NGS Stock Analysis: Natural Gas | NYSE
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 427m USD | 12M Return: 27.4% | US63886Q1094 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 3.44M
EPS Trend: 86.8%
Qual. Beats: 8
Rev. Trend: 95.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. (NGS) is a U.S.-based provider of natural gas compression equipment, electric compression technology, and related services to the energy industry. The company rents, designs, installs, services, and maintains both natural gas engine and electric motor drive compressors used by oil and gas production and processing facilities. Beyond its rental fleet, NGS designs and assembles compressor units, sells compressor components, and offers aftermarket services including installation, start-up, and ongoing maintenance. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Southlake, Texas.
NGS operates within the oil and gas equipment and services sector, where compression equipment rental is a common business model because exploration and production operators typically prefer to lease rather than own the high-cost, specialized horsepower units they need to move and pressurize gas. Demand for the companys rental fleet and aftermarket services tends to track U.S. natural gas production and drilling activity, making NGSs revenue closely linked to upstream E&P capital spending and well counts.
- U.S. shale drilling activity drives compressor rental demand
- Electric compression fleet expansion lifts margins versus legacy gas units
- Methane emission regulations accelerate low-emission equipment adoption
- Natural gas price volatility impacts upstream customer capital spending
| Net Income: 20.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.35 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.28% < 20% (prev 14.68%; Δ 3.59% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 79.1m > Net Income 20.5m |
| Net Debt (329.2m) to EBITDA (83.5m): 3.94 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.12 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (12.8m) vs 12m ago 1.72% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 44.21% > 18% (prev 42.41%; Δ 1.80% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 30.46% > 50% (prev 31.23%; Δ -0.77% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.82 > 6 (EBIT TTM 43.2m / Interest Expense TTM 15.3m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 65.7m - Total Current Liabilities 31.0m) / Total Assets 718.3m |
| B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 176.1m / Total Assets 718.3m) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 43.2m / Avg Total Assets 621.9m) |
| D: 0.69 (Book Value of Equity 294.5m / Total Liabilities 423.9m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.31 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.76 (Receivables 22.0m/25.1m, Revenue 189.4m/164.1m) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 42.41% / 44.21%) |
| AQI: 65.65 (AQ_t 0.88 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 189.4m / 164.1m) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 20.5m - CFO 79.1m) / TA 718.3m) |
| Beneish M = 35.18 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of October 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 32.90 with a total of 54,600 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.03%, over one month by -7.58%, over three months by -18.58% and over the past year by +27.44%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 31.30 (which is 4.9% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Natural Gas has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NGS.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 56 | 70.2% |
P/E Trailing = 20.559
P/E Forward = 11.8765
P/S = 2.2539
P/B = 1.4533
P/EG = 0.8198
Revenue TTM = 189.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 43.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 83.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 328.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 462k USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 329.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.28m
Net Debt = 329.2m USD (calculated: Debt 329.3m - CCE 84.0k)
Enterprise Value = 756.1m USD (426.9m + Debt 329.3m - CCE 84.0k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.82 (Ebit TTM 43.2m / Interest Expense TTM 15.3m)
EV/FCF = -24.14x (Enterprise Value 756.1m / FCF TTM -31.3m)
FCF Yield = -4.14% (FCF TTM -31.3m / Enterprise Value 756.1m)
FCF Margin = -16.54% (FCF TTM -31.3m / Revenue TTM 189.4m)
Net Margin = 10.81% (Net Income TTM 20.5m / Revenue TTM 189.4m)
Gross Margin = 44.21% ((Revenue TTM 189.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 105.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.94% (prev 41.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.05 (Enterprise Value 756.1m / Total Assets 718.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.64% (Interest Expense 15.3m / Debt 329.3m)
Taxrate = 26.53% (7.39m / 27.9m)
NOPAT = 31.7m (EBIT 43.2m * (1 - 26.53%))
Current Ratio = 2.12 (Total Current Assets 65.7m / Total Current Liabilities 31.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.12 (Debt 329.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 294.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.94 (Net Debt 329.2m / EBITDA 83.5m)
Debt / FCF = -10.51 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 329.2m / FCF TTM -31.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 280.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.29% (Net Income 20.5m / Total Assets 718.3m)
RoE = 7.31% (Net Income TTM 20.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 280.3m)
RoCE = 7.10% (EBIT 43.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 280.3m + L.T.Debt 328.0m))
RoIC = 4.61% (NOPAT 31.7m / Invested Capital 687.7m)
WACC = 7.01% (E(426.9m)/V(756.2m) * Re(9.78%) + D(329.3m)/V(756.2m) * Rd(4.64%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.51 | Cagr: 1.33%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -31.3m)
EPS Correlation: 86.79 | EPS CAGR: 83.72% | SUE: 2.31 | # QB: 8
Revenue Correlation: 95.72 | Revenue CAGR: 19.41% | SUE: 0.82 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.48 | Chg30d=-8.57% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.88 | Chg30d=-2.34% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+3.2% | GrowthRev=+22.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.61 | Chg30d=+5.24% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+38.8% | GrowthRev=+19.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=3, down=0)