(NI) NiSource - Ratings and Ratios
Natural Gas, Electricity, Utility
NI EPS (Earnings per Share)
NI Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 31.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 2.90% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.86 |
| Alpha | 14.59 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.487 |
| Beta | 0.397 |
| Beta Downside | 0.616 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 19.04% |
| Mean DD | 3.66% |
| Median DD | 3.12% |
Description: NI NiSource October 16, 2025
NiSource Inc. (NYSE:NI) is a regulated utility holding company that serves roughly 2.4 million natural-gas customers and 0.5 million electric customers across Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, Maryland, and northern Indiana. The business operates two segments-Columbia Operations and NIPSCO Operations-maintaining about 37,200 mi of gas distribution mains, 330 mi of transmission pipelines, and a diversified generation fleet that includes steam-coal, combined-cycle gas, hydro, wind, and solar assets.
Recent quarterly filings show a dividend yield near 5 % and a credit rating of A- (S&P), reflecting the sector’s stable cash flows but also exposure to declining coal utilization. Capital-expenditure guidance for 2025 targets roughly $1.2 bn, with a strategic emphasis on expanding renewable capacity (wind and solar) to meet state-level clean-energy mandates. A key macro driver is natural-gas price volatility, which can swing earnings by ±10 % given the company’s gas-heavy generation mix.
For a deeper quantitative view of NiSource’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform offers tools that can help you assess whether the stock aligns with your investment criteria.
NI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 20,609m |
| Sub-Industry | Multi-Utilities |
| IPO / Inception | 1984-10-19 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 6.80% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.47 of 5 |
NI Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.61% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.39% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 5.99% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 59.6% |
NI Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 21.90% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 1.15 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 5.99 |
| Current Volume | 3245.9k |
| Average Volume | 4002.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (895.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 379.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.60pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -26.63% (prev -35.34%; Δ 8.71pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.19b > Net Income 895.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (15.64b) to EBITDA (2.90b) ratio: 5.39 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.52 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (473.7m) change vs 12m ago 4.22% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 50.59% (prev 51.28%; Δ -0.69pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 19.40% (prev 17.16%; Δ 2.24pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.01 (EBITDA TTM 2.90b / Interest Expense TTM 588.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.04
| (A) -0.05 = (Total Current Assets 1.85b - Total Current Liabilities 3.53b) / Total Assets 34.40b |
| (B) -0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -572.0m / Total Assets 34.40b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 1.77b / Avg Total Assets 32.62b |
| (D) -0.03 = Book Value of Equity -580.2m / Total Liabilities 23.16b |
| Total Rating: -0.04 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 44.09
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.48% = -0.74 |
| 3. FCF Margin -8.46% = -3.17 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.73 = 1.16 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.39 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.62)% = 2.02 |
| 7. RoE 10.07% = 0.84 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -6.43% = -0.48 |
| 9. EPS Trend -10.79% = -0.54 |
What is the price of NI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.54%, over one month by +0.55%, over three months by +1.45% and over the past year by +22.41%.
Is NiSource a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NI is around 48.51 USD . This means that NI is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +13.13% (Margin of Safety).
Is NI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 11
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 45.3 | 5.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 45.3 | 5.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 52.2 | 21.8% |
NI Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025
P/E Trailing = 22.9211
P/E Forward = 21.322
P/S = 3.2573
P/B = 2.2847
P/EG = 2.4525
Beta = 0.63
Revenue TTM = 6.33b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.77b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.90b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.07b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.29b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.76b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.64b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 36.25b USD (20.61b + Debt 15.76b - CCE 119.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.01 (Ebit TTM 1.77b / Interest Expense TTM 588.7m)
FCF Yield = -1.48% (FCF TTM -535.5m / Enterprise Value 36.25b)
FCF Margin = -8.46% (FCF TTM -535.5m / Revenue TTM 6.33b)
Net Margin = 14.15% (Net Income TTM 895.6m / Revenue TTM 6.33b)
Gross Margin = 50.59% ((Revenue TTM 6.33b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.13b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.29% (prev 48.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.05 (Enterprise Value 36.25b / Total Assets 34.40b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.14% (Interest Expense 179.8m / Debt 15.76b)
Taxrate = 16.14% (20.6m / 127.6m)
NOPAT = 1.49b (EBIT 1.77b * (1 - 16.14%))
Current Ratio = 0.52 (Total Current Assets 1.85b / Total Current Liabilities 3.53b)
Debt / Equity = 1.73 (Debt 15.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.12b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.39 (Net Debt 15.64b / EBITDA 2.90b)
Debt / FCF = -29.21 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 15.64b / FCF TTM -535.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.90b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.60% (Net Income 895.6m / Total Assets 34.40b)
RoE = 10.07% (Net Income TTM 895.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.90b)
RoCE = 8.45% (EBIT 1.77b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.90b + L.T.Debt 12.07b))
RoIC = 6.27% (NOPAT 1.49b / Invested Capital 23.69b)
WACC = 4.65% (E(20.61b)/V(36.37b) * Re(7.48%) + D(15.76b)/V(36.37b) * Rd(1.14%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 7.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.68%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -535.5m)
EPS Correlation: -10.79 | EPS CAGR: -29.66% | SUE: -0.33 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -6.43 | Revenue CAGR: -10.07% | SUE: 1.06 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for NI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle