(NMR) Nomura Holdings - NYSE

Sector: Financial Services | Industry: Capital Markets | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 26.596m USD | Total Return: 46.1% in 12m

Asset Management, Securities Trading, Investment Banking, Foreign Exchange
Total Rating 47
Safety 72
Buy Signal -0.51
Capital Markets
Industry Rotation: +5.3
Market Cap: 26.6B
Avg Turnover: 12.9M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.4%
VaR 5th Pctl6.09%
VaR vs Median1.73%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.27
Rel. Str. IBD64.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group63.8
Character TTM
Beta1.543
Beta Downside1.599
Hurst Exponent0.566
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD26.34%
CAGR/Max DD1.44
CAGR/Mean DD5.27
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NMR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.1475, "2021-09": 0.0056, "2021-12": 0.1717, "2022-03": 0.08, "2022-06": 0.0042, "2022-09": 0.0376, "2022-12": 0.1734, "2023-03": 0.0186, "2023-06": 0.0538, "2023-09": 0.078, "2023-12": 0.1145, "2024-03": 0.1214, "2024-06": 22.36, "2024-09": 0.22, "2024-12": 0.23, "2025-03": 0.17, "2025-06": 0.24, "2025-09": 0.2, "2025-12": 0.2, "2026-03": 0.16,
EPS CAGR: 56.53%
EPS Trend: 21.0%
Last SUE: -0.01
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of NMR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 378356, 2021-09: 351812, 2021-12: 379622, 2022-03: 379005, 2022-06: 381480, 2022-09: 505669, 2022-12: 739966, 2023-03: 861988, 2023-06: 333424, 2023-09: 978364, 2023-12: 1046172, 2024-03: 1087760, 2024-06: 1174256, 2024-09: 1193952, 2024-12: 1154293, 2025-03: 981842, 2025-06: 1111810, 2025-09: 1114022, 2025-12: 1173931, 2026-03: 1358723,
Rev. CAGR: 22.62%
Rev. Trend: 84.8%
Last SUE: 2.19
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Fakeout

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: NMR Nomura Holdings

Nomura Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: NMR) is a Japan-based financial services group that provides investment, financing, and related services to individual, institutional, and government clients globally. Founded in 1925 and headquartered in Tokyo, the company operates through three core segments: Wealth Management, which offers asset management services; Investment Management, which provides investment solutions including investment trusts, discretionary investment services, and fund management; and Wholesale, which encompasses sales and trading of debt and equity securities, foreign exchange, and investment banking activities such as underwriting, M&A advisory, and financial advisory services. As one of Japans largest independent brokerage and investment banking groups, Nomuras three-pillar structure reflects a diversified business model spanning retail wealth, asset management, and global capital markets-a structure broadly comparable to large U.S. peers like Goldman Sachs or Morgan Stanley, though Nomura maintains a particularly strong presence across Asian markets and a notable footprint in fixed income trading worldwide.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Wholesale trading revenue rises with market volatility and deal activity
  • BOJ rate hikes lift Wealth Management net interest income
  • Investment Management fees pressured by persistent AUM outflows
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 362b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.38 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 370.9% < 20% (prev -591.3%; Δ 962.2% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -843b > Net Income 362b
Net Debt (12453b) to EBITDA (608b): 20.48 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.43 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (3.04b) vs 12m ago -1.09% < -2%
Gross Margin: 45.55% > 18% (prev 36.86%; Δ 8.70% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 7.97% > 50% (prev 7.93%; Δ 0.04% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.21 > 6 (EBIT TTM 540b / Interest Expense TTM 2591b)
Altman Z'' 2.08
A: 0.28 (Total Current Assets 59084b - Total Current Liabilities 41432b) / Total Assets 62646b
B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 2014b / Total Assets 62646b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 540b / Avg Total Assets 59724b)
D: 0.06 (Book Value of Equity 3708b / Total Liabilities 58791b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.08 = BBB
Beneish M -3.69
DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 1798b/1641b, Revenue 4758b/4504b)
GMI: 0.81 (GM 36.86% / 45.55%)
AQI: 0.06 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.87)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 4758b / 4504b)
TATA: 0.02 (NI 362b - CFO -843b) / TA 62646b)
Beneish M = -3.69 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of NMR shares?

As of June 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.64 with a total of 1,231,233 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.93%, over one month by +7.06%, over three months by +12.25% and over the past year by +46.13%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.20 (which is 5.1% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).

Is NMR a buy, sell or hold?

Nomura Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold NMR.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NMR price?
Analysts Target Price 9.4 8.2%
Nomura Holdings (NMR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 19 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 26.6b (26.6b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.2973
P/E Forward = 15.3846
P/S = 0.0123
P/B = 1.1494
P/EG = 0.8146
Revenue TTM = 4758b USD
EBIT TTM = 540b USD
EBITDA TTM = 608b USD
Long Term Debt = 15283b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 1753b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17461b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 164b
Net Debt = 12453b USD (calculated: Debt 17461b - CCE 5008b)
Enterprise Value = 12480b USD (26.6b + Debt 17461b - CCE 5008b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.21 (Ebit TTM 540b / Interest Expense TTM 2591b)
EV/FCF = -10.43x (Enterprise Value 12480b / FCF TTM -1197b)
FCF Yield = -9.59% (FCF TTM -1197b / Enterprise Value 12480b)
FCF Margin = -25.15% (FCF TTM -1197b / Revenue TTM 4758b)
Net Margin = 7.61% (Net Income TTM 362b / Revenue TTM 4758b)
Gross Margin = 45.55% ((Revenue TTM 4758b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2591b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.22% (prev 42.40%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.20 (Enterprise Value 12480b / Total Assets 62646b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 14.84% (Interest Expense 2591b / Debt 17461b)
Taxrate = 30.65% (165b / 540b)
NOPAT = 374b (EBIT 540b * (1 - 30.65%))
Current Ratio = 1.43 (Total Current Assets 59084b / Total Current Liabilities 41432b)
Debt / Equity = 4.71 (Debt 17461b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3708b)
Debt / EBITDA = 20.48 (Net Debt 12453b / EBITDA 608b)
 Debt / FCF = -10.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 12453b / FCF TTM -1197b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 3580b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.61% (Net Income 362b / Total Assets 62646b)
RoE = 10.11% (Net Income TTM 362b / Total Stockholder Equity 3580b)
RoCE = 2.86% (EBIT 540b / Capital Employed (Equity 3580b + L.T.Debt 15283b))
RoIC = 1.65% (NOPAT 374b / Invested Capital 22728b)
WACC = 10.29% (E(26.6b)/V(17488b) * Re(11.41%) + D(17461b)/V(17488b) * Rd(14.84%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 11.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -60.0 | Cagr: -1.35%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1197b)
 EPS Correlation: 20.97 | EPS CAGR: 56.53% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.76 | Revenue CAGR: 22.62% | SUE: 2.19 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=-0.70% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=-0.70% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=0.78 | Chg30d=-0.69% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+1.2% | GrowthRev=+1.2%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=+3.3% | GrowthRev=+1.7%