(NOG) Northern Oil & Gas - Ratings and Ratios
Crude Oil, Natural Gas
NOG EPS (Earnings per Share)
NOG Revenue
Description: NOG Northern Oil & Gas
Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NYSE:NOG) is an independent energy company focused on acquiring, exploring, and producing crude oil and natural gas in the United States. Founded in 2006, the company is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.
To evaluate NOGs performance, we can examine key performance indicators (KPIs). The companys return on equity (RoE) of 28.46% indicates a strong ability to generate profits from shareholder equity. With a market capitalization of $2.82 billion, NOG is a mid-cap company with a relatively small-cap presence in the oil and gas exploration and production sub-industry.
Further analysis reveals that NOGs price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 4.45, suggesting the stock may be undervalued compared to its earnings. The forward P/E ratio of 7.46 implies expected growth in earnings. To assess the companys operational efficiency, we can look at metrics such as debt-to-equity ratio, operating cash flow margin, and production growth rate, which are not provided in the given data.
From a trading perspective, NOGs stock price is currently $25.03, below its 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMA20 and SMA50) of $28.58 and $28.68, respectively. This could indicate a downtrend. The stocks 52-week high and low are $41.71 and $20.28, respectively, showing significant price volatility. The average true range (ATR) of 1.07, or 4.27%, suggests moderate daily price movements.
NOG Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,151m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 2007-04-13 |
NOG Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -38.8% |
| Fundamental | 58.7% |
| Dividend Rating | 97.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -47.3% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.90 of 5 |
NOG Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 8.15% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 41.75% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 96.85% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 36.6% |
NOG Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -31.4% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -77.6% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 73.2% |
| CAGR 5y | -10.80% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.21 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.66 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.25 |
| Alpha | -65.82 |
| Beta | 1.617 |
| Volatility | 53.30% |
| Current Volume | 3053.2k |
| Average Volume 20d | 2181.2k |
| Stop Loss | 20.4 (-6.1%) |
| Signal | -0.71 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (608.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 133.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.78pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.51% (prev -2.46%; Δ 6.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.45b > Net Income 608.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.34b) to EBITDA (1.77b) ratio: 1.32 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.21 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (99.4m) change vs 12m ago -2.54% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 37.49% (prev 42.38%; Δ -4.90pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 42.64% (prev 44.61%; Δ -1.97pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.71 (EBITDA TTM 1.77b / Interest Expense TTM 170.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.98
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 588.4m - Total Current Liabilities 488.2m) / Total Assets 5.70b |
| (B) 0.12 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 681.1m / Total Assets 5.70b |
| (C) 0.19 = EBIT TTM 973.0m / Avg Total Assets 5.21b |
| (D) 0.21 = Book Value of Equity 681.6m / Total Liabilities 3.29b |
| Total Rating: 1.98 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.73
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -5.20% = -2.60 |
| 3. FCF Margin -10.50% = -3.94 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.98 = 2.04 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.32 = 1.28 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.50)% = 11.87 |
| 7. RoE 25.77% = 2.15 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 18.42% = 1.38 |
| 9. EPS Trend -69.03% = -3.45 |
What is the price of NOG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.14%, over one month by -11.54%, over three months by -21.03% and over the past year by -38.77%.
Is Northern Oil & Gas a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NOG is around 20.59 USD . This means that NOG is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.2%.
Is NOG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NOG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 33.4 | 53.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 33.4 | 53.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 22.5 | 3.7% |
Last update: 2025-10-13 02:04
NOG Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 3.637
P/E Forward = 10.8108
P/S = 1.0272
P/B = 0.9747
P/EG = 0.5583
Beta = 1.617
Revenue TTM = 2.22b USD
EBIT TTM = 973.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.77b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.37b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 2.37b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.34b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.49b USD (2.15b + Debt 2.37b - CCE 25.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.71 (Ebit TTM 973.0m / Interest Expense TTM 170.4m)
FCF Yield = -5.20% (FCF TTM -233.3m / Enterprise Value 4.49b)
FCF Margin = -10.50% (FCF TTM -233.3m / Revenue TTM 2.22b)
Net Margin = 27.38% (Net Income TTM 608.7m / Revenue TTM 2.22b)
Gross Margin = 37.49% ((Revenue TTM 2.22b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.23% (prev 38.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.79 (Enterprise Value 4.49b / Total Assets 5.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.88% (Interest Expense 44.4m / Debt 2.37b)
Taxrate = 24.43% (32.2m / 131.8m)
NOPAT = 735.3m (EBIT 973.0m * (1 - 24.43%))
Current Ratio = 1.21 (Total Current Assets 588.4m / Total Current Liabilities 488.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.98 (Debt 2.37b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.41b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.32 (Net Debt 2.34b / EBITDA 1.77b)
Debt / FCF = -10.03 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 2.34b / FCF TTM -233.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.36b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.67% (Net Income 608.7m / Total Assets 5.70b)
RoE = 25.77% (Net Income TTM 608.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.36b)
RoCE = 20.58% (EBIT 973.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.36b + L.T.Debt 2.37b))
RoIC = 15.94% (NOPAT 735.3m / Invested Capital 4.61b)
WACC = 6.44% (E(2.15b)/V(4.52b) * Re(11.97%) + D(2.37b)/V(4.52b) * Rd(1.88%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 11.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.21%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -233.3m)
EPS Correlation: -69.03 | EPS CAGR: -58.33% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 18.42 | Revenue CAGR: -10.81% | SUE: 1.57 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for NOG Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle