Equity = 1.21 (Debt 47.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 39.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.98 (Net Debt 44.76b / EBITDA 15.03b)
 Debt / FCF = -6.32 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 44.76b / FCF TTM -7.08b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 37.53b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.92% (Net Income 6.11b / Total Assets 108.29b)
RoE = 16.29% (Net Income TTM 6.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 37.53b)
RoCE = 13.35% (EBIT 10.66b / Capital Employed (Equity 37.53b + L.T.Debt 42.29b))
RoIC = 8.37% (NOPAT 8.34b / Invested Capital 99.56b)
WACC = 4.12% (E(83.43b)/V(131.02b) * Re(6.01%) + D(47.59b)/V(131.02b) * Rd(1.02%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 6.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 68.89 | Cagr: 14.84%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -7.08b)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.42 | Revenue CAGR: 15.39% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=6.08 | Chg30d=-0.26% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+21.4%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=6.51 | Chg30d=+0.33% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+7.1% | GrowthRev=+3.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +20%