(NJR) NewJersey Resources - Ratings and Ratios
Natural Gas, Solar Installation, Energy Services, Storage, Transportation
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.03% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.44% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.73% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 60.2% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 30.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.00% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.16 |
| Alpha | -6.85 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.07 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.376 |
| Beta | 0.138 |
| Beta Downside | 0.151 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.79% |
| Mean DD | 12.50% |
| Median DD | 11.38% |
Description: NJR NewJersey Resources November 05, 2025
New Jersey Resources Corporation (NYSE:NJR) is a diversified energy services holding company that primarily distributes regulated natural gas to residential and commercial customers across six New Jersey counties. Its operations are organized into four segments: Natural Gas Distribution, Clean Energy Ventures, Energy Services, and Storage & Transportation, each contributing to both core utility functions and growth initiatives in renewable-energy projects and ancillary services.
Key metrics that analysts watch include a 2023 revenue of roughly $2.1 billion, a regulated rate base near $5.5 billion, and a dividend yield around 3.5 %. The company’s earnings are closely tied to New Jersey’s aggressive decarbonization agenda, which drives demand for clean-energy installations, while natural-gas consumption trends and regional wholesale gas price volatility remain primary economic drivers for the utility segment.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may explore NJR’s profile on ValueRay to see its latest valuation metrics and peer comparisons.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (335.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 122.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.40pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -10.38% (prev -18.67%; Δ 8.29pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 466.3m > Net Income 335.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.76b) to EBITDA (743.9m) ratio: 5.05 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.73 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (101.0m) change vs 12m ago 1.90% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.48% (prev 24.48%; Δ -2.99pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 27.93% (prev 25.56%; Δ 2.37pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.32 (EBITDA TTM 743.9m / Interest Expense TTM 128.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.30
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 569.9m - Total Current Liabilities 780.9m) / Total Assets 7.58b |
| (B) 0.19 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.45b / Total Assets 7.58b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 555.1m / Avg Total Assets 7.28b |
| (D) 0.33 = Book Value of Equity 1.69b / Total Liabilities 5.19b |
| Total Rating: 1.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 42.81
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.88% |
| 3. FCF Margin -11.79% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.58 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.05 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.03)% |
| 7. RoE 13.98% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -46.04% |
| 9. EPS Trend -8.99% |
What is the price of NJR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.68%, over one month by +0.56%, over three months by -0.93% and over the past year by -0.30%.
Is NJR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NJR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 54.3 | 18.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 54.3 | 18.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 48.3 | 5.3% |
NJR Fundamental Data Overview December 12, 2025
P/E Trailing = 13.6186
P/E Forward = 14.3266
P/S = 2.2436
P/B = 1.8947
P/EG = 1.8019
Beta = 0.622
Revenue TTM = 2.03b USD
EBIT TTM = 555.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 743.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.25b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 358.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.77b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.76b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.34b USD (4.57b + Debt 3.77b - CCE 591.0k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.32 (Ebit TTM 555.1m / Interest Expense TTM 128.6m)
FCF Yield = -2.88% (FCF TTM -239.7m / Enterprise Value 8.34b)
FCF Margin = -11.79% (FCF TTM -239.7m / Revenue TTM 2.03b)
Net Margin = 16.51% (Net Income TTM 335.6m / Revenue TTM 2.03b)
Gross Margin = 21.48% ((Revenue TTM 2.03b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.60b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.86% (prev 4.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.10 (Enterprise Value 8.34b / Total Assets 7.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.81% (Interest Expense 30.5m / Debt 3.77b)
Taxrate = 17.15% (3.12m / 18.2m)
NOPAT = 459.9m (EBIT 555.1m * (1 - 17.15%))
Current Ratio = 0.73 (Total Current Assets 569.9m / Total Current Liabilities 780.9m)
Debt / Equity = 1.58 (Debt 3.77b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.39b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.05 (Net Debt 3.76b / EBITDA 743.9m)
Debt / FCF = -15.68 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.76b / FCF TTM -239.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.40b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.43% (Net Income 335.6m / Total Assets 7.58b)
RoE = 13.98% (Net Income TTM 335.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.40b)
RoCE = 9.82% (EBIT 555.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.40b + L.T.Debt 3.25b))
RoIC = 7.91% (NOPAT 459.9m / Invested Capital 5.81b)
WACC = 3.88% (E(4.57b)/V(8.34b) * Re(6.53%) + D(3.77b)/V(8.34b) * Rd(0.81%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 6.53% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.24%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -239.7m)
EPS Correlation: -8.99 | EPS CAGR: -32.28% | SUE: -0.27 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -46.04 | Revenue CAGR: -16.64% | SUE: 0.30 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.72 | Chg30d=+0.005 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=3.11 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-5.4% | Growth Revenue=+9.6%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=3.46 | Chg30d=-0.017 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+11.1% | Growth Revenue=+0.9%
Additional Sources for NJR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle