(NLOP) Net Lease Office Properties - Ratings and Ratios
Office, Properties, Net, Leases
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 61.50% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 103.02% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 360.18% |
| Payout Consistency | 51.2% |
| Payout Ratio | - |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 37.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.20% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.37 |
| Alpha | -4.80 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.58 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.356 |
| Beta | 0.591 |
| Beta Downside | 0.770 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.03% |
| Mean DD | 6.58% |
| Median DD | 4.72% |
Description: NLOP Net Lease Office Properties December 27, 2025
Net Lease Office Properties (NYSE: NLOP) is a REIT that owns 37 single-tenant net-lease office buildings (~5.5 MM sq ft) across the U.S. and Europe, serving 41 corporate tenants and generating roughly $88 MM of annualized base rent. The firm is externally managed by affiliates of W. P. Carey (WPC), leveraging more than five decades of single-tenant office expertise to drive shareholder value through active asset management and selective disposals.
Key metrics and sector drivers to watch: (1) Occupancy remains near 99 %-a typical hallmark of high-quality net-lease portfolios-but lease expirations cluster in 2025-2027, creating potential refinancing risk if interest rates stay elevated; (2) The average remaining lease term is about 7.5 years, providing a buffer against short-term market volatility; (3) Industry-wide, remote-work trends are compressing demand for traditional office space, yet net-lease assets tied to essential services (e.g., data centers, healthcare) have shown relative resilience, which could influence NLOP’s tenant mix and rent growth prospects.
For a deeper, data-driven look at NLOP’s valuation and risk profile, consider exploring the analytics available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-181.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 6.95m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.55pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.19% (prev 25.91%; Δ -25.71pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 52.6m > Net Income -181.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 1.01 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (14.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.20% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 66.45% (prev 77.62%; Δ -11.17pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 16.07% (prev 17.49%; Δ -1.42pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -4.13 (EBITDA TTM -35.9m / Interest Expense TTM 19.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -8.46
| (A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 38.7m - Total Current Liabilities 38.5m) / Total Assets 522.6m |
| (B) -0.81 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -425.6m / Total Assets 522.6m |
| (C) -0.11 = EBIT TTM -80.1m / Avg Total Assets 721.2m |
| (D) -4.82 = Book Value of Equity -425.6m / Total Liabilities 88.3m |
| Total Rating: -8.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 44.50
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 12.20% |
| 3. FCF Margin 45.42% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.39 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.08 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -17.98)% |
| 7. RoE -34.58% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -65.24% |
| 9. EPS Trend -3.71% |
What is the price of NLOP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.98%, over one month by -1.77%, over three months by -0.48% and over the past year by +9.02%.
Is NLOP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NLOP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 46 | 130% |
| Analysts Target Price | 46 | 130% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 78.5 | 292.5% |
NLOP Fundamental Data Overview January 10, 2026
P/B = 0.6986
Beta = 0.304
Revenue TTM = 115.9m USD
EBIT TTM = -80.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = -35.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 47.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 105.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 169.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -38.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 431.4m USD (300.6m + Debt 169.5m - CCE 38.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.13 (Ebit TTM -80.1m / Interest Expense TTM 19.4m)
FCF Yield = 12.20% (FCF TTM 52.6m / Enterprise Value 431.4m)
FCF Margin = 45.42% (FCF TTM 52.6m / Revenue TTM 115.9m)
Net Margin = -156.2% (Net Income TTM -181.0m / Revenue TTM 115.9m)
Gross Margin = 66.45% ((Revenue TTM 115.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 38.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.19% (prev 65.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 431.4m / Total Assets 522.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.98% (Interest Expense 1.66m / Debt 169.5m)
Taxrate = -0.05% (negative due to tax credits) (30.0k / -64.1m)
NOPAT = -80.2m (EBIT -80.1m * (1 - -0.05%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.01 (Total Current Assets 38.7m / Total Current Liabilities 38.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.39 (Debt 169.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 430.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.08 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -38.7m / EBITDA -35.9m)
Debt / FCF = -0.74 (Net Debt -38.7m / FCF TTM 52.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 523.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -25.10% (Net Income -181.0m / Total Assets 522.6m)
RoE = -34.58% (Net Income TTM -181.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 523.4m)
RoCE = -14.05% (EBIT -80.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 523.4m + L.T.Debt 47.1m))
RoIC = -12.45% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -80.2m / Invested Capital 643.9m)
WACC = 5.53% (E(300.6m)/V(470.1m) * Re(8.09%) + D(169.5m)/V(470.1m) * Rd(0.98%) * (1-Tc(-0.00)))
Discount Rate = 8.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.66%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.10% ; FCFF base≈59.3m ; Y1≈52.8m ; Y5≈44.4m
Fair Price DCF = 93.33 (EV 1.34b - Net Debt -38.7m = Equity 1.38b / Shares 14.8m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -13.42% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -3.71 | EPS CAGR: 484.0% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -65.24 | Revenue CAGR: -5.76% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for NLOP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle