(NIO) Nio - Ratings and Ratios
Electric SUV, Electric Sedan, Battery Swap, Charging Network
NIO EPS (Earnings per Share)
NIO Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 59.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 90.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.47% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.74 |
| Alpha | 20.27 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.549 |
| Beta | 0.861 |
| Beta Downside | 1.221 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 79.69% |
| Mean DD | 54.08% |
| Median DD | 61.42% |
Description: NIO Nio November 03, 2025
NIO Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells premium electric vehicles-including five- and six-seat SUVs and sedans-across China, Europe, and other markets, while also operating a suite of power-related services such as home charging (Power Home), battery-swap stations (Power Swap), mobile charging vans (Power Mobile), and a real-time charger-location app (Power Map). The company complements vehicle sales with after-sales offerings like insurance, financing, and data packages, and it maintains an integrated supply chain that produces electric powertrains, battery packs, and key components.
Recent data (Q3 2024) show NIO delivering approximately 30,000 vehicles, a 12% YoY increase, while its battery-swap network surpassed 1,100 stations, supporting faster turnaround for users. Gross margin on vehicle sales has risen to roughly 15% as the firm scales production and leverages higher-margin software services. A primary sector driver is the gradual phase-out of Chinese government EV subsidies, which pressures pricing but also accelerates competition from domestic rivals such as BYD and Xpeng.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of NIO’s valuation metrics, you may find the analyst tools on ValueRay useful.
NIO Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 17,557m |
| Sub-Industry | Automobile Manufacturers |
| IPO / Inception | 2018-09-12 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 13.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.78 of 5 |
NIO Dividends
Currently no dividends paidNIO Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | -15.47% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.19 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.29 |
| Current Volume | 52962.2k |
| Average Volume | 50928.4k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-24.31b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 4.17b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.34pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -14.08% (prev 8.43%; Δ -22.51pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO -7.85b > Net Income -24.31b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.84 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.23b) change vs 12m ago 8.79% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 10.28% (prev 7.84%; Δ 2.44pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 69.23% (prev 63.20%; Δ 6.03pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -15.01 (EBITDA TTM -16.06b / Interest Expense TTM 909.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -7.04
| (A) -0.10 = (Total Current Assets 52.51b - Total Current Liabilities 62.28b) / Total Assets 100.05b |
| (B) -1.25 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -124.81b / Total Assets 100.05b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.25 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.14 = EBIT TTM -13.64b / Avg Total Assets 100.28b |
| (D) -1.35 = Book Value of Equity -126.01b / Total Liabilities 93.43b |
| Total Rating: -7.04 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 18.62
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt = -3.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -12.50% = -5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin -24.48% = -7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity -24.13 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.37 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -68.88)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -617.6% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 38.60% = 2.89 |
| 9. EPS Trend 24.51% = 1.23 |
What is the price of NIO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.39%, over one month by -9.93%, over three months by +24.85% and over the past year by +30.19%.
Is Nio a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NIO is around 5.01 USD . This means that NIO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -17.6%.
Is NIO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NIO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 6.9 | 13.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 6.9 | 13.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.5 | -8.9% |
NIO Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Forward = 434.7826
P/S = 0.2529
P/B = 4.9821
Beta = 1.021
Revenue TTM = 69.42b CNY
EBIT TTM = -13.64b CNY
EBITDA TTM = -16.06b CNY
Long Term Debt = 9.11b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.88b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 29.10b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 21.99b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 135.94b CNY (124.64b + Debt 29.10b - CCE 17.80b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -15.01 (Ebit TTM -13.64b / Interest Expense TTM 909.0m)
FCF Yield = -12.50% (FCF TTM -16.99b / Enterprise Value 135.94b)
FCF Margin = -24.48% (FCF TTM -16.99b / Revenue TTM 69.42b)
Net Margin = -35.01% (Net Income TTM -24.31b / Revenue TTM 69.42b)
Gross Margin = 10.28% ((Revenue TTM 69.42b - Cost of Revenue TTM 62.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.98% (prev 7.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.36 (Enterprise Value 135.94b / Total Assets 100.05b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.73% (Interest Expense 212.7m / Debt 29.10b)
Taxrate = -0.84% (negative due to tax credits) (42.9m / -5.10b)
NOPAT = -13.76b (EBIT -13.64b * (1 - -0.84%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.84 (Total Current Assets 52.51b / Total Current Liabilities 62.28b)
Debt / Equity = -24.13 (negative equity) (Debt 29.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -1.21b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.37 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 21.99b / EBITDA -16.06b)
Debt / FCF = -1.29 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 21.99b / FCF TTM -16.99b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.94b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -24.29% (Net Income -24.31b / Total Assets 100.05b)
RoE = -617.6% (Net Income TTM -24.31b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.94b)
RoCE = -104.5% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -13.64b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.94b + L.T.Debt 9.11b))
RoIC = -61.30% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -13.76b / Invested Capital 22.44b)
WACC = 7.58% (E(124.64b)/V(153.74b) * Re(9.18%) + D(29.10b)/V(153.74b) * Rd(0.73%) * (1-Tc(-0.01)))
Discount Rate = 9.18% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 12.52%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -16.99b)
EPS Correlation: 24.51 | EPS CAGR: 110.8% | SUE: 3.59 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 38.60 | Revenue CAGR: 14.81% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for NIO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle