(NGG) National Grid - Overview

Sector: Utilities | Industry: Utilities - Regulated Electric | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 86.186m USD | Total Return: 20.3% in 12m

Electricity Transmission, Electricity Distribution, Gas Supply, Gas Distribution
Total Rating 53
Safety 65
Buy Signal -0.69
Utilities - Regulated Electric
Industry Rotation: +2.3
Market Cap: 86.2B
Avg Turnover: 86.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility25.5%
VaR 5th Pctl4.56%
VaR vs Median8.52%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.78
Rel. Str. IBD42.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group55.3
Character TTM
Beta-0.017
Beta Downside-0.227
Hurst Exponent0.454
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD20.76%
CAGR/Max DD0.71
CAGR/Mean DD2.70

Warnings

Share dilution 23.0% YoY

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: NGG National Grid

National Grid plc (NGG) is a major multinational utility company focused on the transmission and distribution of electricity and natural gas. Headquartered in London, the company operates regulated networks across the United Kingdom and the Northeastern United States, specifically in New York and New England. Its portfolio includes high-voltage transmission lines, local distribution networks, subsea electricity interconnectors, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) storage facilities.

As a regulated utility, the company operates under a natural monopoly business model where revenue is largely determined by government regulators based on capital investment and service performance. This sector is characterized by high capital intensity and serves as critical infrastructure for the energy transition. Investors may find ValueRay useful for analyzing the companys valuation metrics and dividend history. The company also maintains a non-regulated division, National Grid Ventures, which invests in competitive energy markets and renewable energy technologies.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Regulatory rate case settlements in New York and New England drive earnings
  • UK energy transition capital expenditure increases asset base and regulated returns
  • Interest rate fluctuations impact debt servicing costs for capital intensive infrastructure
  • Electricity transmission network expansion supports long-term revenue growth and dividend stability
  • Political and regulatory shifts in UK energy policy affect allowed profit margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 6.11b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.10 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -6.48% < 20% (prev -3.15%; Δ -3.33% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 11.5b > Net Income 6.11b
Net Debt (44.8b) to EBITDA (15.0b): 2.98 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.76 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (995.2m) vs 12m ago 23.01% < -2%
Gross Margin: 29.34% > 18% (prev 0.22%; Δ 2.91k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 34.54% > 50% (prev 32.60%; Δ 1.94% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.02 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 15.0b / Interest Expense TTM 2.65b)
Altman Z'' 2.39
A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 7.49b - Total Current Liabilities 9.80b) / Total Assets 108b
B: 0.39 (Retained Earnings 41.9b / Total Assets 108b)
C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 10.7b / Avg Total Assets 103b)
D: 0.55 (Book Value of Equity 38.0b / Total Liabilities 69.0b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.39 = BBB
Beneish M -3.15
DSRI: 1.15 (Receivables 3.88b/3.03b, Revenue 35.7b/32.1b)
GMI: 0.74 (GM 29.34% / 21.71%)
AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.18 / AQ_t-1 0.19)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 35.7b / 32.1b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 6.11b - CFO 11.5b) / TA 108b)
Beneish M = -3.15 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of NGG shares?

As of May 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 81.53 with a total of 1,521,160 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.20%, over one month by -2.71%, over three months by -10.79% and over the past year by +20.32%.

Is NGG a buy, sell or hold?

National Grid has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NGG.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NGG price?
Analysts Target Price 92.3 13.2%
National Grid (NGG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 86.2b (86.2b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 21.4913
P/E Forward = 14.4092
P/S = 4.8729
P/B = 1.6326
P/EG = 1.0833
Revenue TTM = 35.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.7b USD
EBITDA TTM = 15.0b USD
Long Term Debt = 42.3b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 3.90b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 47.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 829.0m
Net Debt = 44.8b USD (calculated: Debt 47.6b - CCE 2.83b)
Enterprise Value = 131b USD (86.2b + Debt 47.6b - CCE 2.83b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.02 (Ebit TTM 10.7b / Interest Expense TTM 2.65b)
EV/FCF = -18.49x (Enterprise Value 131b / FCF TTM -7.08b)
FCF Yield = -5.41% (FCF TTM -7.08b / Enterprise Value 131b)
FCF Margin = -19.85% (FCF TTM -7.08b / Revenue TTM 35.7b)
Net Margin = 17.13% (Net Income TTM 6.11b / Revenue TTM 35.7b)
Gross Margin = 29.34% ((Revenue TTM 35.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 25.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.02% (prev 22.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.21 (Enterprise Value 131b / Total Assets 108b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.57% (Interest Expense 2.65b / Debt 47.6b)
Taxrate = 21.78% (742.0m / 3.41b)
NOPAT = 8.34b (EBIT 10.7b * (1 - 21.78%))
Current Ratio = 0.76 (Total Current Assets 7.49b / Total Current Liabilities 9.80b)
Debt / Equity = 1.21 (Debt 47.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 39.3b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.98 (Net Debt 44.8b / EBITDA 15.0b)
 Debt / FCF = -6.32 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 44.8b / FCF TTM -7.08b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 37.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.92% (Net Income 6.11b / Total Assets 108b)
RoE = 16.29% (Net Income TTM 6.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 37.5b)
RoCE = 13.35% (EBIT 10.7b / Capital Employed (Equity 37.5b + L.T.Debt 42.3b))
RoIC = 8.14% (NOPAT 8.34b / Invested Capital 102b)
WACC = 5.36% (E(86.2b)/V(134b) * Re(5.92%) + D(47.6b)/V(134b) * Rd(5.57%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 5.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 68.89 | Cagr: 14.84%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -7.08b)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.42 | Revenue CAGR: 15.39% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=6.08 | Chg30d=-0.26% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+15.9%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=6.51 | Chg30d=+0.33% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+7.1% | GrowthRev=+6.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +20%