(NIO) Nio - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: China •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US62914V1061
Electric SUV, Electric Sedan, Battery Swap, Charging Network
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 59.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 91.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.01% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.36 |
| Alpha | -8.02 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.31 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.635 |
| Beta | 0.903 |
| Beta Downside | 1.243 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 79.69% |
| Mean DD | 54.52% |
| Median DD | 62.68% |
Description: NIO Nio November 03, 2025
NIO Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells premium electric vehicles-including five- and six-seat SUVs and sedans-across China, Europe, and other markets, while also operating a suite of power-related services such as home charging (Power Home), battery-swap stations (Power Swap), mobile charging vans (Power Mobile), and a real-time charger-location app (Power Map). The company complements vehicle sales with after-sales offerings like insurance, financing, and data packages, and it maintains an integrated supply chain that produces electric powertrains, battery packs, and key components.
Recent data (Q3 2024) show NIO delivering approximately 30,000 vehicles, a 12% YoY increase, while its battery-swap network surpassed 1,100 stations, supporting faster turnaround for users. Gross margin on vehicle sales has risen to roughly 15% as the firm scales production and leverages higher-margin software services. A primary sector driver is the gradual phase-out of Chinese government EV subsidies, which pressures pricing but also accelerates competition from domestic rivals such as BYD and Xpeng.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of NIO’s valuation metrics, you may find the analyst tools on ValueRay useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-22.82b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 4.35b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.15 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.77pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -5.87% (prev 4.09%; Δ -9.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO -8.75b > Net Income -22.82b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.94 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.43b) change vs 12m ago 18.17% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 11.24% (prev 8.65%; Δ 2.58pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 67.16% (prev 60.71%; Δ 6.45pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -9.06 (EBITDA TTM -14.44b / Interest Expense TTM 927.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -5.24
| (A) -0.04 = (Total Current Assets 63.06b - Total Current Liabilities 67.32b) / Total Assets 112.04b |
| (B) -1.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -113.07b / Total Assets 112.04b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.01 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.08 = EBIT TTM -8.40b / Avg Total Assets 108.02b |
| (D) -1.13 = Book Value of Equity -112.48b / Total Liabilities 99.96b |
| Total Rating: -5.24 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 21.02
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -17.69% |
| 3. FCF Margin -22.74% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 7.53 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.27 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -52.77)% |
| 7. RoE data missing |
| 8. Rev. Trend 65.92% |
| 9. EPS Trend -18.45% |
What is the price of NIO shares?
As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 5.03 with a total of 31,567,471 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.20%, over one month by -22.02%, over three months by -19.13% and over the past year by +9.59%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.20%, over one month by -22.02%, over three months by -19.13% and over the past year by +9.59%.
Is NIO a buy, sell or hold?
Nio has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.78.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold NIO.
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NIO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 6.7 | 32.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 6.7 | 32.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4.2 | -17.1% |
NIO Fundamental Data Overview December 12, 2025
Market Cap CNY = 89.73b (12.72b USD * 7.0548 USD.CNY)
P/E Forward = 434.7826
P/S = 0.1753
P/B = 24.4207
Beta = 1.042
Revenue TTM = 72.54b CNY
EBIT TTM = -8.40b CNY
EBITDA TTM = -14.44b CNY
Long Term Debt = 8.72b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.67b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 27.64b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 18.37b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 93.27b CNY (89.73b + Debt 27.64b - CCE 24.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -9.06 (Ebit TTM -8.40b / Interest Expense TTM 927.7m)
FCF Yield = -17.69% (FCF TTM -16.50b / Enterprise Value 93.27b)
FCF Margin = -22.74% (FCF TTM -16.50b / Revenue TTM 72.54b)
Net Margin = -31.46% (Net Income TTM -22.82b / Revenue TTM 72.54b)
Gross Margin = 11.24% ((Revenue TTM 72.54b - Cost of Revenue TTM 64.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.88% (prev 9.98%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 93.27b / Total Assets 112.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.81% (Interest Expense 222.5m / Debt 27.64b)
Taxrate = -1.67% (negative due to tax credits) (57.0m / -3.42b)
NOPAT = -8.54b (EBIT -8.40b * (1 - -1.67%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.94 (Total Current Assets 63.06b / Total Current Liabilities 67.32b)
Debt / Equity = 7.53 (Debt 27.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.67b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.27 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 18.37b / EBITDA -14.44b)
Debt / FCF = -1.11 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 18.37b / FCF TTM -16.50b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -20.37% (Net Income -22.82b / Total Assets 112.04b)
RoE = -1132 % (out of range, set to none) (Net Income TTM -22.82b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.02b)
RoCE = -78.26% (EBIT -8.40b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.02b + L.T.Debt 8.72b))
RoIC = -45.44% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -8.54b / Invested Capital 18.80b)
WACC = 7.33% (E(89.73b)/V(117.37b) * Re(9.34%) + D(27.64b)/V(117.37b) * Rd(0.81%) * (1-Tc(-0.02)))
Discount Rate = 9.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 17.42%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -16.50b)
EPS Correlation: -18.45 | EPS CAGR: 2.64% | SUE: 0.99 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 65.92 | Revenue CAGR: 23.42% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.60 | Chg30d=+0.822 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-3.39 | Chg30d=+0.916 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+50.6% | Growth Revenue=+45.6%
P/E Forward = 434.7826
P/S = 0.1753
P/B = 24.4207
Beta = 1.042
Revenue TTM = 72.54b CNY
EBIT TTM = -8.40b CNY
EBITDA TTM = -14.44b CNY
Long Term Debt = 8.72b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.67b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 27.64b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 18.37b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 93.27b CNY (89.73b + Debt 27.64b - CCE 24.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -9.06 (Ebit TTM -8.40b / Interest Expense TTM 927.7m)
FCF Yield = -17.69% (FCF TTM -16.50b / Enterprise Value 93.27b)
FCF Margin = -22.74% (FCF TTM -16.50b / Revenue TTM 72.54b)
Net Margin = -31.46% (Net Income TTM -22.82b / Revenue TTM 72.54b)
Gross Margin = 11.24% ((Revenue TTM 72.54b - Cost of Revenue TTM 64.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.88% (prev 9.98%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 93.27b / Total Assets 112.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.81% (Interest Expense 222.5m / Debt 27.64b)
Taxrate = -1.67% (negative due to tax credits) (57.0m / -3.42b)
NOPAT = -8.54b (EBIT -8.40b * (1 - -1.67%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.94 (Total Current Assets 63.06b / Total Current Liabilities 67.32b)
Debt / Equity = 7.53 (Debt 27.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.67b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.27 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 18.37b / EBITDA -14.44b)
Debt / FCF = -1.11 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 18.37b / FCF TTM -16.50b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -20.37% (Net Income -22.82b / Total Assets 112.04b)
RoE = -1132 % (out of range, set to none) (Net Income TTM -22.82b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.02b)
RoCE = -78.26% (EBIT -8.40b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.02b + L.T.Debt 8.72b))
RoIC = -45.44% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -8.54b / Invested Capital 18.80b)
WACC = 7.33% (E(89.73b)/V(117.37b) * Re(9.34%) + D(27.64b)/V(117.37b) * Rd(0.81%) * (1-Tc(-0.02)))
Discount Rate = 9.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 17.42%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -16.50b)
EPS Correlation: -18.45 | EPS CAGR: 2.64% | SUE: 0.99 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 65.92 | Revenue CAGR: 23.42% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.60 | Chg30d=+0.822 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-3.39 | Chg30d=+0.916 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+50.6% | Growth Revenue=+45.6%
Additional Sources for NIO Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle