(NIO) Nio - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: China • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US62914V1061

Electric SUVs, Electric Sedans, Battery-Swapping, Charging Services, After-Sales

Automobile Manufacturers
Market Cap in USD: 12,289m

IPO / Inception: 2018-09-12
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -8.02%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 7.05%
EPS Trend: 12.0%

Last SUE: 0.28
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 23.42%
Rev. Trend: 65.9%

Last SUE: -0.03
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	57.1%
Value at Risk 5%th	88.4%
Relative Tail Risk	-5.83%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.36
Alpha	-14.22
CAGR/Max DD	-0.34

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.547
Beta	0.856
Beta Downside	1.217

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	79.69%
Mean DD	55.97%
Median DD	63.94%

Description: NIO Nio January 06, 2026

NIO Inc. (NYSE: NIO) designs, develops, manufactures and sells smart electric vehicles-including five- and six-seat SUVs and sedans-across China, Europe and other international markets. Its ecosystem extends beyond the cars to a suite of power solutions: home chargers (Power Home), a battery-swap network (Power Swap), public and mobile charging services (Power Charger, Power Mobile, Destination Charger), a real-time charger-location app (Power Map), and a “one-click” valet-charging service. NIO also offers after-sales support such as repair centers, insurance products, financing, and leasing, while maintaining in-house capabilities for powertrain, battery-pack, and component manufacturing.

Key recent metrics underscore the company’s growth trajectory: Q4 2023 vehicle deliveries reached ~30,000 units, a 70% YoY increase, pushing full-year 2023 deliveries past 120,000-its highest ever. The battery-swap network expanded to roughly 1,800 stations, supporting a 15% gross-margin improvement year-over-year. Macro-level drivers include China’s EV subsidy phase-down, which pressures pricing, and the broader shift toward stricter emissions standards in Europe that is expanding the addressable market for premium EVs.

For a deeper, data-rich assessment of NIO’s valuation dynamics, you may find the analyst tools on ValueRay worth a quick look.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0

Net Income (-22.82b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 4.35b TTM)

FCFTA -0.15 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.77pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -5.87% (prev 4.09%; Δ -9.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA -0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO -8.75b > Net Income -22.82b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)

Current Ratio 0.94 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.43b) change vs 12m ago 18.17% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 11.24% (prev 8.65%; Δ 2.58pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 67.16% (prev 60.71%; Δ 6.45pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio -9.06 (EBITDA TTM -14.44b / Interest Expense TTM 927.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -5.24

(A) -0.04 = (Total Current Assets 63.06b - Total Current Liabilities 67.32b) / Total Assets 112.04b

(B) -1.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -113.07b / Total Assets 112.04b

warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.01 — check mapping/units

(D) -1.13 = Book Value of Equity -112.48b / Total Liabilities 99.96b

Total Rating: -5.24 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 22.54

1. Piotroski 2.0pt

2. FCF Yield -18.47%

3. FCF Margin -22.74%

4. Debt/Equity 7.53

5. Debt/Ebitda -1.27

6. ROIC - WACC (= -52.50)%

7. RoE data missing

8. Rev. Trend 65.92%

9. EPS Trend 11.98%

What is the price of NIO shares?

As of January 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.64 with a total of 37,809,761 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.73%, over one month by -7.75%, over three months by -37.80% and over the past year by +11.27%.

Is NIO a buy, sell or hold?

Nio has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.78. Therefor, it is recommend to hold NIO.

Strong Buy: 9
Buy: 5
Hold: 11
Sell: 2
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NIO price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	6.7	45.3%
Analysts Target Price	6.7	45.3%
ValueRay Target Price	3.8	-18.3%

NIO Fundamental Data Overview January 07, 2026

Market Cap CNY = 85.80b (12.29b USD * 6.9813 USD.CNY)
P/E Forward = 434.7826
P/S = 0.1694
P/B = 24.6876
Beta = 1.057
Revenue TTM = 72.54b CNY
EBIT TTM = -8.40b CNY
EBITDA TTM = -14.44b CNY
Long Term Debt = 8.72b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.67b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 27.64b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 18.37b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 89.33b CNY (85.80b + Debt 27.64b - CCE 24.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -9.06 (Ebit TTM -8.40b / Interest Expense TTM 927.7m)
EV/FCF = -5.41x (Enterprise Value 89.33b / FCF TTM -16.50b)
FCF Yield = -18.47% (FCF TTM -16.50b / Enterprise Value 89.33b)
FCF Margin = -22.74% (FCF TTM -16.50b / Revenue TTM 72.54b)
Net Margin = -31.46% (Net Income TTM -22.82b / Revenue TTM 72.54b)
Gross Margin = 11.24% ((Revenue TTM 72.54b - Cost of Revenue TTM 64.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.88% (prev 9.98%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 89.33b / Total Assets 112.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.81% (Interest Expense 222.5m / Debt 27.64b)
Taxrate = -1.67% (negative due to tax credits) (57.0m / -3.42b)
NOPAT = -8.54b (EBIT -8.40b * (1 - -1.67%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.94 (Total Current Assets 63.06b / Total Current Liabilities 67.32b)
Debt / Equity = 7.53 (Debt 27.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.67b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.27 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 18.37b / EBITDA -14.44b)
Debt / FCF = -1.11 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 18.37b / FCF TTM -16.50b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -21.13% (Net Income -22.82b / Total Assets 112.04b)
RoE = -1132 % (out of range, set to none) (Net Income TTM -22.82b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.02b)
RoCE = -78.26% (EBIT -8.40b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.02b + L.T.Debt 8.72b))
RoIC = -45.44% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -8.54b / Invested Capital 18.80b)
WACC = 7.06% (E(85.80b)/V(113.44b) * Re(9.07%) + D(27.64b)/V(113.44b) * Rd(0.81%) * (1-Tc(-0.02)))
Discount Rate = 9.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 17.42%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -16.50b)
EPS Correlation: 11.98 | EPS CAGR: 7.05% | SUE: 0.28 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 65.92 | Revenue CAGR: 23.42% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.60 | Chg30d=+0.822 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-3.39 | Chg30d=+0.916 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+50.6% | Growth Revenue=+45.4%

Additional Sources for NIO Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle